ne-agri-facts NEBRASKA AGRI-FACTS Issue 18/2003 Released: 09/16/2003 by USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service William G Hamlin, State Statistician Dean C Groskurth, Deputy State Statistician ------------------------------------------------------------------------ P.O Box 81069 Location: 298 Federal Bldg Lincoln, NE 68501 Phone: (402) 437-5541 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dear producers and other data users: Information contained herein is the result of mail, phone and personal interview surveys conducted during the past few weeks. Special recognition and appreciation are extended to all producers and agribusinesses who provided data making these reports possible. William G. Hamlin State Statistician Crop Summary Nebraska corn production based on conditions as of September 1, 2003, is forecast at 1.05 billion bushels, 11 percent more than the crop of 2002 with an average yield expected at 137 bushels per acre, 9 bushels above last year. Dryland yields are best in the Northeastern counties but disappointing across the south and west. Soybean production is forecast at 181 million bushels, the second highest of record, and 3 percent above last year. Yield, at 39 bushels per acre, would be just above the 38.5 bushels of 2002. Sorghum production is forecast at 27 million bushels, 80 percent above last year. Yield, at 53 bushels per acre, is expected to be 3 bushels higher than last year. Sugarbeet production of 907 thousand tons is up 19 percent from 2002. Yield, at 20.7 tons per acre, would be the highest in 13 years. U.S. corn production is forecast at 9.94 billion bushels, based on September 1, 2003 conditions, 10 percent above 2002. Yields are expected to average 138.5 bushels per acre, up 8.5 bushels from 2002. If realized, both production and yield would be the second largest on record. Soybean production is forecast at 2.64 billion bushels, 3 percent below 2002 and the lowest production since 1996. Yields are expected to average 36.4 bushels per acre, 1.4 bushels below 2002. Sorghum production is forecast at 410 million bushels, up 11 percent from last year. Yield, at 51.0 bushels per acre, is expected to be up 0.3 bushel from last year. Sugarbeet production is forecast at 30.7 million tons, 11 percent above last year's production. Yield, at 22.8 tons per acre, would be the highest in three years. Crop Summary: Acres Harvested, Yield and Production, Nebraska and United States, 2001-2003 ------------Nebraska------------ ---------United States----------- Classification 2003/ 2003/ 2001 2002 2003 1/ 2002 2001 2002 2003 1/ 2002 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corn for Grain Harvested 1,000 Acres 7,750 7,350 7,650 104 68,808 69,313 71,815 104 Yield Bushels *147.0 128.0 137.0 107 138.2 130.0 138.5 107 Production 1,000 Bushels 1,139,250 940,800 1,048,050 111 9,506,840 9,007,659 9,944,418 110 Soybeans for Beans Harvested 1,000 Acres *4,900 4,580 4,650 102 72,975 72,160 72,626 101 Yield Bushels 45.5 38.5 39.0 101 39.6 37.8 36.4 96 Production 1,000 Bushels *222,950 176,330 181,350 103 2,890,682 2,729,709 2,642,644 97 Sorghum for Grain Harvested 1,000 Acres 425 300 510 170 8,584 7,299 8,041 110 Yield Bushels 84.0 50.0 53.0 106 59.9 50.7 51.0 101 Production 1,000 Bushels 35,700 15,000 27,030 180 514,524 369,758 410,145 111 Sugarbeets Harvested 1,000 Acres 41.4 42.0 43.8 104 1,243.4 1,361.1 1,348.1 99 Yield Tons 20.3 18.1 20.7 114 20.7 20.4 22.8 112 Production 1,000 Tons 840 760 907 119 25,764 27,718 30,673 111 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Forecasted September 1, 2003. *Record. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, September 11, 2003. Corn and Soybeans: Yield and Production, Selected States and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted September 1, 2003 ------------------Corn--------------------- --------------Soybeans------------------ Yield per Yield per State Acre Production Acre Production 2002 2003 1/ 2001 2002 2003 1/ 2002 2003 1/ 2001 2002 2003 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bushels 1,000 bushels Bushels 1,000 bushels Illinois 136.0 154.0 1,649,200 1,496,000 1,686,300 43.0 42.0 477,900 449,780 443,100 Indiana 121.0 145.0 884,520 631,620 797,500 41.0 43.0 273,910 235,750 227,900 Iowa 165.0 154.0 1,664,400 1,963,500 1,863,400 48.0 39.0 480,480 494,880 403,650 Kansas 116.0 120.0 387,350 290,000 318,000 23.0 20.0 87,360 58,420 52,000 Minnesota 157.0 151.0 806,000 1,051,900 989,050 43.5 37.0 266,400 308,850 277,500 Missouri 105.0 101.0 345,800 283,500 287,850 34.0 29.0 186,200 170,000 142,100 Nebraska 128.0 137.0 1,139,250 940,800 1,048,050 38.5 39.0 222,950 176,330 181,350 Ohio 88.0 145.0 437,460 252,560 464,000 30.0 42.0 187,780 141,300 183,960 So. Dakota 95.0 105.0 370,600 304,000 430,500 31.0 30.0 143,040 126,790 121,500 United States 130.0 138.5 9,506,840 9,007,659 9,944,418 37.8 36.4 2,890,682 2,729,709 2,642,644 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Forecasted September 1, 2003. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, September 11, 2003. U.S. Grains Supply and Disappearance Outlook --------Supply------------ -------Market Year-------- -----Dispppearance 1/----- Market Crop Begin- Domestic Year Average Year Pro- ning Im- Primary Ex- Ending Market duction stocks ports Total Use 2/ Other ports Total Stocks Price ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Million bushels $/bu. Corn 2001/02 9,507 1,899 10 11,416 5,861 2,054 1,905 9,820 1,596 1.97 2002/03 9,008 1,596 15 10,619 5,700 2,310 1,600 9,610 1,009 2.30 2003/04 3/ 9,944 1,009 10 10,964 5,625 2,475 1,800 9,900 1,064 2.10-2.50 Soybeans 2001/02 2,891 248 2 3,141 1,700 170 1,064 2,933 208 4.38 2002/03 2,730 208 4 2,942 1,615 147 1,040 2,802 140 5.50 2003/04 3/ 2,643 140 4 2,787 1,555 156 940 2,652 135 5.25-6.15 Wheat 2001/02 1,957 876 108 2,941 926 274 964 2,164 777 2.78 2002/033 1,616 777 77 2,471 918 208 854 1,979 492 3.56 2003/04 3/ 2,292 492 80 2,864 910 260 1,050 2,220 644 3.10-3.50 Sorghum 2001/02 515 42 0 556 208 45 242 495 61 1.94 2002/03 370 61 0 431 165 45 180 390 41 2.30 2003/04 3/ 410 41 0 451 175 50 190 415 36 2.10-2.50 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Marketing year begins: Corn, Sorghum & Soybeans, September 1; Wheat, June 1. 2/ Primary uses: Corn & Sorghum = Feed; Soybeans = Crushing; Wheat = Food. 3/ Projection. Source: USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, September 11, 2003.