CROPS
KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230
Released: October 12, 2004
Volume 04, No. 10
INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE
CROP
PRODUCTION
GRAIN
STOCKS
Soybean and Sorghum Production Forecasts Raised
Kansas corn production is expected to total 407.0 million bushels, 3 percent below the previous forecast but 36 percent above last year’s crop. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.75 million acres, is down 150,000 acres fom the previous forecast but up 10 percent from 2003. Corn yields are expected to average 148 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from September 1 and 28 bushels above the previous year.
Sorghum grain production is forecast at 217.5 million bushels, up 67 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 75 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but up 30 bushels from last year’s yield. Acreage for harvest as grain is 2.90 million acres, up 100,000 acres from September 1 but unchanged from 2003.
Soybean production in Kansas is expected to total 110.7 million bushels, up 17 percent from September 1 and 94 percent above last year’s crop, a record high for Kansas. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.70 million acres, up 150,000 acres from September 1 and up 9 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 41 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from September 1 and 18 bushels above 2003. If realized, this would be a record high yield.
Kansas sunflower production is forecast at 241.7 million pounds, up 18 percent from last year. Harvested acreage, at 158,000, is down 18,000 acres from last year. The yield is expected to average 1,530 pounds per acre, up 365 pounds from last year and a record high yield.
All hay production is estimated to total 8.98 million tons, up 28 percent from 2003. Kansas acreage harvested is 3.1 million acres, down 150,000 acres from last year.
Kansas wheat production for 2004 is estimated at 314.5 million bushels, down 34 percent from 2003. Yield is estimated at 37.0 bushels per acre, 11 bushels below the 2003 yield. Acres harvested for grain totaled 8.5 million acres, down 1.5 million from the 2003 harvest. A total of 10.0 million acres were planted to wheat for harvest in 2004, down 500,000 acres from the previous year.
Estimates of Kansas corn and soybean production by district are shown on the following page. Wheat county and district data are not included in this report but will be released in late 2004.
Kansas Crop Production, October 1, 2004 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre 2/ |
Production |
||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ |
10,500 |
10,000 |
10,000 |
8,500 |
48 |
37 |
480,000 |
314,500 |
Oats, bu. 3/ |
140 |
120 |
70 |
40 |
65 |
43 |
4,550 |
1,720 |
Barley, bu. 3/ |
9 |
15 |
8 |
12 |
57 |
28 |
456 |
336 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
2,900 |
3,100 |
2,500 |
2,750 |
120 |
148 |
300,000 |
407,000 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
3,550 |
3,200 |
2,900 |
2,900 |
45 |
75 |
130,500 |
217,500 |
Soybeans, bu. |
2,600 |
2,800 |
2,480 |
2,700 |
23 |
41 |
57,040 |
110,700 |
All Sunflowers, lbs |
193 |
170 |
176 |
158 |
1,165 |
1,530 |
205,000 |
241,740 |
Oil, lbs |
170 |
150 |
155 |
140 |
1,160 |
4/ |
179,800 |
4/ |
Non-Oil, lbs |
23 |
20 |
21 |
18 |
1,200 |
4/ |
25,200 |
4/ |
Dry Beans, cwt. 5/ |
12.0 |
9.0 |
11.0 |
8.5 |
2,100 |
1,800 |
231 |
153 |
All Hay, tons |
- |
- |
3,250 |
3,100 |
2.15 |
2.90 |
7,000 |
8,980 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons |
- |
- |
1,000 |
900 |
3.40 |
4.60 |
3,400 |
4,140 |
Other Hay, tons |
- |
- |
2,250 |
2,200 |
1.60 |
2.20 |
3,600 |
4,840 |
Pecans, lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2,000 |
2,500 |
Apples, lbs. 3/ |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
3,400 |
4,800 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ 2004 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the “Crop Production 2004 Summary” in January 2005. 5/ Yield in pounds.
