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CITRUS
OCTOBER FORECAST
MATURITY TEST RESULTS AND FRUIT SIZE

October 12, 2004

Florida Agricultural Statistics Service   |  1222 Woodward Street   |  Orlando, Florida 32803   |  407 / 648-6013


FORECAST DATES 2004-05 SEASON
November 12, 2004 December 10, 2004



ALL ORANGES 176.0 MILLION BOXES

  The 2004-05 Florida orange forecast, released today by the USDA Agricultural Statistics Board, is a hurricane reduced 176.0 million boxes. This forecast is for conditions as of October 1, and takes into account losses of fruit from the four hurricanes that passed through citrus producing areas of the State in August and September. The forecast is 66 million boxes, or 27 percent, less than last season's near record 242.0 million boxes. The total is divided into the early-midseason-Navel forecast of 92.0 million boxes and the Valencia portion of 84.0 million.
  


Citrus production, October 1, 2004
forecasts by varieties and states, with comparisons
Crop and State Production Forecast
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
  - - - 1,000 boxes - - -
Early, Midseason, and Navel Oranges:
FLORIDA 128,000 112,000 126,000 92,000
California 32,000 42,000 38,000 46,000
Texas 1,530 1,350 1,420 1,650
Arizona 270 200 300 270
Total Above Varieties 161,800 155,550 165,720 139,920
Valencias:
FLORIDA 102,000 91,000 116,000 84,000
California 19,500 20,000 14,000 16,000
Texas 210 220 230 250
Arizona 250 270 170 170
Total Valencias 121,960 111,490 130,400 100,420
All Oranges:
FLORIDA 230,000 203,000 242,000 176,000
California 51,500 62,000 52,000 62,000
Texas 1,740 1,570 1,650 1,900
Arizona 520 470 470 440
Total All Oranges 283,760 267,040 296,120 240,340


FORECAST PROCEDURES

  All forecasts are based on tree inventory, fruit counts, and fruit measurements made by the Florida Agricultural Statistics Service. Analysis of these factors projects the quantity of fruit to be utilized during the season. Page 6 of this release details these procedures.


POST-HURRICANE ADAPTATIONS

  This season the annual Limb Count survey was modified to account for the effects of recent hurricanes -- Charley on August 13th and Frances on September 5th. In order to better assess the damage, crews refrained from surveying the areas affected for a period of time and concentrated on other counties. When work resumed in the affected areas, samples that were not counted prior to the storms were completed. To help adjust for the storm damages, approximately one-third of the limbs in previously sampled groves were recounted. This work was completed by September 25th, one day before Hurricane Jeanne. To account for additional fruit loss from Jeanne, field personnel assessed dropped fruit while collecting samples on the monthly Maturity Survey. Additional loss factors by location, type, and age of tree were then applied to fruit numbers from the Limb Count surveys.

  In addition, the monthly size and drop survey was modified to account for storm losses in the areas affected. This survey will monitor fruit droppage and size in the coming months.

  Bearing tree numbers used in the forecasts include trees planted in 2001 and earlier. Attrition rates of the last several seasons were considered when determining the rate to be applied to the 2004 Commercial Citrus Inventory that was completed before the hurricanes. Additional losses were estimated to account for trees lost from the hurricanes.

  In seasons not affected by unusual weather events, the objective count procedures are designed to be, and have been successful at projecting final utilization within five percent in most seasons. In the past ten seasons, final utilization differed from the October forecast by an average of 3.9 percent. Accuracy of this season's forecasts will be affected by survey modifications and future weather conditions that may alter fruit size and drop assumptions.


FCOJ YIELD 1.56 GALLONS PER BOX

  The all orange FCOJ yield projection is 1.56 gallons per box of 42 degrees Brix concentrate. Last season's final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association was 1.5565 gallons per box. Final yield over the past five seasons has been very consistent, varying from a low of 1.54 to a high of 1.58. The record high yield of 1.63 gallons occurred in the 1998-99 season. A separate projection for fruit going into the early-midseason and late categories will be made in the January release. Projections of yield assume the processing relationships of recent seasons. See pages 3 and 4 for further details.



EARLY-MIDSEASON-NAVEL 92.0 MILLION BOXES
                
  The early-midseason-Navel forecast is 92.0 million boxes, 27 percent less than harvested last season, and is the smallest crop since the 83.4 million boxes produced in the 1991-92 season.

  Excluding Navels, 32.0 million bearing trees were used in the expansions, down 1.3 percent from last season. Bearing tree numbers have been declining since the 1998-99 season.

