ne-agri-facts NEBRASKA AGRI-FACTS Issue 10/2005 Released: 05/24/2005 by USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Mark Harris, Director Dean C. Groskurth, Deputy Director ------------------------------------------------------------------------ P.O Box 81069 Location: 298 Federal Bldg Lincoln, NE 68501 Phone: (402) 437-5541 e-mail: nass-ne@nass.usda.gov Internet: http://www.nass.usda.gov/ne/ ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dear Producers and Data Users: Information contained herein is the result of mail, phone and personal interview surveys conducted during the past few weeks. Special recognition and appreciation are extended to all producers and agribusinesses who provided data making these reports possible. Mark Harris Director For the PDF version of this report, go to the following address: http://www.nass.usda.gov/ne/agrifact/agf0510.pdf ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Nebraska Cattle on Feed Up 4 Percent Nebraska feedlots with capacities of 1,000 or more head contained 2.19 million cattle on feed on May 1, up 4 percent from last year and 5 percent above May 1, 2003. Placements of cattle into feedlots during April totaled 320,000, the same as the last two years. Marketings of fed cattle during April totaled 380,000 head, down 10 percent from last year and 2003. Other disappearance during April totaled 10,000 head, the same as April 2004 and 2003. U.S. Cattle on Feed Up 3 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head totaled 10.6 million head on May 1, 2005. The inventory was 3 percent above May 1, 2004 and 1 percent above May 1, 2003. Placements in feedlots during April totaled 1.66 million, 4 percent above 2004 but 11 percent below 2003. Marketings of fed cattle during April totaled 1.80 million, 5 percent below 2004 and 9 percent below 2003. Other disappearance totaled 90,000 during April, 7 percent below 2004 but 43 percent above 2003. Cattle on Feed: Number on Feed, Placements, Marketings and Other Disappearance, 1,000+ Capacity Feedlots, by Month, State, and United States, 2004-2005 May 1 April April April Other Number on Feed 1/ Placements Marketings Disappearance 2/ 2005/ 2005/ 2005/ 2005/ State 2004 2005 2004 2004 2005 2004 2004 2005 2004 2004 2005 2004 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % 1,000 Head % Arizona 295 328 111 31 31 100 27 24 89 2 2 100 California 500 500 100 75 64 85 67 59 88 3 5 167 Colorado 940 970 103 150 120 80 170 150 88 10 20 200 Idaho 250 240 96 45 39 87 47 37 79 3 2 67 Iowa 415 455 110 57 55 96 53 53 100 4 2 50 Kansas 2,240 2,260 101 355 375 106 440 425 97 35 30 86 Nebraska 2,100 2,190 104 320 320 100 420 380 90 10 10 100 New Mexico 105 114 109 14 19 136 11 16 145 3 2 67 Oklahoma 310 305 98 51 52 102 68 70 103 3 2 67 So. Dakota 200 200 100 26 27 104 28 31 111 3 1 33 Texas 2,560 2,630 103 415 500 120 480 480 100 15 10 67 Washington 175 147 84 26 19 73 35 30 86 1 1 100 Other States 285 300 105 35 39 111 45 46 102 5 3 60 United States 10,375 10,639 103 1,600 1,660 104 1,891 1,801 95 97 90 93 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Cattle and calves on feed are animals for slaughter market being fed a ration of grain or other concentrates and are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. 2/ Includes death losses, movement from feedlots to pastures and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Source: USDA NASS Cattle on Feed, May 20, 2005 2005 Wheat Production Up 25 Percent from Last Year Based on May 1 conditions, Nebraska's 2005 winter wheat crop is forecast at 76.5 million bushels, up 25 percent from last year's crop. Average yield is forecast at 45 bushels per acre, up 8 bushels from last year and 5 bushels above the ten-year average. