New York Crop and Livestock January 2004

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NEW YORK CROP

AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

Released: January 2004

Monthly

No. 973-1-04

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

New York producers seeded a total of 100,000 acres of winter wheat in the fall of 2003 for harvest in 2004. This is down 23 percent from the 130,000 acres seeded a year ago.

U.S. winter wheat seeded area for 2004 is expected to total 43.5 million acres, down 3 percent from 2003.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Small Grains,

New York and United States, 2001-2003

Crop	Acres for harvest			Yield per acre			Production
Crop	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002	2003
	1,000 Acres			Bushels			1,000 Bushels
New York
Wheat, winter	120	128	120	53.0	58.0	53.0	6,360	7,424	6,360
Oats	80	55	70	69.0	66.0	63.0	5,520	3,630	4,410
Barley	12	10	12	51.0	47.0	50.0	612	470	600
Rye	7	10	8	27.0	35.0	33.0	189	350	264
United States
Wheat, winter	31,295	29,751	36,541	43.5	38.5	46.7	1,361,479	1,145,602	1,707,069
Wheat, all	48,633	45,917	52,839	40.2	35.3	44.2	1,957,043	1,619,001	2,336,526
Oats	1,905	2,093	2,224	61.4	56.7	65.0	117,024	118,628	144,649
Barley	4,289	4,129	4,688	58.2	54.9	58.9	249,420	226,573	276,087
Rye	255	281	339	27.3	24.8	27.3	6,971	6,955	9,254

NEW YORK HAY STOCKS DOWN

New York farms held a total of 2.43 million tons of hay on December 1, 2003, compared with 2.24 million tons on hand December 1, 2002.

Nationally, hay stocks on farms December 1, 2003 was estimated at 111 million tons. This estimate reflects a 3 percent decrease from last year's 104 million tons. Stock increases occurred in 30 of the 48 contiguous states.

Hay Stocks on Farms

State	December 1		May 1
State	2002	2003	2002	2003
	1,000 Tons		1,000 Tons
New York	2,236	2,430	600	520
Connecticut	61	79	9	14
Massachusetts	90	81	31	21
New Jersey	55	96	15	11
Pennsylvania	2,200	2,440	550	390
Vermont	281	332	87	80
United States	103,692	110,752	22,494	22,168

2003 CORN PRODUCTION UP

New York grain corn production totaled 53.2 million bushels in 2003, up 22 percent from 2002's 43.7 million bushels. Acres harvested for grain totaled 440,000, down 2 percent from the 450,000 acres harvested last year. The statewide yield, at a record high 121 bushels per acre, was up 24 bushels from last year.

Field Corn Acreage, New York, 2001-2003

Disposition	2001	2002	2003
	1,000 Acres
Total planted	1,030	1,040	1,000
For All Grain	540	450	440
Dry ear or dry shelled	405	340	350
High moisture shelled	115	90	80
High moisture ground ear	20	20	10
For Silage	485	580	550
Forage and abandoned	5	10	10

NEW YORK HOG INVENTORY DOWN 15 PERCENT

Pork producers in New York had 73,000 hogs and pigs on hand December 1, 2003. This total was down 15 percent from the 86,000 head on hand a year earlier.

Of the current inventory, 9,000 hogs are for breeding purposes, unchanged from the previous December. The remaining 64,000 hogs and pigs, raised for home use or the slaughter market, is 17 percent below a year ago.

The New York hog breeders produced a crop of 128,000 pigs during 2003, up 2 percent from a year earlier. Nationally, the 2003 pig crop was down one percent from a year earlier at 100 million head.

The U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on farms as of December 1, 2003 totaled 60.0 million head. This was 1 percent above December 2002. Breeding inventory, at 5.97 million head, was down 1 percent from December 1, 2002. Market hog inventory, at 54.1 million head, was 1 percent above last year.

U.S. hog producers intend to farrow 2.81 million sows during the December 2003-February 2004 quarter, 1 percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 2003, but 1 percent below 2002. Intended farrowings for March-May 2004, at 2.85 million sows, are 1 percent below the same period last year and 3 percent below 2002.

