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July 11, 2008

Missouri Wheat Production Down 4 Percent

COLUMBIA, MO - Winter wheat production in Missouri is forecast at 58.2 million bushels, based on conditions as of July 1, 2008, down 4 percent from the June 1 forecast. This would be 54 percent above the 2007 crop and 19 percent above 2 years ago. Estimated acreage for harvest, at 1.12 million acres, is unchanged from June 1 and 240,000 acres more than the 880,000 acres harvested in 2007. As of July 1, the average yield is forecast at 52.0 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from last month and 9.0 bushels per acre over last year’s average. “With harvest approaching completion, producers are enjoying above average yields after they battled abnormal weather conditions throughout the spring and summer,” said Gene Danekas, Director, Missouri Agricultural Statistics.

U.S. Winter Wheat Production Up 3 Percent

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.86 billion bushels. This is up 3 percent from last month and 23 percent above 2007. The U.S. yield is forecast at 46.3 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from last month and 4.1 bushels from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain totals 40.3 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2008 but up 12 percent from last year.

Hard Red, at 1.04 billion bushels, is up 1 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter, at 607 million bushels, is up 6 percent from the last forecast. White Winter is up 1 percent from last month and now totals 218 million bushels. Of this total, 23.3 million bushels are Hard White and 194 million bushels are Soft White.

Missouri Wheat Production and Yield
By District
Area Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Production
2007 20081/ 2007 20081/ 2007 20081/ 2007 20081/
  -thousands- -thousands- -bu/acre- -thousand bu.-
NW 65 70 50 64 40.0 44 2,000 2,800
NC 95 100 83 96 51.1 45 4,240 4,275
NE 133 140 124 129 57.0 53 7,070 6,795
WC 150 170 125 167 38.0 44 4,750 7,390
C 134 140 111 127 45.5 52 5,050 6,545
EC 77 80 66 70 44.1 51 2,910 3,550
SW 130 150 104 142 28.7 50 2,980 7,030
SC 11 15 7 14 30.0 51 210 710
SE 225 335 210 311 41.1 62 8,630 19,145
State 1,050 1,200 880 1,120 43.0 52 37,840 58,240
1/ July 1 Forecast