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 1.7 million acres, up 3 percent from last year. This would be 94 percent of the planted acres, compared to 89 percent last year and the ten-year average of 93 percent. As of May 1, soil moisture supplies were above a year ago and the 5-year average level with crop development about a week ahead of normal. Disease and insect pressure to date has been light. The May 1 wheat condition was rated 67 percent good to excellent, the highest early May condition since 1999. May 1 Hay Stocks Down from Last Year May 1 hay stocks of 1.38 million tons are down 14 percent from last year but up 58 percent from two years ago. Winter Wheat and Hay Stocks: Comparative Data, Nebraska and United States, 2003-2005 -------Nebraska------- --------United States------- Classification 2003 2004 2005 1/ 2003 2004 2005 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Winter Wheat Harvested for Grain 2/ Percent 95.8 89.2 94.4 81.0 79.5 84.3 For harvest 1,000 Acres 1,820 1,650 1,700 36,753 34,462 35,069 Yield Bushels 46.0 37.0 45.0 46.7 43.5 45.4 Production 1,000 Bushels 83,720 61,050 76,500 1,716,721 1,499,434 1,590,862 All Hay Farm Stocks 1,000 Tons 870 1,596 1,375 22,013 25,947 27,708 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Winter wheat forecasted May 1, 2005. 2/ Percent of seeded acreage. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, May 12, 2005 Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield and Production, Selected States and United States, 2004-2005 Acres Harvested Yield Production State 2004 2005 1/ 2004 2005 1/ 2004 2005 1/ ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels Colorado 1,700 2,450 27.0 35.0 45,900 85,750 Kansas 8,500 9,600 37.0 44.0 314,500 422,400 Missouri 930 600 52.0 52.0 48,360 31,200 Montana 1,630 2,050 41.0 41.0 66,830 84,050 Nebraska 1,650 1,700 37.0 45.0 61,050 76,500 Oklahoma 4,700 4,300 35.0 34.0 164,500 146,200 South Dakota 1,250 1,400 45.0 45.0 56,250 63,000 Texas 3,500 3,500 31.0 30.0 108,500 105,000 Washington 1,750 1,850 67.0 68.0 117,250 125,800 United States 34,462 35,069 43.5 45.4 1,499,434 1,590,862 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Forecasted May 1, 2005. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, May 12, 2005 U.S. Grains Supply and Disappearance Outlook ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --------Supply------------ ------Market Year-------- ----Disappearance 1/----- Market Crop Begin- Domestic Year Average Year Pro- ning Im- Primary Ex- Ending Market duction stocks ports Total Use 2/ Other ports Total Stocks Price ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Million bushels $/bu. Corn 2003/04 10,089 1,087 14 11,190 5,798 2,537 1,897 10,232 958 2.42 2004/05 11,807 958 10 12,775 6,000 2,760 1,800 10,560 2,215 2.00-2.10 2005/06 3/ 10,985 2,215 10 13,210 5,850 2,870 1,950 10,670 2,540 1.55-1.95 Soybeans 2003/04 2,454 178 6 2,638 1,530 116 880 2,525 112 7.34 2004/05 3,141 112 5 3,258 1,650 153 1,100 2,903 355 5.65 2005/06 3/ 2,895 355 3 3,253 1,690 149 1,125 2,964 290 4.70-5.70 Wheat 2003/04 2,345 491 63 2,899 907 287 1,159 2,353 546 3.40 2004/05 2,158 546 70 2,775 890 294 1,050 2,234 541 3.39 2005/06 3/ 2,185 541 70 2,796 890 278 950 2,118 678 2.55-3.05 Sorghum 2003/04 411 43 0 454 180 40 201 421 34 2.39 2004/05 455 34 0 488 195 52 175 422 66 1.65-1.75 2005/06 3/ 405 66 0 471 170 53 180 403 68 1.35-1.75 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Marketing year begins: Corn, Sorghum & Soybeans, September 1; Wheat, June 1. 