CROPS


KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230


Released: August 11, 2006

Volume 06, No. 8


INCLUDED

IN THIS

ISSUE

 

CROP

PRODUCTION

Production of Major Row Crops Down


The Kansas wheat crop is estimated at 300.8 million bushels, unchanged from the July 1 forecast but 21 percent less than the 2005 crop. Yield is estimated at 32 bushels per acre, down 8 bushels from a year ago. Acreage harvested for grain, at 9.4 million acres, is unchanged from July 1 but down 100,000 acres from last year.


Corn production is forecast at 393.8 million bushels, down 15 percent from the previous year’s record production of 465.8 million bushels. Planted acreage is 3.40 million acres, 250,000 acres less than a year ago. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain is 3.15 million acres, down 300,000 acres from last year. Corn yields are expected to average 125 bushels per acre, 10 bushels below the 135 bushels per acre in 2005.


Kansas sorghum grain production is forecast at 131.1 million bushels, down 33 percent from 195.0 million bushels in 2005. Yields are expected to average 57 bushels per acre, down 18 bushels from last year's yield. Planted acreage is 2.50 million acres, down 250,000 acres from 2005. Sorghum acreage to be harvested for grain, at 2.30 million acres, is down 300,000 acres from 2005.


Soybean production is forecast at 93.0 million bushels, down 12 percent from last year’s production of 105.5 million bushels. Yield is forecast at 31 bushels per acre, down 6 bushels from last year's yield. Harvested acreage is expected to be 3.00 million acres, up 150,000 acres from the acreage harvested last year. Planted acres are estimated at 3.10 million, up 200,000 from 2005. If realized, planted and harvested acreage will be new record highs.


Cotton production is projected to reach 115,000 bales in 2006. Yield is forecast at 581 pounds of lint per acre. Planted acreage is 100,000 acres, up 26,000 acres from last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 95,000, up 29,000 acres from last year.



Kansas Crop Production Forecast, August 1, 2006

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000's)

Winter Wheat, bu.

10,000

10,200

9,500

9,400

40

32

380,000

300,800

Oats, bu.

100

130

40

60

59

46

2,360

2,760

Corn Grain, bu.

3,650

3,400

3,450

3,150

135

125

465,750

393,750

Sorghum Grain, bu.

2,750

2,500

2,600

2,300

75

57

195,000

131,100

Soybeans, bu.

2,900

3,100

2,850

3,000

37

31

105,450

93,000

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/

13.0

11.0

12.5

10.0

2,200

2,100

275.0

210.0

Cotton, 480 lb. bales 3/

74.0

100.0

66.0

95.0

638

581

87.7

115.0

All Hay, tons

-

 

2,900

2,900

2.30

1.90

6,680

5,500

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

 

850

900

4.00

3.00

3,400

2,700

Other Hay, tons

-

 

2,050

2,000

1.60

1.40

3,280

2,800

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels. 3/ Yield in pounds.



U.S. Crop Production Forecast


UNITED STATES: All wheat production is placed at 1.80 billion bushels, down slightly from the July forecast and down 14 percent from 2005. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 38.3 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but 3.7 bushels below last year. Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels. This is up slightly from last month but 14 percent below 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.2 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushel from July 1. Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 31.1 million, unchanged from last month but down 8 percent from 2005.


The 2006 sorghum grain production forecast is 296 million bushels, down 25 percent from 2005. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1956. Based on August 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 55.8 bushels per acre, down 12.9 bushels from 2005. Kansas, the largest producing state, expects a yield of 57.0 bushels, 18.0 bushels below 2005. The yield forecast for Texas is 48.0 bushels per acre, down 12.0 bushels from 2005. Acreage expected to be harvested for in the U.S. in 2006, 5.32 million acres, unchanged from the June estimate but 7 percent below 2005.


Corn production is forecast at 11.0 billion bushels, down 1 percent from last year and 7 percent below 2004. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 152.2 bushels per acre, up 4.3 bushels from last year. If realized, yields would be the second largest and production would be the third largest on record. The largest yield increase is in Illinois, where farmers expect to average 172 bushels per acre, 29 bushels above last year’s drought-reduced yield. The largest yield decreases are expected in Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, and North Dakota. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 72.1 million acres, unchanged from June but down 4 percent from 2005.


