The USDA NASS
New York Field Office
"Fact Finders for Agriculture"
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E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov
(518) 457-5570
NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
Released: August 2006
Monthly
No. 973-8-06
NEW YORK CROP PROSPECTS – AUGUST 1
New York grain corn production is forecast at 54.9 million bushels, down 4 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 450 thousand acres, 2 percent below a year ago. Yield is forecast at 122 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from 2005. The crop was developing well due to warm temperatures and adequate moisture. Nationally, grain corn production is forecast at 11.0 billion bushels, down 1 percent from last year and 7 percent below 2004.
New York production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures, at 1.22 million tons, is 30 percent above 2005. Other dry hay production is expected to total 2.15 million tons, up 28 percent from a year ago. Due to the extremely wet summer, much of the acreage intended for dry hay has been cut for haylage. Oat production, expected to total 5.04 million bushels, is 24 percent above a year ago. Soybean production is estimated at 7.90 million bushels, the same as last year’s record high.
U.S. CORN AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN
Corn production is forecast at 11.0 billion bushels, down 1 percent from last year and 7 percent below 2004. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 152.2 bushels per acre, up 4.3 bushels from last year. If realized, expected yields are generally higher than last year in the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio Valley as frequent rainfall and near normal temperatures throughout much of the growing season helped maintain adequate soil moisture.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.93 billion bushels, down 5 percent from 2005 and down 6 percent from 2004. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, down 3.7 bushels from the record high U.S. yield set last year. Yields are lower than 2005 throughout the Great Plains, the western Corn Belt, and the Gulf Coast States, while yields are expected to remain unchanged or increase in the Ohio Valley, Arkansas, Missouri, and the Atlantic Coast States. Area for harvest, at 73.9 million acres, remains unchanged from June but is up 4 percent from 2005.
Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States
|
Crop |
Unit |
Planted acres |
Acres for harvest |
Yield per acre |
Production |
|||||
|
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
2005 |
2006 |
|||
|
1,000 acres |
1,000 acres |
Units |
1,000 units |
|||||||
|
New York |
||||||||||
|
Corn for grain |
bu. |
990 |
970 |
460 |
450 |
124.0 |
122.0 |
57,040 |
54,900 |
|
|
Wheat, winter |
bu. |
100 |
130 |
95 |
120 |
54.0 |
57.0 |
5,130 |
6,840 |
|
|
Oats |
bu. |
95 |
105 |
75 |
80 |
54.0 |
63.0 |
4,050 |
5,040 |
|
|
Soybeans |
bu. |
190 |
190 |
188 |
188 |
42.0 |
42.0 |
7,896 |
7,896 |
|
|
Beans, dry 1/ |
lbs. |
25 |
21.5 |
23 |
21.5 |
1,230.0 |
1,700.0 |
282 |
366 |
|
|
Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
20.5 |
20.6 |
21.7 |
19.7 |
300 |
2/ |
6,510 |
2/ |
|
|
Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
450 |
510 |
450 |
510 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
945 |
1,224 |
|
|
Hay, other |
ton |
1,200 |
1,300 |
1,200 |
1,300 |
1.4 |
1.65 |
1,680 |
2,145 |
|
|
Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
990 |
1,050 |
|
|
Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
198.0 |
149.0 |
|
|
Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
15.5 |
15.5 |
|
|
Peaches |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
4.3 |
6.0 |
|
|
United States |
||||||||||
|
Corn for grain |
bu. |
81,759 |
79,366 |
75,107 |
72,091 |
147.9 |
152.2 |
11,112,072 |
10,975,740 |
|
|
Wheat, winter |
bu. |
40,433 |
41,393 |
33,794 |
31,108 |
44.4 |
41.2 |
1,499,129 |
1,283,134 |
|
|
Oats |
bu. |
4,246 |
4,312 |
1,823 |
1,907 |
63.0 |
56.3 |
114,878 |
107,423 |
|
|
Barley |
bu. |
3,875 |
3,496 |
4,688 |
4,152 |
58.9 |
65.7 |
276,087 |
272,824 |
|
|
Soybeans |
bu. |
72,142 |
74,930 |
71,361 |
73,935 |
43.3 |
39.6 |
3,086,432 |
2,927,634 |
|
|
Beans, dry 1/ |
lbs. |
1,665.0 |
1,561.8 |
1,568.6 |
1,519.0 |
1,744 |
1,534 |
27,350 |
23,301 |
|
|
Potatoes, summer |
cwt. |
53.4 |
57.8 |
58.7 |
55.1 |
320.0 |
336.0 |
18,766 |
18,487 |
|
|
Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
968.6 |
990.5 |
1,248.6 |
1,163.6 |
367.0 |
2/ |
457,814 |
2/ |
|
|
Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
22,389 |
22,407 |
22,389 |
22,407 |
3.38 |
3.18 |
75,771 |
71,202 |
|
|
Hay, other |
ton |
39,260 |
40,290 |
39,260 |
40,290 |
1.91 |
1.77 |
74,819 |
71,121 |
|
|
Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
8,613.3 |
9,365.9 |
|
|
Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
6,572.7 |
6,361.4 |
|
|
Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
928.1 |
908.0 |
|
|
Peaches |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,185 |
1,054 |
|
|
1/ Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). |
