CROPS


KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230


Released: November 12, 2004

Volume 04, No. 11

INCLUDED

IN THIS

ISSUE

 

CROP

PRODUCTION



Kansas Corn & Sorghum Crop Forecasts Increase


Kansas corn production is forecast at 415.3 million bushels, up 2 percent from the previous forecast and 38 percent above last year’s crop. Yields are expected to average 151 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from the previous forecast and 31 bushels above last year’s yield. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.75 million, is unchanged from the previous forecast but up 250,000 acres from 2003.


Sorghum grain production is expected to total 223.3 million bushels, up 3 percent from the October forecast and up 71 percent from last year. Yields are forecast to average 77 bushels per acre, up 2 bushels from October 1 and 32 bushels above last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.90 million, unchanged from the previous forecast and the same as 2003.


The soybean crop is expected to total 110.7 million bushels, unchanged from October 1 but 94 percent larger than last year’s crop. Yields are expected to average 41 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but 18 bushels better than last year’s yield. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.70 million, unchanged from the previous month but 220,000 acres more than 2003.



Kansas Crop Production, November 1, 2004

Crop & Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

 

1,000 Acres

Units

(000's)

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

10,500

10,000

10,000

8,500

48

37

480,000

314,500

Oats, bu. 3/

140

120

70

40

65

43

4,550

1,720

Barley, bu. 3/

9

15

8

12

57

28

456

336

Corn Grain, bu.

2,900

3,100

2,500

2,750

120

151

300,000

415,250

Sorghum Grain, bu.

3,550

3,200

2,900

2,900

45

77

130,500

223,300

Soybeans, bu.

2,600

2,800

2,480

2,700

23

41

57,040

110,700

All Sunflowers, lbs 3/ 4/

193

170

176

158

1,165

1,530

205,000

241,740

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/

12.0

9.0

11.0

8.5

2,100

1,800

231

153

All Hay, tons 3/

-

-

3,250

3,100

2.15

2.90

7,000

8,980

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

1,000

900

3.40

4.60

3,400

4,140

Other Hay, tons

-

-

2,250

2,200

1.60

2.20

3,600

4,840

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.



U.S. Corn Production Up Slightly from October


Corn for grain production is forecast at 11.7 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and 16 percent above 2003. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 160.2 bushels per acre, up 1.8 bushels from October and up 18.0 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 73.3 million acres, unchanged from October but up 3 percent from 2003. The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate ear counts per acre for the combined ten objective yield states (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin) are at a record high, 3 percent above the previous high in 2003.


Sorghum grain production is forecast at 472 million bushels, up 2 percent from last month  and up 15 percent from last year. Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield is forecast at 71.9 bushels per acre, up 1.5 bushels from October and up 19.2 bushels from last year. The forecast area to be harvested for grain is 6.56 million acres, unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last year.


Soybean production is forecast at 3.15 billion bushels, up 1 percent from October and 28 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be the largest U.S. soybean crop on record. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 42.6 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month and 8.7 bushels above last year. Growers expect to harvest 74.0 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the October forecast but up 2 percent from 2003.



United States Crop Production, November 1, 2004

Crop & Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

 

1,000 Acres

Units

(000's)

All Wheat, bu. 3/

62,141

59,674

53,063

49,999

44.2

43.2

2,344,760

2,158,245

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

45,384

43,350

36,753

34,462

46.7

43.5

1,716,721

1,499,434

Oats, bu. 3/

4,597

4,085

2,220

1,792

65.0

64.7

144,383

115,935

Barley, bu. 3/

5,348

4,527

4,727

4,021

58.9

69.4

278,283

279,253

Rye, bu. 3/

1,348

1,380

319

320

27.1

26.9

8,634

8,615

Corn Grain, bu.

78,736

80,968

71,139

73,311

142.2

160.2

10,113,887

11,740,920

Sorghum Grain, bu.

9,420

7,528

7,798

6,559

52.7

71.9

411,237

471,572

Soybeans, bu.

73,404

75,065

72,476

73,990

33.9

42.6

2,453,665

3,150,441

All Sunflowers, lbs. 3/ 4/

2,344

1,864

2,197

1,780

1,213

1,346

2,665,226

2,395,199

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/

1,406.1

1,373.4

1,346.9

1,250.1

1,672

1,495

22,515

18,693

All Cotton, 480 lb. Bales 3/ 4/

13,479.6

13,763.0

12,003.4

13,223.0

730

818

18,255.2

22,545.0

All Hay, tons 3/

-

-

63,342

61,589

2.48

2.69

157,123

165,920

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

23,578

22,226

3.24

3.48

76,307

77,371

Other Hay, tons

-

-

39,764

39,363

2.03

2.25

80,816

88,549

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds.



Kansas Crop Production Forecast, November 1, 2004, by Districts

Crop And District

Acres Planted,

All Purposes

Acres Harvested

for Grain

Yield

per Acre 1/

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

% Prev.

Year

2003

2004

2003

2004

% Prev.

Year

 

------------ 1,000 Acres ------------

 

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

 

CORN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

435

535

303

440

145

121

129

36,595

56,600

155

West Central

183

230

130

190

146

114

121

14,815

23,050

156

Southwest

670

720

616

655

106

174

193

107,340

126,300

118

North Central

161

160

122

135

111

102

132

12,395

17,800

144

Central

109

100

83

85

102

121

156

10,040

13,300

132

South Central

350

335

324

305

94

157

169

50,770

51,500

101

Northeast

472

480

428

440

103

70

144

29,880

63,400

212

East Central

271

265

252

245

97

70

128

17,720

31,400

177

Southeast

249

275

242

255

105

84

125

20,445

31,900

156

State

2,900

3,100

2,500

2,750

110

120

151

300,000

415,250

138

SOYBEANS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

56

102

51

97

190

42

44

2,134

4,250

199

West Central

18

34

17

33

194

37

40

635

1,330

209

Southwest

73

115

71

112

158

52

59

3,682

6,640

180

North Central

243

321

226

308

136

21

34

4,783

10,520

220

Central

173

198

159

191

120

21

41

3,405

7,880

231

South Central

225

294

218

282

129

36

49

7,895

13,890

176

Northeast

607

595

582

573

98

23

44

13,102

25,030

191

East Central

615

567

582

548

94

18

41

10,236

22,620

221

Southeast

590

574

574

556

97

19

33

11,168

18,540

166

State

2,600

2,800

2,480

2,700

109

23

41

57,040

110,700

194

1/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels.



Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director