CROPS
KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230
Released: September 12, 2005
Volume 05, No. 9
INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE
CROP
FORECAST
AGRICULTURAL
EXPORTS
Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Up From August
Kansas corn production is forecast at 403.0 million bushels, up 4 percent from August 1 but down 7 percent from the previous year’s production of 432.0 million bushels. Planted acreage is 3.45 million acres, up 350,000 acres from a year ago. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain is 3.10 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast but 8 percent above last year. Corn yields are expected to average 130 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from the August forecast but 20 bushels below last year’s yield. Twenty-five percent of the State’s corn was mature as of August 28, compared to 20 percent last year and 32 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was rated 45 percent good to excellent, 37 percent fair, and 18 percent poor to very poor.
Sorghum grain production is forecast at 196.1 million bushels, up 7 percent from August 1 but 11 percent below last year’s production of 220.4 million bushels. Kansas leads the Nation in sorghum production. Yields are expected to average 74 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from the August forecast but 2 bushels below last year's yield. Planted acreage is 2.9 million acres, down 300,000 acres from 2004. The acreage for harvest at 2.65 million acres, is unchanged from the August forecast but down 250,000 acres from 2004. As of August 28, 43 percent of the sorghum acreage was turning color, compared to 32 percent last year and the 5-year average of 49 percent. Four percent of the acreage across the State was mature, compared to 3 percent last year and 12 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was 41 percent good to excellent, 42 percent fair, and 17 percent poor to very poor.
Soybean production is forecast at 100.8 million bushels, up 13 percent from August 1, but down 9 percent from last year’s crop,. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.80 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but up 3 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 36 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from August 1 but 5 bushels below 2004. Ninety percent of the acreage was podded as of August 28, compared to 86 percent last year. Condition was rated 50 percent good to excellent, 38 percent fair, and 12 percent poor to very poor.
Kansas Crop Production, September 1, 2005 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre 2/ |
Production |
||||
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
Winter Wheat, bu. 3/ |
10,000 |
10,100 |
8,500 |
9,600 |
37.0 |
39.0 |
314,500 |
374,400 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
3,100 |
3,450 |
2,880 |
3,100 |
150.0 |
130.0 |
432,000 |
403,000 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
3,200 |
2,900 |
2,900 |
2,650 |
76.0 |
74.0 |
220,400 |
196,100 |
Soybeans, bu. |
2,800 |
2,900 |
2,710 |
2,800 |
41.0 |
36.0 |
111,110 |
100,800 |
Potatoes, Summer, cwt. |
3.5 |
4.1 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
400.0 |
360.0 |
1,360 |
1,440 |
Cotton, 480 lb. bales 3/ 4/ |
85.0 |
75.0 |
80.0 |
70.0 |
424.0 |
555.0 |
70.7 |
81.0 |
All Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
3,350 |
3,100 |
2.35 |
2.27 |
7,880 |
7,030 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
950 |
900 |
4.00 |
3.90 |
3,800 |
3,510 |
Other Hay, tons 3/ |
- |
- |
2,400 |
2,200 |
1.70 |
1.60 |
4,080 |
3,520 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds. 5/ Harvested acres, yield and production will be published in the “Crop Production 2005 Summary”.
U.S. Crop Production
UNITED STATES: Corn production is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month but 10 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest crop on record. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels per acre from August but 17.2 bushels below the record high last year. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 74.3 million acres, down 50,000 acres from August but up 1 percent from 2004.
Production of sorghum grain is forecast at 398 million bushels, up 5 percent from August but down 13 percent from 2004. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain, at 6.03 million acres, is unchanged from August but 11 percent lower than the 2004 harvested grain acreage. The forecast U.S. yield, at 66.0 bushels per acre, is down 2.9 bushels from August and 3.8 bushels from 2004.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from August 1 but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 72.2 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but down 2 percent from 2004.
All wheat production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels, unchanged from the August forecast but slightly below 2004. The U.S. yield is forecast at 43.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month.
United States Crop Production, September 1, 2005 |
||||||||
Crop & Unit |
Planted 1/ |
Harvested |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Per Unit |
(000's) |
|||||
All Wheat, bu. 2/ |
59,674 |
58,080 |
49,999 |
50,361 |
43.2 |
43.0 |
2,158,245 |
2,167,178 |
Corn Grain, bu. |
80,930 |
81,592 |
73,632 |
74,318 |
160.4 |
143.2 |
11,807,217 |
10,638,661 |
Sorghum Grain, bu. |
7,486 |
7,013 |
6,517 |
6,030 |
69.8 |
66.0 |
454,899 |
397,721 |
Soybeans, bu. |
75,208 |
73,103 |
73,958 |
72,184 |
42.5 |
39.6 |
3,140,996 |
2,856,449 |
Potatoes, Summer, cwt. |
58.4 |
50.3 |
53.9 |
48.3 |
340.0 |
334.0 |
18,307 |
16,123 |
Cotton, All, 480 lb. Bales |
13,658.6 |
14,184.0 |
13,057.0 |
13,673.0 |
855.0 |
782.0 |
23,250.7 |
22,282.0 |
All Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
61,916 |
61,723 |
2.55 |
2.43 |
157,774 |
149,917 |
Alfalfa Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
21,707 |
22,118 |
3.47 |
3.34 |
75,383 |
73,849 |
Other Hay, tons 2/ |
- |
- |
40,209 |
39,605 |
2.05 |
1.92 |
82,391 |
76,068 |
1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.