Hog and Pig Inventory Number, Sows Farrowing and Pig Crop

New York and United States, 2001-2003

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	2001	2002	2003	2001	2002 1/	2003
		Thousand			Thousand
Inventory-December 1:
All Hogs and Pigs	No.	75	86	73	59,804	59,513	60,040
Kept for breeding	No.	9	9	9	6,209	6,012	5,966
Market	No.	66	77	64	53,594	53,501	54,074
Market Hogs by Weight Groups:
Under 60 pounds	No.	20	30	24	19,908	19,461	19,821
60-119 pounds	No.	15	17	15	12,924	13,054	13,250
120-179 pounds	No.	16	15	13	10,744	10,881	10,839
180 pounds and over	No.	15	15	12	10,018	10,105	10,164
Sows Farrowing:
December 2/-November	No.	16.0	14.5	14.0	11,386	11,483	11,306
Pig Crop:
December 2/-November	No.	138	125	128	100,503	101,344	100,406
Pigs Per Litter:
December 2/-November	No.	8.63	8.62	9.14	8.83	8.83	8.88
1/ Revised. 2/ December preceding year.

2003 NEW YORK TURKEY

PRODUCTION UP 10 PERCENT

Turkey producers in New York raised 570,000 turkeys during 2003, up 10 percent from 2002 and up 11 percent from 2001 number raised. The U.S. total of 274 million turkeys raised in 2003, was up 1 percent from the 2002 total. Minnesota ranked first in the number raised with 45.0 million, followed by North Carolina with 42.5 million, Arkansas and Missouri each with 26.5 million.

U.S. TURKEY OUTLOOK FOR 2004

Turkey growers in the 23 major producing States intend to decrease the number of birds raised by 4 percent in 2004. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2004 may vary from growers' intentions depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months.

Turkeys Raised, New York and

United States, 2000-2002

Production Area	Turkeys Raised
Production Area	2001	2002	2003
	Thousands
New York	510	520	570
United States	272,059	272,429	274,348

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
Commodity	Unit	Dec 2002	Nov 2003	Dec 2003	Dec 2002	Nov 2003	Dec 2003
		Dollars			Dollars
Corn	bu.	2.81	2.52	2.60	2.32	2.20	2.32
Oats	bu.	2.14	1.55	1.60	1.95	1.32	1.36
Wheat	bu.	3.68	2.20	2.60	4.06	3.59	3.63
Barley	bu.	1.92	2.04	2.16	2.91	2.86	2.41
Soybeans	bu.	5.41	7.08	7.26	5.46	7.05	7.29
Hay, baled	ton	110.00	106.00	109.00	91.10	80.70	81.30
Potatoes	cwt.	10.20	9.00	8.80	6.67	5.35	5.50
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	27.50	23.40	22.70	26.30	27.40	28.50
Milk, wholesale	cwt.	12.60	15.10	14.80	11.90	14.50	13.70
Milk cows 3/	head	-	-	-	-	-	-
Eggs, table market	doz.	.560	.930	.790	.480	.926	.739
Slaughter cows	cwt.	32.70	44.60	4/	34.60	47.80	49.90
Steers and heifers	cwt.	56.50	74.20	4/	75.00	100.00	98.60
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	34.10	47.30	4/	70.40	93.70	92.70
Calves	cwt.	64.80	98.60	4/	95.30	112.00	113.00
Hogs	cwt.	-	-	-	30.30	34.80	34.90
Lambs	cwt.	-	-	-	87.20	99.20	-
Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					100	117	115
Prices paid					125	130	130
Ratio prices received to prices paid					80	90	88
1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month.

