CROPS
KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE
Kansas Department of Agriculture
PO Box 3534
Topeka, KS 66601-3534
Phone: 785-233-2230
Released: June 9, 2006
Volume 06, No. 6
INCLUDED
IN THIS
ISSUE
WHEAT
PRODUCTION
WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 9 PERCENT
FROM MAY FORECAST
The 2006 Kansas wheat crop is forecast at 291.4 million bushels as of June 1. The current estimate is down 9 percent from the May 1 estimate and 23 percent below the 2005 crop. The current crop is projected to be harvested from 9.4 million acres, down 100,000 acres from a year ago. Yield per harvested acre is expected to average 31.0 bushels, down 3.0 bushels from the May forecast and 9.0 bushels below the 2005 final yield.
As of June 4th, wheat condition was rated 1 percent excellent, 15 percent good, 31 percent fair, 29 percent poor, and 24 percent very poor. The percent of the crop rated good to excellent decreased from 26 percent May 1st to 21 percent by May 28th.
Crop progress was well ahead of the 5-year average during May, and by May 28th, wheat turning, at 44 percent, compared to the 5-year average of 24 percent. By the end of May, test cutting had begun in the southern part of the State.
The State experienced mostly above normal temperatures with light scattered showers during the month of May. Moisture conditions deteriorated during the month. On May 1st, topsoil moisture was rated 40 percent short or very short; this increased to 61 percent by May 28th.
KANSAS WHEAT PRODUCTION, JUNE 1, 2006 |
||||||||||
District |
Acres Planted |
Acres Harvested |
Yield Per Acre |
Production |
||||||
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
% of Prev. Yr |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
% of Prev. Yr |
|
WINTER WHEAT |
- - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - - |
Percent |
Bushels |
1,000 Bushels |
Percent |
|||||
Northwest |
1,235 |
1,110 |
1,135 |
1,050 |
93 |
35 |
28 |
39,290 |
28,900 |
74 |
West Central |
1,265 |
1,080 |
1,200 |
985 |
82 |
37 |
27 |
43,860 |
26,200 |
60 |
Southwest |
1,640 |
1,660 |
1,550 |
1,420 |
92 |
44 |
26 |
68,130 |
36,300 |
53 |
North Central |
1,365 |
1,550 |
1,320 |
1,500 |
114 |
41 |
37 |
54,030 |
55,800 |
103 |
Central |
1,550 |
1,570 |
1,500 |
1,485 |
99 |
42 |
34 |
63,720 |
50,700 |
80 |
South Central |
2,270 |
2,320 |
2,160 |
2,080 |
96 |
41 |
29 |
87,530 |
59,400 |
68 |
Northeast |
195 |
220 |
185 |
215 |
116 |
43 |
43 |
7,940 |
9,200 |
116 |
East Central |
160 |
230 |
150 |
220 |
147 |
32 |
40 |
4,790 |
8,900 |
186 |
Southeast |
320 |
460 |
300 |
445 |
148 |
36 |
36 |
10,710 |
16,000 |
149 |
State |
10,000 |
10,200 |
9,500 |
9,400 |
99 |
40 |
31 |
380,000 |
291,400 |
77 |

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 4 PERCENT FROM MAY
Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.26 billion bushels, down 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 16 percent below 2005. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 40.5 bushels per acre, down 1.9 bushels from last month and 3.9 bushels less than last year. Grain area totals 31.2 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is down 8 percent from a month ago to 659 million bushels. Soft Red is up slightly from last month, and now totals 357 million bushels. White production totals 248 million bushels, down 2 percent from last month. Of the White production total, 19.7 million bushels are Hard White and 228 million bushels are Soft White. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six Hard Red Winter states (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year’s level in all six states. Condition ratings declined in the central and southern Great Plains states during May due primarily to continued drought conditions. Harvest was in full swing in both Texas and Oklahoma, with progress in Oklahoma running well ahead of normal. In Kansas, disease pressure is slightly above normal and localized frost damage from a late April freeze in the western and north central growing regions affected yield potential. Yield prospects are down from the previous month in all states in the HRW growing area except for Oklahoma.
WINTER WHEAT, KANSAS AND SELECTED STATES, JUNE 1, 2006 |
||||||||
State |
Acreage |
Yield Per Acre |
Production |
|||||
Harvested 2005 |
For Harvest 2006 |
% of Prev. Yr. |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
% of Prev. Yr. |
|
|
1,000 Acres |
Percent |
Bushels |
1,000 Bushels |
Percent |
|||
KANSAS |
9,500 |
9,400 |
99 |
40.0 |
31.0 |
380,000 |
291,400 |
77 |
Washington |
1,800 |
1,800 |
100 |
67.0 |
68.0 |
120,600 |
122,400 |
101 |
Montana |
2,100 |
1,950 |
93 |
45.0 |
39.0 |
94,500 |
76,050 |
80 |
Oklahoma |
4,000 |
3,100 |
78 |
32.0 |
22.0 |
128,000 |
68,200 |
53 |
Ohio |
830 |
960 |
116 |
71.0 |
68.0 |
58,930 |
65,280 |
111 |
Idaho |
730 |
710 |
97 |
91.0 |
86.0 |
66,430 |
61,060 |
92 |
Illinois |
600 |
870 |
145 |
61.0 |
65.0 |
36,600 |
56,550 |
155 |
Nebraska |
1,760 |
1,650 |
94 |
39.0 |
34.0 |
68,640 |
56,100 |
82 |
South Dakota |
1,490 |
1,250 |
84 |
44.0 |
38.0 |
65,560 |
47,500 |
72 |
Missouri |
540 |
870 |
161 |
54.0 |
53.0 |
29,160 |
46,110 |
158 |
United States |
33,794 |
31,177 |
92 |
44.4 |
40.5 |
1,499,129 |
1,263,766 |
84 |
1/ Selected states based on top 10 states according to production of winter wheat.
Joel Golz and Dan Kolterman, Agricultural Statisticians
Eldon J. Thiessen, Director
Eddie Wells, Deputy Director