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NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

In this Issue:


Released: September 2001
Monthly
No. 973-9-01

CORN, SOYBEAN YIELDS DETERIORATE

Grain corn yields are expected to average 95 bushels per acre, 10 bushels below the August 1 forecast and 3 bushels less than in 2000. The crop was seriously affected by the summer drought conditions. Production is forecast at 51.3 million bushels, up 9 percent from last year's output. The increase can be attributed to the 13 percent increase in acres planted for grain. U.S. corn production is forecast at 9.24 billion bushels, down 7 percent from 2000. Yields are expected to average 133.5 bushels per acre, down 3.6 bushels from a year ago. If realized, this would be the lowest yield and production since 1997.

Soybean yields, forecast at 38 bushels per acre, were down 2 bushels from the August forecast but 5 bushels above 2000. Dryness resulted in poor pod development. Soybean production in New York is forecast at 5.24 million bushels, up 20 percent from last year. U.S. soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.83 billion bushels, 2 percent above 2000. Yields are expected to average 38.2 bushels per acre, 0.1 bushel above 2000.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

Crop Unit Acres for harvest Yield per acre Production
1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001
1,000 acres Units 1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain bu. 590 480 540 101.0 98.0 95.0 59,590 47,040 51,300
Wheat, winter 1/ bu. 125 140 120 65.0 53.0 53.0 8,125 7,420 6,360
Oats 1/ bu. 70 60 75 68.0 65.0 71.0 4,760 3,900 5,325
Soybeans bu. 128 132 138 37.0 33.0 38.0 4,736 4,356 5,244
Beans, dry 1/ 2/ lbs. 30.2 24.5 22.5 1,370 1,460 1,500 414 358 338
Potatoes, fall cwt. 25.5 21.3 23.0 265 280 3/ 6,758 5,964 3/
Apples 1/ mil. lbs. - - - - - - 1,260.0 995.0 1,050.0
Grapes 1/ ton - - - - - - 205,000 154,000 131,000
Pears 1/ ton - - - - - - 12,500 14,500 10,000
United States
Corn for grain bu. 70,487 72,732 69,191 133.8 137.1 133.5 9,430,612 9,968,358 9,238,356
Wheat, winter 1/ bu. 35,486 35,022 31,657 47.8 44.6 43.8 1,696,580 1,562,733 1,385,048
Oats 1/ bu. 2,453 2,324 2,186 59.6 64.2 62.0 146,193 149,195 135,445
Barley bu. 4,734 5,201 4,514 59.2 61.1 57.9 280,292 317,865 261,512
Soybeans bu. 72,446 72,718 74,137 36.6 38.1 38.2 2,653,758 2,769,665 2,833,511
Beans, dry 1/ 2/ lbs. 1,877.0 1,606.4 1,337.3 1,763 1,646 1,638 33,085 26,440 21,902
Potatoes, summer cwt. 64.0 63.2 59.2 296 304 296 18,972 19,236 17,503
Potatoes, fall cwt. 1,166.1 1,192.2 1,089.2 369 392 3/ 429,847 467,504 3/
Apples 1/ mil. lbs. - - - - - - 10,630.7 10,648.7 9,615.4
Grapes 1/ ton - - - - - - 6,236,260 7,657,970 6,482,900
Pears 1/ ton - - - - - - 1,015,450 967,150 915,500
1/  Production forecast as of August 1.
2/  Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis).
3/  First forecast released November 9.

2001 TURKEY OUTPUT IN NEW YORK EXPECTED TO DECLINE

New York turkey producers expect to raise an estimated 500,000 turkeys during 2001. This total will be 2 percent below the 510,000 birds raised in 2000, but 2 percent above the 1999 total.

The preliminary estimate of turkeys raised in the United States during 2001 is 270 million, the same as were raised in 2000.

Minnesota continues to be the number one producing state with 44 million turkeys, 1 percent increase from last year. North Carolina ranks second with 43 million, 5 percent more than 2000. Arkansas is in third place by producing 26 million birds, 7 percent less than a year ago. Missouri and Virginia are tied with each producing 24 million birds. Missouri is up 4 percent from a year ago, while Virginia is down 6 percent. California expects to raise 19 million turkeys, 6 percent above a year earlier.
 

