NY Nass Crop & Lvst Report January 2007

E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov
(518) 457-5570

NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

Released: January 2007
Monthly
No. 973-1-07

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

New York producers seeded a total of 85,000 acres of winter wheat in the fall of 2006 for harvest in 2007. This is down 19 percent from the 105,000 acres seeded a year ago.

U.S. winter wheat seeded area for 2007 is expected to total 44.1 million acres, up 9 percent from 2006.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Small Grains,
New York and United States, 2004-2006

Crop	Acres for harvest			Yield per acre			Production
Crop	2004	2005	2006	2004	2005	2006	2004	2005	2006
	1,000 Acres			Bushels			1,000 Bushels
New York
Wheat, winter	100	95	95	53	54	61	5,300	5,130	5,795
Oats	50	75	67	65	54	74	3,250	4,050	4,958
Barley	10	15	12	53	49	55	530	735	660

United States
Wheat, winter	34,462	33,794	31,117	43.5	44.4	41.7	1,499,434	1,499,129	1,298,081
Wheat, all	49,999	50,119	46,810	43.2	42.0	38.7	2,158,245	2,104,690	1,812,036
Oats	1,787	1,823	1,576	64.7	63.0	59.5	115,695	114,878	93,764
Barley	4,021	3,269	2,951	69.6	64.8	61.0	279,743	211,896	180,051
Rye	300	279	274	27.5	27.0	26.3	8,255	7,537	7,193

NEW YORK HAY STOCKS DOWN New York farms held a total of 1.45 million tons of hay on December 1, 2006, compared with 1.65 million tons on hand December 1, 2005. Nationally, hay stocks on farms December 1, 2006 was estimated at 96 million tons. This estimate reflects an 8 percent decrease from last year’s 105 million tons.					2006 CORN PRODUCTION UP New York grain corn production totaled 62.0 million bushels in 2006, up 8 percent from 2005's 57.0 million bushels. Acres harvested for grain totaled 480,000, up 4 percent from the 460,000 acres harvested last year. The statewide yield, at a record high 129 bushels per acre, was up 5 bushels from last year.
Hay Stocks on Farms						Field Corn Acreage, New York, 2004-2006
State	December 1		May 1			Disposition	2004	2005	2006
State	2005	2006	2005	2006		Disposition	2004	2005	2006
	1,000 Tons		1,000 Tons				1,000 Acres

New York	1,650	1,451	440	285		Total planted	980	990	950
Connecticut	55	65	21	9		For All Grain	500	460	480
Massachusetts	76	90	17	17		Dry ear or dry shelled	380	360	390
New Jersey	112	97	36	8		High moisture shelled	95	90	80
Pennsylvania	1,700	3,485	650	410		High moisture ground ear	25	10	10
Vermont	257	273	71	57		For Silage	470	520	460
						Forage and abandoned	10	10	10
U.S.	105,056	96,397	27,758	21,345

NEW YORK HOG INVENTORY INCREASES

Pork producers in New York had 98,000 hogs and pigs on hand December 1, 2006. This total was up 18 percent from the 83,000 head on hand a year earlier.

Of the current inventory, 12,000 hogs are for breeding purposes up 2,000 head from the previous December. The remaining 86,000 hogs and pigs, raised for home use or the slaughter market, increased by 13,000 head from a year ago.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2006 was 62.1 million head. This was up 1 percent from December 1, 2005, but down 1 percent from September 1, 2006. Breeding inventory, at 6.09 million head, was up 1 percent from last year and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 56.1 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2006 pig crop, at 26.6 million head, was up 1 percent from 2005 and up 3 percent from 2004. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.91 million head, up slightly from 2005 and up 1 percent from 2004. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 48 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.13 for the September-November 2006 period, compared to 9.03 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

Hog and Pig Inventory Number, Sows Farrowing and Pig Crop
New York and United States, 2004-2006

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	2004	2005	2006	2004	2005 1/	2006
		Thousand			Thousand
Inventory-December 1:
All Hogs and Pigs	No.	84	83	98	60,975	61,449	62,149
Kept for breeding	No.	12	10	12	5,969	6,011	6,088
Market	No.	72	73	86	55,005	55,438	56,061

