CROPS


KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230


Released: October 12, 2004

Volume 04, No. 10



INCLUDED

IN THIS

ISSUE


CROP

PRODUCTION


GRAIN

STOCKS


Soybean and Sorghum Production Forecasts Raised


Kansas corn production is expected to total 407.0 million bushels, 3 percent below the previous forecast but 36 percent above last year’s crop. Acreage harvested for grain, at 2.75 million acres, is down 150,000 acres fom the previous forecast but up 10 percent from 2003. Corn yields are expected to average 148 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from September 1 and 28 bushels above the previous year.


Sorghum grain production is forecast at 217.5 million bushels, up 67 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 75 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but up 30 bushels from last year’s yield. Acreage for harvest as grain is 2.90 million acres, up 100,000 acres from September 1 but unchanged from 2003.


Soybean production in Kansas is expected to total 110.7 million bushels, up 17 percent from September 1 and 94 percent above last year’s crop, a record high for Kansas. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.70 million acres, up 150,000 acres from September 1 and up 9 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 41 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from September 1 and 18 bushels above 2003. If realized, this would be a record high yield.


Kansas sunflower production is forecast at 241.7 million pounds, up 18 percent from last year. Harvested acreage, at 158,000, is down 18,000 acres from last year. The yield is expected to average 1,530 pounds per acre, up 365 pounds from last year and a record high yield.


All hay production is estimated to total 8.98 million tons, up 28 percent from 2003. Kansas acreage harvested is 3.1 million acres, down 150,000 acres from last year.


Kansas wheat production for 2004 is estimated at 314.5 million bushels, down 34 percent from 2003. Yield is estimated at 37.0 bushels per acre, 11 bushels below the 2003 yield. Acres harvested for grain totaled 8.5 million acres, down 1.5 million from the 2003 harvest. A total of 10.0 million acres were planted to wheat for harvest in 2004, down 500,000 acres from the previous year.


Estimates of Kansas corn and soybean production by district are shown on the following page. Wheat county and district data are not included in this report but will be released in late 2004.



Kansas Crop Production, October 1, 2004

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000's)

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

10,500

10,000

10,000

8,500

48

37

480,000

314,500

Oats, bu. 3/

140

120

70

40

65

43

4,550

1,720

Barley, bu. 3/

9

15

8

12

57

28

456

336

Corn Grain, bu.

2,900

3,100

2,500

2,750

120

148

300,000

407,000

Sorghum Grain, bu.

3,550

3,200

2,900

2,900

45

75

130,500

217,500

Soybeans, bu.

2,600

2,800

2,480

2,700

23

41

57,040

110,700

All Sunflowers, lbs

193

170

176

158

1,165

1,530

205,000

241,740

Oil, lbs

170

150

155

140

1,160

4/

179,800

4/

Non-Oil, lbs

23

20

21

18

1,200

4/

25,200

4/

Dry Beans, cwt. 5/

12.0

9.0

11.0

8.5

2,100

1,800

231

153

All Hay, tons

-

-

3,250

3,100

2.15

2.90

7,000

8,980

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

1,000

900

3.40

4.60

3,400

4,140

Other Hay, tons

-

-

2,250

2,200

1.60

2.20

3,600

4,840

Pecans, lbs.

-

-

-

-

-

-

2,000

2,500

Apples, lbs. 3/

-

-

-

-

-

-

3,400

4,800

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ 2004 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the “Crop Production 2004 Summary” in January 2005. 5/ Yield in pounds.



Kansas Crop Production Forecast, October 1, 2004, by Districts

Crop And District

Acres Planted,

All Purposes

Acres Harvested

for Grain

Yield

per Acre

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

% Prev.

Year

2003

2004

2003

2004

% Prev.

