E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov (518) 457-5570 NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT August 2011 Monthly No. 973-8-11 NEW YORK CROP PROSPECTS – AUGUST 1 New York grain corn production is forecast at 78.0 million bushels, down 12 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 600 thousand acres, 2 percent above a year ago. Yield is forecast at 130 bushels per acre, down 20 bushels from last year. Growing degree days are ahead of normal, but much of New York is in need of rain. Oat production, expected to total 1.90 million bushels, is 51 percent below a year ago. Acreage for grain harvest is estimated at a record low 38 thousand acres, down 34 percent from last year. Yields are forecast at 50 bushels per acre, down 17 bushels from 2010. Soybean production in the Empire State is estimated at 11.8 million bushels, down 12 percent from last year’s 13.4 million bushels. Acreage for harvest increased 1 percent from 279 thousand a year earlier to a record high 282 thousand acres. Yields are expected to average 42.0 bushels per acre, down 6 bushels from last year. New York production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures, at 900 thousand tons, is 2 percent above 2010. Other dry hay production is expected to total 1.62 million tons, up 5 percent from a year ago. An increase in alfalfa and other hay acreages resulted in higher production. U.S. CORN PRODUCTION UP AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN Corn production is forecast at 12.9 billion bushels, up 4 percent from 2010. If realized, this will be the third largest production total on record for the United States. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 153.0 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from 2010, and the fourth highest yield on record. Growers expect to harvest 84.4 million acres for grain, down less than 1 percent from June but up 4 percent from 2010. Soybean production is forecast at 3.06 billion bushels, down 8 percent from last year. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.4 bushels per acre, down 2.1 bushels from last year. Area for harvest in the U.S. is forecast at 73.8 million acres, down less than 1 percent from June and down 4 percent from 2010. Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States Acres for Yield per Planted Acres Harvest Acre Production Crop Unit 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 1,000 acres 1,000 acres Units 1,000 units New York Corn, all - 1,050 1,040 - - - - - - Corn for grain bu. - - 590 600 150 130 88,500 78,000 Soybeans bu. 280 285 279 282 48.0 42.0 13,392 11,844 Wheat, winter bu. 110 120 100 114 67.0 55.0 6,700 6,270 Oats lbs. 80 55 58 38 67.0 50.0 3,886 1,900 Beans, dry lbs. 15.0 12.0 14.9 11.51,8901,600 282 184 1/ Potatoes, fall cwt. 16.2 16.5 16.0 16.1 320 2/ 5,120 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 420 450 2.10 2.00 882 900 Hay, other ton - - 960 1,080 1.60 1.50 1,536 1,620 mil. Apples lbs. 1,270 1,250 Grapes ton 176.0 187.0 Pears ton 8.3 14.6 Peaches ton 5.9 6.0 United States Corn, all - 88,192 92,282 - - - - - - Corn for grain bu. - - 81,446 84,388152.8153.012,446,86512,914,085 Soybeans bu. 77,404 75,208 76,616 73,823 43.5 41.4 3,329,341 3,055,882 Wheat, winter bu. 37,335 41,108 31,749 32,307 46.8 46.3 1,485,236 1,497,429 Oats bu. 3,138 2,587 1,263 934 64.3 61.6 81,190 57,489 Barley bu. 2,872 2,815 2,465 2,390 73.1 70.4 180,268 168,218 Beans, dry lbs 1/ 1,911.41,265.21,842.7 1,190.21,7261,718 31,801 20,451 Potatoes, summer cwt. 39.0 40.9 37.5 38.7 310 313 11,642 12,112 Potatoes, cwt. fall lbs. 1,021.51,082.61,004.7 1,065.3 395 2/ 397,189 2/ Hay, alfalfa ton - - 19,956 19,329 3.40 3.36 67,903 64,996 Hay, other ton - - 39,906 38,276 1.95 1.75 77,653 67,002 Apples 9,301.6 9,511.8 Grapes 7,414.2 7,189.4 Pears 813.6 888.3 Peaches 1,150.3 1,129.1 1/Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). 