CROPS
KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230
Released: September 10, 2004
Volume 04, No. 9
Record High Corn and Soybean Production Forecast
Kansas corn production is forecast at a record high 420.5 million bushels, unchanged from August 1 but up 40 percent from the previous year’s production of 300.0 million bushels. Planted acreage is 3.25 million acres, up 350,000 acres from a year ago. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain is 2.90 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast but 16 percent above last year. Corn yields are expected to average 145 bushels per acre, unchanged from the August forecast but 25 bushels above last year’s yield. Twenty-one percent of the State’s corn was mature as of August 29, compared to 35 percent last year and 34 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was rated 76 percent good to excellent, 16 percent fair, and 8 percent poor to very poor.
Sorghum grain production is forecast at 210.0 million bushels, up 4 percent from August 1 and 61 percent above last year’s production of 130.5 million bushels. Kansas leads the Nation in sorghum production. Yields are expected to average 75 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from the August forecast and 30 bushels above last year's yield. Planted acreage is 3.1 million acres, down 450,000 acres from 2003. The acreage for harvest at 2.8 million acres, is unchanged from the August forecast but down 100,000 acres from 2003. As of August 29, 34 percent of the sorghum acreage was turning color, compared to 37 percent last year and the average of 53 percent. Three percent of the acreage across the State was mature, compared to 6 percent last year and 13 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was 69 percent good to excellent, 22 percent fair, and 9 percent poor to very poor.
Soybean production is forecast at 94.4 million bushels, up 9 percent from August 1, 65 percent larger than last year’s crop, and a record high for Kansas. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.55 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but up 3 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 37 bushels per acre, up 3 bushels from August 1 and 14 bushels above 2003. This equals the record high yields of 1992, 1996, and 1997. Three percent of the acreage was dropping leaves as of August 29, compared to 18 percent last year. Condition was rated 80 percent good to excellent, 16 percent fair, and 4 percent poor to very poor.
Kansas Crop Production, September 1, 2004 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre 2/ |
Production |
||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ |
10,400 |
9,900 |
10,000 |
8,700 |
48 |
36 |
480,000 |
313,200 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
2,900 |
3,250 |
2,500 |
2,900 |
120 |
145 |
300,000 |
420,500 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
3,550 |
3,100 |
2,900 |
2,800 |
45 |
75 |
130,500 |
210,000 |
Soybeans, bu. |
2,600 |
2,700 |
2,480 |
2,550 |
23 |
37 |
57,040 |
94,350 |
Potatoes, Summer, cwt. |
2.8 |
3.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
380 |
400 |
1,026 |
1,240 |
Cotton, 480 lb. bales 3/ 4/ |
90.0 |
100.0 |
80.0 |
5/ |
537 |
5/ |
89.5 |
5/ |
All Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
3,250 |
3,100 |
2.15 |
2.68 |
7,000 |
8,320 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
1,000 |
900 |
3.40 |
4.60 |
3,400 |
4,140 |
Other Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
2,250 |
2,200 |
1.60 |
1.90 |
3,600 |
4,180 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds. 5/ Harvested acres, yield and production will be published in the “Crop Production 2004 Summary”.
U.S. Crop Production
UNITED STATES: Corn production is forecast at 11.0 billion bushels, up fractionally from last month and 8 percent above 2003. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 149.4 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel per acre from August and 7.2 bushels above last year. If realized, both the yield and production would be the largest on record. The previous record for both was set last year when production was estimated at 10.1 billion bushels and yield was 142.2 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 73.4 million acres, unchanged from August but up 3 percent from 2003.
Production of sorghum grain is forecast at 472 million bushels, up 2 percent from August and up 15 percent from 2003. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain, at 6.92 million acres, is unchanged from August but 11 percent lower than the 2003 harvested grain acreage. The forecast U.S. yield, at 68.3 bushels per acre, is up 1.1 bushels from August and 15.6 bushels from 2003.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.84 billion bushels, down 1 percent from August 1 but 17 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be the second highest production on record. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 38.5 bushels per acre, down 0.6 bushel from August. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 73.7 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but up 2 percent from 2003.
All wheat production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels, unchanged from the August forecast but 9 percent below 2003. The U.S. yield is forecast at 42.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month.
United States Crop Production, September 1, 2004 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
All Wheat, bu. 2/ |
61,700 |
59,719 |
52,839 |
50,556 |
44.2 |
42.0 |
2,336,526 |
2,122,894 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
78,736 |
80,968 |
71,139 |
73,377 |
142.2 |
149.4 |
10,113,887 |
10,960,710 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
9,420 |
8,099 |
7,798 |
6,916 |
52.7 |
68.3 |
411,237 |
472,269 |
Soybeans, bu. |
73,404 |
74,809 |
72,321 |
73,655 |
33.4 |
38.5 |
2,417,565 |
2,835,989 |
Potatoes, Summer, cwt. |
63.4 |
58.8 |
58.7 |
55.1 |
320.0 |
336.0 |
18,766 |
18,487 |
Cotton, All, 480 lb. Bales |
13,479.6 |
13,763.0 |
12,003.4 |
13,223.0 |
730.0 |
758.0 |
18,255.2 |
20,895.0 |
All Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
63,342 |
61,589 |
2.48 |
2.63 |
157,123 |
161,763 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
23,578 |
22,226 |
3.24 |
3.48 |
76,307 |
77,264 |
Other Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
39,764 |
39,363 |
2.03 |
2.15 |
80,816 |
84,499 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.
