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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:

Contact:  Greg Lemmons
Tuesday, August 12, 2008

www.nass.usda.gov/ny

            NEW YORK CROP PROSPECTS HIGHER THAN 2007

Crop production prospects in 2008 for New York are mostly higher compared with a year earlier, according to Stephen Ropel, Director of USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service, New York Field Office. Forecasts for soybeans, oats, dry beans, wheat, and corn are up white hay production is expected to be lower. All forecasts in this release are based on conditions as of August 1 and assume normal growing conditions throughout the remainder of the season.

New York grain corn production is forecast at 83.8 million bushels, up 20 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 640 thousand acres, 16 percent above a year ago. Yield is forecast at 131 bushels per acre, up 4 bushels from 2007, and two bushels higher than the previous record set in 2006. The crop was developing well due to warm temperatures and plentiful rainfall. Nationally, grain corn production is forecast at 12.3 billion bushels, down 6 percent from last year, but 17 percent above 2006.  Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 155.0 bushels per acre, up 3.9 bushels from last year.  If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record, behind the 160.4 bushel yield in 2004.  Production will be the second highest on record, behind last year when producers harvested the most acres of corn for grain since 1933.

New York production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures, at 817 thousand tons, is 19 percent below 2007. Other dry hay production is expected to total 1.30 million tons, down 23 percent from a year ago. Due to the wet summer, yields were lower than expected.  The all hay yield is the lowest since 1949.

Dry bean production in New York is forecast at 262 thousand hundredweight (cwt.), up 17 percent from the 224 thousand cwt. produced last year. Harvested acreage is expected to total 16.4 thousand acres, down 100 acres from 2007. Yields are expected to average 1,600 pounds per acre compared with 1,360 pounds in 2007. U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 24.2 million cwt., down 5 percent from last year and down slightly from 2006.

New York oat production, expected to total 3.91 million bushels, is 14 percent above a year ago. Acreage for grain harvest is estimated at 55 thousand acres, down 8 percent from the 60 thousand acres harvested last year. Yields are forecast at 71 bushels per acre, up 14 bushels from 2007.  U.S. production is forecast at 89.9 million bushels, 3 percent below the July 1 forecast and 2 percent below last year's record low 91.6 million bushels.

Winter wheat production for New York is estimated at 7.14 million bushels, up 61 percent from the 2007 crop of 4.42 million bushels. Acreage for harvest is up 38 percent at 117 thousand acres. Yields are expected to average 61 bushels per acre, 9 bushels more than a year earlier. U.S. acreage harvested for grain totals 40.3 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 12 percent from last year. 

Soybean production in the Empire State is estimated at a record high 10.4 million bushels, up from last year’s 7.71 million bushels. Acreage for harvest increased 12 percent from 203 thousand a year earlier to 231 thousand acres. Yields are expected to average 45 bushels per acre, up 7 bushels from last year, and the second highest yield on record.  U.S. soybean production is forecast at 2.97 billion bushels, up 15 percent from last year, but down 7 percent from the record high production of 2006. Yields are expected to average 40.5 bushels per acre, down 0.7 bushel from 2007.

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8-12-08