USDA-NY-NASS Crop & Livestock Report December 2007

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NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
January 2008

Monthly
No. 973-01-08

WINTER WHEAT SEEDINGS

New York producers seeded a total of 125,000 acres of winter wheat in the fall of 2007 for harvest in 2008. This is up 25 percent from the 100,000 acres seeded a year ago.

U.S. winter wheat seeded area for 2008 is expected to total 46.6 million acres, up 4 percent from 2007.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Small Grains,

New York and United States, 2005-2007

Crop	Acres for harvest			Yield per acre			Production
Crop	2005	2006	2007	2005	2006	2007	2005	2006	2007
	1,000 Acres			Bushels			1,000 Bushels
New York
Wheat, winter	95	95	85	54	61	52	5,130	5,795	4,420
Oats	75	67	60	54	74	57	4,050	4,958	3,420
Barley	15	12	11	49	55	46	735	660	506

United States
Wheat, winter	33,794	31,117	35,952	44.4	41.7	42.2	1,499,129	1,298,081	1,515,989
Wheat, all	50,119	46,810	51,011	42.0	38.7	40.5	2,104,690	1,812,036	2,066,722
Oats	1,823	1,566	1,505	63.0	59.8	60.9	114,878	93,638	91,599
Barley	3,269	2,951	3,508	64.8	61.1	60.4	211,896	180,165	211,825
Rye	279	274	289	27.0	26.3	27.4	7,537	7,193	7,914

NEW YORK HAY STOCKS UP New York farms held a total of 1.67 million tons of hay on December 1, 2007, compared with 1.45 million tons on hand December 1, 2006. Nationally, hay stocks on farms December 1, 2007 was estimated at 104 million tons. This estimate reflects an 8 percent increase from last year’s 96 million tons.					2007 CORN PRODUCTION UP New York grain corn production totaled 69.9 million bushels in 2007, up 13 percent from the 61.9 million bushels in 2006. Acres harvested for grain totaled 550,000, up 15 percent from the 480,000 acres harvested last year. The statewide yield, at a record high 127 bushels per acre, was down 2 bushels from last year’s record high 129 bushels per acre.
Hay Stocks on Farms						Field Corn Acreage, New York, 2005-2007
State	December 1		May 1			Disposition	2005		2006		2007
State	2006	2007	2006	2007		Disposition	2005		2006		2007
	1,000 Tons		1,000 Tons				1,000 Acres

New York	1,451	1,674	285	326		Total planted	990	950		1,050
Connecticut	65	67	9	12		For All Grain	460	480		550
Massachusetts	90	76	17	13		Dry ear or dry shelled	360	390		470
New Jersey	97	68	8	10		High moisture shelled	90	80		70
Pennsylvania	3,485	1,750	410	520		High moisture ground ear	10	10		10
Vermont	273	233	57	38		For Silage	520	460		495
						Forage and abandoned	10	10		5
U.S.	96,555	103,986	21,345	15,013

NEW YORK HOG INVENTORY DECLINES

Pork producers in New York had 86,000 hogs and pigs on hand December 1, 2007. This total was down 12 percent from the 98,000 head on hand a year earlier.

Of the current inventory, 11,000 hogs are for breeding purposes down 1,000 head from the previous December. The remaining 75,000 hogs and pigs, raised for home use or the slaughter market, declined by 11,000 head from a year ago.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2007 was 65.1 million head. This was up 4 percent from December 1, 2006, but down 1 percent from September 1, 2007. Breeding inventory, at 6.16 million head, was up 1 percent from last year, and up slightly from the

previous quarter. Market hog inventory, at 59.0 million head, was up 5 percent from last year, but down 1 percent from last quarter.

The September-November 2007 pig crop, at 28.0 million head, was up 4 percent from 2006 and up 7 percent from 2005. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 3.03 million head, up 3 percent from 2006 and up 4 percent from 2005. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 49 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs saved per litter was 9.24 for the September-November 2007 period, compared to 9.11 last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs and pigs to 9.30 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

Hog and Pig Inventory Number, Sows Farrowing and Pig Crop

New York and United States, 2005-2007

Item	Unit	New York			United States
Item	Unit	2005	2006	2007	2005	2006 ¹^/	2007
		Thousand			Thousand
Inventory-December 1:
All Hogs and Pigs	No.	83	98	86	61,449	62,490	65,110
Kept for breeding	No.	10	12	11	6,011	6,087	6,157
Market	No.	73	86	75	55,438	56,402	58,953

Market Hogs by Weight Groups:
Under 60 pounds	No.	24	23	17	20,055	20,462	21,364
60-119 pounds	No.	16	22	20	13,524	13,928	14.459
120-179 pounds	No.	17	21	20	11,293	11,275	11,737
180 pounds and over	No.	16	20	18	10,567	10,738	11,394

Sows Farrowing:
December 2/-November	No.	14.6	15.6	18.0	11,535	11,629	11,960

Pig Crop:
December 2/-November	No.	130	149	176	103,965	105,618	109,937

Pigs Per Litter:
December 2/-November	No.	8.90	9.55	9.78	9.01	9.08	9.19

1/ Revised. 2/ December preceding year.

