ne-agri-facts NEBRASKA AGRI-FACTS Issue 10/2004 Released: 05/21/2004 by USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Mark Harris, Director Dean C. Groskurth, Deputy Director ------------------------------------------------------------------------ P.O Box 81069 Location: 298 Federal Bldg Lincoln, NE 68501 Phone: (402) 437-5541 e-mail: nass-ne@nass.usda.gov Internet: http://www.nass.usda.gov/ne/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dear producers and other data users: Information contained herein is the result of mail, phone and personal interview surveys conducted during the past few weeks. Special recognition and appreciation are extended to all producers and agribusinesses who provided data making these reports possible. Mark Harris State Director ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nebraska Cattle on Feed Up 1 Percent Nebraska feedlots with capacities of 1,000 or more head contained 2.1 million cattle on feed on May 1, up 1 percent from last year but 3 percent below May 1, 2002. Placements of cattle into feedlots during April totaled 320,000, unchanged from 2003 but 23 percent above 2002. Marketings of fed cattle during April totaled 420,000 head, the same as last year but 11 percent above April two years ago. Other disappearance during April totaled 10,000 compared with 10,000 during April 2003 and 10,000 during April 2002. U.S. Cattle on Feed Down 2 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 10.36 million head on May 1, 2004. The inventory was 2 percent below May 1, 2003 and 6 percent below May 1, 2002. Placements in feedlots during April totaled 1.60 million, 14 percent below 2003 but 10 percent above 2002. Marketings of fed cattle during April totaled 1.89 million, 5 percent below both 2003 and 2003. Other disappearance totaled 97,000 during April, 54 percent above 2003 and 17 percent above 2002. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States, 2003-2004 May 1 April April April Other Number on Feed 1/ Placements Marketings Disappearance 2/ 2004/ 2004/ 2004/ 2004/ STATE 2003 2004 2003 2003 2004 2003 2003 2004 2003 2003 2004 2003 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % Arizona 269 295 110 32 31 97 40 27 68 1 2 200 California 470 500 106 61 75 123 63 67 106 3 3 100 Colorado 1,000 940 94 200 155 78 165 175 106 5 10 200 Idaho 275 250 91 45 45 100 49 47 96 1 3 300 Iowa 370 415 112 57 57 100 60 53 88 2 4 200 Kansas 2,270 2,240 99 420 355 85 450 440 98 20 35 175 Nebraska 2,080 2,100 101 320 320 100 420 420 100 10 10 100 New Mexico 101 105 104 21 14 67 24 11 46 1 3 300 Oklahoma 330 310 94 68 51 75 75 68 91 3 3 100 So. Dakota 210 200 95 31 26 84 29 28 97 2 3 150 Texas 2,680 2,560 96 540 415 77 520 480 92 10 15 150 Washington 170 160 94 25 24 96 34 33 97 1 1 100 Other States 310 285 92 50 35 70 56 45 80 4 5 125 United States 10,535 10,360 98 1,870 1,603 86 1,985 1,894 95 63 97 154 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Source: USDA NASS Cattle on Feed, May 21, 2004. 2004 Wheat Production Down 14 Percent from Last Year Based on May 1 conditions, Nebraska's 2004 winter wheat crop is forecast at 72.2 million bushels, down 14 percent from last year's crop. Average yield is forecast at 39 bushels per acre, down 7 bushels from last year’s yield and near the ten-year average. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 1.85 million acres, up 2 percent from last year. This would be 95 percent of the planted acres, below last year at 96, but above the ten-year average of 94 percent. As of May 4, topsoil moisture supplies were rated short to very short in the major wheat growing areas. Disease and insect pressure to date has been light. May 1 Hay Stocks Up from Last Year May 1 hay stocks of 1.6 million tons are up 83 percent from last year and are at the highest level since 1987. Winter Wheat and Hay Stocks: Comparative Data, Nebraska and United States, 2002-2004 -------Nebraska------- --------United States------- Classification 2002 2003 2004 1/ 2002 2003 2004 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Harvested for Grain 2/ Percent 92.1 95.8 94.9 71.2 81.3 80.9 For harvest 1,000 Acres 1,520 1,820 1,850 29,742 36,541 35,082 Yield Bushels 33.0 46.0 39.0 38.2 46.7 44.2 Production 1,000 Bushels 50,160 83,720 72,150 1,137,001 1,707,069 1,550,395 All Hay Farm Stocks 1,000 Tons 1,250 870 1,596 22,458 22,013 25,865 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Winter wheat forecasted May 1, 2004. 2/ Percent of seeded acreage. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, May 12, 2004. Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield and Production, Selected States and United States, 2003-2004 Acres Harvested Yield Production State 2003 20041 2003 20041 2003 20041 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels Colorado 2,200 1,800 35.0 30.0 77,000 54,000 Kansas 10,000 9,000 48.0 41.0 480,000 369,000 Missouri 870 950 61.0 55.0 53,070 52,250 Montana 1,720 1,600 37.0 33.0 63,640 52,800 Nebraska 1,820 1,850 46.0 39.0 83,720 72,150 Oklahoma 4,600 4,300 39.0 36.0 179,400 154,800 South Dakota 1,380 1,440 43.0 38.0 59,340 54,720 Texas 3,450 3,600 28.0 33.0 96,600 118,800 Washington 1,800 1,700 65.0 63.0 117,000 107,100 United States 36,541 35,082 46.7 44.2 1,707,069 1,550,395 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Forecasted May 1, 2004. