CROPS


KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230


Released: September 12, 2005

Volume 05, No. 9



INCLUDED

IN THIS

ISSUE

 

CROP

FORECAST

 

AGRICULTURAL

EXPORTS

Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Up From August


Kansas corn production is forecast at 403.0 million bushels, up 4 percent from August 1 but down 7 percent from the previous year’s production of 432.0 million bushels. Planted acreage is 3.45 million acres, up 350,000 acres from a year ago. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain is 3.10 million acres, unchanged from the August forecast but 8 percent above last year. Corn yields are expected to average 130 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from the August forecast but 20 bushels below last year’s yield. Twenty-five percent of the State’s corn was mature as of August 28, compared to 20 percent last year and 32 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was rated 45 percent good to excellent, 37 percent fair, and 18 percent poor to very poor.

 

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 196.1 million bushels, up 7 percent from August 1 but 11 percent below last year’s production of 220.4 million bushels. Kansas leads the Nation in sorghum production. Yields are expected to average 74 bushels per acre, up 5 bushels from the August forecast but 2 bushels below last year's yield. Planted acreage is 2.9 million acres, down 300,000 acres from 2004. The acreage for harvest at 2.65 million acres, is unchanged from the August forecast but down 250,000 acres from 2004. As of August 28, 43 percent of the sorghum acreage was turning color, compared to 32 percent last year and the 5-year average of 49 percent. Four percent of the acreage across the State was mature, compared to 3 percent last year and 12 percent for the 5-year average. Condition of the crop was 41 percent good to excellent, 42 percent fair, and 17 percent poor to very poor.

 

Soybean production is forecast at 100.8 million bushels, up 13 percent from August 1, but down 9 percent from last year’s crop,. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.80 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but up 3 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 36 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from August 1 but 5 bushels below 2004. Ninety percent of the acreage was podded as of August 28, compared to 86 percent last year. Condition was rated 50 percent good to excellent, 38 percent fair, and 12 percent poor to very poor.

 

 

Kansas Crop Production, September 1, 2005

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2004

2005

2004

2005

2004

2005

2004

2005

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000's)

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

10,000

10,100

8,500

9,600

37.0

39.0

314,500

374,400

Corn Grain, bu.

3,100

3,450

2,880

3,100

150.0

130.0

432,000

403,000

Sorghum Grain, bu.

3,200

2,900

2,900

2,650

76.0

74.0

220,400

196,100

Soybeans, bu.

2,800

2,900

2,710

2,800

41.0

36.0

111,110

100,800

Potatoes, Summer, cwt.

3.5

4.1

3.4

4.0

400.0

360.0

1,360

1,440

Cotton, 480 lb. bales 3/ 4/

85.0

75.0

80.0

70.0

424.0

555.0

70.7

81.0

All Hay, tons 3/

-

-

3,350

3,100

2.35

2.27

7,880

7,030

Alfalfa Hay, tons 3/

-

-

950

900

4.00

3.90

3,800

3,510

Other Hay, tons 3/

-

-

2,400

2,200

1.70

1.60

4,080

3,520

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast. 4/ Yield in pounds. 5/ Harvested acres, yield and production will be published in the “Crop Production 2005 Summary”.

 

 

U.S. Crop Production

 

UNITED STATES: Corn production is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month but 10 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest crop on record. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels per acre from August but 17.2 bushels below the record high last year. Acreage for harvest as grain is estimated at 74.3 million acres, down 50,000 acres from August but up 1 percent from 2004.

 

Production of sorghum grain is forecast at 398 million bushels, up 5 percent from August but down 13 percent from 2004. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain, at 6.03 million acres, is unchanged from August but 11 percent lower than the 2004 harvested grain acreage. The forecast U.S. yield, at 66.0 bushels per acre, is down 2.9 bushels from August and 3.8 bushels from 2004.

 

Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from August 1 but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 72.2 million acres, unchanged from August 1 but down 2 percent from 2004.

 

All wheat production is placed at 2.12 billion bushels, unchanged from the August forecast but slightly below 2004. The U.S. yield is forecast at 43.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month.

 

 

United States Crop Production, September 1, 2005

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre

Production

2004

2005

2004

2005

2004

2005

2004

2005

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000's)

All Wheat, bu. 2/

59,674

58,080

49,999

50,361

43.2

43.0

2,158,245

2,167,178

Corn Grain, bu.

80,930

81,592

73,632

74,318

160.4

143.2

11,807,217

10,638,661

Sorghum Grain, bu.

7,486

7,013

6,517

6,030

69.8

66.0

454,899

397,721

Soybeans, bu.

75,208

73,103

73,958

72,184

42.5

39.6

3,140,996

2,856,449

Potatoes, Summer, cwt.

58.4

50.3

53.9

48.3

340.0

334.0

18,307

16,123

Cotton, All, 480 lb. Bales

13,658.6

14,184.0

13,057.0

13,673.0

855.0

782.0

23,250.7

22,282.0

All Hay, tons 2/

-

-

61,916

61,723

2.55

2.43

157,774

149,917

Alfalfa Hay, tons 2/

-

-

21,707

22,118

3.47

3.34

75,383

73,849

Other Hay, tons 2/

-

-

40,209

39,605

2.05

1.92

82,391

76,068

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.