2007 NEW YORK TURKEY PRODUCTION UP 2 PERCENT Turkey producers in New York raised 640,000 turkeys during 2007. This total is up 2 percent from the 2006 number raised and up 3 percent from the 2005 number raised. Minnesota ranked first in the number raised with 48.0 million, followed by North Carolina with 39.0 million, Arkansas with 31.0 million, Virginia with 22.0 million, Missouri with 20.0 million, California with 16.0 million, and Indiana with 15.3 million. These States accounted for 70 percent of the turkeys produced in the United States during 2007.	U.S. TURKEY OUTLOOK FOR 2007 Turkey growers in 23 States intend to increase the number of birds raised by 2 percent in 2008. The number of turkeys actually raised in 2008 may vary from growers' intentions shown in this report depending on feed costs, supply of hatching eggs, cost of poults, and prices growers receive for turkeys during the next few months. Turkeys Raised, New York and United States, 2005-2007
	Production Area	Turkeys Raised
	Production Area	2005	2006	2007
		Thousands

	New York	620	630	640
	United States	252,053	262,460	271,689

DECEMBER MILK PRICES DECREASED FROM NOVEMBER

Prices received by New York producers for milk sold during December decreased from a month earlier. The price of hay and potatoes also decreased. The price of eggs, corn, and apples increased. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.

The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in December, at 151 percent, based on 1990-92=100, increased 5 points (3.4 percent) from November. The Crop Index is up 10 points (6.5 percent) but the Livestock Index is unchanged. Producers received higher commodity prices for tomatoes, corn, soybeans, and wheat.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity	Unit	New York			United States
Commodity	Unit	Dec 2006	Nov 2007	Dec 2007	Dec 2006	Nov 2007	Dec 2007
		Dollars			Dollars

Corn	bu.	2.96	3.47	3.68	3.01	3.43	3.88
Oats	bu.	1.73	--	--	2.01	2.73	2.71
Wheat	bu.	4.34	7.32	9.57	4.52	7.36	9.41
Barley	bu.		--	--	2.93	4.34	4.81
Soybeans	bu.	6.00	9.39	9.30	6.18	9.41	10.40
Hay, baled	ton	126.00	117.00	116.00	110.00	131.00	133.00
Potatoes	cwt.	11.90	12.30	12.00	6.79	6.47	6.75
Apples, fresh market 2/	cwt.	28.70	34.00	33.80	31.00	34.50	34.80

Milk, wholesale	cwt.	14.60	22.50	22.20	14.20	21.90	21.70
Milk cows 3/	head
Eggs, table market	doz.	0.720	1.250	1.290	0.664	1.180	1.280
Slaughter cows	cwt.	40.68	39.70	4/	42.20	43.90	44.10
Steers and heifers	cwt.	63.90	72.30	4/	89.00	95.90	95.50
All slaughter cattle	cwt.	42.22	42.70	4/	83.10	89.70	89.10
Calves	cwt.	89.44	92.70	4/	116.00	119.00	119.00
Hogs	cwt.	30.47	31.60	4/	43.50	38.20	39.50
Lambs	cwt.	95.39	89.10	4/	94.00	97.30	4/

Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received					120	146	151
Prices paid					149	161	162
Ratio prices received to prices paid					81	91	93

1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods. 2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door. 3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly. 4/ Price available next month.

Stocks of Grain, United States, December 1, 2007 with Comparisons

	On Farms			Total in All Positions
	Dec 1, 2006	Sep 1, 2007	Dec 1, 2007	Dec 1, 2006	Sep 1, 2007	Dec 1, 2007
	Thousand Bushels			Thousand Bushels

Corn (old crop)	5,627,000	460,100	6,530,000	8,932,707	1,303,647	10,268,599
Sorghum (old crop)	38,000	2,150	51,400	212,194	32,053	289,702
All Wheat	403,250	495,000	289,540	1,314,656	1,716,927	1,127,911
Oats	53,000	53,650	43,100	98,889	88,360	94,470
Soybeans	1,467,000	143,000	1,100,000	2,701,366	573,810	2,329,405
Barley	83,650	105,600	62,050	172,821	188,695	135,078

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, November 1/

Species	Number Slaughtered				Total Live Weight
	New York		United States		New York		United States
	2006	2007	2006	2007	2006	2007	2006	2007
	1,000 head		1,000 head		Million pounds		Million pounds

Cattle	2.9	2.4	2,842.4	2,831.2	3.1