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NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

Released:  September 2006
Monthly
No. 973-9-06

NEW YORK CORN PRODUCTION DOWN

Based on conditions as of September 1, New York grain corn production is now expected to total 54.0 million bushels, down 5 percent from the 57.0 million bushels produced in 2005.  Acreage for harvest is estimated at 450,000 acres, 2 percent less than the 460,000 acres harvested for grain last year. Yields are expected to average 120 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from the August forecast, and 4 bushels below the 2005 forecast.  U.S. corn production is forecast at 11.1 billion bushels, up 1 percent from last month and fractionally above 2005.  Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 154.7 bushels per acre, up 2.5 bushels from August and 6.8 bushels from last year.  If realized, yield and production would be the second largest on record, behind 2004.  Forecast yields are higher than August across the northern Great Plains and western Corn Belt as moderate to heavy precipitation during the month improved soil moisture levels and crop conditions.  Expected yields across the eastern Corn Belt are unchanged from last month.  Farmers expect to harvest 71.8 million acres of corn for grain, down 250,000 acres from August and down 4 percent from 2005.

Soybean production in the State is forecast at 7.90 million bushels, the same as last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 188,000 acres, unchanged from 2005. Yields are expected to average 42 bushels per acre, tied with last month and last year’s record high.  U.S. soybean production is forecast at 3.09 billion bushels, up 6 percent from the August forecast and up slightly from the 2005 crop.  If realized, this would be the second highest production on record.  Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.8 bushels per acre, up 2.2 bushels from August but down 1.5 bushels from last year's record high yield.  Compared with last month, yields are forecast higher across the Corn Belt and most of the northern and central Great Plains.  Near or above normal moisture in those areas during August improved crop conditions.  In contrast, yields are down or unchanged from the August 1 forecast across the Gulf Coast States and Atlantic Coast States, with the exception of South Carolina.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

Crop	Unit	Planted acres		Acres for harvest		Yield per acre		Production
		2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006
		1,000 acres		1,000 acres		Units		1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain	bu.	990	970	460	450	124.0	120.0	57,040	54,000
Wheat, winter	bu.	100	130	95	120	54.0	57.0	5,130	6,840
Oats	bu.	95	105	75	80	54.0	63.0	4,050	5,040
Soybeans	bu.	190	190	188	188	42.0	42.0	7,896	7,896
Beans, dry 1/ 2/	lbs.	25	25	23.0	21.5	1,230.0	1,700.0	282	366
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	20.5	20.6	20.1	20.1	260	3/	5,226	3/
Hay, alfalfa	ton	450	510	450	510	2.1	2.4	945	1224
Hay, other	ton	1200	1300	1,200	1,300	1.4	1.65	1,680	2145
Apples	mil. lbs.	-	-	-	-	-	-	990	1,050
Grapes	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	198.0	149.0
Pears	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	15.5	15.5
Peaches	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	4.3	6.0
United States
Corn for grain	bu.	81,759	79,366	75,107	71,841	147.9	154.7	11,112,072	11,113,766
Wheat, winter	bu.	40,433	41,393	33,794	31,108	44.4	41.2	1,499,129	1,283,134
Oats	bu.	4,246	4,312	1,823	1,907	63.0	56.3	114,878	107,423
Barley	bu.	3,875	3,496	3,269	2,990	64.8	61.2	211,896	182,972
Soybeans	bu.	72,142	74,930	71,361	73,935	43.3	41.8	3,086,432	3,092,970
Beans, dry 1/ 2/	lbs.	1665.0	1607.3	1,568.6	1,519.0	1,744	1,534	27,350	23,301
Potatoes, summer	cwt.	53.4	59.4	51.4	54.8	342.0	342.0	17,567	18,731
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	967.7	990.5	949.0	974.4	403.0	3/	382,743	3/
Hay, alfalfa	ton	22,389	22,407	22,389	22,407	3.38	3.18	75,771	71,205
Hay, other	ton	39,260	40,290	39,260	40,290	1.91	1.77	74,819	71,121
Apples	mil. lbs.	-	-	-	-	-	-	9,864.9	9,619.7
Grapes	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	7,828.7	6,717.0
Pears	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	825.3	835.3
Peaches	ton	-	-	-	-	-	-	1,185	1,054

2006 TURKEY OUTPUT IN NEW YORK EXPECTED TO INCREASE

New York turkey producers expect to raise an estimated 640,000 turkeys during 2006, according to Stephen Ropel, Director of the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service, New York Field Office. This total will be 3 percent above the 620,000 birds raised in 2005.

