E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov
(518) 457-5570
NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
November 2008
Monthly
No. 973-11-08
NEW YORK GRAIN CORN AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTION UP
New York grain corn production is forecast at 81.7 million bushels, up 17 percent from last year's output. Production is up due to increases in the number of acres harvested and increased yields. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 610 thousand acres, up 11 percent from a year earlier. Yields are expected to average a record high 134 bushels per acre, 7 bushels more than in 2007. U.S. corn production is forecast at 12.0 billion bushels, down slightly from the October forecast and 8 percent below 2007. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 153.8 bushels per acre, down 0.1 bushel from October but 2.7 bushels above last year. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record, behind 2004, and production will be the second largest, behind last year. Forecast yields are higher than last month across the northern of the Great Plains and northern and central Corn Belt. Yield prospects are lower than last year in the southern half of the Great Plains and Delta.
Soybean production
in New York is forecast at a record high 10.2 million bushels, up 28 percent
from last year. Acreage harvested for beans is expected to total 226 thousand
acres, up 11 percent from a year earlier and the largest acreage on record.
Yields are expected to average 45 bushels per acre, up 6 bushels from 2007.
If realized this will be the second highest yield on record, behind the 46
bushel per acre set in 2006. U.S. soybean production is forecast
at 2.92 billion bushels, down less than 1 percent from the October forecast
but up 9 percent from last year. If realized, this will be the fourth largest
production on record. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected
to average 39.3 bushels per acre, down 0.2 bushel from October 1 and down
2.4 bushels from 2007. Compared with October 1, yields are forecast lower
or unchanged across the Corn Belt and Great Plains, with the exception of
Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri. Yields increased from the October forecast
in Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, New York, and Virginia. Area for harvest
in the U.S. is forecast at 74.4 million acres, unchanged from October 1 but
up 16 percent from 2007.
Acreage, Yield
and Production of Crops, New York and United States
Crop
Unit
Planted acres
Acres for harvest
Yield per acre
Production
2007
2008
2007
2008
2007
2008
2007
2008
1,000 acres
1,000 acres
Units
1,000 units New
York Corn for grain bu.
1,050 1,090 550 610 127.0 134.0 69,850 81,740 Wheat, winter Bu.
100 130 85 122 52.0 63.0 4,420 7,686 Oats bu.
100 80 60 64 57.0 66.0 3,420 4,224 Barley bu.
13 13 11 9 46.0 52.0 506 468 Soybeans bu.
205 230 203 226 39.0 45.0 7,917 10,170 Beans, dry 1/ lbs.
17 17 16.5 16.4 1,360 1,900 224 312 Potatoes, fall cwt.
19.0 18.0 18.3 17.8 285 325 5,216 5,785 Hay, alfalfa ton - 420 430 2.40 2.60 1,008 1,118
Hay, other ton - 940 1,000 1.80 2.00 1,692 2,000 Apples mil.
lbs. - - - 1,310 1,200 Grapes ton - - - 180 165 Pears ton - - - 11.0 9.7 Peaches ton - - 6.3 United
States Corn for grain bu.
93,600 85,889 86,542 78,177 151.1 153.8 13,073,893 12,019,894 Wheat, winter bu.
44,987 46,181 35,952 39,614 42.2 47.2 1,515,989 1,867,903 Oats bu.
3,760 3,217 1,505 1.395 60.9 63.5 91,599 88,635 Barley bu.
4,020 4,234 3,508 3,767 60.4 63.6 211,825 239,498 Soybeans bu.
64,736 75,878 64,141 74,374 41.7 39.3 2,675,822 2,920,589 Beans, dry 1/ lbs.
1,526.9 1,492.9 1,478.7 1,424.6 1,716 1,774 25,371 25,268 Potatoes, summer cwt.
53.7
48.5
51.2
46.2
332.0
324.0
16,997
14,946 Potatoes, fall cwt.
1,010.8 928.4 996.8 918.2 409 407 407,517 373,496 Hay, alfalfa ton - 21,670 20,778 3.35 3.44 72,575 71,424 Hay, other ton - 39,955 39,661 1.95 1.99 77,729 79,076 Apples mil.
lbs. - - - 9,113.9 9,242.2 Grapes ton - - - 7,018.0 7,206.1 Pears ton - - - 873.0 821.8 Peaches ton - - - 1,129 1,094 NEW YORK POTATO PRODUCTION UP
5.7
1/ Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis).
Production of fall potatoes in New York in 2008 is estimated at 5.79 million hundredweight (cwt.), up 11 percent from a year ago. Yields are expected to average a record high 325 cwt. per acre compared with 285 cwt. per acre last year. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record low 17.8 thousand acres, down 3 percent from last year.
U.S. production of fall potatoes for 2008 is forecast at 373 million cwt., down 8 percent from last year. Area harvested, at 918,200 acres, is virtually unchanged from the July estimate but 8 percent lower than last year. The average yield, forecast at 407 cwt. per acre, is down 2 cwt. from last year’s record high yield and, if realized, will be the second highest yield on record.