Stocks of Grain, United States, December 1, 2003 with Comparisons

	On Farms			Total in All Positions
	Dec 1, 2002	Sep 1, 2003	Dec 1, 2003	Dec 1, 2002	Sep 1, 2003	Dec 1, 2003
	Thousand Bushels			Thousand Bushels
Corn	4,800,000	484,900	5,286,000	7,637,971	1,086,673	7,944,779
Oats	52,500	82,100	64,300	103,784	131,737	119,218
All Wheat	384,800	687,320	491,925	1,319,869	2,038,972	1,521,084
Durum Wheat 1/	50,800	58,000	41,400	76,717	87,241	66,969
Soybeans	1,170,000	58,000	820,000	2,113,373	178,329	1,686,381
1/ Included in all wheat.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, November 1/

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2002	2003	2002	2003	2002	2003	2002	2003
	1,000 Head		1,000 Head		Million Pounds		Million Pounds
Cattle	4.4	4.4	2,861.1	2,425.8	4.7	4.6	3,606.3	2,998.9
Calves	13.5	10.7	90.8	78.0	1.3	1.8	28.0	25.1
Hogs	2.7	2.6	8,654.2	8,581.9	.5	.6	2,315.1	2,311.7
Sheep and lambs	3.0	2.7	271.1	236.3	.3	.3	35.8	32.5
1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.

DECEMBER MILK PRODUCTION DOWN 4 PERCENT

New York dairy herds produced 976 million pounds of milk during December, down 4 percent from the December 2002 level. The decrease was the result of fewer cows and a lower rate per cow. The number of milk cows totaled 657,000 head, down 23,000 head from December of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,485 pounds, 5 pounds less than December 2002.

Milk production in the 20 major states during December totaled 12.3 billion pounds, down slightly from production in these same states during December 2002. Production per cow averaged 1,589 pounds for December, up 14 pounds from December 2002. The number of cows on farms in the 20 major states was 7.71 million head, 93,000 head less than December 2002.

Dairy Briefs

Item	Unit	New York			20 Major States
Item	Unit	Dec 2002	Nov 2003	Dec 2003	Dec 2002	Nov 2003	Dec 2003
Milk Production	Mil. lb.	1,013	931	976	12,290	11,650	12,251
Milk per cow	Lb.	1,490	1,415	1,485	1,575	1,511	1,589
No. of milk cows	Thou. hd.	680	658	657	7,801	7,708	7,708

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	Nov 2002	Oct 2003	Nov. 2003	Nov 2002	Oct 2003	Nov 2003
Butter	Thou. lb.	1,776	2,074	1,678	103,932	97,040	88,120
American cheese	Thou. lb.	5,467	5,021	6,419	294,363	304,497	293,545
Mozzarella cheese	Thou. lb.	16,601	17,487	16,384	234,783	233,677	232,788
Yogurt, plain and flavored	Thou. lb.	18,658	19,836	19,207	151,129	192,647	175,306
Ice cream, hard	Thou. gal.	1,941	2,550	2,000	57,374	68,751	58,131

NOVEMBER EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 3 PERCENT

Egg production on New York farms, totaled 88 million eggs in November 2003, down 3 percent from last year. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 3.73 million, was down 3 percent from November 2002, while the rate of lay was down slightly to 23.62 eggs per layer.

Laying flocks in the United States produced 7.28 billion eggs during November 2003, up 1 percent from the previous November. An indication of future egg supply, chicks hatched in the U.S. during November for the purpose of egg production totaled 30.1 million, down 3 percent from November 2002. Eggs in incubators on December 1, 2003 totaled 33.3 million, up 14 percent from previous year.

Poultry Briefs

Item	Unit	Nov 2002	Oct 2003	Nov 2003	Nov 2002	Oct 2003	Nov 2003
		New York			United States
Number of layers	Thou.	3,831	3,729	3,725	337,808	333,151	336,052
Eggs per layer	No.	23.75	24.14	23.62	21.39	22.18	21.65
Eggs produced	Mil.	91	90	88	7,226	7,390	7,275
		North and South Atlantic States			United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	31,146	34,999	30,129
Chicks hatched, broiler type	Thou.	2/	2/	2/	690,052	734,801	707,619
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
Egg-type	Thou.	7,850	7,042	7,401	29,123	29,466	33,321
Broiler-type	Thou.	240,747