USA-NASS-NY OCT 08 Crop & Livestock Release 10/28/08

Production of winter wheat, and oats increased from a year ago. Winter wheat production is estimated at 7.69 million Bushels, up 74 percent from last year. Yields averaged 63 bushels per acre, up 11 bushels from 2007. Oat production totaled 4.22 million bushels, an increase of 24 percent from last year. Production of barley in New York was estimated at 468,000 bushels, 8 percent below last year's production. Area harvested was 9,000 acres, down 18 percent from a year ago.

U.S. all wheat production totals 2.50 billion bushels in 2008, up 2 percent from the last forecast and up 21 percent from 2007. Grain area is 55.7 million acres, up 9 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is 44.9 bushels per acre, up 1.4 bushel from August and up 4.4 bushels from last year. The level of production and change from last year by type are: winter wheat, 1.87 billion bushels, up 23 percent; other spring wheat, 547 million bushels, up 14 percent; Durum wheat, 84.9 million bushels, up 18 percent.

New York grain corn production is estimated at 81.1 million bushels, up 16 percent from last year’s crop due to more acres for harvest, and higher expected yields. Yields are expected to average a record high 133 bushels per acre, up 6 bushel from last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 610 thousand acres, up 11 percent from the 550 thousand acres harvested for grain in 2007.

New York soybean production is expected to total a record high 9.94 million bushels, up 26 percent from 2007. Yields are forecast at 44 bushels per acre up 5 bushels from last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total a record high 226 thousand acres, up 11 percent from last year’s 203 thousand acres.

NET FARM INCOME DOUBLES

New York net farm income increased 209 percent in 2007 to $1.60 billion. The value of livestock production increased 39 percent to $2.76 billion while the value of crop output increased 12 percent to $1.75 billion.

The value of purchased inputs increased 9 percent to $2.03 billion while the value of direct government payments decreased 51 percent to $62.8 million.

Value Added to the Economy by the Agricultural Sector, New York, 2003-2007

Item		2003	2004	2005	2006	2007
		1,000 dollars
	Value of crop production	1,298,267	1,299,028	1,268,902	1,567,075	1,748,473

	Value of livestock production	1,918,376	2,296,622	2,284,291	1,983,330	2,763,864

	Revenues from services and forestry	426,614	430,190	392,837	362,023	451,958

	Value of agricultural sector production	3,643,257	4,025,840	3,946,030	3,912,428	4,964,295

less:	Purchased inputs	1,764,639	1,842,957	1,719,031	1,856,115	2,030,245

	Farm origin	645,907	649,504	565,281	619,382	668,803

	Manufactured inputs	399,958	439,469	471,401	514,217	547,302

	Other purchased inputs	718,774	753,984	682,349	722,516	814,140

plus:	Net government transactions	-3,886	-91,678	-64,850	-101,633	-182,220

+	Direct Government payments	162,288	82,076	143,240	127,875	62,884
-	Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees	6,097	6,054	7,994	6,544	8,800
-	Property taxes	160,077	167,700	200,096	222,964	236,304

	Gross value added	1,874,732	2,091,206	2,162,149	1,954,680	2,751,830

less:	Capital consumption	410,919	432,487	458,070	473,261	482,322

	Net value added	1,463,813	1,658,719	1,704,079	1,481,419	2,269,508

less:	Payments to stakeholders	716,653	693,607	628,131	716,776	670,198

	Net farm income	747,160	965,112	1,075,948	764,643	1,599,310

More information on farm income is available at www.ers.usda.gov/data/farmincome/finfidmu.htm.

Stocks of Grain, United States, September 1, 2008 with Comparisons

	On Farms			Total in All Positions
	Sep 1, 2007	Jun 1, 2008	Sep 1, 2008	Sep 1, 2007	Jun 1, 2008	Sep 1, 2008
	1,000 bushels			1,000 bushels

All Wheat	495,000	25,635	635,000	1,716,927	305,818	1,856,576
Corn	460,100	1,970,900	499,950	1,303,647	4,028,017	1,624,190
Oats	53,650	16,100	52,800	88,360	66,774	119,075
Barley	105,600	9,950	127,070	188,695	68,223	207,439
Sorghum	2,150	7,000	3,550	32,053	101,019	52,750
Soybeans	143,000	226,600	47,000	573,810	676,143	205,034

SEPTEMBER MILK PRICES DECREASE FROM AUGUST

Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during September were down from a month earlier. The price of eggs, potatoes, hay, oats, corn, and wheat also decreased. The price of apples increased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

Grain corn, at $5.60 per bushel, was down 25 cents from August but increased $1.82 from last year. Potatoes, at $16.60 per hundredweight, were down $4.40 from August but up $4.00 from last year at this time. Hay averaged $153.00 per ton, down $10.00 from August but up $37.00 from September 2007. Apples, at 43.3 cents per hundredweight, were up 7.1 cents from last year at this time. Wheat averaged $6.27 per bushel, down 38 cents from last month and 56 cents from last year. Oats, at $3.22 per bushel, were down 1 cent from August but increased $1.20 from last year.

Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $18.50 per hundredweight of milk sold during September, down 60 cents from August and $4.30 less than September a year ago. Poultry producers received an average of 88.2 cents per dozen eggs sold, down slightly from August and 11.8 cents lower than last year.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in September, at 154 percent, based on 1990-92=100, decreased 2 points (1.3 percent) from August. The Crop Index is down 3 points (1.7 percent) and the Livestock Index decreased 3 points (2.2 percent). Producers received lower prices for wheat, hogs, soybeans, and broilers and higher prices for lettuce, turkeys, eggs, and cottonseed. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of soybeans, corn, apples, and potatoes offset decreased marketings of cattle, wheat, broilers, and grapes.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
Commodity	Unit	Sep 2007	Aug 2008	Sep 2008	Sep 2007	Aug 2008	Sep 2008
		Dollars			Dollars

Corn	bu.	3.78	5.85	5.60	3.28	5.26	5.17
Oats	bu.	2.02	3.23	3.22	2.47	3.15	2.92
Wheat	bu.	6.83	6.65	6.27	6.76	7.64	6.91
Barley	bu.	-	-	-	4.05	5.11	4.83
Soybeans	bu.	9.22	-	-	8.15	12.80	11.70
Hay, baled	ton	116.00	163.00	153.00	127.00	165.00	161.00
Potatoes	cwt.	12.60	21.00	16.60	5.81	11.33	9.08
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	36.20	-	43.30	40.20	53.40	53.60

Milk, wholesale	cwt.	22.80	19.10	18.50	21.80	18.40	18.00
Milk cows 3/	head	-	-	-	-	-	-
Eggs, table market	doz.	1.000	0.883	0.882	0.961	0.815	0.856
Slaughter cows	cwt.	44.20	51.50	4/	49.30	57.40	56.00
Steers and heifers	cwt.	83.80	85.50	4/	98.30	100.00	99.50
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	48.20	54.00	4/	93.10	96.10	94.90
Calves	cwt.	99.70	64.20	4/	126.00	116.00	116.00
Hogs	cwt.	53.00	54.30	4/	46.80	60.60	53.70
Lambs	cwt.	117.00	95.40	4/	99.00	99.60	4/

Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					140	156	154
Prices paid					162	192	194
Ratio prices received to prices paid					86	81	79

1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, September 1/

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2007	2008	2007	2008	2007	2008	2007	2008
	1,000 head		1,000 head		Million pounds		Million pounds

Cattle	2.3	2.2	3,132.1	2,910.9	2.6	2.6	3,993.8	3,726.7
Calves	17.7	18.8	65.5	79.2	1.7	1.9	17.4	19.1
Hogs	3.5	2.9	9,394.5	9,267.6	.6	.5	2,471.0	2,415.4
Sheep and lambs	3.3	2.9	228.1	200.7	.3	.3	29.3	26.5

1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.

SEPTEMBER MILK PRODUCTION UP

New York dairy herds produced 995 million pounds of milk during September. Milk cows were unchanged from the previous year while milk per cow increased from the previous year resulting in a 1 percent increase in milk production compared to September 2007. The number of milk cows averaged 626 thousand head, unchanged from September of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,590 pounds, up 20 pounds from the September 2007 rate.

Milk production in the 23 major States during September totaled 14.0 billion pounds, up 1.9 percent from September 2007. August revised production at 14.6 billion pounds, was up 1.7 percent from August 2007. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,652 pounds for September, 7 pounds above September 2007. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.46 million head, 118,000 head more than September 2007, but 8,000 head less than August 2008.

