CROPS


KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230


Released: June 9, 2006

Volume 06, No. 6

INCLUDED

IN THIS

ISSUE


 

 

WHEAT

PRODUCTION

 


WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 9 PERCENT

FROM MAY FORECAST


The 2006 Kansas wheat crop is forecast at 291.4 million bushels as of June 1. The current estimate is down 9 percent from the May 1 estimate and 23 percent below the 2005 crop. The current crop is projected to be harvested from 9.4 million acres, down 100,000 acres from a year ago. Yield per harvested acre is expected to average 31.0 bushels, down 3.0 bushels from the May forecast and 9.0 bushels below the 2005 final yield.


As of June 4th, wheat condition was rated 1 percent excellent, 15 percent good, 31 percent fair, 29 percent poor, and 24 percent very poor. The percent of the crop rated good to excellent decreased from 26 percent May 1st to 21 percent by May 28th.


Crop progress was well ahead of the 5-year average during May, and by May 28th, wheat turning, at 44 percent, compared to the 5-year average of 24 percent. By the end of May, test cutting had begun in the southern part of the State.


The State experienced mostly above normal temperatures with light scattered showers during the month of May. Moisture conditions deteriorated during the month. On May 1st, topsoil moisture was rated 40 percent short or very short; this increased to 61 percent by May 28th.



KANSAS WHEAT PRODUCTION, JUNE 1, 2006

District

Acres Planted

Acres Harvested

Yield Per Acre

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

% of

Prev. Yr

2005

2006

2005

2006

% of

Prev. Yr

WINTER WHEAT

 - - - - - - - - 1,000 Acres - - - - - - - -

Percent

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

Percent

Northwest

1,235

1,110

1,135

1,050

93

35

28

39,290

28,900

74

West Central

1,265

1,080

1,200

985

82

37

27

43,860

26,200

60

Southwest

1,640

1,660

1,550

1,420

92

44

26

68,130

36,300

53

North Central

1,365

1,550

1,320

1,500

114

41

37

54,030

55,800

103

Central

1,550

1,570

1,500

1,485

99

42

34

63,720

50,700

80

South Central

2,270

2,320

2,160

2,080

96

41

29

87,530

59,400

68

Northeast

195

220

185

215

116

43

43

7,940

9,200

116

East Central

160

230

150

220

147

32

40

4,790

8,900

186

Southeast

320

460

300

445

148

36

36

10,710

16,000

149

State

10,000

10,200

9,500

9,400

99

40

31

380,000

291,400

77



logonew2.gif

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN 4 PERCENT FROM MAY


Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.26 billion bushels, down 4 percent from the May 1 forecast and 16 percent below 2005. Based on June 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 40.5 bushels per acre, down 1.9 bushels from last month and 3.9 bushels less than last year. Grain area totals 31.2 million acres, unchanged from May 1. Hard Red production is down 8 percent from a month ago to 659 million bushels. Soft Red is up slightly from last month, and now totals 357 million bushels. White production totals 248 million bushels, down 2 percent from last month. Of the White production total, 19.7 million bushels are Hard White and 228 million bushels are Soft White. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six Hard Red Winter states (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas) are below last year’s level in all six states. Condition ratings declined in the central and southern Great Plains states during May due primarily to continued drought conditions. Harvest was in full swing in both Texas and Oklahoma, with progress in Oklahoma running well ahead of normal. In Kansas, disease pressure is slightly above normal and localized frost damage from a late April freeze in the western and north central growing regions affected yield potential. Yield prospects are down from the previous month in all states in the HRW growing area except for Oklahoma.



WINTER WHEAT, KANSAS AND SELECTED STATES, JUNE 1, 2006

State

Acreage

Yield Per Acre

Production

Harvested

2005

For Harvest

2006

% of

Prev. Yr.

2005

2006

2005

2006

% of

Prev. Yr.

 

1,000 Acres

Percent

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

Percent

KANSAS

9,500

9,400

99

40.0

31.0

380,000

291,400

77

Washington

1,800

1,800

100

67.0

68.0

120,600

122,400

101

Montana

2,100

1,950

93

45.0

39.0

94,500

76,050

80

Oklahoma

4,000

3,100

78

32.0

22.0

128,000

68,200

53

Ohio

830

960

116

71.0

68.0

58,930

65,280

111

Idaho

730

710

97

91.0

86.0

66,430

61,060

92

Illinois

600

870

145

61.0

65.0

36,600

56,550

155

Nebraska

1,760

1,650

94

39.0

34.0

68,640

56,100

82

South Dakota

1,490

1,250

84

44.0

38.0

65,560

47,500

72

Missouri

540

870

161

54.0

53.0

29,160

46,110

158

United States

33,794

31,177

92

44.4

40.5

1,499,129

1,263,766

84

1/ Selected states based on top 10 states according to production of winter wheat.



Joel Golz and Dan Kolterman, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director