NY Crop & Lvstk Report May 2007

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NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
May 2007

Released: May 2007

No. 973-5-07

NEW YORK WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION DOWN

Results from the May 2007 Agricultural Yield Survey show winter wheat production in New York is forecast at 4.16 million bushels, down 28 percent from 2006's output. Acreage for harvest is down 19 percent while yields are expected to average 54 bushels per acre, down 7 bushels from a year ago. The U.S. winter wheat crop is placed at 1.62 billion bushels, up 24 percent from 2006.

NEW YORK HAY STOCKS DOWN

Hay stocks on New York farms on May 1, 2007 totaled 326 thousand tons, up 14 percent from the 285 thousand tons on farms on May 1, 2006. Nationally, on farm hay stocks totaled 15.0 million tons, down 30 percent from the previous year.

Hay Stocks and Pasture Condition, New York and United States

State	All Hay			Pasture
	Stocks on farms May 1			Condition on May 4
	2005	2006	2007	Very poor	Poor	Fair	Good	Excellent
	1,000 tons			Percent

New York	440	285	326	2	14	30	50	4
Vermont	71	57	38	0	34	19	45	2
Massachusetts	17	17	13	0	0	8	62	30
New Jersey	36	8	10	0	55	30	15	0
Pennsylvania	650	410	520	7	21	49	20	3

United States	27,758	21,345	14,988	8	13	30	39	10

2006 NEW YORK MILK PRODUCTION

Total milk production in New York during 2006, at 12.0 billion pounds, was down slightly from 2005. The annual average number of milk cows, at 638,000 head, was down 2 percent from the previous year. Annual output per cow averaged 18,879 pounds, up 1 percent from 2005.

Cash receipts from the sale of New York milk during 2006 totaled $1.61 billion, down 16 percent from the previous year. The $13.40 per hundredweight received for all milk sold by New York farmers was down $2.50, or 16 percent, from the $15.90 received in 2005. Marketing totals include whole milk and producer-separated cream sold to plants and dealers as well as milk sold directly to consumers.

New York dairymen used 32 million pounds of milk on their farms during 2006, down 24 percent from the previous year. About 94 percent of the milk used on farms was fed back to calves. The value of all milk produced, including milk fed back to calves, totaled $1.61 billion, down 16 percent from 2005.

National milk production increased 2.8 percent in 2006 to 182 billion pounds. The annual output per cow, at 19,951 pounds, was 386 pounds above 2005. The average number of milk cows during 2006, at 9.11 million head, was 69,000 head more than 2005. Cash receipts from marketed milk during 2006, at $23.4 billion, were 12.3 percent lower than 2005. Producer returns nationwide averaged $12.97 per hundredweight, 14.6 percent below the 2005 average.

Milk Production, Disposition and Income, New York and United States, 2004-2006

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	2004	2005	2006	2004	2005	2006

Milk cows, average number during year	1,000 hd.	655	648	638	9,012	9,043	9,112
Milk per cow	Pounds	17,786	18,639	18,879	18,967	19,565	19,951
Total milk production	Mil. lb.	11,650	12,078	12,045	170,934	176,929	181,798
Disposition of milk produced:
Used on farms, include fed to calves	Mil. lb.	42	42	32	1,103	1,140	1,143
Sold wholesale or retailed by producers	Mil. lb.	11,608	12,036	12,013	169,830	175,788	180,654
Price received for milk sold wholesale	Dol. per cwt.	$16.80	$15.90	$13.40	$16.13	$15.19	$12.97
Cash receipts from marketing of milk	Mil. dol.	$1,950	$1,914	$1,610	$27,387	$26,698	$23,422
Value of milk produced (includes milk used on farms)	Mil. dol.	$1,957	$1,920	$1,614	$27,568	$26,874	$23,574

2006 POULTRY OUTPUT VALUED
AT $48.5 MILLION

The combined value of New York produced eggs, broilers, and turkeys, and the value of sales for other chickens, was $48.5 million for the year ending November 30, 2006. This total is down 4 percent from a year earlier. Of the 2006 combined value, 81 percent was derived from eggs, 4 percent from broilers, and 15 percent from turkeys.

Egg Production and Value,
New York, 2003-2006

Year	Number of layers	Eggs per layer	Eggs produced	Price per dozen	Value of production
	1,000	No.	Mil.	Cents	1,000 dol.

2003	3,659	286	1,048	64.5	56,330
2004	4,021	289	1,163	61.7	59,844
2005	3,951	286	1,129	36.9	34,671
2006	3,943	286	1,126	42.1	39,476

Broiler Production and Value,
New York, 2003-2006

Year	Production		Price per pound	Value of production
Year	Number	Pounds	Price per pound	Value of production
	1,000	1,000	Cents	1,000 dol.

