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NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
In
this Issue:
Released: August 2002
Monthly
No. 973-8-02
NEW YORK CROP
FORECASTS - AUGUST 1
New York grain corn production
is estimated at 48.4 million bushels, down 15 percent from last year.
Acres for harvest is down 13 percent from a year earlier to 470 thousand
acres, while yields are expected to average 103 bushels per acre, down
2 bushels from 2001. On August 1, the crop was responding to much needed
rainfall and was showing improvement each day.
Alfalfa dry hay production
is estimated at 1.46 milllion tons, 7 percent below 2001. All other dry
hay, at 2.88 million tons, is up 45 percent from last year. Oat production
is estimated at 3.85 million bushels, down 30 percent from a year ago.
Soybean output is projected to total 5.05 million bushels, down 3 percent
from 2001.
U.S. CORN, SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN
U.S. grain corn production
is forecast at 8.89 billion bushels, down 7 percent from last year and
10 percent below 2000. Yields are expected to average 125.2 bushels per
acre, down 13.0 bushels from last year. If realized, this would be the
lowest production since 1995.
Soybean production is forecast
at 2.63 billion bushels, down 9 percent from 2001. Yields are expected
to average 36.5 bushels per acre, down 3.1 bushels from a year earlier.
If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1996.
Acreage,
Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States
| Crop |
Unit |
Acres
for harvest |
Yield
per acre |
Production |
| 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
|
1,000
acres |
Units |
1,000
units |
| New
York |
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
450 |
540 |
470 |
98.0 |
105.0 |
103.0 |
44,100 |
56,700 |
48,410 |
| Wheat, winter |
bu. |
140 |
120 |
135 |
53.0 |
53.0 |
58.0 |
7,420 |
6,360 |
7,830 |
| Oats |
bu. |
60 |
80 |
55 |
65.0 |
69.0 |
70.0 |
3,900 |
5,520 |
3,850 |
| Rye |
bu. |
7 |
7 |
1/ |
40.0 |
27.0 |
1/ |
280 |
189 |
1/ |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
132 |
158 |
153 |
33.0 |
33.0 |
33.0 |
4,356 |
5,214 |
5,049 |
| Beans, dry 2/ |
lbs. |
24.5 |
22.3 |
24.5 |
1,460 |
870 |
1,350 |
358 |
194 |
331 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
21.3 |
23.3 |
22.0 |
280 |
255 |
3/ |
5,964 |
5,942 |
3/ |
| Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
420 |
560 |
520 |
2.40 |
2.80 |
2.80 |
1,008 |
1,568 |
1,456 |
| Hay, other |
ton |
1,100 |
1,100 |
1,250 |
1.90 |
1.80 |
2.30 |
2,090 |
1,980 |
2,875 |
| Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
995 |
1,000 |
720 |
| Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
154 |
149 |
135 |
| Peaches |
mil. lb. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
12.4 |
12.5 |
10.0 |
| Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
14.5 |
11.0 |
10.0 |
| United
States |
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
72,440 |
68,808 |
71,001 |
136.9 |
138.2 |
125.2 |
9,515,051 |
9,506,840 |
8,886,009 |
| Wheat, winter |
bu. |
35,072 |
31,295 |
29,764 |
44.7 |
43.5 |
38.9 |
1,566,023 |
1,361,479 |
1,158,710 |
| Oats |
bu. |
2,329 |
1,905 |
2,633 |
64.2 |
61.3 |
54.2 |
149,545 |
116,856 |
142,580 |
| Barley |
bu. |
5,213 |
4,289 |
4,499 |
61.1 |
58.2 |
55.9 |
318,728 |
249,590 |
251,700 |
| Rye |
bu. |
296 |
255 |
275 |
28.3 |
27.3 |
1/ |
8,386 |
6,971 |
1/ |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
72,408 |
73,000 |
72,029 |
38.1 |
39.6 |
36.5 |
2,757,810 |
2,890,572 |
2,628,387 |
| Beans, dry 2/ |
lbs. |
1,607.5 |
1,243.0 |
1,690.6 |
1,643 |
1,572 |
1,609 |
26,409 |
19,541 |
27,207 |
| Potatoes, summer |
cwt. |
63.2 |
58.6 |
60.6 |
304 |
309 |
307 |
19,236 |
18,110 |
18,625 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
1,192.2 |
1,092.5 |
1,142.1 |
392 |
367 |
3/ |
467,504 |
400,727 |
3/ |
| Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
23,077 |
23,812 |
24,134 |
3.48 |
3.37 |
3.09 |
80,347 |
80,266 |
74,640 |
| Hay, other |
ton |
36,777 |
39,699 |
40,575 |
1.95 |
1.93 |
1.92 |
71,574 |
76,437 |
77,976 |
| Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
10,663.7 |
9,629.1 |
9,205.6 |
| Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
7,687,970 |
6,552,520 |
7,097,300 |
| Peaches |
mil. lb. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
2,599.9 |
2,441.4 |
2,531.7 |
| Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
967,150 |
1,005,810 |
944,550 |
1/
Estimate released September 30. 2/
Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis).
