E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov (518) 457-5570 NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT October 2010 Monthly No. 973-10-10 NEW YORK SMALL GRAINS - 2010 SUMMARY Production of barley increased from a year ago. Production of barley in New York was estimated at 550,000 bushels, 4 percent above last year's production. Area harvested was 10,000 acres, the same as a year ago. Oat production totaled 3.89 million bushels, a decrease of 16 percent from last year. Winter wheat production is estimated at 6.70 million bushels, down 2 percent from last year. Yields averaged a record high 67 bushels per acre, 2 bushels more than last year. U.S. all wheat production totals 2.22 billion bushels in 2010, down 2 percent from the August forecast, but up slightly from 2009. Grain area is 47.7 million acres, down 4 percent from last year. The U.S. yield is a record high 46.7 bushels per acre, 2.3 bushels higher than last year. The level of production and changes from last year by type are: winter wheat, 1.49 billion bushels, down 3 percent; other spring wheat, 627 million bushels, up 7 percent; Durum wheat, 111 million bushels, up 2 percent. RECORD HIGH CORN AND SOYBEAN YIELDS FOR NEW YORK New York soybean production is expected to total a record high 13.8 million bushels, up 27 percent from 2009. Yields are forecast at a record high 49 bushels per acre, up 6 bushels from last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total a record high 282 thousand acres, up 11 percent from last year’s 254 thousand acres. New York grain corn production is estimated at 87.3 million bushels, up 10 percent from last year’s production of 79.7 million bushels. Yields are expected to average a record high 148 bushels per acre, up 14 bushels from last year. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 590 thousand acres, down 1 percent from the 595 thousand acres harvested for grain in 2009. Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States Acres for Yield per Planted acres harvest acre Production Crop Unit 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 1,000 acres 1,000 acres Units 1,000 units New York Corn for grain bu. 1,070 1,050 595 590 134.0 148.0 79,730 87,320 Wheat, winter Bu. 115 110 105 100 65.0 67.0 6,825 6,700 Oats bu. 90 80 60 58 77.0 67.0 4,620 3,886 Barley bu. 12 12 10 10 53.0 55.0 530 550 Soybeans bu. 255 285 254 282 43.0 49.0 10,922 13,818 Beans, dry 1/ lbs. 16.0 15.0 15.6 14.5 1,240 2,100 193 305 Potatoes, fall cwt. 17.1 16.2 16.5 15.6 300 2/ 4,950 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 350 380 2.30 2.40 805 912 Hay, otherton - - 1,010 900 1.65 1.40 1,667 1,260 Apples thou lbs. - - - - - - 1,380 1,200 Grapes ton - - - - - - 133 170 Pears ton - - - - - - 11.2 9.0 Peaches ton - - - - - - 6.5 6.2 United States Corn for grain bu. 86,482 88,222 79,590 81,263 164.7 155.8 13,110,062 12,663,949 Wheat, winter bu. 43,346 37,335 34,510 31,749 44.2 46.8 1,524,608 1,485,236 Oats bu. 3,404 3,138 1,379 1,268 67.5 64.6 93,081 81,855 Barley bu. 3,567 2,872 3,113 2,471 73.0 73.6 227,323 181,884 Soybeans bu. 77,451 77,714 76,372 76,823 44.0 44.4 3,359,011 3,408,211 Beans, dry 1/ lbs.1,537.5 1,900.0 1,463.0 1,829.3 1,733 1,783 25,360 32,615 Potatoes, summer cwt. 43.2 38.3 41.7 37.1 343 317 14,321 11,779 Potatoes, fall cwt. 936.7 896.1 917.2 882.3 429 2/ 393,544 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 21,227 20,732 3.35 3.44 71,030 71,326 Hay, otherton - - 38,528 38,924 1.98 2.08 76,412 80,952 Apples thou lbs. - - - - - - 9,914.9 9,413.5 Grapes ton - - - - - - 7,294.8 6,875.4 Pears ton - - - - - - 957.2 854.8 Peaches ton - - - - - - 1,103.8 1,126.0 1/ Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). 