Market Hogs by Weight Groups:
Under 60 pounds	No.	26	24	23	19,980	20,055	20,334
60-119 pounds	No.	18	16	22	13,439	13,524	13,603
120-179 pounds	No.	13	17	21	11,186	11,293	11,544
180 pounds and over	No.	15	16	20	10,401	10,567	10,580

Sows Farrowing:
December 2/-November	No.	16.8	14.6	15.6	11,498	11,535	11,590

Pig Crop:
December 2/-November	No.	166	130	149	102,780	103,965	105,430

Pigs Per Litter:
December 2/-November	No.	9.88	8.90	9.55	8.94	9.01	9.10

1/ Revised. 2/ December preceding year.

2006 NEW YORK TURKEY
PRODUCTION UP 2 PERCENT

Turkey producers in New York raised 630,000 turkeys during 2006. This total is up 2 percent from the 2005 number raised and up 9 percent from the 2004 number raised. Turkeys raised in the United States during 2006 totaled 262 million birds, up 4 percent from the 252 million raised in 2005. Minnesota ranked first in the number raised with 45.0 million, followed by North Carolina with 37.5 million, Arkansas with 30.0 million, Virginia with 21.5 million, Missouri with 20.0 million, California with 15.8 million, and Indiana with 13.8 million. These States accounted for 70 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2006.

U.S. TURKEY OUTLOOK FOR 2006

Turkey growers in 23 States intend to increase the number of birds raised by 4 percent in 2007. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2007 may vary from growers' intentions shown in this report depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months.

Turkeys Raised, New York and
United States, 2004-2006

	Turkeys Raised
Production Area	2004	2005	2006
	Thousands

New York	580	620	630
United States	263,207	252.053	261,960

DECEMBER MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM NOVEMBER

Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during December increased from a month earlier. The price of corn, wheat, hay and eggs also increased. The price of potatoes and apples decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in December, at 121 percent, based on 1990-92=100, increased 1 point (0.8 percent) from November. The Crop Index is up 6 points (4.9 percent) but the Livestock Index decreased 3 points (2.6 percent). Producers received higher commodity prices for lettuce, corn, grapes, and broccoli.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
Commodity	Unit	Dec 2005	Nov 2006	Dec 2006	Dec 2005	Nov 2006	Dec 2006
		Dollars			Dollars

Corn	bu.	2.00	2.75	2.98	1.88	3.12	3.01
Oats	bu.	1.28	1.71	1.31	1.73	1.97	2.06
Wheat	bu.	3.10	4.39	4.33	3.47	4.62	4.59
Barley	bu.	-	-	-	2.54	3.14	3.25
Soybeans	bu.	5.10	5.85	5.65	5.71	6.15	6.14
Hay, baled	ton	117.00	131.00	126.00	92.00	106.00	108.00
Potatoes	cwt.	12.90	12.50	12.50	6.60	6.43	7.22
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	27.00	33.20	28.70	26.50	34.10	33.10

Milk, wholesale	cwt.	15.00	14.20	14.60	14.70	13.80	14.20
Milk cows 3/	head	-	-	-	-	-	-
Eggs, table market	doz.	0.600	0.690	0.720	0.482	0.675	0.665
Slaughter cows	cwt.	43.10	38.81	4/	46.00	43.70	42.90
Steers and heifers	cwt.	69.50	63.52	4/	97.30	90.00	89.20
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	44.60	40.34	4/	91.30	84.40	83.70
Calves	cwt.	145.10	90.52	4/	133.00	119.00	115.00
Hogs	cwt.	40.60	36.09	4/	43.60	44.50	43.20
Lambs	cwt.	104.30	89.59	4/	107.00	95.00	4/

Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					115	120	121
Prices paid					143	146	148
Ratio prices received to prices paid					80	82	82

1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month.

