[Image] United States Department of Agriculture E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov (518) 457-5570 NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT September 2010 Monthly No. 973-9-10 NEW YORK CORN AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTION UP Based on conditions as of September 1, New York grain corn production is now expected to total 85.0 million bushels, up 7 percent from the 79.7 million bushels produced in 2009. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 590,000 acres, 1 percent less than the 595,000 acres harvested for grain last year. Yields are expected to average 144 bushels per acre, up 2 bushels from the August forecast, and the same as the record high 144 bushels set in 2008. U.S. corn production is forecast at a record 13.2 billion bushels, down 2 percent from the August forecast, but up from the previous record of 13.1 billion bushels set in 2009. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average 162.5 bushels per acre, down 2.5 bushels from the previous month and 2.2 bushels below last year’s record high of 164.7 bushels. Forecasted yields decreased from last month throughout much of the Corn Belt, Tennessee Valley, and Delta. Yields were up from August in the lower portions of the Southeast. Soybean production in the Empire State is forecast at a record high 13.3 million bushels, up 21 percent from the 10.9 million bushels produced in 2009. Acreage for harvest is also a record high 282,000 acres up 11 percent from the 254,000 acres harvested last year. Yields are expected to be a record high 47 bushels per acre, the same as last month, and up 4 bushels from last year. U.S. soybean production is forecast at a record high 3.48 billion bushels, up 1 percent from the August forecast and 4 percent above last year. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average a record high 44.7 bushels per acre, up 0.7 bushel from both last month and last year. Compared with last month, yields are forecast higher or unchanged across the central and northern Corn Belt, with the exception of Michigan. The largest increases in yield from last month are expected in Maryland and Virginia, both up 4 bushels. If realized, the forecasted yield in Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, New York, and North Dakota will be a record high. Area for harvest in the U.S. is forecast at 78.0 million acres, unchanged from June but up 2 percent from 2009. Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States Acres for Yield per Planted acres harvest acre Production Crop Unit 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 1,000 acres 1,000 acres Units 1,000 units New York Corn for grain bu. 1,070 1,050 595 590 134 144 79,730 84,960 Soybeans bu. 255 285 254 282 43.0 47.0 10,922 13,254 Wheat, winter bu. 115 110 105 95 65.0 67.0 6,825 6,365 Oats bu. 90 80 60 55 77.0 69.0 4,620 3,795 Beans, dry 1/ lbs. 16.0 15.0 15.6 14.5 1,2401,800 193 261 Potatoes, fall cwt. 17.1 16.2 16.5 15.6 300 2/ 4,950 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 350 380 2.30 2.80 805 1,064 Hay, otherton - - 1,010 900 1.65 1.80 1,667 1,620 th lbs - - - - - - 1,380 1,200 Apples lbs. Grapes ton - - - - - - 133.0 170.0 Pears ton - - - - - - 11.2 9.0 Peaches ton - - - - - - 6.5 6.2 United States Corn for grain bu. 86,482 87,872 79,590 81,005 164.7162.513,110,06213,159,700 Soybeans bu. 77,451 78,868 76,372 77,986 44.0 44.7 3,359,011 3,482,899 Wheat, winter bu. 43,311 37,723 34,485 32,085 44.2 47.5 1,522,718 1,522,902 Oats bu. 3,404 3,176 1,379 1,315 67.5 66.3 93,081 87,239 Barley bu. 3,567 2,972 3,113 2,546 73.0 72.3 227,323 184,032 Beans, dry 1/ lbs. 1,537.5 1,778.01,463.01,707.8 1,7331,798 25,360 30,700 Potatoes, summer cwt. 44.2 38.3 42.7 37.1 340 317 14,522 11,779 Potatoes, fall cwt. 936.7 896.1 917.2 882.3 429 2/ 393,544 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 21,227 20,732 3.35 3.49 71,030 72,455 Hay, otherton - - 38,528 38,924 1.98 2.09 76,412 81,439 th Apples lbs - - - - lbs. - - 9,914.9 9,476.1 Grapes ton - - - - - - 7,294.8 7,093.4 Pears ton - - - - - - 957.2 854.8 Peaches ton - - - - - - 1,103.8 1,126.0 1/ Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). 