Year

 

------------ 1,000 Acres ------------

 

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

 

CORN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

435

535

303

440

145

121

128

36,595

56,200

154

West Central

183

230

130

190

146

114

125

14,815

23,700

160

Southwest

670

720

616

655

106

174

191

107,340

124,800

116

North Central

161

160

122

135

111

102

124

12,395

16,700

135

Central

109

100

83

85

102

121

152

10,040

12,900

128

South Central

350

335

324

305

94

157

164

50,770

49,900

98

Northeast

472

480

428

440

103

70

138

29,880

60,500

202

East Central

271

265

252

245

97

70

128

17,720

31,300

177

Southeast

249

275

242

255

105

84

122

20,445

31,000

152

State

2,900

3,100

2,500

2,750

110

120

148

300,000

407,000

136

SOYBEANS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

56

102

51

97

190

42

44

2,134

4,250

199

West Central

18

34

17

33

194

37

40

635

1,330

209

Southwest

73

115

71

112

158

52

59

3,682

6,640

180

North Central

243

321

226

308

136

21

34

4,783

10,520

220

Central

173

198

159

191

120

21

41

3,405

7,880

231

South Central

225

294

218

282

129

36

49

7,895

13,890

176

Northeast

607

595

582

573

98

23

44

13,102

25,030

191

East Central

615

567

582

548

94

18

41

10,236

22,620

221

Southeast

590

574

574

556

97

19

33

11,168

18,540

166

State

2,600

2,800

2,480

2,700

109

23

41

57,040

110,700

194



U.S. Crop Production


Corn grain production is forecast at 11.6 billion bushels, up 6 percent from last month and 15 percent above 2003. Based on conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 158.4 bushels per acre, up 9.0 bushels from September and up 16.2 bushels from last year. If realized, both production and yield would be the largest on record. Both records were set in 2003 when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and the yield was 142.2 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 73.3 million acres, down 66,000 acres from September but up 3 percent from 2003.


Sorghum grain production is forecast at 462 million bushels, down 2 percent from September but up 12 percent from 2003. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 6.56 million acres, is down 5 percent from last month and 16 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 70.4 bushels per acre, up 2.1 bushels from September and up 17.7 bushels from last year.


Soybean production is forecast at 3.11 billion bushels, up 10 percent from the September forecast and 27 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be the largest soybean crop on record. Based on conditions as of October 1, yield is expected to average a record high 42.0 bushels per acre, up 3.5 bushels from September. Area planted now is estimated at 75.1 million acres, up 256,000 acres from the August estimate. Area for harvest is forecast at 74.0 million acres, up 335,000 from September.



United States Crop Production, October 1, 2004

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre

Production

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

2003

2004

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000's)

All Wheat, bu.

62,141

59,674

53,063

50,204

44.2

43.1

2,344,760

2,163,520

Winter Wheat, bu.

45,384

43,350

36,753

34,462

46.7

43.5

1,716,721

1,499,434

Oats, bu.

4,597

4,085

2,220

1,807

65.0

64.5

144,383

116,505

Barley, bu.

5,348

4,527

4,727

4,031

58.9

69.5

278,283

280,103

Rye, bu.

1,348

1,380

319

320

27.1

26.9

8,634

8,615

Corn Grain, bu.

78,736

80,968

71,139

73,311

142.2

158.4

10,113,887

11,613,226

Sorghum Grain, bu.

9,420

7,528

7,798

6,559

52.7

70.4

411,237

461,857

Soybeans, bu.

73,404

75,065

72,476

73,990

33.9

42.0

2,453,665

3,106,861

All Sunflowers, lbs.

2,344

1,864

2,197

1,780

1,213

1,346

2,665,226

2,395,199

Oil, lbs.

1,998

1,520

1,874

1,456

1,206

2/

2,259,666

2/

Non-Oil, lbs.

