CROPS

 

KANSAS AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS SERVICE

Kansas Department of Agriculture

PO Box 3534

Topeka, KS 66601-3534

Phone: 785-233-2230

 

Released: November 9, 2006

Volume 06, No. 11

 

Sorghum Forecast Decreases, Corn and Soybeans Unchanged

 

Kansas corn production is forecast at 387.5 million bushels, unchanged from the previous forecast but 17 percent below last year’s crop.  Yields are expected to average 123 bushels per acre, also unchanged from the previous forecast but 12 bushels below last year’s yield.  Acreage harvested for grain, at 3.15 million, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 9 percent from 2005.

 

Sorghum grain production is expected to total 132.0 million bushels, down 8 percent from the October forecast and 32 percent below last year.  Yields are forecast to average 55 bushels per acre, down 5 bushels from October 1 and 20 bushels less than last year.  Acreage for harvest is expected to total 2.40 million, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 200,000 from 2005.

 

The soybean crop is expected to total 93.0 million bushels, unchanged from October 1 but 12 percent lower than last year’s crop.  Yields are expected to average 31 bushels per acre, unchanged from last month but 6 bushels less than last year’s yield.  Acreage for harvest is expected to total 3.00 million, unchanged from the previous month but 5 percent more than 2005.

 

Kansas Crop Production, November 1, 2006

Crop & Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

 

1,000 Acres

Per Units

(000)

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

10,000

9,800

9,500

9,100

    40

    32

380,000

291,200

Oats, bu. 3/

    100

  100

    40

    40

    59

    45

    2,360

    1,800

Barley, bu. 3/

    19

    24

    14

    18

    42

    27

       588

      486

Corn Grain, bu.

3,650

3,400

3,450

3,150

  135

  123

465,750

387,450

Sorghum Grain, bu.

2,750

2,650

2,600

2,400

    75

    55

195,000

132,000

Soybeans, bu.

2,900

3,150

2,850

3,000

    37

    31

105,450

  93,000

All Sunflowers, lbs 3/

   300

  152

  289

  141

1,564

1,208

452,100

170,300

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/

       13.0

       11.0

      12.5

       10.0

2,200

2,100

      275

      210

All Cotton, 480 lb. bales 4/

       74.0

      115.0

      66.0

     110.0

  638

  611

           87.7

        140.0

All Hay, tons 3/

-

 

2,900

2,900

          2.30

          1.90

    6,680

  5,500

                Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

  850

  900

          4.00

          3.00

    3,400

  2,700

                Other Hay, tons

-

-

2,050

2,000

          1.60

          1.40

    3,280

  2,800

1/  Planted for all purposes.  2/  Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels.  3/  Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.  4/  Yield in pounds.

 

U.S. Corn Down but Soybean Production Up Slightly From October

 

Corn for grain production is forecast at 10.7 billion bushels, down 1 percent from last month and 3 percent below 2005.  Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 151.2 bushels per acre, down 2.3 bushels from October but 3.3 bushels higher than last year.  If realized, the yield would be the second highest on record, behind 2004.  Acreage harvested and to be harvested for grain is forecast at 71.0 million acres, unchanged from October but down 5 percent from 2005.  The November 1 corn objective yield data indicate the second highest ear count on record for the combined ten objective yield states (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin), down 1 percent from the record high set in 2004.

 

Sorghum grain production is forecast at 288 million bushels, down 4 percent from last month and 27 percent below last year.  Based on November 1 conditions, the sorghum yield is forecast at 54.2 bushels per acre, down 2.4 bushels from October and down 14.5 bushels from last year.  The acreage to be harvested for grain is 5.32 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 7 percent from last year. 

 

Soybean production is forecast at 3.20 billion bushels, up slightly from October and 5 percent above 2005.  If realized, this would be the largest U.S. soybean crop on record.  Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 43.0 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushels from last month and equal to last year’s record high yield.  Growers expect to harvest 74.5 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast but up 5 percent from 2005.