2/ First forecast released November 9. CATTLE AND CALVES: Number of cattle operations, by herd size, New York, 2005-2007 1/ Herd Size Year 1-49 50-99 100-499 500-999 1,000+ Total Number of operations 2005 7,600 3,000 3,700 250 150 14,700 2006 7,500 2,900 3,400 250 150 14,200 2007 7,900 2,300 2,900 320 180 13,600 CATTLE AND CALVES: Percent of inventory, by herd size, New York, 2005-2007 1/ Herd size Year 1-49 50-99 100-499 500-999 1,000+ Percent 2005 9.0 15.0 45.0 12.0 19.0 2006 10.0 15.0 42.0 12.5 20.5 2007 9.0 11.0 39.0 16.0 25.0 MILK COWS: Number of milk cow operations, by herd size, New York, 2005-2007 1/ Number of milk cows in herd Year 1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200-499 500 plus Total Number of operations 2005 1,400 1,300 2,500 890 440 170 6,700 2006 1,300 1,300 2,300 920 420 160 6,400 2007 1,250 1,100 1,900 870 370 210 5,700 MILK COWS: Percent of inventory, by herd size, New York, 2005-2007 1/ Year 1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200-499 500 plus Percent 2005 2.0 7.5 25.5 18.5 20.5 26.0 2006 2.5 8.0 23.5 20.0 20.0 26.0 2007 2.0 7.0 20.0 19.0 18.0 34.0 1/ An operation is any place having one or more head of cattle on hand at any time during the years for 1999-2006. For 2007, an operation is any place having one or more head of cattle on hand December 31, 2007. Annual state level inventory by size group discontinued in 2008. Available from the Census of Agriculture every five years starting in 2007. 2 AUGUST MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM JULY Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during August were up from a month earlier. The price of corn, hay, and winter wheat also increased. The price of oats decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information. Grain corn, at $4.18 per bushel, was up 14 cents from July and increased 62 cents from last year. Oats averaged $1.75 per bushel, down 17 cents from July and 20 cents lower than last year. Hay averaged $116.00 per ton, up $4.00 from July but down $4.00 from August 2009. Winter Wheat, at $6.49 per bushel, was up $1.20 from July and increased $1.51 from August 2009. Dairy farmers in he Empire Sae received an average of $17.90 per hundredweight of milk sold during August, up 50 cents from July and $5.20 more than August a year ago. The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in August, at 145 percent, based on 1990-1992=100, increased 3 points (2.1 percent) from July. The Crop Index is up 5 points (3.3 percent) and the Livestock Index increased 1 point (0.8 percent). Producers received higher prices for wheat, corn, milk, and cattle and lower prices for broilers, lettuce, onions, and cantaloups. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of cattle, grapes, sweet corn, and potatoes offset decreased marketings of wheat, hay, strawberries, and milk. Prices Received by Farmers 1/ New York United States Commodity Unit Aug. July Aug. Aug July Aug. 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Dollars Dollars Corn bu. 3.56 4.04 4.18 3.33 3.49 3.65 Oats bu. 1.95 1.92 1.75 1.86 2.10 2.07 Wheat bu. 4.98 5.29 6.49 4.85 4.50 5.56 Barle bu. - - - 5.17 3.75 3.56 Soybens bu. 10.21 - - 10.80 9.79 10.10 Hay, baled ton120.00 112.00116.00 104.00 112.00 111.00 Potatoes cwt. 14.90 - - 9.61 8.83 9.16 Apples, fresh market 2/ cwt. - - - 23.80 30.40 31.70 Milk, wholesale cwt. 12.70 17.40 17.90 12.10 16.00 16.60 Milk cows 3/ head - 1,300.00 - 1,320.00 - Eggs, table market doz. - - - 0.585 0.528 0.624 Slaughter cows cwt. 44.60 53.60 4/ 45.50 59.00 58.20 Steers and heifers cwt. 81.60 79.50 4/ 85.10 95.90 97.70 All slaughter cattle cwt. 50.20 56.40 4/ 80.40 91.60 93.20 Calves cwt. 89.90 47.70 4/ 108.00 120.00 120.00 Hogs cwt. 44.60 52.50 4/ 37.30 58.50 61.30 Lambs cwt. 101.00 