Kansas Crop Production Forecast, September 1, 2005, by Districts |
||||||||||
Crop And District |
Acres Planted, All Purposes |
Acres Harvested for Grain |
Yield per Acre |
Production |
||||||
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
% Prev. Year |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
% Prev. Year |
|
|
------------ 1,000 Acres ------------ |
|
Bushels |
1,000 Bushels |
|
|||||
CORN |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
533 |
510 |
464 |
440 |
95 |
102 |
109 |
47,450 |
48,000 |
101 |
West Central |
238 |
300 |
199 |
250 |
126 |
132 |
108 |
26,295 |
27,000 |
103 |
Southwest |
713 |
720 |
665 |
660 |
99 |
196 |
179 |
130,330 |
118,000 |
91 |
North Central |
162 |
220 |
155 |
190 |
123 |
139 |
113 |
21,495 |
21,500 |
100 |
Central |
100 |
150 |
92 |
130 |
141 |
165 |
127 |
15,210 |
16,500 |
109 |
South Central |
332 |
360 |
316 |
330 |
104 |
171 |
158 |
54,150 |
52,000 |
96 |
Northeast |
479 |
540 |
461 |
500 |
108 |
156 |
114 |
71,820 |
57,000 |
79 |
East Central |
268 |
310 |
260 |
280 |
108 |
130 |
107 |
33,790 |
30,000 |
89 |
Southeast |
275 |
340 |
268 |
320 |
119 |
117 |
103 |
31,460 |
33,000 |
105 |
State |
3,100 |
3,450 |
2,880 |
3,100 |
108 |
150 |
130 |
432,000 |
403,000 |
93 |
SOYBEANS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northwest |
102 |
75 |
85 |
72 |
85 |
36 |
39 |
3,059 |
2,810 |
92 |
West Central |
35 |
40 |
30 |
39 |
130 |
30 |
43 |
896 |
1,680 |
188 |
Southwest |
115 |
125 |
113 |
121 |
107 |
52 |
53 |
5,848 |
6,420 |
110 |
North Central |
320 |
320 |
312 |
306 |
98 |
40 |
39 |
12,330 |
11,800 |
96 |
Central |
199 |
230 |
195 |
222 |
114 |
40 |
31 |
7,785 |
6,880 |
88 |
South Central |
296 |
265 |
287 |
251 |
87 |
49 |
42 |
13,900 |
10,450 |
75 |
Northeast |
593 |
635 |
582 |
616 |
106 |
46 |
40 |
26,978 |
24,640 |
91 |
East Central |
568 |
600 |
551 |
582 |
106 |
43 |
35 |
23,456 |
20,260 |
86 |
Southeast |
572 |
610 |
556 |
591 |
106 |
30 |
27 |
16,858 |
15,860 |
94 |
State |
2,800 |
2,900 |
2,710 |
2,800 |
103 |
41 |
36 |
111,110 |
100,800 |
91 |
Kansas Ranked 6th in Agricultural Exports
Kansas ranked sixth among the 50 states as an exporter of agricultural products during fiscal year (FY) 2004, according to data released by the Economics Research Service, USDA, and Kansas Agricultural Statistics Service. Exports from six of the top ten states increased. The total value of Kansas exports, at $2.9 billion, is down 2 percent from the previous fiscal year. Most of the value decrease came from the Live Animals & Meat, Hides & Skins, and Feeds & Fodders categories. Kansas accounted for 4.7 percent of the $62.3 billion U.S. agricultural exports in FY 2004.
Kansas was ranked in first place for Wheat & Products. The export numbers show Kansas ranking second in the Nation for Feed & Fodders, Hides & Skins, and Animal Fats. Other top ten rankings for Kansas were Live Animals & Meat (third place with $343.2 million), Seed (third place with $66.3 million), Sunflower Seed & Oil (third place with $13.1 million), and Feed Grains & Products (sixth place with $401.5 million). Wheat & Products accounted for 39 percent
of the State total and 17 percent of the National All Wheat & Products exports. Live Animals & Meat comprised 12 percent of the total Kansas exports and 8 percent of all U.S. Live Animal & Meat exports. Feed Grains & Products tallied 14 and 5 percent of the State and National exports, respectively.
The United States exported $62.3 billion of agricultural commodities in FY 2004, up 11 percent from 2003. California continued to lead the Nation in agricultural exports at $9.2 billion. Iowa ranked second, followed by Illinois, Texas, Nebraska, Kansas, Minnesota, Arkansas, North Dakota, and Washington. Agricultural export estimates by State are based on the assumption that if a State contributes a certain percentage of U.S. production, it contributes a similar percentage of export revenues. When appropriate, however, supplemental data (Customs district data, domestic use data, and the Census of Agriculture data, for example) were used to adjust the export share.
Kansas Agricultural Exports |
|||||
Commodity |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
|
Million Dollars |
||||
Wheat & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
744.4 |
618.4 |
699.2 |
753.6 |
1,149.4 |
Feed Grains & Prod.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
512.1 |
472.3 |
521.7 |
398.8 |
401.5 |
Live Animals & Meat. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
957.8 |
881.6 |
748.5 |
841.2 |
343.2 |
Hides & Skins. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
278.7 |
387.9 |
319.2 |
332.2 |
322.3 |
Soybeans & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
203.4 |
123.5 |
221.6 |
175.3 |
210.0 |
Feeds & Fodders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
317.9 |
364.1 |
349.3 |
294.1 |
271.8 |
Animal Fats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
80.4 |
62.9 |
79.3 |
101.4 |
101.1 |
Seeds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
40.0 |
35.3 |
43.6 |
38.2 |
66.3 |
Sunflower Seed & Oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
22.8 |
15.7 |
25.0 |
7.3 |
13.1 |
Dairy Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
9.2 |
10.9 |
12.3 |
12.9 |
17.1 |
Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
8.6 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
19.7 |
32.2 |
Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . |
3,175.1 |
2,982.7 |
3,030.1 |
2,974.7 |
2,928.0 |
Dave Ranek & Akilah Nicks, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director