The preliminary estimate of turkeys raised in the United States during 2006 is 265 million, up 3 percent from 2005.

Minnesota is expected to be the number one producing state with 45.0 million turkeys, up 1 percent from last year. North Carolina ranks second with 37.0 million, up 3 percent from 2005. Arkansas is in third place by producing 30.0 million birds, 3 percent more than a year ago. Virginia growers expect to produce 22.5 million birds in 2006, up 7 percent from 2005. Missouri at 21.5 million birds is up 5 percent from 2005. California growers expect to raise 16.0 million turkeys, 7 percent more than a year earlier.

CATTLE AND CALVES:  Number of cattle operations, by herd size,
New York, 2003-2005

Year	Herd Size
	1-49	50-99	100-499	500 plus	Total
	Number of operations
2003	8,200	3,000	3,900	400	15,500
2004	8,100	2,900	3,900	400	15,300
2005	7,600	3,000	3,700	400	14,700

CATTLE AND CALVES:  Percent of inventory, by herd size,
New York, 2003-2005

Year	Herd size
	1-49	50-99	100-499	500 plus
	Percent
2003	11.0	15.0	46.0	28.0
2004	10.0	15.0	45.0	30.0
2005	9.0	15.0	45.0	31.0

MILK COWS:  Number of milk cow operations, by herd size,
New York, 2003-2005

Year	Number of milk cows in herd
	1-29	30-49	50-99	100-199	200 plus	Total
	Number of operations
2003	1,400	1,300	2,700	1,100	600	7,100
2004	1,400	1,300	2,600	1,000	600	6,900
2005	1,400	1,300	2,500	890	610	6,700

MILK COWS:  Percent of inventory, by herd size,
New York, 2003-2005 

Year	1-29	30-49	50-99	100-199	200 plus
	Percent
2003	2.0	7.5	27.5	22.0	41.0
2004	2.0	7.5	27.0	20.5	43.0
2005	2.0	7.5	25.5	18.5	46.5

AUGUST PRICES DECREASED

Prices received by New York producers during August for selected commodities decreased from a month earlier.  The price of corn, oats, wheat, hay, and milk decreased.  The price of soybeans and eggs increased.  Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

Grain corn, at $2.32 per bushel, decreased 5 cents from July and 18 cents from last year. Oat price, at $1.52 per bushel, decreased 6 cents from July and 15 cents from August last year.  Wheat price was $2.67, 33 cents below last month and 70 cents below last year. Soybeans, at $5.37 per bushel, increased 7 cents from July but decreased 99 cents from August last year.  Hay averaged $123.00 per ton, $12.00 less than July but $19.00 more than August 2005. 

Dairy farmers in the State received an average of $12.20 per hundredweight of milk sold during August, 10 cents less than July and  $3.40 less than August a year ago.  Poultry producers received an average of 39 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 11 cents from July and 10 cents from August of last year.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in August, at 120 percent, based on 1990-92=100, increased 3 points (2.6 percent) from July. The Crop Index is up 3 points (2.4 percent) and the Livestock Index increased 5 points (4.5 percent). Producers received higher commodity prices for lettuce, broilers, tomatoes, and eggs. Lower prices were received for corn, soybeans, sorghum grain, and potatoes. The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased average marketings of cattle, grapes, calves, and sweet corn offset decreased marketings of wheat, hay, broilers, and canteloupe.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
		Aug. 2005	July 2006	Aug 2006	Aug. 2005	July 2006	Aug. 2006
		Dollars			Dollars
Corn	bu.	2.50	2.37	2.32	1.95	2.14	2.03
Oats	bu.	1.67	1.58	1.52	1.49	1.78	1.70
Wheat	bu.	3.37	3.00	2.67	3.24	3.89	3.88
Barley	bu.	1.90	1.90	1.90	2.50	2.70	2.69
Soybeans	bu.	6.36	5.30	5.37	6.15	5.61	5.24
Hay, baled	ton	104.00	135.00	123.00	99.70	107.00	106.00
Potatoes	cwt.	11.30	-	-	7.02	11.02	9.03
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	-	-	-	21.10	33.60	39.90
Milk, wholesale	cwt.	15.60	12.30	12.20	14.80	11.80	11.90
Milk cows 3/	head	-	1,580.00	-		1,680.00	-
Eggs, table market	doz.	0.293	0.280	0.390	0.266	0.248	0.388
Slaughter cows	cwt.	46.10	42.90	4/	51.40	46.60	46.90
Steers and heifers	cwt.	68.90	69.70	4/	87.70	90.40	91.80
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	47.20	44.10	4/	84.40	86.10	87.70
Calves	cwt.	136.90	148.80	4/	133.00	136.00	134.00
Hogs	cwt.	48.20	45.70	4/	51.00	50.20	51.60
Lambs	cwt.	100.80	92.80	4/	109.00	93.10	4/
Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					116	117	120
Prices paid					141	148	148
Ratio prices received to prices paid					82	79	81
1/  Mid-month price for current month.  Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/  New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/  Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/  Price available next month.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, July 1