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, May 12, 2004. U.S. GRAINS SUPPLY AND DISAPPEARANCE OUTLOOK ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------SUPPLY------------ ------MARKET YEAR-------- ----DISAPPEARANCE 1/*---- Market CROP Begin- Domestic Year Average YEAR Pro- ning Im- Primary Ex- Ending Market duction stocks ports Total Use 2/ Other ports Total Stocks Price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Million bushels $/bu. Corn 2002/03 8,967 1,596 14 10,578 5,558 2,340 1,592 9,491 1,087 2.32 2003/04 3/ 10,114 1,087 10 11,211 5,800 2,555 2,050 10,405 806 2.45-2.55 2004/05 3/ 10,425 806 15 11,246 5,725 2,680 2,100 10,505 741 2.55-2.95 Soybeans 2002/03 2,756 208 5 2,969 1,615 130 1,045 2,791 178 5.53 2003/04 3/ 2,418 178 8 2,604 1,475 114 900 2,489 115 7.65 2004/05 3/ 2,965 115 5 3,085 1,665 150 1,080 2,895 190 5.85-6.85 Wheat 2002/03 1,606 777 77 2,460 918 197 854 1,969 491 3.56 2003/04 3/ 2,337 491 75 2,903 900 307 1,170 2,377 526 3.40 2004/05 3/ 2,080 526 65 2,671 915 282 975 2,172 499 3.25-3.85 Sorghum 2002/03 361 61 0 422 169 24 186 193 43 2.32 2003/04 3/ 411 43 0 454 175 25 210 200 44 2.45-2.55 2004/05 3/ 455 44 0 499 190 35 225 225 49 2.50-2.90 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Marketing year begins: Corn, Sorghum & Soybeans, September 1; Wheat, June 1. 2/ Primary uses: Corn & Sorghum = Feed; Soybeans = Crushing; Wheat = Food. 3/ Projection. Source: USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, May 12, 2004. Potato Stocks Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, 15 Selected States, May 1, 2004 Total Stocks State Production May 1, 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Thousand Cwt. California 3,444 1,200 Colorado 23,652 3,600 Idaho 123,180 33,500 Maine 17,030 4,100 Michigan 15,015 1,600 Minnesota 22,330 5,500 Montana 3,339 500 Nebraska 1/ 9,860 New York 6,510 450 North Dakota 27,440 8,300 Ohio 1/ 1,290 Oregon 20,991 5,500 Pennsylvania 3,915 100 Washington 93,150 15,000 Wisconsin 32,800 3,800 Other States 1,650 Total 15 States 403,946 84,800 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Nebraska and Ohio combined into Other States. Source: USDA NASS Potato Stocks, May 14, 2004. Cold Storage Frozen food stocks in refrigerated warehouses on April 30, 2004, were greater than year earlier levels for frozen eggs, orange juice, vegetables and potatoes. Total red meat supplies in freezers were up slightly from last month, but down 4 percent from a year ago. Frozen pork stocks were down 1 percent from a month ago and down 13 percent from last year. Total frozen poultry supplies on April 30, 2004, were 7 percent higher than last month, but were 10 percent lower than a year ago. Total stocks of chicken were up 6 percent from last month, but down 12 percent from last year. Stocks on April 30 for selected items and changes from last year and last month follow: Stocks in Cold Storage: By Commodity, United States, April 2004 with Comparisons Percent of Stocks April March Commodity 1,000 lbs. 2003 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Total red meats 887,427 96 100 Beef 421,855 108 101 Pork 451,548 87 99 Poultry 1,183,849 90 107 Turkey 540,637 94 107 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Source: USDA NASS Cold Storage, May 20, 2004. Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 20 Selected States , 2003-2004 1/ Milk Production 3/ Milk Cows 2/ Milk per Cow 3/ 2004 as % Month 2003 2004 2003 2004 2003 2004 of 2003 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Thousands Pounds Million pounds Percent January 7,810 7,716 1,615 1,619 12,616 12,491 99 February 7,811 7,716 1,489 1,528 11,628 11,787 101 March 7,810 7,717 1,666 1,658 13,014 12,798 98 April 7,800 7,719 1,627 1,630 12,693 12,584 99 May 7,787 1,671 13,013 June 7,785 1,596 12,428 July 7,780 1,597 12,421 August 7,771 1,571 12,207 September 7,764 1,511 11,731 October 7,743 1,561 12,083 November 7,721 1,517 11,709 December 7,713 1,596 12,313 Annual 7,775 19,017 147,856 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ 2004 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Source: USDA NASS Milk Production, May 17, 2004. Milk Production and Value: Nebraska and United States, 2002-2003 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Number -----Production of Milk and Milkfat 1/------ Sold to Plants & Dealers of Per Milk Cow Percent -Total Production- Total Price Receipts YEAR Milk Milk Milkfat of Fat Milk Milkfat Utilized per from Cows 2/ in Milk on Farms Sold 100 lbs. Sales ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thousand ---Pounds--- Percent ------------Million pounds-------- Dollars 1,000 dol. Nebraska 20023 67 17,418 648 3.72 1,167 43.4 13 1,154 12.50 144,250 2003 64 17,641 651 3.69 1,129 41.7 12 1,117 13.00 145,210 United States 20023 9,139 18,608 685 3.68 170,063 6,263.9 1,119 168,944 12.18 20,582,238 2003 9,084 18,749 688 3.67 170,312 6,245.6 1,114 169,198 12.55 21,227,695 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 2/ Average number during year, excluding heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Revised. Source: USDA NASS Milk Production, Disposition and Income 2003 Summary, April 28, 2004.