3/
First forecast released November 12. |
DRY BEANS:
Planted Acreage by Classes,
New York and United States,
2000-2002
| Class |
New
York |
United
States |
| 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
1,000
acres |
1,000
acres |
| Light Red Kidney |
15.0 |
13.3 |
15.4 |
83.0 |
71.8 |
72.9 |
| Dark Red Kidney |
1.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
65.3 |
56.9 |
67.7 |
| Black |
5.2 |
6.7 |
5.8 |
94.2 |
94.4 |
194.0 |
| All Other |
2.9 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
1,515.7 |
1,206.8 |
1,539.7 |
| TOTAL |
25.0 |
23.0 |
25.0 |
1,758.2 |
1,429.9 |
1,874.3 |
Hired
Workers on Farms and Wage Rates
| Item |
Northeast
I 1/ |
United
States |
Jul 8-14,
2001 |
Apr 7-13,
2002 |
Jul 7-13,
2002 |
Jul 8-14,
2001 |
Apr 7-13,
2002 |
Jul 7-13,
2002 |
|
1,000
workers |
| All hired workers |
52 |
44 |
44 |
1,039 |
890 |
966 |
| Worked 150 days or
more |
37 |
38 |
30 |
722 |
722 |
683 |
| Worked less than 150
days |
15 |
6 |
14 |
317 |
168 |
283 |
|
Hours worked
per worker |
| All hired workers |
39.9 |
40.6 |
37.8 |
39.9 |
40.2 |
39.7 |
|
Dollars per hour |
| Field workers |
8.12 |
8.35 |
8.41 |
7.70 |
8.06 |
7.91 |
| Livestock workers |
7.19 |
8.56 |
7.90 |
7.89 |
8.43 |
8.37 |
| Field and livestock
workers |
7.79 |
8.42 |
8.25 |
7.75 |
8.13 |
8.02 |
| All hired workers |
8.26 |
9.14 |
9.12 |
8.29 |
8.83 |
8.60 |
| 1/
New York and New England States (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT)
are combined into Northeast I region. |
JULY 1 CATTLE
INVENTORY
DOWN 1 PERCENT
All cattle and calves in
the United States as of July 1, 2002 totaled 105.2 million head, 1 percent
below the 105.8 million on July 1,2001. All cows and heifers that have
calved, at 42.9 million, were slightly below the 43 million on July 1,2001.
Milk cows, at 9.15 million, were up 1 percent from July 1, 2001. Beef
cows, at 33.8 million, were down slightly.
Beef replacement heifers
were unchanged from a year earlier. Milk cow heifers were up 3 percent
from the previous year.
The 2002 calf crop is expected
to be 38.4 million, up slightly from 2001 but down 1 percent from 2000.
Calves born during the first half of the year are estimated at 28.02 million,
down slightly from 2001 and down 1 percent from 2000.
CATTLE AND CALVES: Number
by Class and Calf Crop,
United States, July 1, 2000-2002
|
Class |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
1,000 head |
| Cattle and Calves |
106,300 |
105,800 |
105,200 |
| Cows that have calved |
43,200 |
43,000 |
42,900 |
|
Beef cows |
33,950 |
33,900 |
33,750 |
|
Milk cows |
9,250 |
9,100 |
9,150 |
| Heifers 500 lbs.
and over |
16,500 |
16,400 |
16,200 |
|
For beef cow replacement |
4,700 |
4,600 |
4,600 |
|
For milk cow replacement |
3,700 |
3,600 |
3,700 |
|
Other heifers |
8,100 |
8,200 |
7,900 |
| Steers 500 lbs. and
over |
14,300 |
14,600 |
14,500 |
| Bulls 500 lbs. and
over |
2,100 |
2,100 |
2,100 |
| Calves under 500 pounds |
30,200 |
29,700 |
29,500 |
| Calf crop |
38,631 |
38,280 |
38,400 |
JULY PRICES RECEIVED
MIXED
Prices received by New
York farmers during July were mixed compared with a month earlier. Prices
for corn, oats, and soybeans increased while wheat, hay, milk and egg
prices declined.
