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NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

In this Issue:
Released: September 2002
Monthly
No. 973-9-02

NEW YORK CORN, SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN

Based on conditions as of September 1, New York grain corn production is now expected to total 44.1 million bushels, 22 percent less than the 56.7 million bushels produced in 2001. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 450,000 acres, down 20,000 acres from the August forecast and 17 percent below the 540,000 acres harvested for grain last year. Due to extreme hot temperatures and lack of moisture during the majority of the growing season, many growers diverted grain acreage and chopped for silage while there was still some moisture left in the plants. Yields are expected to average 98 bushels per acre, down 5 bushels from the August forecast and 7 bushels less than a year earlier. U.S. grain corn production is forecast at 8.85 billion bushels, down less than 1 percent from last month and down 7 percent from 2001.

Soybean production in the Empire State is now forecast at 4.90 million bushels, down 6 percent from the 5.21 million bushels produced in 2001. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 153,000 acres, unchanged from the August forecast. Yields are expected to average 32 bushels per acre, down 1 bushel from the August forecast and 1 bushel below a year earlier. U.S. soybean production is forecast at 2.66 billion bushels, up 1 percent from August but 8 percent below 2001. Yields are expected to average 37.0 bushels per acre, up 0.5 bushel from last month. If realized, this would be the lowest production since 1999. Acreage for harvest is forecast at 71.8 million acres, down slightly from August and 2 percent below last year.
 
 


Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

Crop Unit Acres for harvest Yield per acre Production
2000 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002 2000 2001 2002
1,000 acres Units 1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain bu. 450 540 450 98.0 105.0 98.0 44,100 56,700 44,100
Wheat, winter 1/ bu. 140 120 135 53.0 53.0 58.0 7,420 6,360 7,830
Oats 1/ bu. 60 80 55 65.0 69.0 70.0 3,900 5,520 3,850
Soybeans bu. 132 158 153 33.0 33.0 32.0 4,336 5,214 4,896
Beans, dry 1/ 2/ lbs. 24.5 22.3 24.5 1,460 870 1,350 358 194 331
Potatoes, fall cwt. 21.3 23.3 22.0 280 255 3/ 5,964 5,942 3/
Apples 1/ mil. lbs. - - - - - - 995.0 1,000.0 720.0
Grapes 1/ ton - - - - - - 154,000 149,000 135,000
Pears 1/ ton - - - - - - 14,500 11,000 10,000
United States
Corn for grain bu. 72,440 68,808 70,541 136.9 138.2 125.4 9,515,051 9,506,840 8,848,529
Wheat, winter 1/ bu. 35,072 31,295 29,764 44.7 43.5 38.9 1,566,023 1,361,479 1,158,710
Oats 1/ bu. 2,329 1,905 2,633 64.2 61.3 54.2 149,545 116,856 142,580
Barley bu. 5,213 4,289 4,499 61.1 58.2 55.9 318,728 249,590 251,700
Soybeans bu. 72,408 73,000 71,799 38.1 39.6 37.0 2,757,810 2,890,572 2,655,819
Beans, dry 1/ 2/ lbs. 1,607.5 1,243.0 1,690.6 1,643 1,572 1,609 26,409 19,541 27,207
Potatoes, summer cwt. 63.2 58.6 60.6 304 309 307 19,236 18,110 18,625
Potatoes, fall cwt. 1,192.2 1,092.5 1,142.1 392 367 3/ 467,504 400,727 3/
Apples 1/ mil. lbs. - - - - - - 10,663.7 9,629.1 9,205.6
Grapes 1/ ton - - - - - - 7,687,970 6,552,520 7,097,300
Pears 1/ ton - - - - - - 967,150 1,005,810 944,550
1/  Production forecast as of August 1.
2/  Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis).
3/  First forecast released November 12.

2002 TURKEY OUTPUT IN NEW YORK EXPECTED TO INCREASE

New York turkey producers expect to raise an estimated 520,000 turkeys during 2002. This total will be 2 percent above the 510,000 birds raised in 2001 and 2000.

The preliminary estimate of turkeys raised in the United States during 2002 is 270 million, down 1 percent from the number raised in 2001.

North Carolina expects to be the number one producing state with 44.5 million turkeys. A 3 percent increase from last year. Minnesota ranks second with 44 million, the same as 2001. Arkansas is in third place by producing 29 million birds, 7 percent more than a year ago. Missouri growers expect to produce 24 million birds in 2002, unchanged from the previous year. Virginia at 20 million birds is down 17 percent from 2001. California expects to raise 17.7 million turkeys, 5 percent less than a year earlier.
 

