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November 9, 2011

Missouri Crop Production Forecast Unchanged From Previous Month

(COLUMBIA, MO) -“The end of a very unusual growing season is welcomed after late planting, floods, drought, and hail,” said Gene Danekas, Director of the Missouri Agricultural Statistics Service.  “Despite the extreme conditions experienced throughout Missouri, producers are expecting the fourth largest soybean harvest on record and the eighth largest corn harvest.”

Corn production in Missouri is forecast at 359 million bushels, down 3 percent from last year’s crop.  The projected yield of 115 bushels per acre is 8 bushels per acre below the 123 bushels per acre yield of 2010.  If realized, this will be the eighth largest corn crop on record.


Missouri soybean production is forecast at 194 million bushels based on November 1 conditions, 8 percent below 2010.  A State yield average of 37 bushels per acre is expected, 4.5 bushels per acre below last year.  This would be the fourth largest soybean crop on record.

Rice yield in Missouri is forecast at a record 7,200 pounds per acre, 720 pounds per acre more than the 2010 yield.  Even with the record yield, production is only expected to total 9.22 million cwt., 43 percent less than 2010 due to the large drop in harvested acres. Harvested acres are expected to total 128,000 acres compared with 251,000 acres harvested in 2010.

Cotton production in Missouri is forecast at 860,000 bales, 26 percent above last year’s production.  The forecast yield of 1,131 pounds is 63 pounds per acre above last year’s yield.  This would be the largest yield on record.

Missouri grain sorghum production is forecast at 2.80 million bushels, an increase of 9 percent from last year.  The State yield forecast of 80 bushels per acre is up 2 bushels per acre from last year.

United States Corn and Soybean Production down From October

Corn production in the United States is forecast at 12.3 billion bushels, down 1 percent from the October forecast and down 1 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the fourth largest production total on record for the United States. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 146.7 bushels per acre, down 1.4 bushels from the October forecast and down 6.1 bushels from 2010. If realized, this will be the lowest average yield since 2003. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 83.9 million acres, unchanged from the October forecast.

U. S. soybean production is forecast at 3.05 billion bushels, down slightly from the October forecast and down 9 percent from last year. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.3 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushel from last month and down 2.2 bushels from last year. If realized, the average yield will be the second lowest since 2003. Area for harvest is forecast at 73.7 million acres, unchanged from October but down 4 percent from 2010.

U. S. rice production is forecast at 188 million cwt, up 1 percent from October but 23 percent below last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.62 million acres, unchanged from October but 27 percent lower than 2010. The average United States yield is forecast at 7,167 pounds per acre, up 44 pounds from last month and 442 pounds above last year.

All cotton production in the U. S. is forecast at 16.3 million 480-pound bales, down 2 percent from the October forecast and down 10 percent from last year. Yield is expected to average 794 pounds per harvested acre, down 18 pounds from last year. Upland cotton production is forecast at 15.6 million 480-pound bales, down 12 percent from 2010.

U. S. sorghum production is forecast at 246 million bushels, up 1 percent from last month but down 29 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the lowest production level since 1956. Area harvested for grain is forecast at 4.43 million acres, unchanged from the previous forecast but down 8 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the lowest harvested acreage level since 1936. Based on November 1 conditions, yield is forecast at 55.5 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month but down 16.3 bushels from last year.


 

Missouri Soybean Production and Yield
By District
Area Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Production
2010 20111/ 2010 20111/ 2010 20111/ 2010 20111/
  -thousands- -thousands- -bu/acre- -thousand bu.-
NW 979 980 957 946 43.1 42.5 41,234 39,980
NC 702 665 682 661 39.9 40.0 27,217 26,500
NE 805 750 795 747 43.2 27.5 34,317 20,590
WC 579 575 574 562 40.2 34.0 23,064 19,150
C 538 615 533 603 45.6 44.5 24,283 26,980
EC 327 325 322 317 46.8 31.5 15,070 10,030
SW 171 270 169 251 34.6 21.0 5,850 5,300
SC 43 50 41 49 30.3 33.5 1,241 1,650
SE 1,006 1,120 997 1,114 38.2 39.5 38,129 44,070
STATE 5,150 5,350 5,070 5,250 41.5 37.0 210,405 194,250
1/ November 1 Forecast

 

Missouri Corn Production and Yield
By District
Area Acres Planted Acres Harvested Yield Production
2010 20111/ 2010 20111/ 2010 20111/ 2010 20111/
  -thousands- -thousands- -bu/acre- -thousand bu.-
NW 737.0 805 696.0 760 125.6 127 87,396 96,400
NC 345.5 375 323.0 355 104.3 126 33,702 44,600
NE 559.0 565 531.0 535 106.4 104 56,500 55,400
WC 334.0 385 320.0 365 121.9 88 39,019 32,000
C 391.0 445 376.0 420 128.5 129 48,328 54,300
EC 232.0 215 224.5 205 134.2 97 30,129 19,800
SW 126.5 150 120.9 142 127.2 48 15,376 6,800
SC 21.0 20 17.6 18 102.4 106 1,802 1,900
SE 404.0 340 391.0 320 145.1 149 56,748 47,600
STATE 3,150.0 3,300 3,000.0 3,120 123.0 115 369,000 358,800
1/ November 1 Forecast