Farm Real Estate Average Value
per Acre,
Selected States and United States, January 1, 2004-2008
| State |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
| Dollars |
|||||
| New York |
1,780 |
1,920 |
2,050 |
2,220 |
2,400 |
| Massachusetts |
9,900 |
10,500 |
11,600 |
11,800 |
12,200 |
| New Hampshire |
3,250 |
3,450 |
3,700 |
4,000 |
3,900 |
| New Jersey |
9,750 |
10,500 |
10,900 |
11,300 |
11,300 |
| Pennsylvania |
3,650 |
4,220 |
4,790 |
5,670 |
5,800 |
| Vermont |
2,150 |
2,300 |
2,450 |
2,700 |
2,850 |
| 48 States |
1,360 |
1,650 |
1,900 |
2,160 |
2,350 |
Additional details available at www.nass.usda.gov in the complete “Land Values and Cash Rents” report released on August 4, 2008.
Cash Rent Per Acre: Selected States, 2006-2008
| State |
Cropland Rented for Cash |
Pasture Rented for Cash |
||||
| 2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| Dollars |
||||||
| New York |
39.00 |
39.00 |
44.00 |
1/ |
1/ |
1/ |
| Pennsylvania |
46.50 |
48.00 |
55.00 |
25.00 |
1/ |
1/ |
| New Jersey |
47.50 |
48.00 |
50.00 |
1/ |
1/ |
1/ |
| 48 States |
79.50 |
85.00 |
96.00 |
10.80 |
12.00 |
13.00 |
| 1/ Insufficient data to publish. | ||||||
Additional details available at www.nass.usda.gov in the complete “Land Values and Cash Rents” report released on August 4, 2008.
OCTOBER MILK PRICES DECREASE FROM SEPTEMBER
Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during October were down from a month earlier. The price of corn, wheat, and hay also decreased. The price of apples, eggs, potatoes, and oats increased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.
Grain corn, at $5.26 per bushel, was down 44 cents from September but increased $1.59 from last year. Potatoes, at $16.70 per hundredweight, were up 10 cents from September and up $5.00 from last year at this time. Hay averaged $120.00 per ton, down $33.00 from September but up $4.00 from October 2007. Apples, at 47.1 cents per hundredweight, were up 12.7 cents from last year at this time. Wheat averaged $4.07 per bushel, down $3.06 from last month and $2.71 from last year. Oats, at $3.10 per bushel, were up 6 cents from September and 89 cents from last year.
Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $17.50 per hundredweight of milk sold during September, down $1.50 from September and $4.90 less than October a year ago. Poultry producers received an average of 91.5 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 3.3 cents from September and 11.3 cents higher than last year.
The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in October, at 145 percent, based on 1990-92=100, decreased 9 points (5.8 percent) from September. The Crop Index is down 17 points (9.8 percent) and the Livestock Index decreased 5 points (3.8 percent). Producers received lower prices for corn, soybeans, wheat, and cattle and higher prices for sweet corn, broccoli, lettuce, and eggs. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of soybeans, corn, cottonseed, and cotton offset decreased marketings of milk, wheat, sweet corn, and grapes.
Prices Received by Farmers 1/
| Commodity |
Unit |
New York |
United States |
||||
|
Oct. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Oct. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
||
| Dollars |
Dollars |
||||||
| Corn |
bu. |
3.67 |
5.70 |
5.26 |
3.29 |
5.02 |
3.99 |
| Oats |
bu. |
2.21 |
3.04 |
3.10 |
2.45 |
3.29 |
2.71 |
| Wheat |
bu. |
6.78 |
7.13 |
4.07 |
7.65 |
7.43 |
5.79 |
| Barley |
bu. |
- |
- |
- |
4.53 |
5.74 |
4.97 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
8.70 |
- |
- |
8.36 |
10.70 |
8.66 |
| Hay, baled |
ton |
116.00 |
153.00 |
120.00 |
128.00 |
161.00 |
157.00 |
| Potatoes |
cwt. |
11.70 |
16.60 |
16.70 |
5.68 |
8.79 |
7.86 |
| Apples, fresh market 2/ |
cwt. |
34.40 |
43.30 |
47.10 |
37.90 |
53.60 |
44.20 |
| Milk, wholesale |
cwt. |
22.40 |
19.00 |
17.50 |
21.40 |
18.20 |
17.60 |
| Milk cows 3/ |
head |
1,930.00 |
- |
1,900.00 |
2,020.00 |
- |
1,920.00 |
| Eggs, table market |
doz. |
0.820 |
0.882 |
0.915 |
0.805 |
0.856 |
0.889 |
| Slaughter cows |
cwt. |
42.90 |
50.30 |
4/ |
46.60 |
54.50 |
49.20 |
| Steers and heifers |
cwt. |
71.80 |
86.30 |
4/ |
96.60 |
99.30 |
93.80 |
| All slaughter cattle |
cwt. |
45.40 |
54.30 |
4/ |
90.90 |
94.40 |
88.60 |
| Calves |
cwt. |
95.90 |
61.70 |
4/ |
123.00 |
113.00 |
108.00 |
| Hogs |
cwt. |
32.30 |
55.80 |
4/ |
42.40 |
52.70 |
50.70 |
| Lambs |
cwt. |
85.70 |
90.00 |
4/ |
97.00 |
99.60 |
4/ |
| Index (1990-92=100) |
|||||||
| Prices received |
141 |
154 |
145 |
||||
