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NEW YORK CROP

AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

Released:  July 2006
Monthly
No. 973-7-06

NEW YORK FIELD CROP ACREAGE - 2006

Corn planted for all purposes in New York is estimated at 970,000 in 2006, 2 percent less than acres planted in 2005. Acreage for grain is expected to total 450,000 acres, down 2 percent from the 460,000 acres harvested last year.  Soybean plantings are expected to total 190,000 acres, the same number of acres planted in 2005. An estimated 188,000 acres will be harvested for beans, the same as a year ago. Acreage for harvest for all types of dry hay is expected to total 1.81 million acres, up 10 percent from last year. Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures for dry hay, at 510,000 acres, is up 13 percent and acres for other types of dry hay, at 1.30 million acres, is up 8 percent from a year earlier.                                                        

Oats production in New York is estimated at 4.64 million bushels, up 15 percent above the 4.05 million bushels produced last year. Yields are forecast at 58 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from last year. Area for harvest is projected at 80,000 acres, up 6 percent from the previous year. Winter wheat production is estimated at 6.72 million bushels, up 24 percent from the 5.13 million bushels produced in 2005. Yields are forecast at 56 bushels per acre, down 3 bushels from the June 1 forecast and 2 bushels above last year. Harvested acreage is projected at 120,000 acres, up 26 percent from 2005.The first yield and production forecast for corn, soybeans, dry beans, and hay will be released on August 11.

U.S. CORN DOWN, SOYBEAN ACREAGE UP

U.S. Corn planted area for all purposes is estimated at 79.4 million acres, down 3 percent from 2005 and 2 percent below 2004.  Farmers increased corn plantings 2 percent from their March intentions.  Soybean planted area is estimated at 74.9 million acres, up 4 percent from last year.  Area for harvest, at 73.9 million acres, is also up 4 percent from 2005.  The planted area is down 3 percent from the March Prospective Plantings report. 

U.S. winter wheat production is forecast at 1.28 billion bushels. This is up 1 percent from last month but down 15 percent from 2005. The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.1 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushel from last month.  Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 31.1 million, down 8 percent from 2005

but unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2006.  Harvest progress, in the 18 major producing States, was 65 percent complete by July 2.  This was 9 percentage points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of the 5-year average.  U.S. oats production is forecast at 110 million bushels, 4 percent below last year's 115 million bushels.  If realized, this would be the lowest production on record.  The U.S. yield is forecast at 57.9 bushels per acre, down 5.1 bushels from 2005.  Growers expect to harvest 1.91 million acres for grain, up 5 percent from last year.   U.S. producers expect to harvest 62.7 million acres of all hay in 2006, up 2 percent from 2005.  Dry bean harvested acreage is estimated at 1.47 million, down 7 percent from last year but 20 percent above 2004. 

                Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

NEW YORK TART CHERRY FORECAST UP

New York’s 2006 tart cherry production is forecast at 9.5 million pounds.  This forecast is 27 percent above last year’s production of 7.5 million pounds but 11 percent below the 2004 crop.  Sweet cherry production is forecast at 1,100 tons, 38 percent above the 2005 crop and 22 percent above the 2004 crop.

New York's peach crop is forecast at 6,000 tons pounds, up 41 percent from the 4,250 tons produced last year.  U.S. peach production, excluding  California  Clingstones  that are  mostly  canned,  is expected  to  total  1.06  million  tons, 11 percent below last year.

FRUIT:  Indicated Production, New York and United States, with Comparisons

NEW YORK POTATO ACREAGE INCREASES

New York potato growers planted an estimated 20,600 acres of potatoes this year.  This is up 1 percent from 2005.  Acres for harvest are forecast at 20,100, the same as last year.  U.S. area planted to fall potatoes for 2006 is estimated at 990,500 acres, up 2 percent from last year.  Harvested acres are forecast at 974,400, up 3 percent from a year ago.

Stocks of Grain, United States, June 1, 2006, with Comparisons

Average GMO Estimates

U.S. HOG INVENTORY UP SLIGHTLY

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2006 was 60.9 million head. This was up slightly from June 1, 2005 and up 1 percent from March 1, 2006.  Breeding inventory, at 6.06 million head, was up 1 percent from both last year and from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 54.9 million head, was up slightly from last year and up 2 percent from last quarter.