Soybean production is forecast at 2.93 billion bushels, down 5 percent from 2005 and down 6 percent from 2004. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, down 3.7 bushels from the record high U.S. yield set last year. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 73.9 million acres, unchanged from June but up 4 percent from 2005. Planted area and harvested area, if realized, are both the second largest on record.



United States Crop Production Forecast, August 1, 2006

Crop &

Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

 

1,000 Acres

Per Unit

(000)

All Wheat, bu.

57,229

57,873

50,119

47,084

42.0

38.3

2,104,690

1,801,355

Winter Wheat, bu.

40,433

41,393

33,794

31,108

44.4

41.2

1,499,129

1,283,134

Oats, bu.

4,246

4,312

1,823

1,907

63.0

56.3

114,878

107,423

Corn Grain, bu.

81,759

79,366

75,107

72,091

147.9

152.2

11,112,072

10,975,740

Sorghum Grain, bu.

6,454

6,282

5,736

5,317

68.7

55.8

393,893

296,453

Soybeans, bu.

72,142

74,930

71,361

73,935

43.3

39.6

3,086,432

2,927,634

Dry Beans, cwt. 2/

1,665.0

1,607.3

1,568.6

1,519.0

1,744

1,534

27,350

23,301

Cotton, 480 lb. bales 2/

14,245.4

15,276.0

13,802.6

12,815.0

831

765

23,890.2

20,431.0

All Hay, tons

-

-

61,649

62,697

2.44

2.27

150,590

142,326

Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

22,389

22,407

3.38

3.18

75,771

71,205

Other Hay, tons

-

-

39,260

40,290

1.91

1.77

74,819

71,121

Apples, lbs.

-

-

-

-

-

-

9,864.9

9,619.7

1/ Planted for all purposes. 2/ Yield in pounds.



Kansas Crop Production Forecast, August 1, 2006, by Districts

Crop And District

Acres Planted,

All Purposes

Acres Harvested

for Grain

Yield

per Acre

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

% Prev.

Year

2005

2006

2005

2006

% Prev.

Year

 

------------ 1,000 Acres ------------

 

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

 

WINTER WHEAT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

1,235

1,110

1,135

1,050

93

35

21

39,290

22,000

56

West Central

1,265

1,080

1,200

985

82

37

24

43,860

23,800

54

Southwest

1,640

1,660

1,550

1,420

92

44

23

68,130

32,800

48

North Central

1,365

1,550

1,320

1,500

114

41

44

54,030

66,500

123

Central

1,550

1,570

1,500

1,485

99

42

36

63,720

53,500

84

South Central

2,270

2,320

2,160

2,080

96

41

32

87,530

65,700

75

Northeast

195

220

185

215

116

43

46

7,940

9,900

125

East Central

160

230

150

220

147

32

46

4,790

10,200

213

Southeast

320

460

300

445

148

36

37

10,710

16,400

153

State

10,000

10,200

9,500

9,400

99

40

32

380,000

300,800

79

CORN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

560

580

516

525

102

116

103

60,010

54,300

90

West Central

320

290

282

255

90

108

101

30,400

25,800

85

Southwest

800

690

752

645

86

185

189

139,020

122,200

88

North Central

245

240

235

220

94

122

100

28,600

22,100

77

Central

135

130

125

115

92

121

120

15,140

13,850

91

South Central

390

340

377

320

85

154

150

58,080

48,150

83

Northeast

540

540

519

510

98

130

111

67,550

56,800

84

East Central

310

280

300

265

88

105

92

31,610

24,500

78

Southeast

350

310

344

295

86

103

88

35,340

26,050

74

State

3,650

3,400

3,450

3,150

91

135

125

465,750

393,750

85

SOYBEANS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

57

61

52

55

106

43

39

2,235

2,118

95

West Central

18

22

17

21

124

32

40

537

835

155

Southwest

100

112

98

109

111

55

53

5,409

5,804

107

North Central

319

360

314

352

112

42

30

13,089

10,462

80

Central

210

230

207

225

109

30

29

6,307

6,474

103

South Central

278

310

273

300

110

40

34

10,789

10,347

96

Northeast

593

650

589

624

106

45

34

26,478

21,027

79

East Central

673

720

660

692

105

35

29

22,889

20,051

88

Southeast

652

635

640

622

97

28

26

17,717

15,882

90

State

2,900

3,100

2,850

3,000

105

37

31

105,450

93,000

88



Joel Golz & Dan Kolterman, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director