ne-agri-facts NEBRASKA AGRI-FACTS Issued Twice Monthly by: NEBRASKA Agricultural Statistics Service P.O. Box 81069 Location: 273 Federal Bldg Lincoln, NE 68501 Phone: (402) 437-5541 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Nebraska Department of Agriculture USDA,National Ag Statistics Service Merlyn Carlson, Director William G. Hamlin, State Statistician ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Issue 10/2001 Released: 05/23/2001 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Dear producers and other data users: Information contained herein is the result of mail, phone and personal interview surveys conducted during the past few weeks. Special recognition and appreciation are extended to all producers and agribusinesses who provided data making these reports possible. William G. Hamlin State Statistician Nebraska Cattle on Feed Up Slightly Nebraska feedlots with capacities of 1,000 or more head contained 2.25 million cattle on feed on May 1. This inventory was up slightly from last year and 6% above May 1, 1999. Fed cattle marketings for the month of April totaled 345,000 head, down 9% from both last year and two years ago. Placements during April totaled 250,000, down 22% from last year and 26% below 1999. Other disappearance during April totaled 5,000 head compared with 10,000 head during April 2000 and 20,000 during April 1999. U.S. Cattle on Feed Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 11.17 million head on May 1, 2001. Placements in feedlots during April totaled 1.55 million. Net placements were 1.46 million. During April, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 600 pounds were 334,000, 600-699 pounds were 384,000, 700-799 pounds were 494,000, and 800 pounds and greater were 339,000. During April, marketings of fed cattle totaled 1.82 million and other disappearance totaled 89,000. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States, 2000-2001 May 1 April April April Other STATE Number on Feed 1/ Placements Marketings Disappearance 2/ 2001/ 2001/ 2001/ 2001/ 2000 2001 2000 2000 2001 2000 2000 2001 2000 2000 2001 2000 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % Arizona* 276 308 112 34 27 79 28 25 89 3 3 100 California* 405 435 107 56 60 107 49 50 102 7 10 143 Colorado* 1,210 1,170 97 195 160 82 170 170 100 5 10 200 Idaho 315 330 105 49 56 114 43 53 123 11 3 27 Iowa* 370 380 103 40 37 93 44 41 93 1 1 100 Kansas* 2,230 2,380 107 380 350 92 400 395 99 30 35 117 Nebraska* 2,240 2,250 100 320 250 78 380 345 91 10 5 50 New Mexico 90 83 92 16 12 75 19 25 132 0 1 0 Oklahoma 360 345 96 70 51 73 88 72 82 2 4 200 So. Dakota 180 215 119 16 27 169 33 25 76 3 2 67 Texas* 2,660 2,640 99 445 440 99 530 520 98 15 10 67 Washington 218 254 117 40 37 93 32 39 122 1 1 100 Other States 390 380 97 46 44 96 59 55 93 2 4 200 United States 10,944 11,170 102 1,707 1,551 91 1,875 1,815 97 90 89 99 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. *Historical 7 States. 2001 Wheat Production Up 3 Percent from Last Year Nebraska's 2001 winter wheat crop is forecast at 61.2 million bushels, based on May 1 conditions, up 3% from last year's crop. Average yield is forecast at 36 bushels per acre, unchanged from last year's yield but 1.4 bushels below the ten-year average. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 1.7 million acres, up 3% from last year. This would be 94 percent of the planted acres, same as last year but up from the ten-year average of 92 percent. The crop came through the winter months with only limited damage. As of May 1, topsoil moisture supplies were rated mostly adequate while subsoil moisture rated adequate to short. Disease and insect pressure to date was light. May 1 Hay Stocks Down 67% from Last Year May 1 hay stocks of 500,000 tons were 67% below last year's holdings and the lowest since 1949. Winter conditions limited use of stalk fields which resulted in a further drawdown of short hay supplies. May 1, 2001 Estimates and Comparative Data for Nebraska and the United States Classification ------Nebraska------ -------United States------- 1999 2000 2001 1/ 1999 2000 2001 1/ Winter Wheat Harvested for Grain 2/ Percent 89.0 94.0 94.0 82.0 81.0 78.0 For harvest 1,000 Acres 1,700 1,650 1,700 35,486 35,022 32,088 Yield Bushels 48.0 36.0 36.0 47.8 44.6 41.8 Production 1,000 Bushels 81,600 59,400 61,200 1,696,580 1,562,733 1,341,381 All Hay Farm Stocks 1,000 Tons 1,306 1,500 500 24,817 28,817 21,106 1/ Forecasted. 2/ Percent of seeded acreage. Winter Wheat: Acreage, Yield, and Production By Nebraska Agricultural Districts 2000-2001 1/ Winter Wheat District Planted Acres Acres Harvested Yield Production 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels Northwest 780.0 807.0 739.9 159.0 36.2 33.1 26,805.1 25,096.0 North 14.0 12.0 13.3 11.5 41.1 36.0 546.0 414.0 Northeast 2.0 3.0 1.7 2.5 34.9 35.0 59.4 88.0 Central 26.0 25.0 24.7 23.5 38.4 39.0 948.9 917.0 East 25.0 23.0 24.4 21.5 33.4 33.0 814.5 710.0 Southwest 550.0 570.0 518.8 547.0 34.4 40.0 17,850.5 21,880.0 South 193.0 200.0 177.6 185.0 42.5 37.0 7,539.8 6,845.0 Southeast 160.0 160.0 149.6 150.0 32.3 35.0 4,835.8 5,250.0 Nebraska 1,750.0 1,800.0 1,650.0 1,700.0 36.0 36.0 59,400.0 61,200.0 1/ Preliminary 2000 estimates and 2001 forecasts as of May 1, 2001. Winter Wheat -- Acreage, Yield and Production -- Selected States Area Harvested Yield per Production State Acre 2000 2001* 2000 2001* 1999 2000 2001* 1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels Colorado 2,350 2,050 29.0 34.0 103,200 68,150 69,700 Kansas 9,400 8,400 37.0 34.0 432,400 347,800 285,600 Missouri 950 780 52.0 50.0 44,160 49,400 39,000 Montana 1,350 1,090 33.0 34.0 36,860 44,550 37,060 NEBRASKA 1,650 1,700 36.0 36.0 81,600 59,400 61,200 Oklahoma 4,200 3,600 34.0 27.0 150,500 142,800 97,200 South Dakota 1,280 550 42.0 33.0 59,220 53,760 18,150 Texas 2,200 2,900 30.0 30.0 122,400 66,000 87,000 Washington 1,800 1,750 73.0 63.0 96,860 131,400 110,250 United States 35,022 32,088 44.6 41.8 1,696,580 1,562,733 1,341,381 * Forecasted May 1, 2001. U.S. Grains Supply and Disappearance Outlook --------SUPPLY------------ ------MARKET YEAR-------- ----DISAPPEARANCE 1/*---- Market CROP Begin- Domestic Year Average YEAR Pro- ning Im- Primary Ex- Ending Market duction stocks ports Total Use 2/ Other ports Total Stocks* Price Million bushels $/bu. Corn 1999/00 9,431 1,787 15 11,232 5,664 1,913 1,937 9,515 1,718 1.82 2000/01 9,968 1,718 7 11,693 5,825 1,970 1,900 9,695 1,998 1.80-1.90 2001/02 9,575 1,998 10 11,583 5,700 2,040 1,925 9,665 1,918 1.65-2.05 Soybeans 1999/00 2,654 348 4 3,006 1,579 164 973 2,716 290 4.63 2000/01 2,770 290 3 3,063 1,595 183 990 2,768 295 4.40 2001/02 2,985 295 3 3,283 1,625 178 980 2,783 500 3.90-4.50 Wheat 1999/00 2,299 946 95 3,339 925 376 1,090 2,390 950 2.48 2000/01 2,223 950 90 3,263 950 384 1,100 2,434 829 2.63 2001/02 1,961 829 95 2,886 960 335 1,000 2,295 591 2.75-3.35 Sorghum 1999/00 595 65 --- 660 284 55 256 595 65 1.57 2000/01 470 65 --- 535 230 35 215 480 55 1.75-1.85 2001/02 575 55 --- 630 285 60 230 575 55 1.50-1.90 * Projections for 2000 and 2001 crops are USDA's World Outlook Board expectations of supply and disappearance as of May 10, 2001. Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year begins: Corn, Sorghum & Soybeans, September 1; Wheat, June 1. 2/ Primary uses: Corn & Sorghum = Feed; Soybeans = Crushing; Wheat = Food. POTATO STOCKS The 15 major potato States held a record high 111 million cwt of potatoes on May 1, 2001, up 28% from last year and 8% above the previous record set May 1, 1997. Disappearance, at a record high 350 million cwt, was up 5% from last year and 3% above the previous record set during the 1996 season. Shrink and loss, to this point in the season, was 37.6 million cwt, up 29% from the last two years. Potatoes used for processing to May 1 totaled 170 million cwt, up 1% from last year. April processing of 18.7 million cwt was 2% above last year. 2000 FALL POTATO CROP State Production Total Stocks May. 1, 2001 Thousand cwt. California 3,741 800 Colorado 27,972 7,400 Idaho 152,320 45,000 Maine 17,920 4,000 Michigan 14,963 700 Minnesota 21,240 5,800 Montana 3,503 750 NEBRASKA 10,127 1/ 875 New York 5,964 1/ North Dakota 26,950 6,300 Ohio 1,134 1/ Oregon 30,683 10,000 Pennsylvania 3,510 100 Washington 108,000 26,000 Wisconsin 33,800 3,700 TOTAL 15 STATES 461,827 111,425 1/ Combined to prevent possible disclosure of individual operations. April Milk Production Milk production in the 20 major States during April totaled 12.2 billion pounds, down 1.9% from production in these same States in April 2000. March revised production, at 12.4 billion pounds, was down 2.3% from March 2000. Production per cow in the 20 major States averaged 1,572 pounds for April, 21 pounds below April 2000. The number of milk cows on farms in the 20 major States was 7.74 million head, 45,000 head less than April 2000, and 12,000 head less than March 2001. Estimated Milk Production: U.S. 2000-2001 by Month Cumulative Month 2000 2001 2000 2001 Million Pounds Million Pounds January 12,259 12,062 12,259 12,062 February 11,694 11,112 23,953 23,174 March 12,687 12,401 36,640 35,575 April 12,411 12,172 49,051 47,747 May 12,758 61,809 June 12,082 73,891 July 12,205 86,096 August 11,928 98,024 September 11,451 109,475 October 11,813 121,288 November 11,385 132,673 December 11,855 144,528 Milk Production and Value -- Nebraska & United States, 1999-2000 Number Production of Milk and Milkfat 2/ Sold to Plants & Dealers of Per Milk Cow Percent -Total Production- Total Price Receipts YEAR Milk Milk Milkfat of Fat Milk Milkfat Utilized per from Cows 1/ in Milk on Farms Sold 100 lbs. Sales Thousand ---Pounds--- Percent ------------Million pounds-------- Dollars 1,000 dol. Nebraska 1999 74 15,392 571 3.71 1,139 42.3 13 1,126 13.40 150,884 2000 77 16,260 602 3.70 1,252 46.3 13 1,239 11.70 144,963 United States 1999 9,156 17,772 652 3.67 162,716 5,974.5 1,328 161,387 14.38 23,207,099 2000 9,210 18,204 670 3.68 167,658 6,175.2 1,312 166,346 12.40 20,621,983 1/ Average number during year, excluding heifers not yet fresh. 2/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. U.S. Cold Storage Highlights Frozen food stocks in refrigerated warehouses on April 30, 2001, were greater than the year earlier levels for fruit, orange juice and potatoes. Total red meat supplies in freezers were slightly below March 2001 and 17% below April 2000. Frozen pork stocks were 2% above last month but were 17% below last year. Total frozen poultry supplies were up 5% from last month but were 17% below last year's level. Stocks on April 30 for selected items and changes from last year and last month follow: Percent of Stocks April March Commodity 1,000 lbs 2000 2001 Total red meats 786,517 83 100 Beef 319,974 81 96 Pork 441,218 83 102 Poultry 1,056,051 83 105 Turkey 395,104 95 111