Kansas Crop Production Forecast, October 1, 2004, by Districts |
||||||||||
Crop And District |
Acres Planted, All Purposes |
Acres Harvested for Grain |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
% Prev. Year |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
% Prev. Year |
|
|
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ |
|
Bushels |
1,000 Bushels |
|
|||||
CORN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
435 |
535 |
303 |
440 |
145 |
121 |
128 |
36,595 |
56,200 |
154 |
West Central |
183 |
230 |
130 |
190 |
146 |
114 |
125 |
14,815 |
23,700 |
160 |
Southwest |
670 |
720 |
616 |
655 |
106 |
174 |
191 |
107,340 |
124,800 |
116 |
North Central |
161 |
160 |
122 |
135 |
111 |
102 |
124 |
12,395 |
16,700 |
135 |
Central |
109 |
100 |
83 |
85 |
102 |
121 |
152 |
10,040 |
12,900 |
128 |
South Central |
350 |
335 |
324 |
305 |
94 |
157 |
164 |
50,770 |
49,900 |
98 |
Northeast |
472 |
480 |
428 |
440 |
103 |
70 |
138 |
29,880 |
60,500 |
202 |
East Central |
271 |
265 |
252 |
245 |
97 |
70 |
128 |
17,720 |
31,300 |
177 |
Southeast |
249 |
275 |
242 |
255 |
105 |
84 |
122 |
20,445 |
31,000 |
152 |
State |
2,900 |
3,100 |
2,500 |
2,750 |
110 |
120 |
148 |
300,000 |
407,000 |
136 |
SOYBEANS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
56 |
102 |
51 |
97 |
190 |
42 |
44 |
2,134 |
4,250 |
199 |
West Central |
18 |
34 |
17 |
33 |
194 |
37 |
40 |
635 |
1,330 |
209 |
Southwest |
73 |
115 |
71 |
112 |
158 |
52 |
59 |
3,682 |
6,640 |
180 |
North Central |
243 |
321 |
226 |
308 |
136 |
21 |
34 |
4,783 |
10,520 |
220 |
Central |
173 |
198 |
159 |
191 |
120 |
21 |
41 |
3,405 |
7,880 |
231 |
South Central |
225 |
294 |
218 |
282 |
129 |
36 |
49 |
7,895 |
13,890 |
176 |
Northeast |
607 |
595 |
582 |
573 |
98 |
23 |
44 |
13,102 |
25,030 |
191 |
East Central |
615 |
567 |
582 |
548 |
94 |
18 |
41 |
10,236 |
22,620 |
221 |
Southeast |
590 |
574 |
574 |
556 |
97 |
19 |
33 |
11,168 |
18,540 |
166 |
State |
2,600 |
2,800 |
2,480 |
2,700 |
109 |
23 |
41 |
57,040 |
110,700 |
194 |
U.S. Crop Production
Corn grain production is forecast at 11.6 billion bushels, up 6 percent from last month and 15 percent above 2003. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 158.4 bushels per acre, up 9.0 bushels from September and up 16.2 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. Both records were set in 2003 when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and the yield was 142.2 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 73.3 million acres, down 66,000 acres from September but up 3 percent from 2003.
Sorghum grain production is forecast at 462 million bushels, down 2 percent from September but up 12 percent from 2003. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 6.56 million acres, is down 5 percent from last month and 16 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 70.4 bushels per acre, up 2.1 bushels from September and up 17.7 bushels from last year.
Soybean production is forecast at 3.11 billion bushels, up 10 percent from the September forecast and 27 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be the largest soybean crop on record. Based on conditions as of October 1, yield is expected to average a record high 42.0 bushels per acre, up 3.5 bushels from September. Area planted now is estimated at 75.1 million acres, up 256,000 acres from the August estimate. Area for harvest is forecast at 74.0 million acres, up 335,000 from September.
United States Crop Production, October 1, 2004 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
All Wheat, bu. |
62,141 |
59,674 |
53,063 |
50,204 |
44.2 |
43.1 |
2,344,760 |
2,163,520 |
Winter Wheat, bu. |
45,384 |
43,350 |
36,753 |
34,462 |
46.7 |
43.5 |
1,716,721 |
1,499,434 |
Oats, bu. |
4,597 |
4,085 |
2,220 |
1,807 |
65.0 |
64.5 |
144,383 |
116,505 |
Barley, bu. |
5,348 |
4,527 |
4,727 |
4,031 |
58.9 |
69.5 |
278,283 |
280,103 |
Rye, bu. |
1,348 |
1,380 |
319 |
320 |
27.1 |
26.9 |
8,634 |
8,615 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
78,736 |
80,968 |
71,139 |
73,311 |
142.2 |
158.4 |
10,113,887 |
11,613,226 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
9,420 |
7,528 |
7,798 |
6,559 |
52.7 |
70.4 |
411,237 |
461,857 |
Soybeans, bu. |
73,404 |
75,065 |
72,476 |
73,990 |
33.9 |
42.0 |
2,453,665 |
3,106,861 |
All Sunflowers, lbs. |
2,344 |
1,864 |
2,197 |
1,780 |
1,213 |
1,346 |
2,665,226 |
2,395,199 |
Oil, lbs. |
1,998 |
1,520 |
1,874 |
1,456 |
1,206 |
2/ |
2,259,666 |
2/ |
Non-Oil, lbs. |
346 |
344 |
323 |
324 |
1,256 |
2/ |
405,560 |
2/ |
Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ |
1,406.1 |
1,373.4 |
1,346.9 |
1,250.1 |
1,672 |
1,495 |
22,515 |
18,693 |
All Cotton, bales |
13,479.6 |
13,763.0 |
12,003.4 |
13,223.0 |
730 |
782 |
18,255.2 |
21,545.0 |
All Hay, tons |
- |
- |
63,342 |
61,589 |
2.48 |
2.69 |
157,123 |
165,920 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons |
- |
- |
23,578 |
22,226 |
3.24 |
3.48 |
76,307 |
77,371 |
Other Hay, tons |
- |
- |
39,764 |
39,363 |
2.03 |
2.25 |
80,816 |
88,549 |
Pecans, lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
282,100 |
189,300 |
Apples, lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
8,613.3 |
9,458.9 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ 2004 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the “Crop Production 2004 Summary” in January 2005. 3/ Yield in pounds.