2/ First forecast released November 9. NET FARM INCOME DECREASES New York net farm income decreased 55 percent in 2009 to $553 million. The value of livestock production decreased to $2.03 billion and the value of crop output decreased to $1.61 billion. The value of purchased inputs decreased to $2.14 billion while the value of direct government payments more than doubled to $149 million. Value Added to the Economy by the Agricultural Sector, New York, 2005-2009 Item 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Thousand Dollars Value of crop production 1,263,286 1,499,345 1,664,637 2,071,051 1,605,668 Value of livestock production 2,240,812 1,956,816 2,718,357 2,687,607 2,031,769 Revenues from services and forestry 394,105 395,173 428,830 443,075 500,328 Value of agricultural sector production 3,898,203 3,851,334 4,811,824 5,201,733 4,137,765 less: Purchased inputs 1,702,633 1,831,035 2,213,032 2,433,296 2,136,115 Farm origin 553,275 596,619 715,109 846,665 733,999 Manufactured inputs 475,020 521,033 612,460 676,035 600,306 Other purchased inputs 674,338 713,383 885,463 910,596 801,810 plus: Net government transactions -55,586 -87,848 -185,878 -199,160 -88,118 + Direct Government payments 143,240 127,875 62,892 69,113 149,065 - Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees 8,077 6,646 9,776 6,434 6,975 - Property taxes 190,749 209,077 238,994 261,839 230,208 Gross value added 2,139,984 1,932,451 2,412,914 2,569,277 1,913,531 less: Capital consumption 458,622 473,974 487,081 523,978 549,920 Net value added 1,681,362 1,458,477 1,925,833 2,045,299 1,363,611 less: Payments to stakeholders 639,504 736,351 867,155 824,301 810,901 Net farm income 1,041,858 722,126 1,058,678 1,220,998 552,710 Stocks of Grain, United States, September 1, 2010 with Comparisons On Farms Total in All Positions Sep 1, Jun 1, Sep 1, Sep 1, Jun 1, Sep 1, 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 1,000 bushels 1,000 bushels All Wheat 863,000 209,900 826,000 2,209,338 975,637 2,458,849 Corn 607,500 2,131,400 485,100 1,673,311 4,310,071 1,707,566 Oats 54,500 17,600 46,750 128,375 80,316 177,448 Barley 154,050 40,440 126,570 239,464 115,499 224,994 Sorghum 4,400 10,700 4,500 54,712 87,862 41,241 Soybeans 35,100 232,600 35,400 138,198 571,123 151,121 SEPTEMBER MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM AUGUST Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during September were up from a month earlier. The price of corn, winter wheat, and oats increased also. The price of hay and potatoes decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information. Grain corn, at $4.69 per bushel, was up 36 cents from August and increased 73 cents from last year. Oats, at $1.79 per bushel, were up 20 cents from August. Winter wheat, at $6.55 per bushel, was up 60 cents from August and increased $2.11 from a year ago. Hay averaged $101.00 per ton, down $15 from August and down $25 from September 2009. Potatoes averaged $14.20 per cwt, down $1.70 from August but up $1.30 from last year. Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $18.20 per hundredweight of milk sold during September, up 20 cents from August and $4.70 more than September a year ago. The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in September, at 150 percent, based on 1990-1992=100, increased 5 points (3.4 percent) from August. The Crop Index is up 6 points (3.8 percent) and the Livestock Index increased 1 point (0.7 percent). Producers received higher prices for corn, wheat, broilers, and milk and lower prices for lettuce, eggs, soybeans, and strawberries. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of soybeans, corn, apples, and potatoes offset decreased marketings of cattle, wheat, broilers, and grapes. Prices Received by Farmers 1/ New York United States Sep Aug Sep Sep Aug Sep Commodity Unit 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Dollars Dollars Corn bu. 3.96 4.33 4.69 3.25 3.65 4.34 Oats bu. -- 1.59 1.79 1.82 2.09 2.16 Wheat bu. 4.44 5.95 6.55 4.48 5.44 6.02 Barley bu. -- -- -- 4.78 3.68 3.54 Soybeans bu. -- -- -- 9.75 10.10 9.94 Hay, baled ton 126.00 116.00 101.00 105.00 111.00 111.00 Potatoes cwt. 12.90 15.90 14.20 8.27 7.78 7.58 Apples, fresh market 2/ cwt. 28.80 -- 28.20 35.70 31.70 34.90 Milk, wholesale cwt. 13.50 18.00 18.20 13.00 16.70 17.20 Milk cows 3/ head -- -- -- -- -- -- Eggs, table market doz. -- -- -- .571 .624 .446 Slaughter cows cwt. 49.10 52.10 4/ 44.30 58.40 56.60 Steers and heifers cwt. 88.30 78.70 4/ 85.50 98.00 99.30 All slaughter cattle cwt. 55.70 55.30 4/ 80.50 93.50 94.40 Calves cwt. 86.20 58.40 4/ 105.00 121.00 120.00 Hogs cwt. 48.50 112.00 4/ 37.70 61.30 