The March-May 2006 pig crop, at 26.3 million head, was up 1 percent from 2005 and up 3 percent from 2004. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.90 million head, up 1 percent from both 2005 and 2004. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. 

The average pigs saved per litter was 9.08 for the March-May 2006 period, compared to 9.02 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.92 million sows farrow during the June-August 2006 quarter, up slightly from the actual farrowings in 2005, but up 1 percent from 2004. Intended farrowings for September-November 2006, at 2.92 million sows, are up one percent from both 2005 and 2004. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 38 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 40 percent last year.

JUNE PRICE CHANGES MIXED

Prices received by New York producers during June for selected commodities showed a mix of increases and decreases from a month earlier, according to Steve Ropel, Director of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, New York Office. The price of corn, wheat, apples and milk decreased.  The price of soybeans, hay, and eggs increased.  Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

Grain corn, at $2.36 per bushel, decreased 4 cents from May but was up 10 cents from last year.  Oat price, at $1.87 per bushel, was the same as May but decreased 24 cents from June last year.  Wheat price was $3.45, 31 cents below last month but 29 cents above last year.  Hay averaged $128.00 per ton, $5.00 more than May and $9.00 more than June 2005. Fresh market apple prices at the packinghouse door averaged 22.8 cents per pound this month, 1.6 cents less than May and 2.7 cents less than June 2005.

Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $12.20 per hundredweight of milk sold during June, down 20 cents from May and $2.70 from June a year ago.   Poultry producers received an average of 40 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 17 cents from May and 14 cents from June 2005.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in June at 118, based on 1990-92=100, increased 3 points (2.6 percent) from May.  The Crop Index is down 2 points (1.6 percent) but the Livestock Index increased 6 points (5.8 percent).  Producers received higher commodity prices for broilers, sweet corn, hogs, and broccoli.  Lower prices were received for lettuce, cantaloupe, corn, and strawberries.  The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased average marketings of oranges, tomatoes, strawberries, and sweet corn.  Preliminary All Farm Products Index is down 1 point (0.8 percent) from June 2005. 

                Prices Received by Farmers 1/

                Commercial Livestock Slaughter, May 1/

            JUNE MILK PRODUCTION DOWN SLIGHTLY

New York dairy herds produced 1.022 billion pounds of milk during June slightly decrease in production per cow was balanced by a slight increase in milk cows which resulted in the1 percent decrease in total milk production compared to June 2005. The number of milk cows averaged 649,000 head, up 2,000 head from June of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,575 pounds, down 15 pounds from the June 2005 rate. Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 14 billion pounds, up 1.9 percent from June 2005. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,695 pounds for June, 5 pounds above June 2005. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.27 million head, 128,000 head more than June 2005, and 9,000 head more than May 2006.

Dairy Briefs

Dairy Products Manufactured

                NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 4 PERCENT IN MAY

Egg production on New York farms totaled 97 million in May 2006, down 4 percent from last year.  The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.03 million, was down 2 percent from May 2005, and the rate of lay per 100 layers decreased 2 percent to 2,408 eggs per layer.

U.S. egg production totaled 7.63 billion during May 2006, up 1 percent from last year.  An indication of future egg supply, egg-type chicks hatched during May 2006 totaled 40.3 million, up 4 percent from May 2005.  Eggs in incubators totaled 37.4 million on June 1, 2006 up 10 percent from a year ago.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	May 2005	Apr. 2006	May 2006	May 2005	Apr. 2006	May 2006
		New York			United States
Number of layers	Thou.	4,117	4,042	4,028	341,819	348,154	344,735
Eggs per layer	No.	24.53	23.01	24.08	22.15	21.64	22.13
Eggs produced	Mil.	101	93	97	7,572	7,535	7,628
		North and South Atlantic States			United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	38,792	34,613	40,320
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	823,993	787,064	810,908
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
Egg-type	Thou.	8,878	9,986	11,101	34,064	36,952	37,384
Broiler-type	Thou.	253,935	255,143	255,683	668,018	658,351	660,638
1/ First day of following month. 2/  Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.