  The average fruit per tree from the Limb Count survey (weighted by the 25 cell age/area matrix) is 30 percent less than last season and the lowest since the 1982-83 season. The Central area had the highest fruit per tree average, followed closely by the Southern area. Pieces of fruit per tree in the Indian River District, affected most severely by the recent hurricanes, have approximately one-third of the state average. The early portion, mostly Hamlins, represents 86 percent of the early-mid fruit population.

  Fruit size in September ties as the second lowest in a ten season series, however the growth rate is projected to be slightly above average due to the abundant rainfall, and light fruit set. Average size is projected to be the third lowest in ten years at harvest. At this size, it will take 21 more fruit than last season to make a 90 pound equivalent box.

   Current drop is slightly below average; however, drop is expected to be above average by harvest. Future weather conditions could alter the projection for both drop and size.


Components used in the October Forecast
Type Bearing
trees 		Fruit per
tree 		Percent
droppage 		Fruit per
box
  (1,000)  
Early-Mid 31,999
863
 10 251
Navel 1,862 249 14 134
Valencia 41,208 529 15 207


NAVEL ORANGES ONLY 3.0 MILLION BOXES

  The Navel forecast at 3.0 million boxes is 30 percent less than last season's 4.3 million boxes harvested. This forecast includes an allocation of 1.0 million boxes for non-certified and gift fruit. The current forecast is the lowest since the 2.6 million boxes utilized in the 1987-88 season.

  The number of bearing trees has been declining since the 1996-97 season and now are estimated at 1.9 million, eight percent less than last season. Average fruit per tree is 34 percent less than last season and the lowest on record since forecasting Navels separately beginning in the 1986- 87 season. Fruit sizes are smaller than average and with the current growth rates fruit is expected to remain slightly below average.

  Fruit drop is very low at this time, but is expected to be slightly above average by the end of the season. A good portion of this crop this year will be used by fund raising groups.


VALENCIA ORANGES 84.0 MILLION BOXES

  The Valencia forecast of 84.0 million boxes is the lowest since the 74.0 million boxes harvested in the 1998-99 season. This forecast is 28 percent less than the record 116.0 million boxes harvested last season.

  Estimated bearing tree numbers at 41.2 million are up compared to 40.9 million last season. A high proportion of the trees planted in the last few years have been Valencias, which are now coming into production.

  Average fruit per tree decreased 22 percent from last season's level and is the second lowest average in a 10 year series, with the 2002-03 season being slightly lower. The fruit population distribution shows 70 percent of the crop in the Central and Southern areas, due to the heavy hurricane damage in the Western and Indian River areas. The Southern area, predominantly the Gulf Marketing District, has 38 percent as compared to 32 percent last season.

  Despite low average fruit per tree, the current below average growth rate has resulted in projected fruit sizes to be slightly below the ten year average. Early season above average rainfall may continue to affect growth rates and fruit sizes. Current drop rates are slightly below average, but are expected to be above average at harvest. Due to the longer time to maturity of Valencias than other orange varieties and weather conditions during the next several months, these fruit size and droppage assumptions could change and alter the expected crop size.


TEMPLES 800,000 BOXES

  The Temple forecast of 800,000 boxes is the lowest amount since the series began in 1954-55. If realized, this crop will be 43 percent less than last season's utilization of 1.4 million boxes, and 87 percent below the record 6.0 million boxes.

  Bearing tree numbers continue to decline, down 12 percent from last season. Also, because of the hurricanes, average fruit per tree is down 43 percent from last season.

   As with other varieties, trees were uprooted and split from the hurricanes that affected the east coast and interior growing areas. Droppage is expected to be above average although weather effects of the next several months may alter this projection. Average fruit sizes are expected to be larger than average, but also may be altered by future weather conditions.  


TANGELOS 1.4 MILLION BOXES

  The tangelo forecast of 1.4 million boxes is 40 percent more than last season's greatly reduced 1.0 million boxes. Although not a record low, last season's production is the lowest in a downward trend dating back to 1979-80. Last season, the average fruit per tree was very low. This season, in spite of the hurricanes, average fruit per tree is 81 percent more than last.

  Bearing tree numbers are down 21 percent from last season. Fruit sizes are smaller then average at this time and are expected to be smaller at harvest. Droppage at harvest is expected to be above average, but may be altered because of weather conditions in the next several months.