CATTLE AND CALVES: Number of cattle operations, by size groups,
New York, 1998-2000

Year Herd size
1-49 50-99 100 plus Total
Number of operations
1998 8,800 3,900 4,800 17,500
1999 9,400 3,400 4,700  17,500
2000 9,200 3,300 4,500 17,000

CATTLE AND CALVES:  January 1 Inventory on operations, by size groups,
New York, 1999-2001

Year Herd size
1-49 50-99 100-499 500 plus Total
Thousand head
1999 161 248 774 277 1,460
2000 161 248 774 277 1,460
2001 152 235 731 262 1,380

MILK COWS: Number of milk cow operations, by size groups,
New York, 1998-2000

Year Head per operation
1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200 plus Total
Number of operations
1998 1,600 1,800 3,500 1,300 500 8,700
1999 1,400 1,600 3,200 1,400 600 8,200
2000 1,400 1,500 3,000 1,400 600 7,900

MILK COWS: January 1 Inventory on operations, by size groups,
New York, 1999-2001

Year Head per operation
1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200 plus Total
Thousand head
1999 14 70 218 189 211 702
2000 14 70 217 189 210 700
2001 13 60 194 188 215 670

AUGUST PRICES RECEIVED MIXED

Prices received by New York farmers during August for selected commodities were mixed compared with a month earlier. Prices for wheat, soybeans, milk, and eggs increased while prices for corn, oats, and hay declined.

Grain corn prices averaged $2.36 per bushel, down 12 cents from July but 5 cents above August 2000. Oats, at $1.37 per bushel, were down 6 cents from a month earlier but 3 cents above a year ago. Wheat, at $2.39 per bushel, was up 6 cents from July and 57 cents above last August. Soybeans returned $4.82 per bushel, up 24 cents from a month earlier. Hay prices averaged $104.00 per ton baled, $12.00 below July but the same as August 2000.

Dairy farmers in New York received an average of $17.10 per hundredweight of milk sold during August, up 10 cents from a month earlier and $3.90 above last August. Poultry producers received an average of 47.5 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 2.2 cents from July but 11.0 cents less than a year earlier.

At the National level, the Preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by U.S. Farmers was 109 based on 1990-92=100, up 2 points from the July Index. Higher prices for lettuce, strawberries, cantaloupes, and wheat were partially offset by lower prices for cattle, onions, peaches, and celery. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell often affects the overall index. Higher seasonal marketings of tobacco, cattle, grapes, and sweet corn were offset by lower marketing of wheat, hay, strawberries, and milk. Compared with August 2000, the Index was 13 points higher. Prices increases from August 2000 for milk, broilers, cattle, and corn were partially offset by lower prices for eggs, turkeys, tomatoes, and cotton.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity
Unit New York United States
Aug
2000
Jul
2001
Aug
2001
Aug
2000
Jul
2001
Aug 
2001
Dollars Dollars
Corn bu. 2.31 2.48 2.36 1.52 1.88 1.93
Oats bu. 1.34 1.43 1.37 0.93 1.33 1.30
Wheat bu. 1.82 2.33 2.39 2.40 2.63 2.70
Soybeans 2/ - 4.58 4.82 4.45 4.79 4.87
Hay, baled ton 104.00 116.00 104.00 80.50 96.30 97.70
Potatoes cwt. 10.00 - 10.50 5.56 7.83 7.43
Apples, fresh market 3/ cwt. - - - 19.50 14.40 16.90
Milk, wholesale cwt. 13.20 17.00 17.10 12.50 16.20 16.30
Milk cows 4/ head - 1,500.00 - - 1,590.00 -
Eggs, table market doz. 0.585 0.453 0.475 0.501 0.350 0.384
Slaughter cows cwt. 36.80 39.90 5/ 39.00 42.90 43.40
Steers and heifers cwt. 57.70 65.50 5/ 68.00 75.00 73.70
All slaughter cattle cwt. 38.30 41.40 5/ 65.50 71.90 70.90
Calves cwt. 91.60 115.70 5/ 106.00 107.00 106.00
Hogs cwt. - - - 43.80 51.70 51.70
Lambs cwt. - - - 83.60 65.00 -
Index (1990-92=100)
Prices received 96 107 109
Prices paid 119 123 123
Ratio prices received to prices paid 81 87 89
1/  Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods.
2/  Estimates for New York began November 2000.
3/  New York price is equivalent packinghouse door.
4/  Milk cow prices published quarterly.
5/  Price available next month.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, July 1/
Species Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight
New York United States New York United States
2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001
1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds
Cattle 4.5 3.8 2,962.2 2,940.5 4.9 4.4 3,613.6 3,574.9
Calves 13.6 12.5 98.8 83.2 1.1 1.1 30.2 25.9
Hogs 3.6 3.4 7,356.6 7,446.1 .9 .7 1,906.9 1,936.3
Sheep and lambs 1.3 1.2 243.2 242.2 .1 .1 31.6 34.0
1/  Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.