110.00 4/ 97.10 123.00 4/ Index (1990-92=100) Prices received 126 142 145 Prices paid 177 182 182 Ratio prices received to prices paid 71 78 80 1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month. Commercial Livestock Slaughter, July 1/ Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight Species New York United States New York United States 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds Cattle 2.6 2.5 2,921.6 2,900.2 3.2 2.9 3,732.7 3,680.1 Calves 6.8 11.1 80.1 75.1 .6 1.1 18.3 18.6 Hogs 2.8 2.3 9,148.3 8,469.2 .5 .4 2,444.8 2,275.4 Sheep and lambs 2.5 3.1 207.3 197.4 .2 .3 27.9 25.8 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. 3 AUGUST MILK PRODUCTION INCREASED New York dairy herds produced 1.09 billion pounds of milk during August. Milk cows declined while production per cow was up from the previous year resulting in a 4.8 percent increase in milk production compared to August 2009. The number of milk cows averaged 611,000 head, down 7,000 head from August of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,790 pounds, up 100 pounds from the August 2009 rate. Milk production in the 23 major States during August totaled 15.0 billion pounds, up 2.8 percent from August 2009. July production, unrevised at 15.3 billion pounds, was up 3.0 percent from July 2009. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,796 pounds for August, 51 pounds above August 2009. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.36 million head, 10,000 head less than August 2009, and 8,000 head less than July 2010. Dairy Briefs New York 23 Major States Item Unit Aug. July Aug. Aug. July Aug. 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Milk Production Mil. lb. 1,044 1,094 1,094 14,606 15,316 15,019 Milk per cow Lb. 1,690 1,790 1,790 1,745 1,830 1,796 Thou. No. of milk cows hd. 618 611 611 8,372 8,370 8,362 Dairy Products Manufactured New York United States Item Unit July June July July June July 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Thou. Butter lb. N/A N/A N/A 114,388 117,267 111,014 Thou. American cheese lb. N/A N/A N/A 354,695 369,978 368,868 Thou. Mozzarella cheese lb. 18,486 17,181 15,779 273,782 290,585 291,755 Yogurt, plain and Thou. flavored lb. N/A N/A N/A 309,910 353,948 344,874 Thou. Ice cream, hard gal. 2,922 N/A N/A 84,319 84,255 79,000 NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 3 PERCENT IN JULY Egg production on New York farms totaled 99 million eggs in July 2010, down 3 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 3.98 million, decreased 2 percent from July 2009 and the rate of lay decreased slightly to 2,489 eggs per 100 layers. U.S. egg production totaled 7.69 billion during July 2010, up 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.58 billion table eggs, and 1.11 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.04 billion were broiler-type and 72 million were egg-type. The total number of layers during July 2010 averaged 339 million, up 2 percent from last year. July egg production per 100 layers was 2,270 eggs, down slightly from July 2009. Eggs in incubators totaled 33.4 million on August 1, 2010, up 6 percent from a year ago. Poultry Briefs July June July July June July Item Unit 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 New York United States Number of layers Thou. 4,078 4,067 3,977 332,740 338,461 338,650 Eggs per 100 layers No. 2,501 2,385 2,489 2,281 2,203 2,270 Eggs produced Mil. 102 97 99 7,590 7,455 7,688 North and South Atlantic United States States Chicks hatched, egg-type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 36,213 42,623 38,053 Chicks hatched, broiler type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 784,118 786,707 800,860 Chicken eggs in incubators 1/ Egg-type Thou. 6,844 10,083 6,521 31,629 37,491 33,392 Broiler-type Thou. 244,444 252,092 252,939 630,166 652,280 648,652 1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/ The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.