Expected gift fruit shipments under the 6-R program, and non-certified usage, 2004-05 season
Type 1,000 boxes
Early and Midseason Oranges 2,000
Valencia Oranges 1,000
White Grapefruit 200
Colored Grapefruit 500
Temples 50
Tangelos 200
Tangerines 300




October Forecast
Florida Agricultural Statistics Service
2


Florida Citrus: Distribution of estimated fruit population in September by areas and age groups 1/
Areas
and
age groups 		Oranges
Early - Midseason Valencia
2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05
  - - Percent - -
Indian River
District		   6 3 10 6
Northern 8 6 2 3
Central 30 27 32 32
Western 35 28 24 21
Southern 21 36 32 38
3 - 5 years 2 4 6 6
6 - 8 years 3 4 5 7
9 - 13 years 23 20 30 26
14 - 23 years 45 54 34 45
24 yrs & over 27 18 25 16
Areas
and
age groups 		Seedless Grapefruit
White Colored
2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05
  - - Percent - -
Indian River
District		 72 34 69 33
Northern 2/ 1 2 5
Central 14 25 12 11
Western 2 3 4 3
Southern 12 37 13 48
3 - 5 years 1 2 1 2
6 - 8 years 6 4 3 4
9 - 13 years 22 20 31 39
14 - 23 years 15 38 33 41
24 yrs & over 56 36 32 14
1/ Distribution of fruit population in September as determined by multiplying average fruit per tree from the Limb Count Survey by bearing age trees.
2/ Less than one percent.

Florida citrus producing areas


Unadjusted Maturity Tests: Average of regular bloom fruit from sample
groves, 2003-04 and 2004-05 seasons
Fruit type
(No. groves)
test date 		Acid Solids
(Brix) 		Ratio Unfinished juice
per box 		Solids
per box
2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05 2003-04 2004-05
  Percent Percent Pounds Pounds
  Juice and solids per box are unadjusted and not comparable to plant test results.
ORANGES:
  Early (120-120)
    Sep 1 1.21 1.62 9.34 9.31 7.85 5.85 42.64 42.42 3.98 3.95
    Oct 1 0.83 1.08 9.68 9.27 11.82 8.73 49.07 48.40 4.75 4.49
  Mid (55-53)
    Sep 1 1.43 1.80 9.35 9.02 6.63 5.11 44.12 42.08 4.13 3.79
    Oct 1 1.06 1.26 9.73 9.01 9.39 7.26 49.26 49.93 4.79 4.50
  Late (150-144)
    Sep 1 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
    Oct 1 2.01 2.43 8.92 8.64 4.47 3.59 46.28 46.50 4.13 4.02
GRAPEFRUIT:
  White Seedless (50-45)
    Sep 1 1.55 1.70 9.53 9.55 6.18 5.62 34.78 32.97 3.31 3.15
    Oct 1 1.39 1.42 9.78 9.24 7.05 6.54 38.74 38.87 3.79 3.59
  Colored Seedless (49-48)
    Sep 1 1.49 1.66 9.81 9.74 6.58 5.87 34.79 33.96 3.42 3.31
    Oct 1 1.33 1.37 10.12 9.45 7.63 6.94 40.26 40.29 4.07 3.81
NOTICE: All samples were run through an FMC 091 machine using mechanical pressure only. This machine utilizes a .040 short strainer and standard 5/8-inch orifice tube. The beam settings are also identical to past tests and no restrictors are used.