Kansas Crop Production Forecast, September 1, 2004, by Districts |
||||||||||
Crop And District |
Acres Planted, All Purposes |
Acres Harvested for Grain |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||||
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
% Prev. Year |
2003 |
2004 |
2003 |
2004 |
% Prev. Year |
|
|
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ |
|
Bushels |
1,000 Bushels |
|
|||||
CORN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
435 |
515 |
303 |
430 |
142 |
121 |
133 |
36,595 |
57,000 |
156 |
West Central |
183 |
215 |
130 |
180 |
138 |
114 |
125 |
14,815 |
22,500 |
152 |
Southwest |
670 |
700 |
616 |
635 |
103 |
174 |
190 |
107,340 |
120,500 |
112 |
North Central |
161 |
210 |
122 |
185 |
152 |
102 |
123 |
12,395 |
22,700 |
183 |
Central |
109 |
135 |
83 |
115 |
139 |
121 |
154 |
10,040 |
17,700 |
176 |
South Central |
350 |
350 |
324 |
320 |
99 |
157 |
161 |
50,770 |
51,500 |
101 |
Northeast |
472 |
515 |
428 |
465 |
109 |
70 |
130 |
29,880 |
60,500 |
202 |
East Central |
271 |
295 |
252 |
270 |
107 |
70 |
121 |
17,720 |
32,600 |
184 |
Southeast |
249 |
315 |
242 |
300 |
124 |
84 |
118 |
20,445 |
35,500 |
174 |
State |
2,900 |
3,250 |
2,500 |
2,900 |
116 |
120 |
145 |
300,000 |
420,500 |
140 |
SOYBEANS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
56 |
85 |
51 |
81 |
159 |
42 |
45 |
2,134 |
3,620 |
170 |
West Central |
18 |
24 |
17 |
23 |
135 |
37 |
35 |
635 |
800 |
126 |
Southwest |
73 |
92 |
71 |
88 |
124 |
52 |
56 |
3,682 |
4,910 |
133 |
North Central |
243 |
237 |
226 |
221 |
98 |
21 |
31 |
4,783 |
6,780 |
142 |
Central |
173 |
229 |
159 |
215 |
135 |
21 |
38 |
3,405 |
8,160 |
240 |
South Central |
225 |
249 |
218 |
232 |
106 |
36 |
46 |
7,895 |
10,610 |
134 |
Northeast |
607 |
567 |
582 |
540 |
93 |
23 |
38 |
13,102 |
20,260 |
155 |
East Central |
615 |
617 |
582 |
580 |
100 |
18 |
37 |
10,236 |
21,200 |
207 |
Southeast |
590 |
600 |
574 |
570 |
99 |
19 |
32 |
11,168 |
18,010 |
161 |
State |
2,600 |
2,700 |
2,480 |
2,550 |
103 |
23 |
37 |
57,040 |
94,350 |
165 |
Kansas Ranked 6th in Agricultural Exports
Kansas dropped to sixth place among the 50 states as an exporter of agricultural products during fiscal year (FY) 2003, according to data released by the Economics Research Service, USDA, and Kansas Agricultural Statistics Service. Exports from six out of the top ten states increased. The total value of Kansas exports, at nearly $3.0 billion, is down 2 percent from the previous fiscal year. Most of the value decrease came from the Sunflower Seed & Oil , Feed Grains & Products, Soybeans & Products, and Feeds & Fodders categories. Kansas accounted for 5.3 percent of the $56.2 billion U.S. agricultural exports in FY 2003.
Kansas was ranked in first place for Wheat & Products and Feeds & Fodders. The export numbers show Kansas ranking second in the Nation for Live Animals & Meat, Hides & Skins, and Animal Fats. Other top ten rankings for Kansas were Sunflower Seed & Oil (third place with $7.3 million), Seed (fourth place with $38.1 million), and Feed Grains & Products (sixth place with $401.9 million).
Live Animals & Meat comprised 28 percent of the total Kansas exports and 13 percent of all U.S. Live Animal & Meat exports. Wheat & Products accounted for 25 percent of the State total and 14 percent of the National All Wheat & Products exports. Feed Grains & Products tallied 14 and 6 percent of the State and National exports, respectively.
The United States exported $56.2 billion of agricultural commodities in FY 2003, up 5 percent from 2002. California continued to lead the Nation in agricultural exports at $8.2 billion. Iowa ranked second, followed by Texas, Illinois, Nebraska, Kansas, Minnesota, Washington, North Dakota, and Indiana. Agricultural export estimates by State are based on the assumption that if a State contributes a certain percentage of U.S. production, it contributes a similar percentage of export revenues. When appropriate, however, supplemental data (Customs district data, domestic use data, and the Census of Agriculture data, for example) were used to adjust the export share.
Kansas Agricultural Exports |
|||||
Commodity |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
Million Dollars |
||||
Wheat & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
816.0 |
744.4 |
618.4 |
699.2 |
756.2 |
Feed Grains & Prod.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
522.6 |
512.2 |
472.4 |
522.0 |
401.9 |
Live Animals & Meat (Excluding Poultry). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
748.7 |
957.8 |
881.6 |
748.5 |
842.3 |
Hides & Skins. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
202.9 |
278.7 |
387.9 |
319.2 |
333.2 |
Soybeans & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
178.4 |
203.4 |
123.5 |
221.6 |
175.7 |
Feeds & Fodders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
298.5 |
307.3 |
338.8 |
343.1 |
287.6 |
Animal Fats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
104.5 |
80.4 |
62.9 |
79.3 |
101.2 |
Seeds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
33.5 |
39.3 |
34.7 |
43.2 |
38.1 |
Sunflower Seed & Oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
16.6 |
22.8 |
15.7 |
25.0 |
7.3 |
Dairy Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
2.5 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
14.2 |
15.1 |
17.3 |
16.8 |
26.1 |
Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
2,938.4 |
3,162.1 |
2,953.2 |
3,017.9 |
2,969.6 |
Dave Ranek & Quentin Wearne, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director