CATTLE AND CALVES:      Number of cattle operations, by size groups,
New York, 1999-2001
Year Herd size
1-49 50-99 100 plus Total
Number of operations
1999 9,400 3,400 4,700  17,500
2000 9,200 3,300 4,500 17,000
2001 8,800 2,900 4,300 16,000

CATTLE AND CALVES:    January 1 Inventory on operations, by size groups,
New York, 2000-2002

Year Herd size
1-49 50-99 100-499 500 plus Total
Thousand head
2000 161 248 774 277 1,460
2001 152 235 731 262 1,380
2002 153 222 737 278 1,390


MILK COWS:   Number of milk cow operations, by size groups,
New York, 1999-2001

Year Head per operation
1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200 plus Total
Number of operations
1999 1,400 1,600 3,200 1,400 600 8,200
2000 1,400 1,500 3,000 1,400 600 7,900
2001 1,300 1,200 2,800 1,300 600 7,200

MILK COWS:    January 1 Inventory on operations, by size groups,
New York, 2000-2002

Year Head per operation
1-29 30-49 50-99 100-199 200 plus Total
Thousand head
2000 14 63 203 196 224 700
2001 13 54 194 181 228 670
2002 13 54 196 182 230 675

AUGUST PRICES RECEIVED INCREASED

Prices received by New York farmers during August for selected commodities were mostly higher compared with a month earlier. Prices for corn, oats, wheat, barley, and eggs increased while prices for soybeans and hay declined. Wholesale milk prices were unchanged from July.

Grain corn prices averaged $2.86 per bushel, up 24 cents from July and 41 cents above July 2001. Oats, at $1.71 per bushel, were up 8 cents from a month earlier and 32 cents above a year ago. Wheat, at $3.18 per bushel, was up 19 cents from July and 73 cents above last August. Barley prices averaged $1.73 per bushel, up 10 cents from the previous month. Soybeans returned $5.47 per bushel, down 20 cents from July but 36 cents more than August a year ago. Hay prices averaged $101.00 per ton baled, $8.00 below a month earlier and $3.00 less than August 2001.

Dairy farmers in New York received an average of $12.10 per hundredweight of milk sold during August, unchanged from a month earlier but $5.30 below last August. Poultry producers received an average of 53.5 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 5.0 cents from July and 6.0 cents more than a year earlier.

At the National level, the preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in August was 101, based on 1990-92=100, up 1 point from the July index. Higher prices for corn, wheat, strawberries, and lettuce more than offset decreased prices for hogs, broilers, grapes, and potatoes. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell often affects the overall index. Higher marketings for tobacco, cattle, grapes, and sweet corn more than offset decreased marketings of wheat, hay, milk, and strawberries. The current All Farm Products Index is 9 points below August 2001. Lower prices for broilers, hogs, cattle, and lettuce more than offset higher prices for corn, wheat, soybeans, and grapes.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity
Unit New York United States
Aug
2001
Jul
2002
Aug
2002
Aug
2001
Jul
2002
Aug
2002
Dollars Dollars
Corn bu. 2.45 2.62 2.86 1.90 2.13 2.48
Oats bu. 1.39 1.63 1.71 1.25 1.69 1.75
Wheat bu. 2.45 2.99 3.18 2.74 3.21 3.60
Barley 2/ bu. - 1.63 1.73 2.41 2.11 2.36
Soybeans bu. 5.11 5.67 5.47 4.85 5.35 5.65
Hay, baled ton 104.00 109.00 101.00 97.40 93.60 93.70
Potatoes cwt. 10.50 - - 7.61 10.80 8.64
Apples, fresh market 3/ cwt. - - - 17.30 20.60 24.50
Milk, wholesale cwt. 17.40 12.10 12.10 16.50 11.20 11.20
Milk cows 4/ head - 1,600.00 - - 1,670.00 -
Eggs, table market doz. .475 .485 .535 .566 .381 .439
Slaughter cows cwt. 39.30 36.20 5/ 43.10 37.40 36.10
Steers and heifers cwt. 69.90 52.90 5/ 73.50 66.60 66.30
All slaughter cattle cwt. 41.10 37.20 5/ 70.60 63.80 63.60
Calves cwt. 105.00 82.90 5/ 106.00 94.90 94.70
Hogs cwt. - - - 50.80 39.20 34.20
Lambs cwt. - - - 54.80 75.70 -
Index (1990-92=100)
    Prices received 110 100 101
    Prices paid 124 124 124
    Ratio prices received to prices paid 89 81 81
1/  Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods.
2/  Estimates began July 2002.
3/  New York price is equivalent packinghouse door.
4/  Milk cow prices published quarterly.
5/  Price available next month.