October Forecast
Florida Agricultural Statistics Service
3

Unadjusted Maturity Tests: Averages of regular bloom fruit
from sample groves, by types, as of October 1, 1996 through 2004
Fruit
type 		Groves
sampled 		Acid Solids
(Brix) 		Ratio Unfinished
juice per box 		Solids
per box
  Number Percent Percent   Pounds Pounds
ORANGES:
  Early
    1996 120 1.14 9.85 8.84 48.14 4.74
    1997 120 0.99 9.80 10.17 47.27 4.63
    1998 120 1.14 9.38 8.34 47.88 4.49
    1999 120 1.20 9.36 7.94 46.51 4.35
    2000 120 1.10 9.85 9.13 48.63 4.78
    2001 120 0.96 9.81 10.40 48.92 4.80
    2002 120 0.89 9.82 11.41 51.79 5.08
    2003 120 0.83 9.68 11.82 49.07 4.75
    2004 120 1.08 9.27 8.73 48.40 4.49
  Midseason
    1996 55 1.40 9.76 7.07 48.95 4.78
    1997 54 1.14 9.43 8.47 50.05 4.72
    1998 55 1.30 9.14 7.19 48.25 4.41
    1999 55 1.41 9.10 6.57 46.89 4.27
    2000 55 1.22 9.47 7.94 49.78 4.71
    2001 55 1.17 9.56 8.39 49.75 4.76
    2002 55 1.01 9.58 9.68 52.84 5.06
    2003 55 1.06 9.73 9.39 49.26 4.79
    2004 53 1.26 9.01 7.26 49.93 4.50
  Late
    1996 150 2.40 8.93 3.76 46.08 4.11
    1997 150 2.10 8.84 4.30 47.87 4.23
    1998 150 2.44 8.65 3.60 45.68 3.95
    1999 150 2.51 8.55 3.45 43.36 3.71
    2000 150 2.45 8.80 3.65 46.50 4.09
    2001 150 2.19 8.87 4.11 47.72 4.23
    2002 150 2.04 8.70 4.34 48.96 4.26
    2003 150 2.01 8.92 4.47 46.28 4.13
    2004 144 2.43 8.64 3.59 46.50 4.02


MATURITY

  Results of the second maturity tests of the 2004-05 season for all but the late oranges, which were tested for the first time, are to the left. Samples tested are from groves on routes which cover all five major citrus producing areas.

  Sample size for all types have remained constant for the past several seasons. The grapefruit sample size was 100 at the start of this season, which included 50 samples each for the white and colored seedless types. After the hurricanes, only 45 white samples had sufficient fruit remaining to test, however 48 colored grapefruit samples remained for use. All of the 120 early oranges, 53 of the 55 midseason, and 144 of the 150 Valencias were available for testing.

  Samples were collected September 28-29 and tested at the Orlando test laboratory of the Florida Agricultural Statistics Service. Only regular bloom fruit is collected and tested.

  Rainfall through the summer has been excessive in all areas. Lower interior and coastal areas have received more than the upper interior with some recording stations showing two or three times the average for the year.

  In comparison to previous seasons, acid levels are the highest since 2000-01 for the early and late varieties and 1999-00 for the midseason fruit. Brix levels are lower than in recent seasons. Grapefruit acid levels are higher than last season at this time.

  The ratio of solids to acid is low reflecting the high acid levels. Juice levels for early oranges are slightly lower than last season but higher for midseasons and Valencias. Generally, maturity levels are two or three weeks behind last season.

  Some fresh fruit packers opened in late September. Varieties being shipped include early oranges, early tangerines, and grapefruit.


Maturity test averages by areas, October 1, 2004
Fruit type Groves
sampled		 Acid Solids
(Brix)		 Ratio Unfinished
juice per box 		Solids
per box
  Number Percent Percent   Pounds Pounds
ORANGES:
  Early
    Indian River Dist. 9 1.21 9.49 7.95 46.68 4.42
    Other Areas 111 1.07 9.26 8.79 48.54 4.49
  Midseason
    Indian River Dist. 10 1.29 8.68 6.81 49.60 4.30
    Other Areas 43 1.25 9.08 7.36 50.01 4.54
  Late
    Indian River Dist. 23 2.37 8.54 3.67 46.71 4.00
    Other Areas 121 2.45 8.65 3.57 46.47 4.02
GRAPEFRUIT:
  White Seedless
    Indian River Dist. 35 1.43 9.29 6.51 38.96 3.62
    Other Areas 10 1.37 9.07 6.63 38.56 3.50
  Colored Seedless
    Indian River Dist. 38 1.38 9.44 6.89 40.38 3.82
    Other Areas 10 1.34 9.46 7.14 39.91 3.77



October Forecast
Florida Agricultural Statistics Service
4

ALL GRAPEFRUIT 15.0 MILLION BOXES

  The forecast of grapefruit for certified utilization is 15.0 million boxes. This forecast is greatly reduced from previous seasons because of the effects of four hurricanes that hit the State's growing areas in August and September. Only the Southern area was not directly affected with Hendry, Collier, and Lee counties receiving primarily heavy rainfall amounts on several occasions. If realized, this forecast will be 63 percent less than last season's production.


