August 1 Crop Production Forecast
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| Released: August 12, 2009 For more information contact: John Hilton at 1-800-835-2612. Crop Contacts: Lindsey Houska for oats; Christel Pachl for spring wheat, durum wheat, and sugar beets; Thomas Chard for hay; Carmen Pennington for winter wheat, barley, and dry edible beans. |
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| Montana's all wheat production is up 9 percent from last
month's forecast, due to higher expected yields for spring and durum wheat.
Based on August 1 conditions, growers expect to produce 167.0 million
bushels of all wheat, up from the 164.7 million bushels produced last
year. The area for harvest is expected to be 5.2 million acres, unchanged
from last month, but 4 percent below last year. These are the last small
grain forecasts until the final small grains summary is published on September
30, 2009. Winter wheat yield is expected to be 37.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from July, but down 2 bushels per acre from last year. Production forecast is unchanged from July at 87.0 million bushels compared with 94.4 million bushels last year. Acreage expected to be harvested is unchanged from the July forecast, but is down 70,000 acres from last year to 2,350,000 acres. For the week ending August 9, winter wheat was 42 percent harvested compared with 41 percent last year and the five-year average of 69 percent. Spring wheat production in Montana is forecast to be 66.4 million bushels, up 11 percent from last year's production. The expected yield of 28.0 bushels per acre is up 4 bushels from last month and last year. Rainfall and cooler conditions during July improved expected yields. Acres for harvest are unchanged from July at 2,370,000, but down 110,000 from last year. Harvest is just underway with 1 percent complete compared with 11 percent last year and 24 percent for the five-year average. Durum wheat production is forecast to be 13.7 million bushels, up 26 percent from last year and up 37 percent from July. The expected yield of 26.0 bushels per acre is up 7 bushels from last month and last year. Harvested acres are down 8 percent from 2008 to 525,000 acres. Barley yields are expected to average 50.0 bushels per acre in 2009, 1 bushel below last year, but 3 bushels per acre above July. Barley production is forecast to be 35.0 million bushels compared with 37.7 million bushels produced last year. Growers expect to harvest 700,000 acres, down 40,000 from 2008. Harvest was 3 percent complete for the week ending August 9, compared with 12 percent last year and 27 percent for the five-year average. Oat producers expect to produce 1.8 million bushels for grain, 17 percent higher than last year. The 2009 area for harvest is expected to be 35,000 acres, up 5,000 acres from 2008. The expected yield of 51.0 bushels per acre is unchanged from last year's yield, but 5 bushels higher than the July forecast. Harvest was 13 percent complete for the week ending August 9, compared with 25 percent last year and 33 percent for the five-year average. Sugar beet production is forecast to be 1,092,000 tons, up 33 percent from last year. The expected yield, at 28.8 tons per acre, is up 2.0 tons per acre from 2008. If realized, this would be the highest yield on record. Producers expect to harvest 37,900 acres, up 7,200 acres from last year. Dry edible bean producers expect to harvest 11,600 acres this year, up 1,800 acres from last year and up 1,600 acres from June. Yield is estimated at 2,090 pounds per acre, 140 pounds per acre higher than the previous year. All dry bean production is expected to be 243,000 cwt, up 52,000 cwt from last year. Producers planted 9,600 acres of pinto beans, up 1,000 acres from 2008. Alfalfa hay in Montana is expected to yield 2.1 tons per acre in 2009, up 0.2 ton per acre from the previous year. Producers plan to harvest 1.65 million acres, up 50,000 acres from last year. Production is expected to reach 3.5 million tons, a 14 percent increase from 2008. The average yield for other hay is forecast to be 1.5 tons per acre, up 0.2 ton per acre from last year. Production of other hay is forecast at 1.2 million tons, up 15 percent from 2008. All wheat production in the United States, at 2.18 billion bushels, is up 3 percent from the July forecast but down 13 percent from 2008. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 43.3 bushels per acre, up 1.4 bushels from last month but 1.6 bushels below last year. U.S. Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.54 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the July 1 forecast but down 18 percent from 2008. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 44.2 bushels per acre, up 0.4 bushel from last month but 3.0 bushels below last year. Expected grain area totals 34.8 million acres, down 12 percent from last year but unchanged from last month. Other spring wheat production in the United States is forecast at 548 million bushels, up 8 percent from July and up slightly from 2008. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.5 bushels per acre, up 3.2 bushels from last month and 1.0 bushel above last year. If realized, this will be the third highest yield on record. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 13.2 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 2 percent from last year. U.S. durum wheat production is forecast at 98.0 million bushels, up 21 percent from last month and 15 percent above 2008. The U.S. yield is forecast at 39.9 bushels per acre, 6.8 bushels above last month and 7.1 bushels above last year. If realized, this will be a record yield, 0.2 bushel higher than the previous record set in 1992. Area harvested for grain is expected to total 2.45 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 5 percent from last year. Barley production for 2009 is forecast at 207 million bushels, up 2 percent from the previous forecast but down 14 percent from 2008. Based on conditions as of August 1, the average yield for the U.S. is forecast at 65.8 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from the previous forecast and 2.2 bushels from a year ago. Area harvested for grain or seed, at 3.14 million acres, is unchanged from the previous forecast but down 17 percent from 2008. Record setting yields are expected in Arizona, Kansas, and Wyoming, while a record tying yield is expected in Idaho. U.S. oat production is forecast at 92.0 million bushels, slightly above the July 1 forecast and 4 percent above last year's record low 88.6 million bushels. If realized, this will be the third lowest production on record. Based on conditions as of August 1, the yield is forecast at 64.5 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month's forecast and up 1.0 bushel from 2008. Growers expect to harvest 1.43 million acres for grain or seed, unchanged from last month but up 2 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the second smallest harvested area on record. U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 24.4 million cwt for 2009, down 5 percent from last year and 2007. Planted area is forecast at 1.48 million acres, up 2 percent from the June Acreage report but down 1 percent from a year ago. Harvested area is forecast at 1.39 million acres, down slightly from June and 4 percent below the previous year's harvested acreage. The average U.S. yield is forecast at 1,750 pounds per acre, down 18 pounds from 2008. Production of sugar beets for the 2009 crop year is forecast at 32.5 million tons, up 21 percent from last year and 2 percent above 2007. Production forecasts increased from last year in all estimating States except Michigan. Planted area is estimated at 1.19 million acres, up 1 percent from the June Acreage report and 9 percent above last year. Growers expect to harvest 1.15 million acres, up 2 percent from the June forecast and up 15 percent from last year. Expected yield is forecast at 28.2 tons per acre, up 1.5 tons from 2008. If realized, this will set a new record high yield. Record yields are expected in California, Colorado, Minnesota, Montana, Oregon, and Wyoming, while a record tying yield is expected in North Dakota. Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures hay production in the United States is forecast at 73.0 million tons, up 5 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.48 tons per acre, slightly higher than the 3.32 tons last year. Harvested area is forecast at 21.0 million acres, unchanged from June but down 2,000 acres from the previous year's acreage. U.S. Other hay production is forecast at 79.0 million tons, up 4 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 2.01 tons per acre, up 0.06 tons from last year. Harvested area, at 39.2 million acres, is unchanged from June but up 113,000 acres from the previous year. Corn production in the United States is forecast at 12.8 billion bushels, up 5 percent from last year but 2 percent lower than 2007. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 159.5 bushels per acre, up 5.6 bushels from last year. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record, behind 2004, and production will be the second largest, behind 2007. Growers expect to harvest 80.0 million acres for grain, down slightly from June but up 2 percent from last year. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
August 1, 2009 Crop Production Forecast,
Montana and U.S.
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