Commercial Livestock Slaughter, July 1/
Species Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight
New York United States New York United States
2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002
1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds
Cattle 3.8 4.3 2,942.5 3,187.1 4.4 4.7 3,577.3 3,977.9
Calves 12.5 17.5 83.3 95.7 1.1 1.8 25.9 27.8
Hogs 3.4 3.9 7,447.6 8,067.5 .7 .7 1,936.8 2,101.4
Sheep and lambs 1.2 1.9 243.5 257.6 .1 .2 34.2 32.6
1/  Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter.

AUGUST MILK PRODUCTION UP 3 PERCENT

Milk production in the Empire State during August totaled 1.03 billion pounds, up 3 percent from the 996 million pounds of milk produced in New York during August 2001. Both a larger milking herd and a higher output of milk per cow contributed to the increase. The 677,000 dairy cows on farms during August were up 1 percent from a year earlier. Milk per cow averaged 1,520 pounds during the month, up 40 pounds from the August 2001 output.

August milk production in the 20 major producing States totaled 12.2 billion pounds, up 3.8 percent from production in these same States during August 2001. Production per cow in the 20 major States averaged 1,568 pounds for August, 48 pounds above a year earlier. The number of cows on farms was 7.79 million head, 51,000 head more than August 2001, and 3,000 head more than July 2002.

Dairy Briefs

Item Unit New York 20 Major States
Aug
2001
Jul
2002
Aug
2002
Aug
2001
Jul
2002
Aug
2002
Milk Production Mil. lb. 996 1,052 1,029 11,754 12,306 12,205
Milk per cow Lb. 1,480 1,550 1,520 1,520 1,581 1,568
No. of milk cows Thou. hd. 673 679 677 7,735 7,783 7,786

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item Unit New York United States
Jul
2001
Jun
2002
Jul
2002
Jul
2001
Jun
2002
Jul
2002
Butter Thou. lb. 3,805 1,815 1,997 84,210 96,905 93,867
American cheese Thou. lb. 9,745 8,208 8,115 293,372 310,332 302,264
Mozzarella cheese Thou. lb. 20,522 17,417 16,217 224,953 217,961 209,550
Yogurt, plain and flavored Thou. lb. 20,286 20,994 22,580 163,316 173,820 181,357
Ice cream, hard Thou. gal. 3,246 3,000 3,000 82,043 81,127 82,557

JULY EGG PRODUCTION DOWN 8 PERCENT

Egg production on New York farms, totaled 91 million eggs in July 2002, down 8 percent from the same month a year earlier. The decrease was the result of fewer layers and a lower rate of lay. The number of hens and pullets of laying age, at 3.82 million, was down 8 percent from July 2001, while the rate of lay was down less than 1 percent to 23.85 eggs per layer.

Laying flocks in the United States produced 7.34 billion eggs during July 2002, up 2 percent from the previous July. An indication of future egg supply, chicks hatched in the U.S. during July for the purpose of egg production totaled 35.2 million, down 9 percent from July 2001. Eggs in incubators on August 1, 2002 totaled 33.2 million, up 11 percent from the August 1, 2001 total.

Poultry Briefs

Item Unit Jul
2001
Jun
2002
Jul
2002
Jul
2001
Jun
2002
Jul
2002
New York United States
Number of layers Thou. 4,129 3,807 3,816 332,231 335,028 335,269
Eggs per layer No. 23.98 23.38 23.85 21.66 21.24 21.90
Eggs produced Mil. 99 89 91 7,195 7,116 7,341
North and South Atlantic States United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 38,640 35,292 35,218
Chicks hatched, broiler type Thou. 2/ 2/ 2/ 769,449 776,397 781,421
Chicken eggs in incubators 1/
    Egg-type Thou. 9,267 9,402 8,669 29,995 32,712 33,183
    Broiler-type Thou. 249,193 250,935 251,558 637,953 641,331 645,086
1/  First day of following month.
2/  Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

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