Stocks of Grain, United States, December 1, 2006 with Comparisons

	On Farms			Total in All Positions
	Dec 1, 2005	Sep 1, 2006	Dec 1, 2006	Dec 1, 2005	Sep 1, 2006	Dec 1, 2006
	Thousand Bushels			Thousand Bushels

Corn (old crop)	6,325,000	749,500	5,627,000	9,812,835	1,967,161	8,929,820
Sorghum (old crop)	55,000	5,250	38,100	288,891	65,663	206,670
All Wheat	513,000	572,020	403,250	1,429,531	1,750,544	1,314,614
Oats	60,100	60,800	53,000	95,735	100,084	96,244
Soybeans	1,345,000	176,300	1,461,000	2,502,389	449,326	2,697,498
Barley	103,650	112,850	83,650	207,985	212,789	172,714

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, November 1/

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006	2005	2006
	1,000 head		1,000 head		Million pounds		Million pounds

Cattle	3.0	2.9	2,668.1	2,841.2	3.5	3.3	3,426.7	3,668.8
Calves	9.0	13.1	56.4	66.8	1.8	2.5	20.6	23.4
Hogs	2.8	2.5	9,133.2	9,367.6	.6	.7	2,983.8	2,552.7
Sheep and lambs	2.8	3.0	224.0	248.0	.3	.2	31.6	30.6

1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.

DECEMBER MILK PRODUCTION DOWN

New York dairy herds produced 984 million pounds of milk during December. Milk cows declined from the previous year while milk per cow increased from the previous year resulting in a 2 percent decline in milk production compared to December 2005. The number of milk cows averaged 629 thousand head, down 21 thousand head from December of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1565 pounds, up 20 pounds from the December 2005 rate.

Milk production in the 23 major States during December totaled 14.0 billion pounds, up 2.7 percent from December 2005. November revised production, at 13.3 billion pounds, was up 2.6 percent from November 2005. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,689 pounds for December, 26 pounds above December 2005. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.27 million head, 86,000 head more than December 2005, and 14,000 head more than November 2006.

Dairy Briefs

Item	Unit	New York			23 Major States
Item	Unit	Dec 2005	Nov 2006	Dec 2006	Dec 2005	Nov 2006	Dec 2006

Milk Production	Mil. lb.	1,004	972	984	13,599	13,328	13,963
Milk per cow	Lb.	1,545	1,535	1,565	1,663	1,616	1,689
No. of milk cows	Thou. hd.	650	633	629	8,179	8,248	8,265

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	Nov 2005	Oct 2006	Nov 2006	Nov 2005	Oct 2006	Nov 2006

Butter	Thou. lb.	1,082	1,060	1,065	110,905	118,598	115,686
American cheese	Thou. lb.	NA	NA	NA	313,195	321,234	316,253
Mozzarella cheese	Thou. lb.	14,756	15,702	14,110	252,933	263,140	259,459
Yogurt, plain and flavored	Thou. lb.	16,157	20,072	18,068	219,567	262,864	229,753
Ice cream, hard	Thou. gal.	1,594	2,301	1,748	61,133	64,360	57,943

NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 2 PERCENT IN NOVEMBER

Egg production on New York farms, totaled 95 million eggs in November 2006, down 2 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.14 million, increased slightly from November 2005, but the rate of lay decreased 3 percent to 22.92 eggs per layer.

U.S. egg production totaled 7.52 billion during November 2006, up slightly from last year. Production included 6.49 billion table eggs, and 1.03 billion hatching eggs, of which 969 million were broiler-type and 64 million were egg-type. The total number of layers during November 2006 averaged 346 million, down slightly from last year. November egg production per 100 layers was 2,176 eggs, up slightly from November 2005.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	Nov 2005	Oct 2006	Nov 2006	Nov 2005	Oct 2006	Nov 2006
		New York			United States

Egg type layers 1/	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	290,457	288,079	290,128

All layers	Thou.	4,113	4,264	4,144	345,874	343,894	345,696
Eggs per layer	No.	23.58	22.75	22.17	21.72	22.29	21.76
Eggs produced	Mil.	97	97	95	7,514	7,666	7,522

		North and South Atlantic States			United States

Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	32,285	36,271	31,748
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	747,866	771,882	729,460
Chicken eggs in incubators
Egg-type 1/	Thou.	9,984	9,855	9,196	34,247	32,762	34,240
Broiler-type 1/	Thou.	252,148	242,204	255,868	660,019	608,412	652,019

1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.