ne-agri-facts Released: 09/15/2005 Issue 18/2005 NEBRASKA AGRI-FACTS USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service Nebraska Field Office 100 Centennial Mall North, Suite 298, Lincoln, Nebraska 68508 Phone: 402-437-5541 E-mail: nass-ne@nass.usda.gov Internet: www.usda.gov/nass/ Mark Harris, Director Dean Groskurth, Deputy Director ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dear producers and other data users: Information contained herein is the result of mail, phone and personal interview surveys conducted during the past few weeks. Special recognition and appreciation are extended to all producers and agribusinesses who provided data making these reports possible. Mark Harris Director ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Crop Summary Nebraska corn production based on conditions as of September 1, 2005, is forecast at 1.30 billion bushels, 3 percent above last month but 2 percent below last year making this the second highest production of record. Yield is forecast at 160 bushels per acre, 4 bushels above last month but 6 bushels below last year's record high. Soybean production is forecast at 218 million bushels, unchanged from last month but 1 percent below last year and third highest on record behind 2001 and 2004. Yield is forecast at 44 bushels per acre, unchanged from August but down 2.5 bushels from 2004's record high. Sorghum production is forecast at 22.4 million bushels, up 8 percent from the August forecast but 33 percent below last year. Yield forecast, at 83 bushels per acre, is up 6 bushels from the previous month and up 2 bushels from last year. U.S. corn production is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, based on September 1, 2005 conditions, up 3 percent from last month but 10 percent below 2004. Yields are expected to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from August but 17.2 bushels below the record high last year. Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the August forecast but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August. Sorghum production is forecast at 398 million bushels, up 5 percent from last month but down 13 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 66.0 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from August but down 3.8 bushels from last year. Crop Summary: Acres Harvested, Yield and Production, Nebraska and United States, 2003-2005 -------------Nebraska------------- -----------United States-------------- Classification 2005/ 2005/ 2003 2004 2005 1/ 2004 2003 2004 2005 1/ 2004 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corn for Grain Harvested 1,000 Acres 7,700 7,950 8,100 102 70,944 73,632 74,318 101 Yield Bushels 146.0 *166.0 160.0 96 142.2 160.4 143.2 89 Production 1,000 Bushels 1,124,200 *1,319,700 1,296,000 98 10,089,222 11,807,217 10,638,661 90 Soybeans for Beans Harvested 1,000 Acres 4,500 4,750 4,950 104 72,476 73,958 72,184 98 Yield Bushels 40.5 46.5 44.0 95 33.9 42.5 39.6 93 Production 1,000 Bushels 182,250 220,875 217,800 99 2,453,665 3,140,996 2,856,449 91 Sorghum for Grain Harvested 1,000 Acres 500 415 270 65 7,798 6,517 6,030 93 Yield Bushels 62.0 81.0 83.0 102 52.7 69.8 66.0 95 Production 1,000 Bushels 31,000 33,615 22,410 67 411,237 454,899 397,721 87 Sugarbeets Harvested 1,000 Acres 42.4 47.5 45.7 96 1,347.4 1,306.9 1,242.8 95 Yield Tons 20.3 22.1 20.1 91 22.8 22.9 21.2 93 Production 1,000 Tons 861 1,050 919 88 30,710 29,956 26,296 88 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Forecasted September 1, 2005. *Record. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, September 12, 2005. Corn and Soybeans: Yield and Production, Selected States and United States, 2003-2004 and Forecasted September 1, 2005 ------------------Corn--------------------- --------------Soybeans------------------ Yield per Yield per State Acre Production Acre Production 2004 2005 1/ 2003 2004 2005 1/ 2004 2005 1/ 2003 2004 2005 1/ ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bushels 1,000 bushels Bushels 1,000 bushels Illinois 180.0 136.0 1,812,200 2,088,000 1,625,200 50.5 41.0 379,620 499,950 395,650 Indiana 168.0 149.0 786,940 929,040 841,850 52.0 45.0 204,060 287,040 246,150 Iowa 181.0 169.0 1,868,300 2,244,400 2,137,850 49.0 45.0 342,875 497,350 452,250 Kansas 150.0 130.0 300,000 432,000 403,000 41.0 36.0 57,040 111,110 100,800 Minnesota 159.0 157.0 970,900 1,120,950 1,099,000 33.5 41.0 238,400 236,175 274,700 Missouri 162.0 103.0 302,400 466,560 303,850 45.0 33.0 146,025 223,200 166,650 Nebraska 166.0 160.0 1,124,200 1,319,700 1,296,000 46.5 44.0 182,250 220,875 217,800 Ohio 158.0 141.0 478,920 491,380 454,020 47.0 44.0 164,780 207,740 194,920 So.Dakota 130.0 116.0 427,350 539,500 452,400 34.0 33.0 115,500 140,080 132,000 United States 160.4 143.2 10,089,222 11,807,217 10,638,661 42.5 39.6 2,453,665 3,140,996 2,856,449 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Forecasted September 1, 2005. Source: USDA NASS Crop Production, September 12, 2005. U.S. Grains Supply and Disappearance Outlook --------Supply------------ -------Market Year-------- -----Dispppearance 