Grain corn prices averaged
$2.54 per bushel, up 1 cent from June and 6 cents above July 2001. Oats,
at $2.05 per bushel, were up 12 cents from a month earlier and 62 cents
above a year ago. Wheat, at $2.85 per bushel, was down 40 cents from June
but 52 cents above last July. Soybeans returned $5.33 per bushel, 86 cents
above last month and 75 cents more than July 2001. Hay prices averaged
$109.00 per ton baled, $3.00 below June and $7.00 less than July a year
ago.
Dairy farmers in New York
received an average of $11.60 per hundredweight of milk sold during July,
down 90 cents from a month earlier and $5.40 below last July. The price
of milk cow herd replacements averaged $1,600 per head compared with $1,500
during July 2001. Poultry producers received an average of 48.5 cents
per dozen eggs sold, down 1.9 cents from June but 3.2 cents more than
a year earlier.
At the National level,
the preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers
in July was 100, based on 1990-92=100, up 2 points from the June index.
Higher prices for wheat, soybeans, hogs, and corn more than offset decreased
prices for broilers, milk, eggs, and cattle. The seasonal change in the
mix of commodities farmers sell often affects the overall index. Higher
marketings for grapes, wheat, tobacco, and tomatoes more than offset decreased
marketings of milk, cantaloupe, potatoes, and asparagus. The All Farm
Products Index was 8 points below July last year. Lower prices for broilers,
cattle, hogs, and strawberries more than offset higher prices for wheat,
corn, soybeans, and potatoes. Prices
Received by Farmers 1/
|
Commodity |
Unit |
New
York |
United
States |
July
2001 |
June
2002 |
July
2002 |
July
2001 |
June
2002 |
July
2002 |
|
|
Dollars |
Dollars |
| Corn |
bu. |
2.48 |
2.53 |
2.54 |
1.87 |
1.97 |
2.07 |
| Oats |
bu. |
1.43 |
1.93 |
2.05 |
1.33 |
1.95 |
1.79 |
| Wheat |
bu. |
2.33 |
3.25 |
2.85 |
2.63 |
2.93 |
3.22 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
4.58 |
4.47 |
5.33 |
4.79 |
4.88 |
5.50 |
| Hay, baled |
ton |
116.00 |
112.00 |
109.00 |
96.30 |
95.80 |
93.60 |
| Potatoes |
cwt. |
- |
- |
- |
6.46 |
9.95 |
11.40 |
| Apples, fresh market
2/ |
cwt. |
- |
21.50 |
- |
15.20 |
22.00 |
20.60 |
| Milk, wholesale |
cwt. |
17.00 |
12.50 |
11.60 |
11.20 |
11.60 |
11.20 |
| Milk cows 3/ |
head |
1,500.00 |
- |
1,600.00 |
1,590.00 |
- |
1,670.00 |
| Eggs, table market |
doz. |
0.453 |
0.504 |
0.485 |
0.354 |
0.445 |
0.381 |
| Slaughter cows |
cwt. |
39.90 |
39.00 |
4/ |
42.90 |
39.30 |
37.70 |
| Steers and heifers |
cwt. |
65.50 |
58.00 |
4/ |
75.00 |
67.00 |
66.10 |
| All slaughter cattle |
cwt. |
41.40 |
40.10 |
4/ |
71.80 |
64.10 |
63.30 |
| Calves |
cwt. |
116.00 |
121.00 |
4/ |
108.00 |
94.80 |
93.20 |
| Hogs |
cwt. |
- |
- |
- |
51.70 |
35.80 |
38.20 |
| Lambs |
cwt. |
- |
- |
- |
64.30 |
72.80 |
- |
| Index
(1990-92=100) |
| Prices received |
|
|
|
|
108 |
98 |
100 |
| Prices paid |
|
|
|
|
124 |
123 |
123 |
| Ratio prices
received to prices paid |
|
|
|
|
87 |
80 |
81 |
1/
Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month
shown for previous periods. 2/
New York price is equivalent packinghouse door.