| Prices paid |
163 |
191 |
188 |
||||
| Ratio prices received to prices paid |
86 |
81 |
77 |
||||
| 1/
Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month
shown for previous periods. |
|||||||
Commercial Livestock Slaughter, September 1/
| Species |
Number Slaughtered |
Total Live Weight |
||||||
| New York |
United States |
New York |
United States |
|||||
| 2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
2007 |
2008 |
|
| 1,000 head |
1,000 head |
Million pounds |
Million pounds |
|||||
| Cattle |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2,664.6 |
2,889.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3,426.0 |
3,736.9 |
| Calves |
13.5 |
20.7 |
56.0 |
87.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
15.7 |
21.8 |
| Hogs |
2.8 |
2.9 |
8,772.8 |
9,958.6 |
.5 |
.5 |
2,334.4 |
2,642.7 |
| Sheep and lambs |
3.0 |
3.0 |
210.7 |
221.0 |
.3 |
.3 |
27.0 |
28.5 |
| 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. |
||||||||
OCTOBER MILK PRODUCTION DOWN
New York dairy herds produced 1.01 billion pounds of milk during October. Milk cows and milk per cow both declined from the previous year resulting in a 1 percent decrease in milk production compared to October 2007. The number of milk cows averaged 625 thousand head, down 1 thousand head from October of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,620 pounds, down 10 pounds from the October 2007 rate.
Milk production in the 23 major States during October totaled 14.4 billion pounds, up 1.5 percent from October 2007. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,700 pounds for October, 3 pounds above October 2007. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.46 million head, 105,000 head more than October 2007, and 1,000 head more than September 2008.
Dairy Briefs
| Item |
Unit |
New York |
23 Major States |
||||
| Oct. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
Oct. |
Sep. |
Oct. |
||
| Milk Production |
Mil. lb. |
1,020 |
995 |
1,013 |
14,176 |
13,963 |
14,382 |
| Milk per cow |
Lb. |
1,630 |
1,590 |
1,620 |
1,697 |
1,651 |
1,700 |
| No. of milk cows |
Thou. hd. |
626 |
626 |
625 |
8,355 |
8,459 |
8,460 |
Dairy Products Manufactured
| Item |
Unit |
New York |
United States |
||||
|
Sep. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Sep. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
||
| Butter |
Thou. lb. |
792 |
788 |
756 |
112,869 |
115,729 |
121,245 |
| American cheese |
Thou. lb. |
NA |
NA |
NA |
299,616 |
338,507 |
316,779 |
| Mozzarella cheese |
Thou. lb. |
16,181 |
16,508 |
16,022 |
266,649 |
257,990 |
258,115 |
| Yogurt, plain and flavored |
Thou. lb. |
19,257 |
19,251 |
21,819 |
309,925 |
293,399 |
309,709 |
| Ice cream, hard |
Thou. gal. |
1,979 |
2,793 |
2,585 |
70,121 |
78,639 |
76,023 |
NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 7 PERCENT IN SEPTEMBER
Egg production on New York farms totaled 98 million eggs in September 2008, up 7 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.00 million, increased 2 percent from September 2007 and the rate of lay increased 4 percent to 2,452 eggs per 100 layers.
U.S. egg production totaled 7.34 billion during September 2008, down 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.28 billion table eggs, and 1.06 billion hatching eggs, of which 990 million were broiler-type and 65 million were egg-type. Eggs in incubators totaled 35.5 million on October 1, 2008, up 5 percent from a year ago.
Poultry Briefs
| Item |
Unit |
Sep. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
Sep. |
Aug. |
Sep. |
| New York |
United States |
||||||
| Number of layers |
Thou. |
3,902 |
3,904 |
3,997 |
340,984 |
335,171 |
334,374 |
| Eggs per layer |
No. |
2,358 |
2,536 |
2,452 |
2,168 |
,252 |
2,194 |
| Eggs produced |
Mil. |
92 |
99 |
98 |
7,393 |
7,549 |
7,336 |
| North and South Atlantic States |
United States |
||||||
| Chicks hatched, egg-type |
Thou. |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
35,327 |
36,301 |
36,428 |
| Chicks hatched, broiler type |
Thou. |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
782,152 |
799,625 |
756,565 |
| Chicken eggs in incubators 1/ |
|||||||
| Egg-type |
Thou. |
9,815 |
9,357 |
9,664 |
33,695 |
36,320 |
35,493 |
| Broiler-type |
Thou. |
253,070 |
249,470 |
234,696 |
647,140 |
638,539 |
606,189 |
| 1/ First day of following month. |
|||||||
This report, in addition to many others, is available
free of charge
at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/
The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.