Citrus production: October 1, 2004
forecasts by varieties and states, with comparisons
Crop and State Production Forecast
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05
  - - - 1,000 boxes - - -
Grapefruit:
   FLORIDA-All 46,700 38,700 40,900 15,000
       White 18,900 16,200 15,900 4,000
       Colored 27,800 22,500 25,000 11,000
  Texas 5,900 5,650 5,700 5,900
  Arizona 160 130 140 200
  California 5,900 5,600 5,400 5,200
Total Grapefruit 58,660 50,080 52,140 26,300
Lemons:
  California 18,300 24,000 18,000 19,500
  Arizona 2,800 3,000 3,000 2,400
Total Lemons 21,100 27,000 21,000 21,900
Limes: Florida 150 1/ 1/ 1/
Temples: Florida 1,550 1,300 1,400 800
Tangelos: Florida 2,150 2,350 1,000 1,400
K-Early: Florida 30 1/ 1/ 1/
Tangerines:
   FLORIDA-All 6,600 5,500 6,500 4,700
    Early 2/ 4,350 3,000 3,600 2,500
    Honey 2,250 2,500 2,900 2,200
  California 3/ 2,200 2,800 2,700 2,900
  Arizona 3/ 620 430 690 500
Total Tangerines 9,420 8,730 9,890 8,100
1/ No forecast.
2/ 2001-02 -- Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, and Dancy varieties, Fallglo and Sunburst only beginning in 2002-03.
3/ Includes tangelos.


  The Indian River growing area was greatly affected by Hurricane Frances on September 5th and Hurricane Jeanne on September 29th. Both storms brought high winds and heavy rain which blew fruit off the trees, broke limbs, and split trees. Standing water in groves has caused softening of fruit and continued fruit droppage.


Grapefruit: 2003-04 production and a proration of the
2004-05 forecasts based on fruit populations, by production areas 1/
Production Area 2003-04 2004-05
White Colored White Colored
  - - - 1,000 boxes - - -
Indian River 11,200 16,800 1,400 3,600
Southern 1,400 4,500 1,500 5,300
Other 3,300 3,700 1,100 2,100
1/ The possible differences between growing areas, concerning average fruit size, loss from droppage, and harvest patterns, can alter the prorated estimates.


  This season's bearing tree numbers include trees planted in 2001 and earlier. Attrition rates, calculated using the 2002 and 2004 editions of the Commercial Citrus Inventory, were used as a guide to determine the rate to apply to last season's tree numbers. In addition, further reductions were made for losses from the hurricanes.

Components used in the October forecast
Type Bearing
trees 		Fruit per
tree 		Percent
droppage 		Fruit per
box
  (1,000)  
White Grapefruit 1/ 2,861 109 11 79
Colored Grapefruit 5,366 210 12 88
1/ Seedless variety only.


   White grapefruit bearing tree numbers continue to decline although the number planted in 2001 was higher than in the previous four years. Estimated white seedless tree numbers used in the forecast model declined nine percent from last season to 2.861 million. Average fruit per tree is 109, down 78 percent from last season, due to the hurricanes. Many trees have very small amounts of fruit remaining and harvest of these blocks is in question. Fruit sizes at harvest are estimated near the same as last season, which is above average, but final sizes may be further affected by continuing rainfall and standing water. Droppage is estimated above average for the same reasons.

   Colored grapefruit bearing tree numbers are estimated at 5.366 million, six percent less than last season. Although attrition rates of older trees continue to be high, the number of trees planted in 2001 was higher than in the previous seven years. Average fruit per tree is greatly reduced because of the hurricanes and, at 210 pieces per tree, is 58 percent less than last season. Colored grapefruit was less affected by the storms because of the many younger trees in this category. Average fruit sizes at harvest are estimated larger than last season, but weather conditions later in the season may affect the outcome of this projection. Droppage is estimated above average at 12 percent.


ALL TANGERINES 4.7 MILLION BOXES

  The forecast of all tangerines at 4.7 million boxes is 28 percent less than produced last season (due to the hurricanes) and is the lowest production since the 1995-96 season. The forecast is comprised of the early varieties (Fallglo and Sunburst) at 2.5 million boxes and the Honey variety at 2.2 million.

   Fallglo tangerines, the earliest maturing variety, comprises about 25 percent of the early category forecast. Bearing trees at 317,000 are down 10 percent from last season. Some trees were reported badly broken by the hurricanes. Average fruit per tree is reduced because of the storms, but fruit sizes are above average. Droppage is projected near the average of 14 percent. Limited harvest has started.

   Sunburst tangerines comprise the majority of the early tangerine production. Bearing tree numbers are estimated at 1.277 million, down seven percent from last season. Trees were reported broken because of the storms. Fruit per tree at 503, a relatively high amount, was reduced by the storms. Fruit sizes are projected to be larger than average at harvest. Droppage is projected near average.

