E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov (518) 457-5570 NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT July 2011 Monthly No. 973-7-11 NEW YORK FIELD CROP ACREAGE - 2011 New York farmers intend to plant record low oat acreage in 2011 totaling 55,000 acres, 31 percent below the March intentions estimate and 31 percent less than the 80,000 acres planted last year. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at a record low 38,000 acres, 34 percent less than the acres harvested in 2010. A record high 285,000 acres of soybeans are expected to be planted, up 2 percent from the previous record of 280,000 planted in 2010. An estimated 282,000 acres will be harvested for beans, 1 percent more than last year. Farmers intend to plant 1,040,000 acres of corn for all purposes, 1 percent less than acres planted in 2010. Acreage for grain is expected to total 600,000 acres, up 2 percent from the 590,000 acres harvested last year. Dry bean acreage is estimated at 11,000 acres, down 27 percent from last year. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 10,500 acres, down from the 14,900 acres harvested in 2010. Barley plantings totaled 10,000 acres, 17 percent below last year. Acreage to be harvested for grain is estimated at 9,000 acres, 10 percent below last year. Acreage for harvest for all types of dry hay is expected to total 1.53 million acres, up 11 percent from last year. Alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures for dry hay, at 450,000 acres, is up 7 percent and acres for other types of dry hay, at 1,080,000 acres, is up 13 percent from a year earlier. Winter wheat production for the Empire State is estimated at 6.84 million bushels, up 2 percent from the 6.70 million bushels produced in 2010. Yields are forecast at 60 bushels per acre, the same as the June 1 forecast but 7 bushels below last year. Harvested acreage is projected at 114,000 acres, up 14 percent from 2010.The first yield and production forecast for corn, soybeans, dry beans, and hay will be released on August 11. U.S. CORN ACREAGE UP AND SOYBEAN ACREAGE DOWN U.S. corn planted area for all purposes in 2011 is estimated at 92.3 million acres, up 5 percent from last year, and the second highest planted acreage in the United States since 1944, behind only the 93.5 million acres planted in 2007. Growers expect to harvest 84.9 million acres for grain, up 4 percent from last year. U.S. soybean planted area for 2011 is estimated at 75.2 million acres, down 3 percent from last year. Area for harvest, at 74.3 million acres, is also down 3 percent from 2010. Record high planted acreage is estimated in New York and North Dakota. U.S. winter wheat production is forecast at 1.49 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last month and up slightly from 2010. The United States yield is forecast at 46.2 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from last month but down 0.6 bushel from last year. The area expected to be harvested for grain totals 32.3 million acres, unchanged from the Acreage report released on June 30, 2011 but up 2 percent from last year. Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States Crop Unit Planted acres Acres for harvest Yield per acre Production 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 1,000 acres 1,000 acres Units 1,000 units New York Corn for grain Bu - - 590 600 150 1/ 88,500 1/ Soybeans Bu 280 285 279 282 48.0 1/ 13,392 1/ Wheat, winter Bu 110 120 100 114 67.0 60.0 6,700 6,840 Oats Bu 80 55 58 38 67.0 52.0 3,886 1,976 Beans, dry 3/ Lbs 15.0 11.0 14.9 10.5 1,890 1/ 282 1/ Potatoes, fall Cwt 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 320 4/ 5,120 4/ Hay, alfalfa Ton - - 420 450 2.10 1/ 882 1/ Hay, other Ton - - 960 1,080 1.60 1/ 1,536 1/ Apples Mil. 1,270 1/ Grapes Ton 176.0 1/ Pears Ton 8.3 1/ Peaches Ton 5.9 1/ United States Corn for grain Bu - - 81,446 84,888 152.8 1/ 12,446,865 1/ Soybeans Bu 77,404 75,208 76,616 74,258 43.5 1/ 3,329,341 1/ Wheat, winter Bu 37,335 41,108 31,749 32,307 46.8 46.2 1,485,236 1,491,739 Oats Bu 3,138 2,587 1,263 934 64.3 60.5 81,190 56,551 Barley Bu 2,872 2,815 2,465 2,480 73.1 69.6 180,268 172,658 Rye Bu 1,211 1,252 265 242 28.0 2/ 7,431 2/ Beans, dry 3/ Lbs 1,911.4 1,258.0 1,842.7 1,207.2 1,726 1/ 31,801 1/ Potatoes, summer Cwt 39.0 40.9 37.5 38.7 310 313 11,642 12,112 Potatoes, fall Cwt 893.7 948.6 881.3 936.1 409 4/ 360,727 4/ Hay, alfalfa Ton - - 19,956 19,329 3.40 1/ 67,903 1/ Hay, other Ton - - 39,906 38,276 1.95 1/ 77,653 1/ Apples Mil 9.301.6 1/ Grapes Ton 7,414.2 1/ Pears Ton 813.6 1/ Peaches Ton 1,150.3 1,127.1 1/ First forecast released August 11. 2/ Estimated released Sept 30. 