2/ First forecast released November 9. DRY BEANS: Planted Acreage by Classes, New York and United States, 2009-2011 New York United States Class 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 1,000 acres 1,000 acres Light Red Kidney 5.7 5.5 3.1 56.3 53.1 41.7 Dark Red Kidney 1.8 1.6 2.0 50.5 48.5 51.1 Black 7.7 6.7 5.3 187.4 284.0 212.5 All Other 0.8 1.2 1.6 1,245.8 1,525.8 959.9 TOTAL 16.0 15.0 12.0 1,540.0 1,911.4 1,265.2 Hired Workers on Farms and Wage Rates Northeast I 1/ United States July Apr July July Apr July Item 11-17, 2011 2/ 10-16 11-17, 2011 2/ 10-16 2010 2011 2010 2011 1,000 workers All hired workers 38 38 885 836 Worked 150 days or more 25 28 627 606 Worked less than 150 days 13 10 258 230 Hours worked per week All hired workers 43.7 41.3 40.7 41.3 Dollars per hour Field workers 9.81 10.63 10.09 10.24 Livestock workers 9.59 9.83 10.15 10.28 Field and livestock workers 9.73 10.35 10.11 10.25 All hired workers 10.35 11.00 10.79 10.90 1/ New York and New England States (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT) are combined into Northeast I region 2/ The April 2011 Farm Labor Survey was not conducted. JULY 1 CATTLE INVENTORY DOWN 1 PERCENT All cattle and calves in the United States as of July 1, 2011, totaled 100.0 million head, 1 percent below the 101.1 million head on July 1, 2010, and down 2 percent from the 102 million two years ago. All cows and heifers that have calved, at 40.6 million, was down 1 percent from July 1, 2010 and down 2 percent from July 1, 2009. Beef cows, at 31.4 million, were down 1 percent from July 1, 2010 and 2 percent below two years ago. Milk cows, at 9.2 million, were up 1 percent from July 1, 2010 and unchanged from two years ago. CATTLE ON FARMS United States, July 1, 2009-2011 United States Class 2009 2010 2011 1,000 head Cattle and Calves 102,000 101,100 100,000 Cows that have 41,400 40,900 40,600 calved Beef cows 32,200 31,750 31,400 Milk cows 9,200 9,150 9,200 Heifers 500 lbs. 16,200 16,200 16,000 and over For beef cow 4,500 4,400 4,200 replacement For milk cow 3,950 4,050 4,200 replacement Other heifers 7,750 7,750 7,600 Steers 500 lbs. and 14,400 14,400 14,200 over Bulls 500 lbs. and 2,100 2,100 2000 over Calves under 500 27,900 27,500 27,200 pounds Calf crop 35,819 35,685 35,500 JULY MILK PRICES INCREASED FROM JUNE Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during July were up from a month earlier, according to King Whetstone, Director of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, New York Field Office. The price of corn increased also. The price of hay decreased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information. Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $23.10 per hundredweight of milk sold during July, up 70 cents from June and $5.70 more than July a year ago. Grain corn, at $7.19 per bushel, was up 16 cents from June and up $3.15 from last year. Hay averaged $121 per ton, down $25 from June but $9 higher than prices received July 2010. The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in July, at 181 percent, based on 1990-1992=100, increased 2 points (1.1 percent) from June. The Crop Index is down 1 point (0.5 percent) but the Livestock Index increased 3 points (2.0 percent). Producers received higher prices for cattle, milk, cantaloupes, and corn and lower prices for broilers, wheat, broccoli, and carrots. In addition to prices, the overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities producers sell. Increased monthly marketings of wheat, grain sorghum, hay, and tomatoes offset decreased marketings of milk, potatoes, cantaloupes, and strawberries. The information in this release is available by free email subscription by subscribing to New York reports at www.nass.usda.gov/ny. Prices Received by Farmers 1/ New York United States Commodity Unit July June July July June July 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Dollars Dollars Corn bu. 4.04 7.03 7.19 3.49 6.38 6.46 Oats bu. 1.92 - - 2.11 3.41 3.60 Wheat bu. - - - 4.49 7.40 7.18 Barley bu. - - - 3.79 4.66 5.04 Soybeans bu. - - - 9.79 13.20 13.40 Hay, baled ton 112.00 146.00 121.00 112.00 163.00 170.00 Potatoes cwt. - - - 8.83 11.59 13.46 Apples, fresh market2/ cwt. - 27.80 - 29.90 26.30 28.90 Milk, wholesale cwt. 17.40 22.40 23.10 15.90 21.20 22.10 Milk cows 3/ hea 1,300.00 - 1,450.00 1,320.00 - 1,480.00 Eggs, table market doz. - - - 0.528 0.687 0.684 Slaughter cows cwt. 59.60 67.70 4/ 59.10 75.90 74.40 Steers and heifers cwt. 88.90 90.40 4/ 96.00 110.00 115.00 All slaughter cattle cwt. 60.80 70.40 4/ 91.70 107.00 112.00 Calves