2003	2,600	14,600	35.0	5,110
2004	2,600	14,600	45.0	6,570
2005	1/	1/	1/	1/
2006	1/	1/	1/	1/

Chickens Sold and Value of Sales ¹^/
New York, 2003-2006

Year	Sold		Price per pound	Value of sales
Year	Number	Pounds	Price per pound	Value of sales
	1,000	1,000	Cents	1,000 Dol.

2003	2,702	9,187	0.1	9
2004	3,201	10,563	0.1	11
2005	3,103	13,033	0.1	13
2006	2,509	10,036	0.1	10

1/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

Turkey Production and Value, New York and United States, 2004-2006

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	2004	2005	2006	2004	2005	2006

Number raised (all breeds)	1,000 hd.	580	620	630	264,207	252,053	261,960
Pounds produced (liveweight)	1,000 lbs.	13,746	14,012	14,868	7,304,813	7,095,977	7,417,935
Price per pound	Cents	43.0	46.0	49.0	42.0	44.9	47.9
Value of production	1,000 dol.	5,911	6,446	7,285	3,065,417	3,182,767	3,551,127
1/ Excludes broilers.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, March ¹^/

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2006	2007	2006	2007	2006	2007	2006	2007
	1,000 head		1,000 head		Million pounds		Million pounds

Cattle	2.4	2.2	2,854.0	2,792.6	2.6	2.5	3,607.7	3,504.6
Calves	8.5	12.5	59.1	70.8	1.6	1.7	21.1	22.6
Hogs	3.1	2.0	9,235.8	9,203.2	0.5	0.4	2,504.4	2,485.2
Sheep and lambs	2.6	4.3	249.8	278.6	0.2	0.3	36.2	39.0

1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.

APRIL MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM MARCH

Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during April increased from a month earlier. The price of potatoes and hay also increased. The price of apples, wheat, corn, and eggs decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

Grain corn, at $3.64 per bushel, decreased 9 cents from March but increased $1.20 from last year. Wheat price was $4.46, 14 cents below last month but $1.16 above last year. Hay averaged $122.00 per ton, $5.00 more than March and $11.00 more than April 2006. Potatoes, at $11.50 per hundredweight, increased 30 cents from March but decreased $1.20 from April last year. Fresh market apple prices at the packinghouse door averaged 27.4 cents per pound this month, 1.2 cents less than last month but 1.9 cents more than last year.

Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $16.50 per hundredweight of milk sold during April, 40 cents more than March and $4.00 more than April a year ago. Poultry producers received an average of 58 cents per dozen eggs sold, down 5.5 cents from March but 22 cents higher than last year.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in April, at 135 percent, based on 1990-92=100, increased 1 point (0.7 percent) from March. The Crop Index is down 1 point (0.7 percent) but the Livestock Index increased 3 points (2.4 percent). Producers received higher commodity prices for onions, milk, cattle, and tomatoes. Lower prices were received for lettuce, corn, strawberries, and eggs. The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased average marketings of cattle, oranges, strawberries, and milk offset decreased marketings of soybeans, corn, wheat, and hogs.

Prices Received by Farmers ¹^/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
Commodity	Unit	Apr. 2006	Mar. 2007	Apr. 2007	Apr. 2006	Mar. 2007	Apr. 2007
		Dollars			Dollars

Corn	bu.	2.36	3.75	3.64	2.11	3.43	3.20
Oats	bu.	1.72	2.08	2.00	1.75	2.39	2.39
Wheat	bu.	3.56	4.60	4.46	3.81	4.75	4.94
Barley	bu.	-	-	-	2.65	3.10	3.29
Soybeans	bu.	5.37	6.61	6.46	5.52	6.95	6.81
Hay, baled	ton	111.00	117.00	122.00	105.00	117.00	124.00
Potatoes	cwt.	12.70	11.20	11.50	8.35	8.34	9.78
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	25.50	28.60	27.40	19.30	28.40	28.40

Milk, wholesale	cwt.	12.50	16.10	16.50	12.10	15.60	16.40
Milk cows 3/	head	1,630.00	-	1,600.00	1,770.00	-	1,730.00
Eggs, table market	doz.	.330	.700	.580	.321	.681	.558
Slaughter cows	cwt.	46.63	42.59	4/	48.50	47.20	48.80
Steers and heifers	cwt.	70.94	71.71	4/	89.30	97.70	100.00
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	48.18	44.36	4/	84.80	92.00	94.60
Calves	cwt.	202.56	94.46	4/	135.00	124.00	126.00
Hogs	cwt.	35.96	40.35	4/	41.30	45.00	46.00
Lambs	cwt.	155.81	146.98	4/	86.80	95.80	4/

Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					111	134	135
Prices paid					148	155	157
Ratio prices received to prices paid					75	86	86

1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month.