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DRY BEANS: Planted Acreage by Classes, New York and United States, 2004-2006
Class |
New York |
United States |
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| 2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
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| 1,000 acres |
1,000 acres |
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| Light Red Kidney |
12.0 |
13.0 |
10.0 |
55.7 |
71.4 |
47.0 |
||||
| Dark Red Kidney |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
51.3 |
60.7 |
48.5 |
||||
| Black |
9.0 |
9.0 |
11.3 |
138.3 |
111.6 |
166.8 |
||||
| All Other |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1,109.0 |
1,421.3 |
1,345.0 |
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| TOTAL |
24.0 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
1,354.3 |
1,665.0 |
1,607.3 |
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Hired Workers on Farms and Wage Rates
| Item |
Northeast I 1/ |
United States |
||||
| July 10-16, |
Apr. 9-15, |
July 9-15, |
July 10-16, |
Apr. 9-15, |
July 9-15, |
|
| 1,000 workers |
||||||
| All hired workers |
46 |
34 |
36 |
936 |
720 |
875 |
| Worked 150 days or more |
35 |
28 |
24 |
662 |
581 |
630 |
| Worked less than 150 days |
11 |
6 |
12 |
274 |
139 |
245 |
| Hours worked per worker |
||||||
| All hired workers |
40.0 |
43.1 |
39.1 |
40.6 |
40.8 |
40.9 |
| Dollars per hour |
||||||
| Field workers |
8.88 |
9.71 |
9.28 |
8.61 |
8.95 |
8.95 |
| Livestock workers |
9.55 |
9.54 |
9.57 |
9.26 |
9.31 |
9.56 |
| Field & livestock workers |
9.11 |
9.65 |
9.38 |
8.78 |
9.06 |
9.10 |
| All hired workers |
9.70 |
10.49 |
9.95 |
9.38 |
9.78 |
9.74 |
| 1/ New York and New England States (CT, ME, MA, NH, RI, VT) are combined into Northeast I region | ||||||
.
JULY 1 CATTLE INVENTORY UP 1 PERCENT
All cattle and calves in the United States as of July 1, 2006, totaled 105.7 million head, 1 percent above the 104.5 million on July 1, 2005 and 2 percent above the 103.4 million two years ago. All cows and heifers that have calved, at 43.0 million, were up slightly from the 42.8 million on July 1, 2005 and 1 percent above the 42.4 million two years ago.
Beef cows, at 33.9 million, were up slightly from July 1, 2005 and up 1 percent from two years ago. Milk cows, at 9.15 million, were up 1 percent from July 1, 2005 and up 2 percent from two years ago.
The 2006 calf crop is expected to be 37.9 million, up slightly from 2005 and up 1 percent from 2004. Calves born during the first half of the year are estimated at 27.6 million, up 1 percent from 2005 and up 1 percent from 2004.
CATTLE AND CALVES: Number by Class and Calf Crop, United States, July 1, 2004-2006
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JULY PRICES MIXED
Prices received by New York producers during July for selected commodities were mixed from a month earlier. The price of corn and hay increased. The price of oats, wheat, and eggs decreased. Milk prices remained unchanged. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.
Grain corn, at $2.45 per bushel, increased 1 cent from June and 22 cents from last year. Oat price, at $1.89 per bushel, decreased 2 cents from June but increased 27 cents from July last year. Wheat price was $3.52, 12 cents below last month but 19 cents above last year. Hay averaged $135.00 per ton, $7.00 more than June and $23.00 more than July 2005.
Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $12.30 per hundredweight of milk sold during July, unchanged from June but $3.10 less than July a year ago. Poultry producers received an average of 28 cents per dozen eggs sold, down 12 cents from June and 7 cents from July last year.
The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in July, at 117 based on 1990-92=100, was unchanged from June. The Crop Index is down 3 points (2.4 percent) while the Livestock Index was unchanged. Producers received higher commodity prices for cattle, broilers, asparagus, and snap beans. Lower prices were received for grapes, cantaloupes, hogs, and broccoli. The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities a producer sells. Increased average marketings of grapes, wheat, tomatoes and hay offset decreased marketings of milk, cantaloupes, potatoes, and asparagus.
Prices Received by Farmers 1/
| Commodity |
Unit |
New York |
United States |
||||||
| July 2005 |
June 2006 |
July 2006 |
July 2005 |
June 2006 |
July2006 |
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| Dollars |
Dollars |
||||||||
| Corn |
bu. |
2.23 |
2.44 |
2.45 |
2.11 |
2.14 |
2.20 |
||
| Oats |
bu. |
1.62 |
1.91 |
1.89 |
1.59 |
1.93 |
1.89 |
||
| Wheat |
bu. |
3.33 |
3.64 |
3.52 |
3.20 |
4.01 |
4.09 |
||
| Barley |
bu. |
1.92 |
- |
- |
2.37 |
2.78 |
2.46 |
||
| Soybeans |
bu. |
6.76 |
5.30 |
5.30 |
6.65 |
5.61 |
5.60 |
||
| Hay, baled |
ton |
112.00 |
128.00 |
135.00 |
99.70 |
109.00 |
107.00 |
||
| Potatoes |
cwt. |
- |
- |
- |
7.63 |
8.60 |
8.78 |
||
| Apples, fresh market 2/ |
cwt. |
- |
22.80 |
- |
15.70 |
27.70 |
33.60 |
||
| Milk, wholesale |
cwt. |
15.40 |
12.30 |
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