1/----- Market Crop Begin- Domestic Year Average Year Pro- ning Im- Primary Ex- Ending Market duction stocks ports Total Use 2/ Other ports Total Stocks Price ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Million bushels $/bu. Corn 2003/04 10,089 1,087 14 11,190 5,795 2,537 1,900 10,232 958 2.42 2004/05 11,807 958 10 12,775 6,150 2,690 1,810 10,650 2,125 2.06 2005/06 3/ 10,639 2,125 10 12,774 5,825 2,870 2,000 10,695 2,079 1.70-2.10 Soybeans 2003/04 2,454 178 6 2,638 1,529 109 887 2,525 112 7.34 2004/05 3,141 112 5 3,258 1,700 169 1,095 2,963 295 5.75 2005/06 3/ 2,856 295 4 3,155 1,685 150 1,115 2,950 205 5.15-6.05 Wheat 2003/04 2,345 491 63 2,899 912 283 1,158 2,353 546 3.40 2004/05 2,158 546 71 2,775 907 266 1,063 2,235 540 3.40 2005/06 3/ 2,167 540 80 2,787 910 278 975 2,163 624 3.00-3.40 Sorghum 2003/04 411 43 0 454 182 40 199 421 34 2.39 2004/05 455 34 0 488 200 52 190 442 46 1.78 2005/06 3/ 398 46 0 444 165 53 180 398 46 1.50-1.90 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1/ Marketing year begins: Corn, Sorghum & Soybeans, September 1; Wheat, June 1. 2/ Primary uses: Corn & Sorghum = Feed; Soybeans = Crushing; Wheat = Food. 3/ Projection. Source: USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates, September 12, 2005. U.S. Agricultural Exports, by Leading States: Estimated Value by Commodity Group, FY 2004 Commodity United Leading 10 States, by value Group States 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Million Dollars Ca Ia Il Tx Ne Ks Mn Ar ND Wa Total 62,297.3 9,197.3 3,676.3 3,654.4 3,363.4 3,015.0 2,928.0 2,891.2 1,900.1 1,891.9 1,886.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Soybeans and Il Ia Mn In Ne Oh Mo SD Ar ND products 9,034.7 1,397.8 1,262.5 877.8 751.4 671.1 606.7 537.7 425.3 409.7 325.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Feed grains Ia Il Ne Mn In Ks Tx Oh SD Wi and products 8,104.4 1,369.5 1,340.2 876.6 718.0 580.1 401.5 356.6 353.6 329.0 272.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wheat and Ks ND Ok Mt Wa Mn Tx SD Ne Oh products 6,621.5 1,149.4 749.8 420.2 355.0 325.5 313.2 271.0 264.7 227.7 224.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vegetables Ca Wa Wi Mn Id Or Fl Mi ND Az and preps. 5,187.6 2,429.8 522.3 275.5 257.9 250.3 158.3 145.4 137.0 128.9 85.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cotton and Tx Ms Ga Ca Ar NC La Tn Al Mo linters 4,536.5 1,081.8 522.4 520.0 492.1 444.6 255.6 253.1 219.3 202.1 172.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Live animals Ia Ne Ks Tx NC Mn Il Ky In Ok and meat 4,420.3 725.0 520.8 343.2 327.1 255.2 250.2 247.0 197.2 164.3 127.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Fruit and Ca Fl Wa Or Mi NY Hi Tx Me Az preps. 3,807.8 2,086.7 596.9 533.0 106.4 84.7 61.8 46.2 45.3 25.7 22.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Poultry and Ga Ar NC Al Ms Tx In Va Ca SC products 2,512.6 274.2 272.9 229.5 228.1 176.3 135.8 77.6 75.3 70.1 69.2 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Feeds and Tx Ks Ne Ia Mn ND Mo Il Co Ok fodders 2,027.8 329.5 271.8 182.3 108.8 89.2 79.5 58.4 57.2 50.4 49.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ca Or Ga Tx NM Hi Az La Al Ms Tree nuts 1,887.8 1,731.4 39.8 28.5 26.6 20.9 10.7 8.6 7.6 3.0 2.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hides and Ne Ks Tx Wi Co Ca Ut Ia Mn Pa skins 1,766.8 350.4 322.3 279.8 115.1 110.6 64.2 57.4 55.9 54.8 51.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Dairy Ca Wi NY Pa Id Mn NM Mi Tx Wa products 1,321.2 282.1 170.8 90.1 77.8 70.3 62.7 51.9 48.8 46.5 41.9 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ar Ca La Ms Tx Mo Rice 1,318.3 588.5 355.9 154.9 90.9 68.1 60.1 na na na na -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tobacco, un- NC Ky Ga SC Tn Va manufactured 1,049.5 382.2 266.0 80.8 80.3 73.5 49.1 na na na na -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ca Or Ks In ND Nv Az Fl Ms Ia Seeds 1,005.1 201.5 111.2 66.3 58.8 41.9 35.9 35.7 35.1 31.3 26.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Animal Ne Ks Tx Ia Co Wi Ca Il Mn Pa fats 574.2 114.4 101.1 87.0 34.7 34.6 24.9 21.6 20.6 19.3 17.1 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Peanuts and Ga Tx Al Fl NC SC Va Ok NM products 218.7 93.9 39.8 28.6 18.7 18.3 5.8 5.3 5.3 3.1 na -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Sunflowerseed ND SD Ks Mn Co Tx Ne and oil 170.0 96.9 29.2 13.1 9.0 7.5 4.5 3.7 na na na -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cottonseed Tx Ms Ga Ar Ca La NC Al Tn Mo and prods. 108.2 26.2 12.6 11.9 11.2 11.0 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.1 4.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ca Fl Pa ND Il Wa Or Mn Oh Tx Other 6,624.1 1,078.4 368.7 337.9 318.0 315.8 310.1 212.1 156.6 153.2 125.3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- na = not applicable. Other = Sugar and tropical products, minor oilseeds, essential oils, beverages other than juice, nursery and greenhouse, wine, and misc. vegetable products. Source: USDA ERS http://www.ers.usda.gov/data/stateexports/top10sx.xls