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NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
July 2007

Monthly
No. 973-7-07

   NEW YORK FIELD CROP ACREAGE - 2007

Corn planted for all purposes in New York are estimated at 1,060,000 in 2007, 12 percent more acres than planted in 2006.  Acreage for grain is expected to total 540,000 acres, up 13 percent from the 480,000 acres harvested last year.  Soybean plantings are expected to total 215,000 acres, up 8 percent from the 200,000 acres planted in 2006.  An estimated 213,000 acres will be harvested for beans, up 8 percent from a year ago.  Acreage for harvest for all types of dry hay is expected to total 1.45 million acres, down 5 percent from last year.  Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures for dry hay, at 400,000 acres, is up 8 percent and acres for other types of dry hay, at 1.05 million acres, is down 9 percent from a year earlier.

 Oats production in New York is estimated at 4.21 million bushels, down 15 percent below the 4.96 million bushels produced last year.  Yields are forecast at 54 bushels per acre, down 4 bushels from last year.  Area for harvest is projected at 78,000 acres, up 16 percent from the previous year.  Winter wheat production is estimated at 4.59 million bushels, down 21 percent from the 5.80 million bushels produced in 2006.  Yields are forecast at 51 bushels per acre, down 1 bushel from the June 1 forecast and 10 bushels below last year.  Harvested acreage is projected at 90,000 acres, down 5 percent from 2006.  The first yield and production forecast for corn, soybeans, dry beans, and hay will be released on August 10.

 U.S. CORN UP, SOYBEAN ACREAGE DOWN

U. S. corn planted area for all purposes is estimated at 92.9 million acres, up 19 percent from 2006 and 14 percent above 2005.  Farmers increased corn plantings 3 percent from their March intentions.  Soybean planted area is estimated at 64.1 million acres, down 15 percent from last year.  Area for harvest, at 63.3 million acres, is also down 15 percent from 2006. The planted area is down 4 percent from the March Prospective Plantings report.

U.S. winter wheat production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels.  This is down 3 percent from last month but up 20 percent from 2006.  The U.S. yield is forecast at 41.6 bushels per acre, down .1 bushel from last month.  Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 37.6 million, up 21 percent from 2006 but unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 29, 2007.  Harvest progress, in the 18 major producing states, was 40 percent completed by July 1.  This was 22 percentage points behind last year and 14 points below the five year average.  U.S. oats production is forecast at 101 million bushels, 8 percent above last year’s record low 93.8 million bushels.  The U.S. yield is forecast at 62.6 bushels per acre, up 3.1 bushels from 2006.  Growers expect to harvest 1.61 million acres for grain, up 2 percent from last year.  U.S. producers expect to harvest 61.8 million acres of all hay in 2007, up 2 percent from 2006.  Dry bean harvested acreage is estimated at 1.42 million acres, down 7 percent from last year and 7 percent below 2005. 

Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

    NEW YORK TART CHERRY FORECAST UP

New York’s 2007 tart cherry production, forecast late-June, is expected to total 13.0 million pounds, 25 percent higher than the 2006 crop and 73 percent above 2005.  Sweet cherry production is forecast at 970 tons, 1 percent above the 2006 crop and 21 percent higher than 2005. 

New York's peach crop is forecast at 6,300 tons pounds, down 10 percent from the 7,000 tons produced last year.  U.S. peach production, excluding California  Clingstones  that are  mostly  canned,  is expected  to  total  1.03  million  tons, 2 percent above last year.

 FRUIT:  Indicated Production, New York and United States, with Comparisons

 

NEW YORK POTATO ACREAGE DECREASES

New York potato growers planted an estimated 20,000 acres of potatoes this year This is down 3 percent from 2006.  Acres for harvest is forecast at 19,300, up 2 percent from last year. 

U.S. area planted to fall potatoes for 2007 is estimated at 1,009,200 acres, up 2 percent from last year.  Harvested acres are forecast at 996,200, up 2 percent from a year ago.

 Stocks of Grain, United States, June 1, 2007, with Comparisons

Average GMO Estimates

U.S. HOG INVENTORY UP 2 PERCENT

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2007 was 62.8 million head. This was up 2 percent from both June 1, 2006 and March 1, 2007. 

Breeding inventory, at 6.12 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and 2 percent from the previous quarter.  Market hog inventory, at 56.6 million head, was up 2 percent from both last year and last quarter.

The March-May 2007 pig crop, at 27.1 million head, was up 2 percent from 2006 and up 4 percent from 2005.  Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.97 million head, up 1 percent from 2006 and up 3 percent 2005.  The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd.  The average pigs saved per litter was 9.15 for the March-May 2007 period, compared to 9.08 last year.  

Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.20 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.96 million sows farrow during the June-August 2007 quarter, up 2 percent from the actual farrowings, and up 1 percent from 2005.  Intended farrowings for September-November 2007, at 2.96 million sows, are up slightly from 2006 and up 2 percent from 2005.

The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 39 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, up from 38 percent last year.

JUNE MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM MAY

Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during June increased from a month earlier. The price of corn increased.  The price of hay, apples, and eggs decreased.  Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $20.10 per hundredweight of milk sold during June, $1.60 more than May and $7.90 more than June a year ago.  Poultry producers received an average of 50.5 cents per dozen eggs sold, down 11.5 cents from May but 10.5 cents higher than last year.

Grain corn, at $3.94 per bushel, increased slightly from May and increased $1.58 from last year.  Hay averaged $123.00 per ton, $2.00 less than May and  $5.00  less  than  June  2006.   Fresh  market  apple  prices  at  the Packinghouse  door  averaged  27.4  cents  per  pound  this  month, . 3 cents  less  than  last  month  but  4.6  cents  more  than  last  year.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in June, at 141 percent, based on 1990-92=100, increased 3 points (2.2 percent) from May. The Crop Index is up 3 points (2.1 percent) and the Livestock Index increased 2 points (1.5 percent). Producers received higher commodity prices for milk, corn, lettuce, and soybeans. Lower prices were received for cantaloupes, cattle, tomatoes, and eggs. The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell.  Increased average marketings of wheat, grapes, hay, and cantaloupes offset decreased marketings of oranges, strawberries, tomatoes, and sweet corn.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

 Commercial Livestock Slaughter, May 1/

   JUNE MILK PRODUCTION DOWN

New York dairy herds produced 1.14 billion pounds of milk during.  Milk cows declined from the previous year while milk per cow increased from the previous year resulting in a 1 percent decline in milk production compared to June 2006.  The number of milk cows averaged 626 thousand head, down 14 thousand head from June of the previous year.  Milk per cow averaged 1620 pounds, up 25 pounds from the June 2006 rate. 

Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 14.2 billion pounds, up 1.2 percent from June 2006. May revised production, at 14.9 billion pounds, was up 1.1 percent from May 2006. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,713 pounds for June, 16 pounds above June 2006.  The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.29 million head, 19,000 head more than June 2006, and 2,000 head more than May 2007.

 Dairy Briefs

Dairy Products Manufactured

  NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 9 PERCENT IN MAY
 

Egg production on New York farms totaled 100 million eggs in May 2007, up 9 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.08 million, increased 8 percent from May 2006 and the rate of lay increased 1 percent to 24.52 eggs per layer. 

U.S. egg production totaled 7.58 billion during May 2007, down 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.45 billion table eggs, and 1.14 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.07 billion were broiler-type and 68 million were egg-type.  Eggs in incubators totaled 40.0 million on June 1, 2007, up 10 percent from a year ago.

 Poultry Briefs

This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/