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E-mail:
nass-ny@nass.usda.gov
(518) 457-5570
NEW YORK CROP AND LIVESTOCK
REPORT
August 2007
Monthly
No. 973-8-07
NEW YORK CROP PROSPECTS – AUGUST 1
New York grain corn production is forecast at 66.4 million bushels, up 7 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 540 thousand acres, 13 percent above a year ago. Yield is forecast at 123 bushels per acre, down 6 bushels from 2006. The crop was developing well due to warm temperatures and adequate moisture. Nationally, grain corn production is forecast at 13.0 billion bushels, up 24 percent from last year and 17 percent above 2005.
New York production of alfalfa and alfalfa mixtures, at 960 thousand tons, is 24 percent above 2006. Other dry hay production is expected to total 1.58 million tons, down 22 percent from a year ago. Due to the dry summer, yields were lower than expected. Oat production, expected to total 4.21 million bushels, is 15 percent below a year ago. Soybean production in the Empire State is estimated at 7.88 million bushels, down from last year’s record high of 9.12 million bushels.
U.S. CORN PRODUCTION UP AND SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN
Corn production is forecast at 13.1 billion bushels, up 24 percent from last year and 17 percent above 2005. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 152.8 bushels per acre, up 3.7 bushels from last year. If realized, this will be the second highest yield on record, behind the 160.4 bushel yield in 2004. However, production will be the largest on record as growers intend to harvest the most corn acres for grain since 1933.
Soybean production is forecast at 2.63 billion bushels, down 18 percent from last year's record high and down 14 percent from 2005. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 41.5 bushels per acre, down 1.2 bushels from last year. Yields are lower than 2006 throughout most of the Atlantic Coast States, most of the Corn Belt, and the Tennessee Valley, while yields are expected to remain unchanged or increase across the Great Plains, the Gulf Coast States, and Arkansas. Area for harvest, at 63.3 million acres, remains unchanged from June but is down 15 percent from 2006.
Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States
| Crop |
Unit |
Planted acres |
Acres for harvest |
Yield per acre |
Production |
||||
| 2006 |
2007 |
2006 |
2007 |
2006 |
2007 |
2006 |
2007 |
||
| 1,000 acres |
1,000 acres |
Units |
1,000 units |
||||||
| New York |
|||||||||
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
950 |
1,060 |
480 |
540 |
129.0 |
123.0 |
61,920 |
66,420 |
| Wheat, winter |
bu. |
105 |
100 |
95 |
90 |
61.0 |
50.0 |
5,795 |
4,500 |
| Oats |
bu. |
85 |
100 |
67 |
78 |
74.0 |
54.0 |
4,958 |
4,212 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
200 |
215 |
198 |
213 |
46.0 |
37.0 |
9,108 |
7,881 |
| Beans, dry 1/ |
lbs. |
19 |
17 |
18 |
16.3 |
1,330.0 |
1,300.0 |
239 |
212 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
20.6 |
20.0 |
19.0 |
19.3 |
300 |
2/ |
5,700 |
2/ |
| Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
- |
- |
370 |
400 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
777 |
960 |
| Hay, other |
ton |
- |
- |
1,150 |
1,050 |
1.75 |
1.50 |
2,013 |
1,575 |
| Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,250 |
1,290 |
| Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
155.0 |
180.0 |
| Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
16.0 |
14.0 |
| Peaches |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
7.0 |
6.3 |
| United States |
|||||||||
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
78,327 |
92,888 |
70,648 |
85,418 |
149.1 |
152.8 |
10,534,868 |
13,053,617 |
| Wheat, winter |
bu. |
40,575 |
45,136 |
31,117 |
37,188 |
41.7 |
41.3 |
1,298,081 |
1,537,262 |
| Oats |
bu. |
4,168 |
3,860 |
1,576 |
1,612 |
59.5 |
61.0 |
93,764 |
98,341 |
| Barley |
bu. |
3,452 |
4,044 |
2,951 |
3,542 |
61.0 |
63.1 |
180,051 |
223,478 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
75,522 |
64,081 |
74,602 |
63,285 |
42.7 |
41.5 |
3,188,247 |
2,625,274 |
| Beans, dry 1/ |
lbs. |
1,629.8.0 |
1,504.8 |
1,537.6 |
1,439.8 |
1,577 |
1,649 |
24,247 |
23,741 |
| Potatoes, summer |
cwt. |
58.4 |
55.8 |
54.3 |
53.8 |
338.0 |
311.0 |
18,350 |