3/ Production in 100 lb bags. 4/ First forecast released Nov 9. NEW YORK TART & SWEET CHERRY FORECASTS DOWN New York's 2011 sweet cherryproduction, forecast late-June, is expected to total 930 tons, 7percentbelowthe2010cropand 25 percent above 2009. Tart cherry production is forecast at 6.50 million pounds, 17 percent below the 2010 crop and 42 percent below 2009. New York's 2011 peach crop is forecast at 6,000 tons, up 2 percent from the 5,900 tons produced last year. U.S. peach production is expected to total 1.13 million tons, down 2 percent from last year. FRUIT: Indicated Production, New York and United States, with Comparisons Fruit Unit New York United States 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 Peaches Tons 6,500 5,900 6,000 1,103,770 1,150,300 1,127,140 Tart Cherries Mil. lbs. 11.2 7.8 6.5 358.9 190.4 266.1 Sweet Cherries Tons 1,240 1,000 930 442,870 312,720 324,830 NEW YORK POTATO ACREAGE INCREASES New York potato growers planted an estimated 16,500 acres of potatoes this year. This is up 2 percent from 2010. Acres for harvest are forecast at 16,100, up 1 percent from last year. U.S. area planted to fall potatoes for 2011 is estimated at 948,600 acres, up 6 percent from the 2010 crop year. Harvested area is forecast at 936,100 acres, also up 6 percent from 2010. Stocks of Grain, United States, June 1, 2011, with Comparisons On farms Total in All Positions Species June 1, March 1, June 1, June 1, March 1, June 1, 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Thousand bushels All Wheat 209,900 288,010 130,915 975,637 1,424,558 860,781 Corn 2,131,400 3,384,000 1,681,500 4,310,071 6,522,804 3,670,154 Oats 17,600 26,950 14,580 80,316 86,345 67,605 Barley 40,440 57,700 26,040 115,499 137,972 89,358 Sorghum 10,700 13,020 3,140 87,862 170,822 80,058 Soybeans 232,600 505,000 217,700 571,123 1,248,885 619,082 Average GMO Estimates New York United States Crop 2008-2010 2009-2011 2008-2010 2009-2011 Bt HR SG All Bt HR SG All Bt HR SG All Bt HR SG All Percent Percent Corn 16 24 28 68 15 26 32 74 17 23 44 84 16 23 47 86 Soybeans - - - 85 - - - 86 - - - 92 - - - 93 U.S. HOG INVENTORY UP 1 PERCENT United States inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 2011 was 65.0 million head. This was up 1 percent from June 1, 2010, and up 2 percent from March 1, 2011. Breeding inventory, at 5.80 million head, was up slightly from last year, and up slightly from the previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.2 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up 2 percent from last quarter. The March-May 2011 pig crop, at 28.9 million head, was up slightly from 2010 but down 1 percent from 2009. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.88 million head, down 2 percent from 2010 and down 5 percent from 2009. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 50 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was a record high 10.03 for the March-May 2011 period, compared to 9.81 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.50 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 10.10 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs. United States hog producers intend to have 2.87 million sows farrow during the June-August 2011 quarter, down 3 percent from the actual farrowings during the same period in 2010, and down 3 percent from 2009. Intended farrowings for September- November 2011, at 2.85 million sows, are down 1 percent from 2010 and down 2 percent from 2009. The total number of hogs under contract owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 45 percent of the total United States hog inventory, up from 44 percent last year. JUNE MILK PRICES UP 3 PERCENT FROM MAY Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during June were up from a month earlier. The price of corn, hay, and apples increased also. The price of potatoes decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information. Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $22.00 per hundredweight of milk sold during June, up 70 cents from May and $5.20 more than June a year ago. Grain corn, at $8.13 per bushel, was up 58 cents from May and up $4.26 from last year. Hay averaged $146 per ton, up $30 from May and $47 higher than prices received June 2010. Potatoes averaged $11.70 per hundredweight, down $3.80 from May and $4.10 below June 2010 prices. Apples, at 27.8 cents per pound, increased 0.8 cents from May and were 7.0 cents higher than last year. The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in June, at 181 percent, based on 1990-1992=100, increased 7 points (4.0 percent) from May. The Crop Index is up 12 points (6.0 percent) but the Livestock Index was unchanged. Producers received higher prices for milk, corn, and broccoli, and lower prices for cattle, lettuce, wheat, and strawberries. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of wheat, hay, grapes, and peaches offset decreased marketings of corn, cattle, oranges, and milk. Prices Received by Farmers 1/ New York United States Commodity Unit Jun May June June May June 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Dollars Dollars Corn bu. 3.87 7.55 8.13 3.41 6.30 6.58 Oats bu. - 3.58 - 2.11 3.55 3.51 Wheat bu. - 7.33 - 4.16 8.16 7.85 Barley bu. - - - 3.64 4.15 5.11 Soybeans bu. - - - 9.45 13.20 13.30 Hay, baled ton 99.00 116.00 146.00 114.00 169.00 163.00 Potatoes cwt. 15.80 15.50 11.70 8.25 11.17 11.08 Apples, fresh market 2/ cwt. 20.80 27.00 27.80 30.80 25.90 26.30 Milk, wholesale cwt. 16.80 21.30 22.00 15.40 19.60 21.00 Milk cows 3/ head - - - - - - Eggs, table market doz. - - - 0.422 0.622 0.687 Slaughter cows cwt. 59.50 68.70 4/ 57.90 78.20 77.20 Steers and heifers cwt. 95.80 87.50 4/ 94.80 115.00 108.00 All slaughter cattle cwt. 65.20 71.20 4/ 90.40 112.00 106.00 Calves cwt. 124.00 108.00 4/ 122.00 137.00 129.00 Hogs cwt. 52.40 52.00 4/ 58.20 68.00 67.70 Lambs cwt. 130.00 170.00 4/ 119.00 181.00 4/ Index (1990-92=100) Prices received 135 174 181 Prices paid 181 204 204 Ratio prices received to prices paid 75 85 89 1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month. Commercial Livestock Slaughter, May 1/ Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight Species New York United States New York United States 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds Cattle 2.4 2.5 2,784.1 2,818.1 2.9 2.8 3,467.5 3,519.9 Calves 6.5 5.7 60.3 61.1 .7 .7 17.0 17.3 Hogs 1.9 2.4 7,971.6 8,541.8 .4 .4 2,167.7 2,351.3 Sheep and lambs 3.0 3.1 182.9 179.4 .3 .3 25.4 25.7 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. JUNE MILK PRODUCTION UP New York dairy herds produced 1,083 million pounds of milk during June. Milk cows were unchanged but production per cow was up from the previous year resulting in a 0.3 percent increase in milk production compared to June 2010. The number of milk cows averaged 610,000 head, unchanged from June of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,775 pounds, up 5 pounds from the June 2010 rate. Milk production in the 23 major States during June totaled 15.4 billion pounds, up 1.4 percent from June 2010. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,819 pounds for June, 2 pounds above June 2010. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.46 million head, 106,000 head more than June 2010, and 11,000 head more than May 2011. Dairy Briefs New York 23 Major States Item Unit June May June June May June 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Milk Production Mil. lb. 1,080 1,125 1,083 15,186 16,063 15,394 Milk per cow Lb. 1,770 1,845 1,775 1,817 1,901 1,819 No. of milk cows Thou. hd. 610 610 610 8,356 8,451 8,462 Dairy Products Manufactured New York United States Item Unit May Apr. May May Apr. May 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Butter Thou. lb. N/A N/A N/A 131,878 158,811 155,946 American cheese Thou. lb. N/A N/A N/A 371,440 357,080 371,164 Mozzarella cheese Thou. lb. 16,453 18,282 17,932 293,976 300,230 308,948 Yogurt, plain and flavored Thou. lb. N/A N/A N/A 333,895 357,666 344,095 Ice cream, hard Thou. gal. N/A N/A N/A 79,640 74,088 75,118 NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION UP 6 PERCENT IN MAY Egg production on New York farms totaled 102 million eggs in May, up 6 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.09 million, increased 5 percent from May 2010 and the rate of lay was 2,496 eggs per 100 layers, up 1 percent from last year. United States egg production totaled 7.78 billion during May 2011, up 1 percent from last year. Production included 6.67 billion table eggs, and 1.11 billion hatching eggs, of which 1.04 billion were broiler-type and 72 million were egg-type. The total number of layers during May 2011 averaged 338 million, down slightly from last year. May egg production per 100 layers was 2,302 eggs, up 1 percent from May 2010. Poultry Briefs Item Unit May Apr. May May Apr. May 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 New York United States Number of layers Thou. 3,891 4,065 4,086 339,344 340,688 337,945 Eggs per 100 layers No. 2,467 2,411 2,496 2,274 2,236 2,302 Eggs produced Mil. 96 98 102 7,716 7,617 7,779 North and South Atlantic States United States Chicks hatched, egg-type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 43,231 43,429 43,305 Chicks hatched, broiler type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 799,068 779,859 806,574 Chicken eggs in incubators 1/ Egg-type Thou. 9,492 8,585 7,520 38,346 40,782 37,629 Broiler-type Thou. 253,353 255,344 254,511 656,887 649,093 641,890 1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge at our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/ The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.