3/ Milk
cow prices published quarterly. 4/
Price available next month. |
Commercial
Livestock Slaughter, June 1/
| Species |
Number
Slaughtered |
Total
Live Weight |
| New
York |
United
States |
New
York |
United
States |
| 2001 |
2002 |
2001 |
2002 |
2001 |
2002 |
2001 |
2002 |
|
1,000
head |
1,000
head |
Million
pounds |
Million
pounds |
| Cattle |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3,120.2 |
3,063.2 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
3,738.0 |
3,785.2 |
| Calves |
10.1 |
12.1 |
77.4 |
75.9 |
.9 |
1.2 |
25.7 |
24.2 |
| Hogs |
3.2 |
2.9 |
7,484.2 |
7,535.7 |
.8 |
.6 |
1,969.4 |
1,997.0 |
| Sheep and lambs |
1.4 |
1.6 |
232.8 |
229.7 |
.1 |
.1 |
32.7 |
30.1 |
| 1/
Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes
farm slaughter. |
JULY MILK PRODUCTION UP
4 PERCENT
Milk production in the
Empire State during July totaled 1.07 billion pounds, up 4 percent from
the 1.02 billion pounds of milk produced in New York during July 2001.
Both a larger milking herd and a higher output of milk per cow contributed
to the increase. The 680,000 dairy cows on farms during July were up 1
percent from a year earlier. Milk per cow averaged 1,570 pounds during
the month, up 50 pounds from the July 2001 output.
July milk production in
the 20 major producing States totaled 12.3 billion pounds, up 2.3 percent
from production in these same States during July 2001. Production per
cow in the 20 major States averaged 1,580 pounds for July, 28 pounds above
a year earlier. The number of cows on farms was 7.79 million head, 40,000
head more than July 2001, and 7,000 head more than June 2002.
Dairy Briefs
| Item |
Unit |
New
York |
20
Major States |
Jul
2001 |
Jun
2002 |
Jul
2002 |
Jul
2001 |
Jun
2002 |
Jul
2002 |
| Milk Production |
Mil. lb. |
1,023 |
1,047 |
1,068 |
12,025 |
12,315 |
12,305 |
| Milk per cow |
Lb. |
1,520 |
1,540 |
1,570 |
1,552 |
1,583 |
1,580 |
| No. of milk cows |
Thou. hd. |
673 |
680 |
680 |
7,746 |
7,779 |
7,786 |
Dairy Products Manufactured
| Item |
Unit |
New
York |
United
States |
| Jun
2001 |
May
2002 |
Jun
2002 |
Jun
2001 |
May
2002 |
Jun
2002 |
| Butter |
Thou. lb. |
2,359 |
2,785 |
1,815 |
86,783 |
126,533 |
97,913 |
| American cheese |
Thou. lb. |
9,802 |
9,980 |
8,230 |
304,618 |
326,180 |
309,460 |
| Mozzarella cheese |
Thou. lb. |
21,518 |
17,016 |
17,417 |
222,013 |
233,630 |
215,482 |
| Yogurt, plain and flavored |
Thou. lb. |
21,258 |
20,068 |
20,994 |
178,084 |
182,556 |
173,285 |
| Ice cream, hard |
Thou. gal. |
3,206 |
2,500 |
3,000 |
84,752 |
76,953 |
81,117 |
JUNE EGG PRODUCTION DOWN
5 PERCENT
Egg production on New York
farms, totaled 89 million eggs in June 2002, down 8 percent from the same
month a year earlier. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at
3.81 million, was down 9 percent from June 2001, while the rate of lay
was up 1 percent to 23.38 eggs per layer.
Laying flocks in the United
States produced 7.12 billion eggs during June 2002, up 2 percent from
the previous June. An indication of future egg supply, chicks hatched
in the U.S. during June for the purpose of egg production totaled 35.3
million, down 14 percent from June 2001. Eggs in incubators on July 1,
2002 totaled 32.7 million, down 8 percent from the July 1, 2001 total.
Poultry Briefs
| Item |
Unit |
Jun
2001 |
May
2002 |
Jun
2002 |
Jun
2001 |
May
2002 |
Jun
2002 |
|
|
New
York |
United
States |
| Number of layers |
Thou. |
4,197 |
3,856 |
3,807 |
332,920 |
334,857 |
335,025 |
| Eggs per layer |
No. |
23.11 |
23.60 |
23.38 |
21.00 |
21.72 |
21.24 |
| Eggs produced |
Mil. |
97 |
91 |
89 |
6,992 |
7,273 |
7,115 |
|
|
North
and South Atlantic States |
United
States |
| Chicks hatched, egg-type |
Thou. |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
40,806 |
38,944 |
35,292 |
| Chicks hatched, broiler
type |
Thou. |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
766,534 |
798,315 |
776,397 |
| Chicken
eggs in incubators 1/ |
| Egg-type |
Thou. |
9,475 |
8,914 |
9,402 |
35,636 |
33,314 |
32,712 |
| Broiler-type |
Thou. |
248,240 |
258,376 |
250,935 |
633,824 |
659,320 |
641,331 |
1/
First day of following month. 2/
Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. |
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