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006
	1,000 head		1,000 head		Million pounds		Million pounds
Cattle	2.8	2.1	2,717.5	2,834.3	3.3	2.6	3,406.5	3,604.6
Calves	10.6	9.6	58.6	57.9	2.1	1.8	20.5	19.7
Hogs	2.6	2.8	7,662.2	7,884.8	.6	.6	2,025.5	2,090.1
Sheep and lambs	2.1	2.3	199.9	202.1	.2	.2	26.8	26.5
1/  Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants.  Excludes farm slaughter.

AUGUST MILK PRODUCTION DOWN SLIGHTLY

New York dairy herds produced 1.03 billion pounds of milk during August. A slight increase in production per cow was offset by a reduction in average milk cows resulting in a decline in total milk production compared to August 2005.  The number of milk cows averaged 643,000 head, down 4,000 head from August of the previous year.  Milk per cow averaged 1,605 pounds, up 5 pounds from the August 2005 rate.

Milk production in the 23 major States during August totaled 13.9 billion pounds, up 1.6 percent from August 2005. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,680 pounds for August, 9 pounds above August 2005. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.25 million head, 88,000 head more than August 2005, but 9,000 head less than July 2006.

Dairy Briefs

Item	Unit	New York			23 Major States
		Aug. 2005	July 2006	Aug. 2006	Aug. 2005	July 2006	Aug. 2006
Milk Production	Mil. lb.	1,035	1,038	1,032	13,640	13,925	13,861
Milk per cow	Lb.	1,600	1,605	1,605	1,671	1,686	1,680
No. of milk cows	Thou. hd.	647	647	643	8,162	8,259	8,250

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item	Unit	New York			United States
		July 2005	June 2006	July 2006	July 2005	June 2006	July 2006
Butter	Thou. lb.	1,295	1,158	1,268	95,929	100,779	92,725
American cheese	Thou. lb.	NA	NA	NA	315,977	337,024	328,578
Mozzarella cheese	Thou. lb.	14,108	16,388	16,806	243,304	261,675	254,881
Yogurt, plain & flavored	Thou. lb.	18,293	21,873	22,480	244,608	272,551	262,997
Ice cream, hard	Thou. gal.	3,131	3,023	2,051	87,054	87,898	85,446

NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 2 PERCENT IN JULY

Egg production on New York farms totaled 106 million in July 2006, up 2 percent from last year due to an increase in the rate of lay.  The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.21 million, was down 2 percent from July 2005, and the rate of lay per 100 layers increased 4 percent to 2,519 eggs per layer.

U.S. egg production totaled 7.64 billion during July 2006, up 1 percent from last year.   An indication of future egg supply, egg-type chicks hatched during July 2006 totaled 33.2 million, down 5 percent from July 2005.  Eggs in incubators totaled 31.4 million on August 1, 2006 down 14 percent from a year ago.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	July 2005	June 2006	July 2006	July 2005	June 2006	July 2006
		New York			United States
Egg Type layers	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	284,259	285,088	287,622
Number of layers	Thou.	4,305	4,055	4,208	338,573	342,175	341,047
Eggs per layer	No.	24.16	24.17	25.19	22.34	21.61	22.41
Eggs produced	Mil.	104	98	106	7,563	7,393	7,643
		North and South Atlantic States			United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	34,897	37,700	33,224
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	808,382	787,791	800,132
Egg-type	Thou.	9,679	10,150	8,748	36,630	32,057	31,378
Broiler-type	Thou.	251,055	254,737	255,983	664,087	650,296	660,130
1/ First day of following month. 2/  Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge
at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/