 

 

Kansas Crop Production Forecast, September 1, 2005, by Districts

Crop And District

Acres Planted,

All Purposes

Acres Harvested

for Grain

Yield

per Acre

Production

2004

2005

2004

2005

% Prev.

Year

2004

2005

2004

2005

% Prev.

Year

 

------------ 1,000 Acres ------------

 

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

 

CORN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

533

510

464

440

  95

102

109

47,450

48,000

101

West Central

238

300

199

250

126

132

108

26,295

27,000

103

Southwest

713

720

665

660

  99

196

179

130,330

118,000

91

North Central

162

220

155

190

123

139

113

21,495

21,500

100

Central

100

150

92

130

141

165

127

15,210

16,500

109

South Central

332

360

316

330

104

171

158

54,150

52,000

96

Northeast

479

540

461

500

108

156

114

71,820

57,000

79

East Central

268

310

260

280

108

130

107

33,790

30,000

89

Southeast

275

340

268

320

119

117

103

31,460

33,000

105

State

3,100

3,450

2,880

3,100

108

150

130

432,000

403,000

93

SOYBEANS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

102

75

85

72

  85

36

39

3,059

2,810

92

West Central

35

40

30

39

130

30

43

896

1,680

188

Southwest

115

125

113

121

107

52

53

5,848

6,420

110

North Central

320

320

312

306

  98

40

39

12,330

11,800

96

Central

199

230

195

222

114

40

31

7,785

6,880

88

South Central

296

265

287

251

  87

49

42

13,900

10,450

75

Northeast

593

635

582

616

106

46

40

26,978

24,640

91

East Central

568

600

551

582

106

43

35

23,456

20,260

86

Southeast

572

610

556

591

106

30

27

16,858

15,860

94

State

2,800

2,900

2,710

2,800

103

41

36

111,110

100,800

91

 

 

Kansas Ranked 6th in Agricultural Exports

 

Kansas ranked sixth among the 50 states as an exporter of agricultural products during fiscal year (FY) 2004, according to data released by the Economics Research Service, USDA, and Kansas Agricultural Statistics Service. Exports from six of the top ten states increased. The total value of Kansas exports, at $2.9 billion, is down 2 percent from the previous fiscal year. Most of the value decrease came from the Live Animals & Meat, Hides & Skins, and Feeds & Fodders categories. Kansas accounted for 4.7 percent of the $62.3 billion U.S. agricultural exports in FY 2004.

 

Kansas was ranked in first place for Wheat & Products. The export numbers show Kansas ranking second in the Nation for Feed & Fodders, Hides & Skins, and Animal Fats. Other top ten rankings for Kansas were Live Animals & Meat (third place with $343.2 million), Seed (third place with $66.3 million), Sunflower Seed & Oil (third place with $13.1 million), and Feed Grains & Products (sixth place with $401.5 million). Wheat & Products accounted for 39 percent


of the State total and 17 percent of the National All Wheat & Products exports. Live Animals & Meat comprised 12 percent of the total Kansas exports and 8 percent of all U.S. Live Animal & Meat exports. Feed Grains & Products tallied 14 and 5 percent of the State and National exports, respectively.

 

The United States exported $62.3 billion of agricultural commodities in FY 2004, up 11 percent from 2003. California continued to lead the Nation in agricultural exports at $9.2 billion. Iowa ranked second, followed by Illinois, Texas, Nebraska, Kansas, Minnesota, Arkansas, North Dakota, and Washington. Agricultural export estimates by State are based on the assumption that if a State contributes a certain percentage of U.S. production, it contributes a similar percentage of export revenues. When appropriate, however, supplemental data (Customs district data, domestic use data, and the Census of Agriculture data, for example) were used to adjust the export share.

 

 

Kansas Agricultural Exports

Commodity

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

 

Million Dollars

Wheat & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

744.4

618.4

699.2

753.6

1,149.4

Feed Grains & Prod.. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

512.1

472.3

521.7

398.8

401.5

Live Animals & Meat. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

957.8

881.6

748.5

841.2

343.2

Hides & Skins. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

278.7

387.9

319.2

332.2

322.3

Soybeans & Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

203.4

123.5

221.6

175.3

210.0

Feeds & Fodders. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

317.9

364.1

349.3

294.1

271.8

Animal Fats. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

80.4

62.9

79.3

101.4

101.1

Seeds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

40.0

35.3

43.6

38.2

66.3

Sunflower Seed & Oil. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

22.8

15.7

25.0

7.3

13.1

Dairy Products. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

9.2

10.9

12.3

12.9

17.1

Other. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 

8.6

10.1

10.3

19.7

32.2

Total. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

3,175.1

2,982.7

3,030.1

2,974.7

2,928.0

 

 

Dave Ranek & Akilah Nicks, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director