60.90 Lambs cwt. 87.00 130.00 4/ 98.10 127.00 4/ Index (1990-92=100) Prices received 126 145 150 Prices paid 176 182 183 Ratio prices received to prices paid 72 80 82 1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month. Commercial Livestock Slaughter, September 1/ Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight Species New York United States New York United States 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 2009 2010 1,000 head 1,000 head Million Million pounds pounds Cattle 2.9 2.8 2,814.7 2,898.2 3.4 3.3 3,676.9 3,723.6 Calves 9.0 9.6 81.3 71.2 .9 1.0 19.7 19.2 Hogs 2.8 3.0 9,939.8 9,344.9 .5 .5 2,679.9 2,524.5 Sheep and 3.1 3.7 225.2 204.0 .3 .3 29.3 26.2 lambs 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. 3 SEPTEMBER MILK PRODUCTION INCREASED New York dairy herds produced 1.04 billion pounds of milk during September. Milk cows declined while production per cow was up from the previous year resulting in a 3.6 percent increase in milk production compared to September 2009. The number of milk cows averaged 611,000 head, down 6,000 head from September of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,695 pounds, up 75 pounds from the September 2009 rate. Milk production in the 23 major States during September totaled 14.5 billion pounds, up 3.6 percent from September 2009. August revised production at 15.0 billion pounds, was up 2.7 percent from August 2009. The August revision represented a decrease of 18 million pounds or 0.1 percent from last month's preliminary production estimate. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,729 pounds for September, 54 pounds above September 2009. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.37 million head, 31,000 head more than September 2009, and 4,000 head more than August 2010. Dairy Briefs New York 23 Major States Item Unit Sep Aug Sep Sep Aug Sep 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Milk Production Mil. lb. 1,000 1,094 1,036 13,957 15,001 14,466 Milk per cow Lb. 1,620 1,790 1,695 1,675 1,794 1,729 No. of milk cows Thou. hd 617 611 611 8,335 8,362 8,366 Dairy Products Manufactured New York United States Item Unit Aug Jul Aug Aug Jul Aug 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 Butter Thou. lb. NA NA NA 101,029 111,001 101,625 American cheese Thou. lb. NA NA NA 347,088 368,415 354,465 Mozzarella cheese Thou. lb. 17,410 15,779 16,753 272,632 291,658 294,266 Yogurt, plain and flavored Thou. lb. NA NA NA 323,373 340,025 361,508 Ice cream, hard Thou. gal. 2,537 NA NA 79,273 78,706 76,537 NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 2 PERCENT IN AUGUST Egg production on New York farms totaled 98 million eggs in August 2010, down 2 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 3.95 million, decreased 3 percent from August 2009 but the rate of lay increased 1 percent to 2,480 eggs per 100 layers. U.S. egg production totaled 7.74 billion during August 2010, up 2 percent from last year. Production included 6.64 billion table eggs, and 1.10 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.02 billion were broiler-type and 73 million were egg-type. The total number of layers during August 2010 averaged 339 million, up 2 percent from last year. August egg production per 100 layers was 2,283 eggs, unchanged from August 2009. Eggs in incubators totaled 37.5 million on September 1, 2010, up 2 percent from a year ago. Poultry Briefs Aug Jul Aug Aug Jul Aug Item Unit 2009 2010 2010 2009 2010 2010 New York United States Number of layers Thou. 4,057 3,997 3,951 332,612 338,807 339,082 Eggs per 100 layers No. 2,465 2,489 2,480 2,283 2,270 2,283 Eggs produced Mil. 100 99 98 7,593 7,691 7,741 North and South Atlantic United States States Chicks hatched, egg-type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 37,945 38,053 37,023 Chicks hatched, broiler type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 781,423 800,860 798,529 Chicken eggs in incubators 1/ Egg-type Thou. 9,451 6,521 9,305 36,834 33,392 37,513 Broiler-type Thou. 243,693 252,939 248,362 621,350 648,652 639,413 1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/ The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.