State Statistical Report June 11, 2003

The 2002-03 Florida all orange forecast, released by the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board, is increased to 201.0 million boxes, 13 percent below last season's production. Comprising the forecast are 112.0 million boxes of early-midseason fruit (including 5.4 million boxes of Navels) and 89.0 million boxes of late (Valencia) oranges. The route survey conducted June 2-3 shows less than seven percent of the Valencia rows unharvested and confirms the increased forecasts of Valencias and all oranges.

Response was excellent to the annual Processors Survey regarding Valencia usage. The amount remaining to be processed, along with the certified utilization to date, and an allowance for non-certified fruit, support the new forecast.

Citrus production, June 1, 2003 forecasts by varieties and States, with comparisons
Crop and State	Production		Forecast
Crop and State	2000-01	2001-02	May 12, 2003	Jun 11, 2003
	- - - 1,000 boxes - - -
Early, Midseason, and Navel Oranges:
FLORIDA	128,000	128,000	112,000	112,000
California	35,500	34,000	40,000	40,000
Texas	2,000	1,530	1,400	1,400
Arizona	480	270	200	200
Total Above Varieties	165,980	163,800	153,600	153,600
Valencias:
FLORIDA	95,300	102,000	88,000	89,000
California	19,000	20,500	22,000	22,000
Texas	235	210	180	180
Arizona	420	250	200	200
Total Valencias	114,955	122,960	110,380	111,380
All Oranges:
FLORIDA	223,300	230,000	200,000	201,000
California	54,500	54,500	62,000	62,000
Texas	2,235	1,740	1,580	1,580
Arizona	900	520	400	400
Total All Oranges	280,935	286,760	263,980	264,980
Grapefruit:
FLORIDA-All	46,000	46,700	39,000	38,700
White 1/	18,700	18,900	16,500	16,200
Colored	2/ 27,300	27,800	22,500	22,500
Texas	7,200	5,900	5,500	5,500
Arizona	250	160	100	100
California	6,300	6,000	5,600	5,600
Total Grapefruit	59,750	58,760	50,200	49,900
Lemons:
California	22,600	19,000	23,000	23,000
Arizona	3,600	2,800	2,900	2,900
Total Lemons	26,200	21,800	25,900	25,900
Limes: Florida	250	150	3/	3/
Temples: Florida	1,250	1,550	1,300	1,300
Tangelos: Florida	2,100	2,150	2,350	2,350
K-Early: Florida	40	30	3/	3/
Tangerines:
FLORIDA-All	5,600	6,600	5,400	5,500
Early 4/	3,550	4,350	3,000	3,000
Honey	2,050	2,250	2,400	2,500
California 5/	2,200	2,200	2,500	2,500
Arizona 5/	650	620	400	400
Total Tangerines	8,450	9,420	8,300	8,400
1/ Includes seedy. 2/ Excludes two million boxes of economic abandonment. 3/ No forecast. 4/ 2000-01 through 2001-02 - Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, and Dancy; 2002-03 forecast - Fallglo and Sunburst only. 5/ Includes tangelos.

The all grapefruit forecast is adjusted downward by 300,000 boxes to 38.7 million boxes. The adjustment is all in the white category, now forecast at 16.2 million boxes. The white portion is 14 percent less than harvested last season. The colored varieties forecast remains unchanged at 22.5 million boxes. The colored varieties forecast is 19 percent less than harvested last season and the lowest amount since the 1991-92 season. Harvest is finished for the season as most packinghouses and processors are no longer receiving grapefruit.

The row count survey indicates about four percent of the white rows and three percent of the colored rows remain unharvested but most do not contain usable fruit. Final utilization estimates released in September will include estimates of economic abandonment in footnotes if measurable amounts occur.

Temple harvest is over with utilization at 1.3 million boxes, down 16 percent from last season. Tangelo utilization at 2.35 million boxes is up for the second consecutive season. Tangerine harvest is complete with the early portion ( Fallglo and Sunburst) totaling 3.0 million boxes. The forecast of the Honey portion is increased 100,000 boxes to 2.5 million boxes. At 5.5 million boxes, the total tangerine utilization is 17 percent less than last season.

The all orange FCOJ yield is lowered to 1.52 gallons of 42.0 degrees Brix concentrate from 1.53 gallons projected last month. The Valencias are also lowered to 1.56 gallons. The early and midseason oranges are final at 1.491993 gallons per box.