July 1 Crop Production
Forecast  |
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| Released: July 10, 2009 For more information contact: Steve Anderson at 1-800-835-2612. Crop contacts: Christel Pachl for spring and durum wheat, and potatoes, Carmen Pennington for winter wheat, barley, dry peas, Austrian winter peas, and lentils, Lindsey Houska for oats. |
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| Based on July 1 conditions, Montana's all wheat production
is expected to be 153.8 million bushels, down 7 percent from last year.
The area for harvest for all wheat is expected to be 5.2 million acres,
down 4 percent from last year. Winter wheat production is forecast to
be 87.0 million bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Winter wheat yield
is forecast to be 37.0 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from last year.
Seven percent of the winter wheat has turned color for the week ending
July 5 compared with 8 percent last year and 38 percent for the five-year
average. The first spring wheat production forecast is 56.9 million bushels, down 4 percent from last year's production due to lower harvested acreage. The expected yield of 24.0 bushels per acre is unchanged from last year. The harvested acres are expected to be 2.37 million acres, down 110,000 acres from last year. For the week ending July 5, the spring wheat crop was 18 percent headed compared with 34 percent last year and 47 percent for the five-year average. Durum wheat production is forecast to be 10.0 million bushels, down 8 percent from last year. The expected yield of 19.0 bushels per acre is unchanged from last year. Harvested acreage is expected to be 525,000 acres, down 8 percent from 2008. Barley yields are expected to average 47.0 bushels per acre in 2009, 4 bushels below last year. Barley production is forecast to be 32.9 million bushels compared with 37.7 million bushels last year. Growers expect to harvest 700,000 acres, down 40,000 acres from 2008. Barley crop progress is behind last year, with 74 percent reaching boot stage and 28 percent headed. Oat growers expect to produce 1.6 million bushels of grain, 5 percent more than last year. The 2009 harvested acreage is expected to be 35,000 acres, up 5,000 acres from 2008. The expected yield of 46.0 bushels per acre is 5 bushels below last year's yield. Dry edible pea producers in Montana planted 240,000 acres, down 2 percent from a year ago. Producers are expecting to harvest 222,000 acres. Austrian winter pea producers planted 10,000 acres and expect to harvest 3,000 acres, unchanged from last year. Lentil growers planted 125,000 acres this year, up 42,000 acres from last year and expect to harvest 120,000 acres, up 41,000 acres. Montana potato producers planted 11,000 acres in 2009, up slightly from last year. The first forecast of potato production will be on November 10, 2009. The U.S. winter wheat production is forecast at 1.52 billion bushels, up 2 percent from last month, but down 18 percent from 2008. The U.S. yield is forecast at 43.8 bushels per acre, down 0.1 bushel from last month and down 3.4 bushels from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain totals 34.8 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2009 but down 12 percent from last year. Hard Red Winter production, at 903 million bushels, is up 4 percent from a month ago. Soft Red Winter, at 414 million bushels, is down slightly from the last forecast. White Winter is down slightly from last month and now totals 208 million bushels. Of this total, 22.4 million bushels are Hard White and 186 million bushels are Soft White. Durum wheat production is forecast at 81.2 million bushels, down 4 percent from 2008. The U.S. yield is forecast at 33.1 bushels per acre, 0.3 bushel above last year. Expected area to be harvested for grain totals 2.45 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2009 but down 5 percent from last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 506 million bushels, 7 percent below 2008. The expected area to be harvested for grain totals 13.2 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2009 but down 2 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is forecast at 38.3 bushels per acre, down 2.2 bushels from 2008. Of the total production, 470 million bushels are Hard Red Spring wheat, down 8 percent from last year. U.S. barley production for 2009 is forecast at 203 million bushels, down 15 percent from 2008. Based on conditions as of July 1, the average yield for the United States is forecast at 64.7 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from a year ago. Area harvested for grain or seed, at 3.14 million acres, is down 17 percent from 2008. Record setting yields are expected in Arizona, Utah, and Wyoming, while a record tying yield is expected in Idaho. Oats production is forecast at 91.3 million bushels, 3 percent above last year's record low 88.6 million bushels. If realized, this will be the third lowest production on record. Based on conditions as of July 1, the yield is forecast at 64.0 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from 2008. Growers expect to harvest 1.43 million acres for grain or seed, up 2 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the second smallest harvested area on record. Planted area of dry edible peas in the U.S. is estimated at 880,700 acres, virtually unchanged from last year. Area for harvest, at 840,900 acres, is 1 percent below a year ago. Austrian winter peas planted area is estimated at 20,500 acres, up 17 percent from a year ago. Area harvested is forecast at 9,700 acres, up 21 percent from a year ago. Lentils planted area estimated at 410,000 acres, 51 percent above 2008. If realized, this will be the largest planted acreage since the 429,000 planted acres reported in 2006. Harvested area is estimated at 399,000 acres, up 52 percent from last year. U.S. area planted to fall potatoes in 2009 is estimated at 932,900 acres, up slightly from the 2008 crop year. Harvested area is forecast at 922,700 acres, also up slightly from 2008. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
July 1, 2009 Crop Production Forecast, Montana and U.S.
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