16,749 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
987.9 |
1009.2 |
976.2 |
996.2 |
402.0 |
2/ |
391,978 |
2/ |
| Hay, alfalfa |
ton |
- |
- |
21,384 |
21,451 |
3.35 |
3.26 |
71,666 |
69,904 |
| Hay, other |
ton |
- |
- |
39,423 |
40,338 |
1.78 |
1.87 |
70,000 |
75,347 |
| Apples |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
9,931.7 |
9,284.7 |
| Grapes |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
6,417.2 |
6,988.5 |
| Pears |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
842.0 |
878.1 |
| Peaches |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,010 |
1,027 |
| 1/ Production in 100
lb. bags (cleaned basis). |
|||||||||
DRY
BEANS: Planted Acreage by Classes,
New York and United States, 2005-2007
| Class |
New York |
United States |
||||
| 2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
|
| 1,000 acres |
1,000 acres |
|||||
| Light Red Kidney |
13.0 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
71.4 |
43.4 |
49.0 |
| Dark Red Kidney |
1.5 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
60.7 |
48.8 |
43.3 |
| Black |
9.0 |
9.0 |
7.0 |
111.6 |
167.4 |
173.2 |
| All Other |
1.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1,386.3 |
1,370.2 |
1,239.3 |
| TOTAL |
25.0 |
19.0 |
17.0 |
1,630.0 |
1,629.8 |
1,504.8 |
Hired Workers on Farms and Wage Rates
| Item |
Northeast I 1/ |
United States |
||||
|
July 9-15, |
Apr. 8-14, |
July 8-14, |
July 9-15, |
Apr. 8-14, |
July 8-14, |
|
| 1,000 workers |
||||||
| All hired workers |
36 |
30 |
39 |
876 |
736 |
847 |
| Worked 150 days or more |
24 |
25 |
25 |
630 |
593 |
600 |
| Worked less than 150 days |
12 |
5 |
14 |
246 |
143 |
247 |
| Hours worked per worker |
||||||
| All hired workers |
39.1 |
42.4 |
41.6 |
41.0 |
40.7 |
41.6 |
| Dollars per hour |
||||||
| Field workers |
9.28 |
10.10 |
9.58 |
8.93 |
9.35 |
9.31 |
| Livestock workers |
9.57 |
9.59 |
9.37 |
9.49 |
9.59 |
9.80 |
| Field and livestock workers |
9.38 |
9.90 |
9.51 |
9.07 |
9.42 |
9.44 |
| All hired workers |
9.95 |
10.77 |
10.00 |
9.72 |
10.20 |
10.00 |
| 1/ New York and New England States (CT, ME,
MA, NH, RI, VT) are combined into Northeast I region. 2/ Revised. |
||||||
JULY 1 CATTLE INVENTORY
DOWN SLIGHTLY
All cattle and calves in the United States as of July 1, 2007, totaled 104.8 million head, slightly below the 105.2 million on July 1, 2006 but 1 percent above the 104.2 million two years ago. All cows and heifers that have calved, at 42.5 million, were down slightly form the 42.6 million on July 1, 2006 but unchanged from two years ago.
Beef cows, at 33.4 million, were down slightly from July 1, 2006 and July 1, 2005. Milk cows, at 9.15 million, were unchanged from July 1, 2006 but up 1 percent from two years ago.
All sheep and lamb inventory in the United States on July 1, 2007 totaled 7.73 million head, down slightly from July 1, 2006, and 1 percent below July 1, 2005. Breeding sheep inventory at 4.61 million head on July 1, 2007 was down slightly from July 1, 2006. Market sheep and lambs (including newborn lambs), at 3.12 million head, were also down slightly from last July.
All goat inventory on July 1, 2007 totaled 3.60 million head, up 4 percent from the previous July. Breeding goat inventory totaled 2.69 million head, up 4 percent from July 2006. All market goats and kids totaled 905,000 head, up 2 percent from the previous July.
CATTLE, SHEEP AND GOATS ON FARMS
United States, July 1, 2005-2007
| Class |
United States |
||
| 2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
|
| 1,000 head |
|||
| Cattle and Calves |
104,200 |
105,200 |
104,800 |
| Cows that have calved |
42,500 |
42,600 |
42,500 |
| Beef cows |
33,450 |
33,450 |
33,350 |
| Milk cows |
9,050 |
9,150 |
9,150 |
| Heifers 500 lbs. and over |
16,200 |
16,600 |
16,600 |
| For beef cow replacement |
5,000 |
5,000 |
4,700 |
| For milk cow replacement |
3,700 |
3,800 |
3,900 |
| Other heifers |
7,500 |
7,800 |
8,000 |
| Steers 500 lbs. and over |
14,500 |
15,000 |
14,900 |
| Bulls 500 lbs. and over |
2,100 |
2,100 |
2,100 |
| Calves under 500 pounds |
28,900 |
28,900 |
28,700 |
| Calf crop |
37,575 |
37,567 |
37,400 |
| All sheep and lambs |
7,800 |
7,770 |
7,730 |
| All breeding sheep |
4,655 |
4,635 |
4,610 |
| Ewes 1 year and older |
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