AUGUST MILK PRODUCTION UP

New York dairy herds produced 1,016 million pounds of milk during August, up 0.7 percent from the August 2000 level. The increase was the result of a increase in the rate per cow. The number of milk cows totaled 673,000, down 9,000 head from August of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,510 pounds, up 2 percent from August 2000.

Milk production in the 20 major states during August totaled 11.8 billion pounds, down 0.8 percent from production in these same states during August 2000. Production per cow averaged 1,529 pounds for August, 4 pounds above August 2000. The number of cows on farms in the 20 major states was 7.74 million head, 82,000 head less than August 2000, and 7,000 head less than July 2001.

Dairy Briefs

Item Unit New York 20 Major States
Aug
2000
Jul
2001
Aug
2001
Aug
2000
Jul
2001
Aug
2001
Milk Production Mil. lb. 1,009 1,023 1,016 11,928 12,020 11,828
Milk per cow Lb. 1,480 1,520 1,510 1,525 1,552 1,529
No. of milk cows 1,000 hd. 682 673 673 7,820 7,745 7,738

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item Unit New York United States
Jul
2000
Jun
2001
Jul
2001
Jul
2000
Jun
2001
Jul
2001
Butter 1,000 lb. 1,367 2,358 2,322 85,362 86,945 79,271
American cheese 1,000 lb. 9,151 9,730 9,695 318,832 308,076 298,935
Mozzarella cheese 1,000 lb. 21,218 21,581 20,174 214,847 223,172 224,839
Yogurt, plain & flavored 1,000 lb. 19,295 21,462 18,921 142,744 177,115 162,841
Ice cream, hard 1,000 gal. 3,002 3,300 3,300 83,473 83,775 81,947

JULY EGG OUTPUT INCREASES

Egg production on New York farms during July totaled 99 million eggs, up 4 percent from July 2000. An increase in the number of layers resulted in the higher production. Hens that completed a force molt on August 1, 2001 accounted for 0.5 percent of the laying flock.

Laying flocks in the United States produced 7.18 billion eggs during July, up 2 percent from a year earlier. An indication of future egg supply, egg-type chicks hatched in the U.S. during July were up 14 percent from July 2000. The 30.9 million eggs in incubators on August 1, 2001 were up 2 percent from the previous year.

Poultry Briefs

Item Unit Jul
2000
Jun
2001
Jul
2001
Jul
2000
Jun
2001
Jul
2001
New York United States
Number of layers 1,000 3,919 4,197 4,129 325,563 332,395 331,628
Eggs per layer No. 24.24 23.11 23.98 21.69 21.00 21.65
Eggs produced Mil. 95 97 99 7,061 6,979 7,181
North and South Atlantic States United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type 1,000 2/ 2/ 2/ 33,237 40,601 37,903
Chicks hatched, broiler type 1,000 2/ 2/ 2/ 740,188 756,556 760,203
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
    Egg-type 1,000 9,356 9,515 9,297 30,137 35,064 30,882
    Broiler-type 1,000 240,868 243,040 243,625 615,006 625,754 629,030
1/  First day of following month.
2/  Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

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