Released August 13, 2003
Seasonal
No. 975-4-03
Grape production in New York is expected to total 205 thousand tons, according to the New York Agricultural Statistics Service. This represents a 31 percent increase from a year ago, and a 38 percent increase from the 2001 production level. New York grape production is on the rebound from the past 3 years. This forecast ties the record high which was set in 1999. Record yields more than offset a decrease in acreage from 1999. New York growers experienced a cold, wet spring as well as a warm wet summer. Cluster counts are heavy this year. Thinning was necessary to help reach a more manageable crop. Growers are managing high disease pressure caused by wet weather.
Nationally, grape production is forecast at 7.06 million tons, down 4 percent from 2002 but 7 percent above 2001. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 89 percent of the total. Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 5 and 3 percent, respectively. California's all grape forecast, at 6.29 million tons, is unchanged from the July forecast but 6 percent below 2002. Washington expects to harvest 345 thousand tons, up 4 percent from a year ago.
| State | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 |
| 1,000 tons | |||
| New York | 149.0 | 156.0 | 205.0 |
| Arizona | 15.5 | 8.4 | 8.5 |
| California | 5,979.0 | 6,721.0 | 6,290.0 |
| Michigan | 28.9 | 42.7 | 80.0 |
| Ohio | 6.0 | 5.8 | 7.6 |
| Oregon | 22.8 | 22.0 | 25.0 |
| Pennsylvania | 61.5 | 53.2 | 70.0 |
| Washington | 283.0 | 332.0 | 345.0 |
| Other States 1/ | 23.9 | 22.9 | 26.3 |
| United States | 6,569.6 | 7,364.0 | 7,057.4 |
| 1/ Arkansas, Georgia, Missouri, North Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. | |||
Production prospects in New York on August 1 were for a crop of 15.0 thousand tons, up 50 percent from the production level in 2002. U.S. production is forecast at 933.3 thousand tons, up 7 percent from last year but 7 percent below 2001.
| State | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 |
| Tons | |||
| New York | 11,000 | 10,000 | 15,000 |
| Connecticut | 480 | 500 | 1,150 |
| Michigan | 4,600 | 1,400 | 4,800 |
| Pennsylvania | 5,500 | 3,800 | 4,100 |
| Pacific Coast States, Total | 978,000 | 850,000 | 905,000 |
| Bartlett | 546,000 | 448,000 | 470,000 |
| Other varieties | 432,000 | 402,000 | 435,000 |
| United States 1/ | 1,001,780 | 868,450 | 933,250 |
| 1/ Includes Colorado and Utah not shown above. | |||
PEACHES
New York's 2002 peach crop is forecast at 12.5 million pounds, up 25 percent from the 2002 total. The U.S. Freestone crop is forecast at 1.47 billion pounds, up 1 percent from 2002 but 1 percent below 2001.
TOTAL PEACH PRODUCTION, SELECTED STATES
| State |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
| Million pounds | 1,000 48-pound equivalents | |||||
| New York 1/ | 12.5 | 10.0 | 12.5 | 260 | 208 | 260 |
| Michigan | 42.0 | 14.0 | 52.0 | 875 | 292 | 1,083 |
| New Jersey | 75.0 | 62.0 | 75.0 | 1,563 | 1,292 | 1,563 |
| Pennsylvania | 75.0 | 60.0 | 70.0 | 1,563 | 1,250 | 1,458 |
| United States 2/ | 1,481.3 | 1,451.4 | 1,468.1 | 30,860 | 30,238 | 30,585 |
| 1/
Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. |
||||||
Apple production in New York is forecast at 1.02 billion pounds based on conditions as of August 1. This is 50 percent above the 680 million pounds produced last year. Despite this year's rainy, cold spring that caused slow development, bloom and pollination were excellent in all the major apple producing regions - Lake Ontario, Champlain Valley, and Hudson Valley. Consistent wetness produced apple scab in many orchards. Also, deer damage was reported in some areas. Overall, growers reported good quality of apples and equally good sizing of the fruit in all regions and for most varieties. New York apple growers expect production to rebound after several disappointing years.
Apple production for the United States is forecast at 9.27 billion pounds, up 8 percent from last year and 2 percent below 2001. Increased production in the Eastern and Central States more than offset projected decreases in the Western States.
TOTAL APPLE PRODUCTION: Selected States and United States
| Variety | Million pounds | 1,000 42-pound equivalents | ||||
| 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003 | |
| New York |
1,000.0 | 680.0 | 1,020.0 | 23,810 | 16,190 | 24,286 |
| California |
520.0 | 470.0 | 510.0 | 12,381 | 11,190 | 12,143 |
| Michigan |
930.0 | 500.0 | 970.0 | 22,143 | 11,905 | 23,095 |
| New England |
179.3 | 153.6 | 189.3 | 4,269 | 3,657 | 4,507 |
| Ohio |
86.0 | 70.0 | 86.0 | 2,048 | 1,667 | 2,048 |
| Pennsylvania |
480.0 | 370.0 | 440.0 | 11,429 | 8,810 | 10,476 |
| Virginia |
310.0 | 250.0 | 300.0 | 7,381 | 5,952 | 7,143 |
| Washington |
5,050.0 | 5,150.0 | 4,900.0 | 120,238 | 122,619 | 116,667 |
| United States |
9,428.7 | 8,555.6 | 9,266.6 | 224,493 | 203,705 | 220,633 |