2/ Primary uses: Corn & Sorghum = Feed; Soybeans = Crushing; Wheat = Food. 3/ Projection. Source: USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, May 12, 2005 Fall Potatoes: Production and Stocks, May 1, 2005 1/ Crop of 2004 Total Stocks State Production May 1, 2005 2/ 1,000 Cwt. 1,000 Cwt ------------------------------------------------------------------------ California 3,876 500 Colorado 23,148 4,600 Idaho 131,970 38,500 Maine 19,220 5,100 Michigan 13,650 1,100 Minnesota 18,920 5,100 Montana 3,551 400 Nebraska 9,288 New York 5,184 North Dakota 26,765 7,200 Ohio 1,080 Oregon 19,775 3,400 Pennsylvania 2,640 Washington 93,810 15,500 Wisconsin 30,450 3,900 Other States 1,690 Total 15 States 403,327 86,990 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1/ Stocks include processor holdings and most of the seed to plant following year's crops. 2/ Missing stocks combined into "Other States". Source: USDA NASS Potato Stocks, May 16, 2005 Stocks in Cold Storage: By Commodity, United States, April 2005 with Comparisons Percent of Stocks April March Commodity 1,000 lbs. 2004 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Total red meats 906,548 103 97 Beef 326,697 78 88 Pork 563,464 126 104 Poultry 1,145,409 96 105 Turkey 450,427 82 108 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Source: USDA NASS Cold Storage, May 20, 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 2005 Midyear Surveys Interviewers will begin visiting and telephoning producers May 31. These midyear surveys are the basis for the official USDA statistics on planted area, grain and oilseeds stored, and hog inventories. Please take a few minutes to respond, if contacted. Your response ensures accurate official USDA statistics. Individual information is kept strictly confidential, by law. Mark Harris Director USDA RELEASE DATES Jun. 24, 2:00 pm CST Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Jun. 30, 7:30 am CST Acreage Jun. 30, 7:30 am CST Grain Stocks Survey results will be available on the Internet at http://www.usda.gov/nass/ within minutes after the release. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Milk Cows and Production: By Month, 23 Selected States , 2004-2005 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Milk Cows 2/ Milk per Cow 3/ Milk Production 3/ Month 2005 as % 2004 2005 2004 2005 2004 2005 of 2004 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,000 1,000 Pounds Pounds Million Million Percent Head Head pounds pounds January 8,044 8,083 1,624 1,640 13,061 13,258 102 February 8,051 8,076 1,531 1,519 12,329 12,270 100 March 8,059 8,095 1,661 1,702 13,387 13,779 103 April 8,063 8,107 1,636 1,679 13,194 13,612 103 May 8,064 1,692 13,641 June 8,083 1,607 12,988 July 8,096 1,623 13,143 August 8,102 1,601 12,970 September 8,104 1,533 12,426 October 8,103 1,583 12,824 November 8,102 1,531 12,404 December 8,097 1,610 13,037 Annual 8,081 19,232 155,404 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ 2005 revised. 2/ Includes dry cows, excludes heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. Source: USDA NASS Milk Production, May 17, 2005 Milk Production and Value: Nebraska and United States, 2003-2004 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Number -----Production of Milk and Milkfat 1/------ Sold to Plants & Dealers of Per Milk Cow Percent -Total Production- Total Price Receipts Year Milk Milk Milkfat of Fat Milk Milkfat Utilized per from Cows 2/ in Milk on Farms Sold 100 lbs. Sales ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thousand ---Pounds--- Percent ------------Million pounds-------- Dollars 1,000 dol. Nebraska 2003 64 17,641 651 3.69 1,129 41.7 12 1,117 13.00 145,210 2004 61 17,230 636 3.69 1,051 38.8 11 1,040 16.20 168,480 United States 2003 3/ 9,083 18,760 688 3.67 170,394 6,248.7 1,119 169,276 12.55 21,238,737 2004 9,010 18,957 696 3.67 170,805 6,265.8 1,105 169,699 16.13 27,367,858 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Excludes milk sucked by calves. 2/ Average number during year, excluding heifers not yet fresh. 3/ Revised. Source: USDA NASS Milk Production, Disposition and Income 2003 Summary, April 28, 2005