 

United States Crop Production, November 1, 2006

Crop & Unit

Planted 1/

Harvested

Yield per Acre 2/

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

2005

2006

 

1,000 Acres

Per Units

(000)

All Wheat, bu. 3/

57,229

57,344

50,119

46,810

       42.0

38.7

 2,104,690

1,812,036

Winter Wheat, bu. 3/

40,433

40,575

33,794

31,117

       44.4

41.7

 1,499,129

1,298,081

Oats, bu. 3/

  4,246

  4,168

   1,823

  1,576

       63.0

59.5

    114,878

93,764

Barley, bu. 3/

  3,875

  3,452

   3,269

  2,951

       64.8

61.0

    211,896

180,051

Rye, bu. 3/

  1,433

  1,396

     279

    274

       27.0

26.3

        7,537

7,193

Corn Grain, bu.

81,759

78,561

75,107

71,047

     147.9

151.2

11,112,072

10,744,806

Sorghum Grain, bu.

  6,454

  6,319

  5,736

  5,319

       68.7

54.2

    393,893

288,470

Soybeans, bu.

72,032

75,565

71,251

74,505

       43.0

43.0

  3,063,237

3,203,908

All Sunflowers, lbs. 3/

  2,709

  1,984

  2,610

  1,864

1,540

1,134

  4,018,355

2,113,625

Dry Beans, cwt. 3/ 4/

  1,665.0

  1,648.8

     1,568.6

     1,562.4

1,744

1,523

      27,350

23,800

All Cotton, 480 lb. bales 3/ 4/

  14,245.4

  15,281.0

   13,802.6

   12,816.0

    831

798

         23,890.2

21,299.0

All Hay, tons 3/

-

-

61,649

62,697

          2.44

2.35

    150,590

147,038

                Alfalfa Hay, tons

-

-

22,389

22,407

          3.38

3.33

      75,771

74,527

                Other Hay, tons

-

-

39,260

40,290

          1.91

1.80

      74,819

72,511

1/  Planted for all purposes.  2/  Production divided by harvested acres and rounded to whole bushels.  3/  Estimate carried forward from earlier forecast.  4/  Yield in pounds.

 

 

USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

 

 

 

Kansas Crop Production Forecast, November 1, 2006, by Districts

Crop and District

Acres Planted,

All Purposes

Acres Harvested

for Grain

Yield

per Acre 1/

Production

2005

2006

2005

2006

% Prev.

Year

2005

2006

2005

2006

% Prev.

Year

 

------------ 1,000 Acres ------------

 

Bushels

1,000 Bushels

 

CORN

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

560

580

516

525

102

116

102

60,010

53,800

  90

West Central

320

290

282

255

  90

108

100

30,400

25,600

  84

Southwest

800

690

752

645

  86

185

186

139,020

120,200

  86

North Central

245

240

235

220

  94

122

100

28,600

22,000

  77

Central

135

130

125

115

  92

121

115

15,140

13,250

  88

South Central

390

340

377

320

  85

154

143

58,080

45,900

  79

Northeast

540

540

519

510

  98

130

111

67,550

56,700

  84

East Central

310

280

300

265

  88

105

91

31,610

24,200

  77

Southeast

350

310

344

295

  86

103

87

35,340

25,800

  73

                State

3,650

3,400

3,450

3,150

  91

135

123

465,750

387,450

  83

SOYBEANS

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northwest

57

61

52

55

106

43

41

2,235

2,282

102

West Central

18

22

17

21

124

32

43

537

913

170

Southwest

100

112

98

109

111

55

55

5,409

5,975

110

North Central

319

375

314

352

112

42

33

13,089

11,790

  90

Central

210

240

207

225

109

30

30

6,307

6,860

109

South Central

278

310

273

300

110

40

36

10,789

10,948

101

Northeast

593

650

589

624

106

45

38

26,478

24,019

  91

East Central

673

710

660

692

105

35

27

22,889

19,024

  83

Southeast

652

670

640

622

  97

28

18

17,717

11,189

  63

                State

2,900

3,150

2,850

3,000

105

37

31

105,450

93,000

  88

1/ Production divided by harvested acres rounded to whole bushels.

 

 

 

Joel Golz & Dan Kolterman, Agricultural Statisticians

Eldon J. Thiessen, Director

Eddie Wells, Deputy Director