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CROPS

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230

Released: June 10, 2004
Volume 04, No. 6

Text Box

INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE

WHEAT
PRODUCTION


WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 5 PERCENT
FROM MAY FORECAST

The 2004 Kansas wheat crop is forecast at 351.0 million bushels as of June 1. The current estimate is down 5 percent from the May 1 estimate and 27 percent below the 2003 crop. The current crop is projected to be harvested from 9.0 million acres, down 1.0 million acres from a year ago. Yield per harvested acre is expected to average 39.0 bushels, down 2.0 bushels from the May forecast and 9.0 bushels below the 2003 final yield. As of May 30th, wheat condition was rated 2 percent excellent, 21 percent good, 24 percent fair, 27 percent poor, and 26 percent very poor.

Crop progress was about a week ahead of the 5-year average during May, and by May 30th, wheat turning, at 53 percent, was ahead of the 5-year average of 31 percent. Disease presence as of the end of May was 63 percent, compared to 58 percent disease presence at the same time last year.

The State has experienced temperatures below freezing, scattered storms with hail followed by hot, dry conditions during May. Topsoil moisture was rated 13 percent very short, 32 percent short, 48 percent adequate, and 7 percent surplus. Last year, topsoil moisture was 3 percent very short, 14 percent short, 79 percent adequate, and 4 percent surplus.

KANSAS WHEAT PRODUCTION, JUNE 1, 2004
District Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Per Acre Production
2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr 		2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr
WINTER WHEAT - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
Northwest 1,200 1,110 1,160 720 62 40 20 46,010 14,700 32
West Central 1,300 1,170 1,245 1,020 82 42 23 51,690 23,400 45
Southwest 1,780 1,600 1,665 1,455 87 38 36 64,025 52,500 82
North Central 1,325 1,160 1,290 1,140 88 59 43 75,920 49,400 65
Central 1,500 1,530 1,465 1,470 100 57 44 82,780 65,400 79
South Central 2,245 2,220 2,160 2,120 98 49 44 105,815 93,400 88
Northeast 215 210 210 205 98 64 53 13,455 10,900 81
East Central 260 290 255 285 112 56 49 14,345 14,000 98
Southeast 575 610 550 585 106 47 47 25,960 27,300 105
    State 10,400 9,900 10,000 9,000 90 48 39 480,000 351,000 73

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 1 PERCENT

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.53 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the May 1 forecast and 10 percent below 2003. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.6 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushel from the previous forecast. Grain area totals 35.1 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is down 3 percent from a month ago to 887 million bushels. Soft Red is down less than 1 percent from last month, and now totals 397 million bushels. White production totals 247 million bushels, up 2 percent from last month. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six Hard Red Winter states (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year's final counts. Indicated average head weights are also below last year's level in Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska.

Harvest was in full swing in both Texas and Oklahoma, with progress in Oklahoma running well ahead of the 5-year average. In Kansas and Nebraska, yield prospects have been dampened by continued dry weather, as well as extreme temperatures - both high and low.


WINTER WHEAT, KANSAS AND SELECTED STATES, JUNE 1, 2004
State Acreage Yield Per Acre Production
Harvested
2003 		For Harvest
2004 		% of
Prev. Yr. 		2003 2004 2003 2004 % of
Prev. Yr.
1,000 Acres Percent Bushels 1,000 Bushels Percent
KANSAS 10,000 9,000 90 48.0 39.0 480,000 351,000 73
Oklahoma 4,600 4,300 93 39.0 36.0 179,400 159,100 89
Texas 3,450 3,600 104 28.0 33.0 96,600 118,800 123
Washington 1,800 1,700 94 65.0 64.0 117,000 108,800 93
Nebraska 1,820 1,850 102 46.0 35.0 83,720 64,750 77
Ohio 1,000 880 88 68.0 67.0 68,000 58,960 87
Illinois 810 970 120 65.0 58.0 52,650 56,260 107
Idaho 720 680 94 80.0 81.0 57,600 55,080 96
Montana 1,720 1,600 93 37.0 34.0 63,640 54,400 85
Colorado 2,200 1,800 82 35.0 30.0 77,000 54,000 70
United States 36,541 35,082 96 46.7 43.6 1,707,069 1,530,742 90
1/ Selected states based on top 10 states according to production of winter wheat.


Dave Ranek, Quentin Wearne, & Akilah Nicks, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director

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