cwt. 75.50 75.30 4/ 122.00 133.00 142.00 Hogs cwt. 52.50 60.40 4/ 58.50 69.70 71.60 Lambs cwt. 110.00 160.00 4/ 122.00 189.00 4/ Index (1990-92=100) Prices received 138 179 181 Prices paid 181 204 206 Ratio prices received to prices paid 76 88 88 1/Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/Price available next month. Commercial Livestock Slaughter, June 1/ Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight Species New York United States New York United States 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 2010 2011 1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds Cattle 2.6 2.7 3,049.5 3,101.2 3.0 3.0 3,834.3 3,900.2 Calves 9.5 9.3 68.5 72.5 1.0 .9 18.2 18.9 Hogs 2.7 3.0 9,046.3 8,940.0 .5 .5 2,449.7 2,434.9 Sheep and lambs 3.3 2.9 212.1 183.4 .3 .2 28.3 25.1 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. JULY MILK PRODUCTION DECREASED New York dairy herds produced 1,092 million pounds of milk during July. Milk cows were down but production per cow was unchanged from the previous year resulting in a 0.2 percent decrease in milk production compared to July 2010. The number of milk cows averaged 610,000 head, down slightly from July of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,790 pounds, unchanged from the July 2010 rate. Milk production in the 23 major States during July totaled 15.4 billion pounds, up 0.8 percent from July 2010. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,824 pounds for July, 5 pounds below July 2010. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.47 million head, 93,000 head more than July 2010, and 8,000 head more than June 2011. Dairy Briefs New York 23 Major States Item Unit July June July July June July 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Milk Production Mil. lb. 1,094 1,080 1,092 15,316 15,389 15,445 Milk per cow Lb. 1,790 1,770 1,790 1,829 1,819 1,824 Thou. No. of milk cows hd. 611 610 610 8,375 8,460 8,468 Dairy Products Manufactured New York United States Item Unit June May June June May June 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 Thou. Butter lb. N/A N/A N/A 117,089 155,481 140,669 Thou. American cheese lb. N/A N/A N/A 370,022 371,227 364,365 Thou. Mozzarella cheese lb. 17,181 17,942 16,915 290,452 309,182 298,042 Yogurt, plain and Thou. flavored lb. N/A N/A N/A 362,594 347,920 376,437 Thou. Ice cream, hard gal. N/A N/A N/A 82,939 74,980 76,441 NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION INCREASED IN JUNE Egg production on New York farms totaled 102 million eggs in June, up 5 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 4.22 million, increased 4 percent from June 2010 and the rate of lay was 2,418 eggs per 100 layers, up 1 percent from last year. United States egg production totaled 7.50 billion during June 2011, up slightly from last year. Production included 6.44 billion table eggs, and 1.07 billion hatching eggs, of which 999 million were broiler-type and 69 million were egg-type. The total number of layers during June 2011 averaged 336 million, down 1 percent from last year. June egg production per 100 layers was 2,230 eggs, up 1 percent from June 2010. Poultry Briefs June May June June May June Item Unit 2010 2011 2011 2010 2011 2011 New York United States Number of layers Thou. 4,067 4,086 4,218 339,750 337,919 336,386 Eggs per 100 layers No. 2,385 2,496 2,418 2,203 2,301 2,230 Eggs produced Mil. 97 102 102 7,484 7,777 7,502 North and South Atlantic United States States Chicks hatched, egg-type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 42,331 43,305 39,313 Chicks hatched, broiler type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 787,703 806,574 768,173 Chicken eggs in incubators 1/ Egg-type Thou. 10,071 7,520 8,018 37,607 37,629 34,016 Broiler-type Thou. 252,474 254,511 245,882 653,290 641,890 622,086 1/ First day of following month. 2/ Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. This report, in addition to many others, is available free of charge At our website at www.nass.usda.gov/ny/ The USDA, NASS New York Field Office thanks the agricultural businesses and farm operators who respond to our surveys. This complimentary report is being sent to those asking for the survey results during the survey interview.