Dairy Briefs

Item	Unit	New York			23 Major States
Item	Unit	Sep 2007	Aug 2008	Sep 2008	Sep 2007	Aug 2008	Sep 2008

Milk Production	Mil. lb.	983	1,058	995	13,718	14,563	13,976
Milk per cow	Lb.	1,570	1,690	1,590	1,645	1,720	1,652
No. of milk cows	Thou. hd.	626	626	626	8,341	8,467	8,459

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	Aug 2007	Jul 2008	Aug 2008	Aug 2007	Jul 2008	Aug 2008

Butter	Thou. lb.	671	1,445	788	110,932	114,245	115,819
American cheese	Thou. lb.	NA	NA	NA	311,892	341,361	338,622
Mozzarella cheese	Thou. lb.	16,116	16,352	16,580	266,202	259,479	258,641
Yogurt, plain and flavored	Thou. lb.	20,205	19,413	19,251	299,954	282,221	293,357
Ice cream, hard	Thou. gal.	2,678	2,702	2,793	79,740	83,458	78,621

NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 2 PERCENT IN AUGUST

Egg production on New York farms totaled 99 million eggs in August 2008, up 2 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 3.90 million, increased slightly from August 2007 and the rate of lay increased 2 percent to 2,536 eggs per 100 layers.

U.S. egg production totaled 7.55 billion during August 2008, down 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.45 billion table eggs, and 1.10 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.04 billion were broiler-type and 65 million were egg-type. Eggs in incubators totaled 36.3 million on September 1, 2008, up 4 percent from a year ago.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	Aug 2007	Jul 2008	Aug 2008	Aug 2007	Jul 2008	Aug 2008
		New York			United States

Number of layers	Thou.	3,889	3,846	3,904	340,651	336,191	335,060
Eggs per layer	No.	2,494	2,470	2,536	2,229	2,260	2,252
Eggs produced	Mil.	97	95	99	7,594	7,599	7,547

		North and South Atlantic States			United States

Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	36,930	37,929	36,301
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	826,599	806,555	799,625
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
Egg-type	Thou.	9,617	7,380	9,357	34,771	33,040	36,320
Broiler-type	Thou.	259,862	252,632	249,470	669,099	650,798	638,539

1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge
at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/

The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.

Crop	Unit	Planted acres		Acres for harvest		Yield per acre			Production
Crop	Unit	2007	2008	2007	2008	2007		2008	2007	2008
		1,000 acres		1,000 acres		Units			1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain	bu.	1,050	1,090	550	610	127.0	133.0		69,850	81,130
Wheat, winter	Bu.	100	130	85	122	52.0	63.0		4,420	7,686
Oats	bu.	100	80	60	64	57.0	66.0		3,420	4,224
Barley	bu.	13	13	11	9	46.0	52.0		506	468
Soybeans	bu.	205	3/ 230	203	3/ 226	39.0	44.0		7,917	3/ 9,944
Beans, dry 1/	lbs.	17	17	16.5	16.4	1,360	1,900		224	312
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	19.0	18.0	18.3	17.3	285	2/		5,216	2/
Hay, alfalfa	ton		-	420	430	2.40	2.60		1,008	1,118
Hay, other	ton		-	940	1,000	1.80	2.00		1,692	2,000
Apples	mil. lbs.		-		-		-		1,310	1,200
Grapes	ton		-		-		-		180	165
Pears	ton		-		-		-		11.0	9.7
Peaches	ton				-				6.3	5.7

United States
Corn for grain	bu.	93,600	3/ 85,889	86,542	3/ 78,177	151.1	3/ 153.9		13,073,893	3/ 12,033,368
Wheat, winter	bu.	44,987	46,181	35,952	39,614	42.2	47.2		1,515,989	1,867,903
Oats	bu.	3,760	3,217	1,505	1.395	60.9	63.5		91,599	88,635
Barley	bu.	4,020	4,234	3,508	3,767	60.4	63.6		211,825	239,498
Soybeans	bu.	64,736	3/ 75,878	64,141	3/ 74,374	41.7	39.5		2,675,822	3/ 2,938,313
Beans, dry 1/	lbs.	1,526.9	3/ 1,492.9	1,478.7	3/ 1,424.6	1,716	3/ 1,774		25,371	3/ 25,268
Potatoes, summer	cwt.	53.7	48.5	51.2	46.2	332.0	324.0		16,997	14,946
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	1,010.8	929.1	996.8	916.2	409	2/		407,517	2/
Hay, alfalfa	ton		-	21,670	20,778	3.35	3.44		72,575	71,424
Hay, other	ton		-	39,955	39,661	1.95	1.99		77,729	79,076
Apples	mil. lbs.		-		-		-		9,113.9	9,242.2
Grapes	ton		-		-		-		7,018.0	7,206.1
Pears	ton		-		-		-		873.0	821.8
Peaches	ton		-		-		-		1,129	1,094

1/ Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). 2/ First forecast released November 9. 3/ Updated from previous report.