Prices Paid by Farmers

Commodity	Unit	Northeast			United States
Commodity	Unit	Apr. 2005	Apr. 2006	Apr. 2007	Apr. 2005	Apr.2006	Apr. 2007
		Dollars			Dollars

Gasoline, unleaded, bulk delivery	gal.	2.200	2.60	2.728	2.225	2.597	2.638
Diesel fuel	gal.	2.020	2.35	2.355	1.968	2.275	2.430

Complete laying feed ration	ton	226.00	237.00	288.00	226.00	240.00	278.00
Mixed dairy feed, 16% protein	ton	190.00	207.00	239.00	197.00	210.00	249.00
Soybean meal, 44% protein	cwt.	16.00	18.30	20.00	16.10	16.90	18.20
Bran	cwt.	14.60	15.50	16.90	15.00	16.10	17.40
Corn meal	cwt.	9.88	11.20	14.00	9.57	10.10	12.30
Molasses, liquid	cwt.	14.30	20.00	18.80	14.80	17.90	19.20
Stock salt	50 lb.	6.42	6.06	6.20	4.78	4.67	5.02

Feed Price Ratios
Milk-feed 1/					3.18	2.48	2.54
Egg-feed 2/					5.2	6.3	7.8

1/ Pounds of 16% mixed dairy feed equal in value to 1 pound whole milk. 2/ Pounds of laying feed equal in value to 1 dozen eggs.

APRIL MILK PRODUCTION DOWN

New York dairy herds produced 1.01 billion pounds of milk during. Milk cows declined from the previous year while milk per cow increased from the previous year resulting in a 2 percent decline in milk production compared to April 2006. The number of milk cows averaged 627 thousand head, down 17 thousand head from April of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1605 pounds, up 15 pounds from the April 2006 rate.

Milk production in the 23 major States during April totaled 14.4 billion pounds, up 1.6 percent from April 2006. March revised production, at 14.8 billion pounds, was up 1.2 percent from March 2006. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,745 pounds for April, 19 pounds above April 2006. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.28 million head, 39,000 head more than April 2006, but 6,000 head less than March 2007.

Dairy Briefs

Item	Unit	New York			23 Major States
Item	Unit	Apr. 2006	Mar. 2007	Apr. 2007	Apr 2006	Mar. 2007	Apr. 2007

Milk Production	Mil. lb.	1,024	1,024	1,006	14,222	14,771	14,443
Milk per cow	Lb.	1,590	1,630	1,605	1,726	1,783	1,745
No. of milk cows	Thou. hd.	644	628	627	8,240	8,285	8,279

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	Mar. 2006	Feb. 2007	Mar. 2007	Mar. 2006	Feb. 2007	Mar. 2007

Butter	Thou. lb.	1,629	1,592	1,886	141,714	134,171	140,102
American cheese	Thou. lb.	N/A	N/A	N/A	336,095	305,474	338,479
Mozzarella cheese	Thou. lb.	16,286	14,537	17,815	273,367	256,343	284,763
Yogurt, plain and flavored	Thou. lb.	20,902	22,507	23,953	307,110	285,283	312,890
Ice cream, hard	Thou. gal.	2,356	2,051	2,375	82,123	65,530	78,106
NA – Not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.

NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 10 PERCENT IN MARCH

Egg production on New York farms totaled 100 million eggs in March 2007, up 10 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.13 million, increased 9 percent from March 2007 and the rate of lay increased slightly to 24.22 eggs per layer.

U.S. egg production totaled 7.77 billion during March 2007, down 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.65 billion table eggs, and 1.12 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.06 billion were broiler-type and 68 million were egg-type. Eggs in incubators totaled 39.5 million on April 1, 2007, up 11 percent from a year ago.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	Mar. 2006	Feb. 2007	Mar 2007	Mar 2006	Feb 2007	Mar 2007
		New York			United States

Number of layers	Thou.	3,788	4,236	4,129	350,470	347,079	346,437
Eggs per layer	No.	24.02	21.72	24.22	22.38	19.93	22.43
Eggs produced	Mil.	91	92	100	7,843	6,916	7,769

		North and South Atlantic States			United States

Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	38,805	36,766	40,537
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	817,842	723,753	810,732
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
Egg-type	Thou.	4,908	10,804	10,936	35,672	38,468	39,493
Broiler-type	Thou.	254,295	260,065	260,228	660,060	663,815	666,950

1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

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