Kansas Grain Stocks
Kansas wheat stocks in all positions on September 1 totaled 273.4 million bushels, 27 percent less than last year's total. Wheat stored in off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 239.4 million bushels, a decrease of 28 percent from a year ago. Wheat stored off the farm accounted for 88 percent of all wheat stocks. Wheat in farm storage totaled 34.0 million bushels, down 21 percent from last September.
Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 13.9 million bushels, down from 23.7 million bushels last year. Off-farm holdings of 12.1 million bushels were down from 21.0 million bushels last year. Sorghum grain stored off the farm accounted for 87 percent of the total sorghum stocks. On-farm stocks of 1.8 million bushels were down 900,000 bushels from a year ago.
Corn stocks in all locations, at 27.0 million bushels, were
down 35 percent from a year ago. Off-farm corn stocks of 16.5 million bushels were down from 25.5 million bushels last year and accounted for 61 percent of total corn stocks. On-farm stocks of 10.5 million bushels were 34 percent below last September.
Kansas soybeans stored in all positions totaled 2.7 million bushels, down 1.0 million bushels from last year. Off-farm locations held 2.4 million bushels, down 132,000 bushels from last year, and accounted for 89 percent of total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks of 300,000 bushels are 900,000 bushels below last year.
Oats stored at off-farm locations totaled 729,000 bushels, down 46 percent from September 2004.
Barley stored at off-farm locations totaled 51,000 bushels, compared with 73,000 a year earlier.
Stocks of Grain , September 1, 2004, with Comparisons |
|||||||
Grain |
Position |
Kansas |
United States |
||||
Sept. 1, 2003 |
June 1, 2004 |
Sept. 1, 2004 |
Sept. 1, 2003 |
June 1, 2004 |
Sept. 1, 2004 |
||
|
|
1,000 Bushels |
|||||
All Wheat |
On Farms |
43,000 |
6,000 |
34,000 |
687,320 |
131,880 |
795,600 |
Off Farms 1/ |
330,836 |
70,622 |
239,426 |
1,351,652 |
414,939 |
1,146,115 |
|
TOTAL |
373,836 |
76,622 |
273,426 |
2,038,972 |
546,819 |
1,941,715 |
|
Sorghum Grain |
On Farms |
2,700 |
3,900 |
1,800 |
4,500 |
7,650 |
3,700 |
Off Farms 1/ |
21,007 |
33,400 |
12,145 |
38,530 |
72,944 |
29,855 |
|
TOTAL |
23,707 |
37,300 |
13,945 |
43,030 |
80,594 |
33,555 |
|
Corn |
On Farms |
16,000 |
26,000 |
10,500 |
484,900 |
1,540,000 |
438,000 |
Off Farms 1/ |
25,525 |
50,501 |
16,538 |
601,773 |
1,430,140 |
519,672 |
|
TOTAL |
41,525 |
76,501 |
27,038 |
1,086,673 |
2,970,140 |
957,672 |
|
Oats |
On Farms |
* |
* |
* |
82,100 |
27,500 |
74,800 |
Off Farms 1/ |
1,355 |
519 |
729 |
49,637 |
37,348 |
41,454 |
|
TOTAL |
* |
* |
* |
131,737 |
64,848 |
116,254 |
|
Barley |
On Farms |
* |
* |
* |
141,900 |
28,320 |
176,500 |
Off Farms 1/ |
73 |
26 |
51 |
99,730 |
91,989 |
115,305 |
|
TOTAL |
* |
* |
* |
241,630 |
120,309 |
291,805 |
|
Soybeans |
On Farms |
1,200 |
1,900 |
300 |
58,000 |
110,000 |
29,400 |
Off Farms 1/ |
2,515 |
10,649 |
2,383 |
120,329 |
300,604 |
83,089 |
|
TOTAL |
3,715 |
12,549 |
2,683 |
178,329 |
410,604 |
112,489 |
|
1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors. * Not published to avoid disclosure. |
|||||||
Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director