  The Honey tangerine forecast of 2.2 million boxes is the smallest crop since the 2.05 million boxes produced in the 2000-01 season. A large portion of these trees are located in the Southern area and were not affected by the storms. Fruit sizes are projected to be slightly larger than average with droppage rates near normal as well.



October Forecast
Florida Agricultural Statistics Service
5

FORECAST PROCEDURES FOR THE 2004-05 SEASON

  All citrus forecasts except seedy grapefruit are based on actual fruit counts and measurements. These objective count methods utilize: (1) the bearing age tree population provided from the latest aerial photography with field verifications, (2) the average fruit per tree obtained from the fruit count survey using randomly selected trees and limbs, and (3) the fruit measurement and fruit drop count surveys to determine fruit sizes and loss from fruit droppage.

  The latest Commercial Citrus Inventory is the base used to determine forecast tree numbers for this season. All trees planted in 2001 and earlier are included. An attrition factor by age and area was applied to these base numbers to account for tree losses since the inventory period. In addition an adjustment factor was applied to areas affected by the hurricanes to account for trees blown over, uprooted, and severely damaged.

  The same unbiased fruit count procedures were used as in all of the past 47 seasons. Following the passage of Hurricane Charley on August 13th and Hurricane Frances on September 5th, recounts were conducted on a sub-sample of trees in the affected areas. Following the passage of Hurricane Jeanne on September 26th, subjective evaluations were conducted in each county affected to account for additional green fruit on the ground. An adjustment factor was then applied by fruit type, county, and age group of trees to reduce the average fruit per tree estimate.

  Fruit size surveys were conducted in August and September. The fruit loss surveys (drop count) were begun in August and modified following the first two hurricanes. These surveys, along with historical records, were used to project the fruit size at harvest and the fruit population that is expected to remain on trees until harvest.

  The chart below describes the relationship of the September 2004 early and midseason orange (excluding Navels) fruit size measurements with those taken in September 2003. The diameter measurements shown are the minimum values of each eighth inch range, except for the smallest values.

chart: early-midseason size frequency
  Size frequency distributions developed from the September size survey are shown in the following table. The distributions are by percent of fruit falling within the size range of each 4/5-bushel container. These frequency distributions relate to fruit from regular bloom and exclude summer bloom in all years.

Florida Citrus: Size frequency distributions
from September measurements
Type of fruit and size
in 4/5-bushel containers 		2002 2003 2004
  - - - Percent - - -
Early and midseason oranges:
  (excluding Navels)
     64 and larger 1.1 0.6 0.2
     80 6.8 4.8 1.3
    100 26.4 20.0 8.2
    125 37.1 36.0 27.9
    163 and smaller 28.6 38.6 62.4
Navel oranges:
     64 and larger 31.4 44.3 19.7
     80 37.9 35.3 34.6
    100 22.7 15.2 31.5
    125 6.8 4.3 11.4
    163 and smaller 1.2 0.9 2.8
Valencia oranges:
     64 and larger 1.2 0.4 0.0
     80 8.5 5.3 0.6
    100 31.5 24.5 7.9
    125 35.4 37.2 28.9
    163 and smaller 23.4 32.6 62.6
White seedless grapefruit:
     32 and larger 10.0 7.9 3.1
     36 15.0 9.8 8.1
     40 22.6 16.8 14.0
     48 20.4 21.7 19.1
     56 12.8 13.2 16.9
     63 and smaller 19.2 30.6 38.8
Colored seedless grapefruit:
     32 and larger 8.2 4.0 0.9
     36 12.5 7.6 5.6
     40 20.2 11.6 11.2
     48 20.3 20.8 18.5
     56 12.9 18.4 17.2
     63 and smaller 25.9 37.6 46.6
Fallglo tangerines:
     80 and larger 41.1 24.5 19.0
    100 25.6 41.4 54.0
    120 17.2 12.7 22.0
    176 7.2 6.8 3.0
    210 and smaller 8.9 14.6 2.0
Sunburst tangerines:
    100 and larger 15.0 4.5 2.9
    120 25.3 12.2 9.8
    176 19.7 15.5 9.8
    210 and smaller 40.0 67.8 77.5
Tangelos:
     80 and larger 8.5 9.2 0.6
    100 23.8 25.0 4.0
    120 31.9 25.0 17.5
    156 and smaller 35.8 40.8 77.9



October Forecast
Florida Agricultural Statistics Service
6

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