346

344

323

324

1,256

2/

405,560

2/

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/

1,406.1

1,373.4

1,346.9

1,250.1

1,672

1,495

22,515

18,693

All Cotton, bales

13,479.6

13,763.0

12,003.4

13,223.0

730

782

18,255.2

21,545.0

All Hay, tons

-

-

63,342

61,589

2.48

2.69

157,123

165,920

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

23,578

22,226

3.24

3.48

76,307

77,371

Other Hay, tons

-

-

39,764

39,363

2.03

2.25

80,816

88,549

Pecans, lbs.

-

-

-

-

-

-

282,100

189,300

Apples, lbs.

-

-

-

-

-

-

8,613.3

9,458.9

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ 2004 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the “Crop Production 2004 Summary” in January 2005. 3/ Yield in pounds.



Kansas Grain Stocks


Kansas wheat stocks in all positions on September 1 totaled 273.4 million bushels, 27 percent less than last year's total. Wheat stored in off-farm locations (mills, elevators, warehouses, and processors) totaled 239.4 million bushels, a decrease of 28 percent from a year ago. Wheat stored off the farm accounted for 88 percent of all wheat stocks. Wheat in farm storage totaled 34.0 million bushels, down 21 percent from last September.


Sorghum grain in all positions totaled 13.9 million bushels, down from 23.7 million bushels last year. Off-farm holdings of 12.1 million bushels were down from 21.0 million bushels last year. Sorghum grain stored off the farm accounted for 87 percent of the total sorghum stocks. On-farm stocks of 1.8 million bushels were down 900,000 bushels from a year ago.


Corn stocks in all locations, at 27.0 million bushels, were

down 35 percent from a year ago. Off-farm corn stocks of 16.5 million bushels were down from 25.5 million bushels last year and accounted for 61 percent of total corn stocks. On-farm stocks of 10.5 million bushels were 34 percent below last September.


Kansas soybeans stored in all positions totaled 2.7 million bushels, down 1.0 million bushels from last year. Off-farm locations held 2.4 million bushels, down 132,000 bushels from last year, and accounted for 89 percent of total soybean stocks. On-farm stocks of 300,000 bushels are 900,000 bushels below last year.


Oats stored at off-farm locations totaled 729,000 bushels, down 46 percent from September 2004.


Barley stored at off-farm locations totaled 51,000 bushels, compared with 73,000 a year earlier.



Stocks of Grain , September 1, 2004, with Comparisons

Grain

Position

Kansas

United States

Sept. 1,

2003

June 1,

2004

Sept. 1,

2004

Sept. 1,

2003

June 1,

2004

Sept. 1,

2004

 

 

1,000 Bushels

All Wheat

On Farms

43,000

6,000

34,000

687,320

131,880

795,600

Off Farms 1/

330,836

70,622

239,426

1,351,652

414,939

1,146,115

TOTAL

373,836

76,622

273,426

2,038,972

546,819

1,941,715

Sorghum Grain

On Farms

2,700

3,900

1,800

4,500

7,650

3,700

Off Farms 1/

21,007

33,400

12,145

38,530

72,944

29,855

TOTAL

23,707

37,300

13,945

43,030

80,594

33,555

Corn

On Farms

16,000

26,000

10,500

484,900

1,540,000

438,000

Off Farms 1/

25,525

50,501

16,538

601,773

1,430,140

519,672

TOTAL

41,525

76,501

27,038

1,086,673

2,970,140

957,672

Oats

On Farms

*

*

*

82,100

27,500

74,800

Off Farms 1/

1,355

519

729

49,637

37,348

41,454

TOTAL

*

*

*

131,737

64,848

116,254

Barley

On Farms

*

*

*

141,900

28,320

176,500

Off Farms 1/

73

26

51

99,730

91,989

115,305

TOTAL

*

*

*

241,630

120,309

291,805

Soybeans

On Farms

1,200

1,900

300

58,000

110,000

29,400

Off Farms 1/

2,515

10,649

2,383

120,329

300,604

83,089

TOTAL

3,715

12,549

2,683

178,329

410,604

112,489

1/ Includes stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, & processors. * Not published to avoid disclosure.



Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director