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E-mail: nass-ny@nass.usda.gov
(518) 457-5570
NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT
Released:
September 2005
Monthly
No. 973-9-05
NEW YORK CORN, SOYBEAN PRODUCTION DOWN
Based on conditions as of September
1, New York grain corn production is now expected to total 53.2 million bushels,
down 13 percent from the 61.0 million bushels produced in 2004. Acreage for harvest
is estimated at 455,000 acres, 9 percent less than the 500,000 acres harvested
for grain last year. Yields are expected to average 117 bushels per acre, down
3 bushels from the August forecast, and 5 bushels below the 2004 forecast. US
grain corn production is forecast at 10.6 billion bushels, up 3 percent from last
month but 10 percent below 2004. If realized, this would be the second largest
crop on record. Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected
to average 143.2 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from August but 17.2 bushels
below the record high last year. Forecast yields are down from the previous
year in all Corn Belt States except Michigan and Wisconsin. Compared with
last year, the largest yield decreases are expected in Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky,
and New Jersey. Farmers expect to harvest 74.3 million acres of corn for
grain, down 50,000 acres from August but up 1 percent from 2004.
Soybean production in the Empire State is now forecast at 6.70 million bushels, down slightly from the 6.71 million bushels produced in 2004 production. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 197,000 acres, unchanged from the August forecast and 15 percent above the acreage harvested in 2004. Harvested acreage is also a record high in New York. Yields are expected to average 34 bushels per acre, down 2 bushels from August and 5 bushels down from a year earlier. US Soybean production is forecast at 2.86 billion bushels, up 2 percent from the August forecast but down 9 percent from the record crop of 2004. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.6 bushels per acre, up 0.9 bushel from August. Adequate moisture across most of the Corn Belt and the Great Plains by the end of the month was a relief for many dry areas, including most of the drought-stricken areas of Illinois and Missouri. The Delta and Southeast also received favorable moisture, maintaining good yield potential in most areas, including a record high forecast in Louisiana and a record tying forecast in South Carolina.
Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States
| Crop |
Unit |
Acres for harvest |
Yield per acre |
Production |
|||
| 2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
||
| 1,000 acres |
Units |
1,000 units |
|||||
| New York |
|||||||
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
500 |
455 |
122.0 |
117.0 |
61,000 |
53,235 |
| Wheat, winter 1/ |
bu. |
100 |
115 |
53.0 |
51.0 |
5,300 |
5,865 |
| Oats 1/ |
bu. |
50 |
80 |
65.0 |
60.0 |
3,250 |
4,800 |
| Barley |
bu. |
10 |
4/ |
53.0 |
4/ |
530 |
4/ |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
172 |
197 |
39.0 |
34.0 |
6,708 |
6,698 |
| Beans, dry 1/ 2/ |
Lbs. |
23.5 |
24.5 |
1,050 |
1,500 |
247 |
368 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
19.2 |
20.1 |
270 |
3/ |
5,184 |
3/ |
| Apples 1/ |
mil. bs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
1,280 |
1,150 |
| Grapes 1/ |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
142.0 |
160.0 |
| Pears 1/ |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
16.5 |
13.0 |
| United States |
|||||||
| Corn for grain |
bu. |
73,632 |
74,318 |
160.4 |
143.2 |
11,807,217 |
10,638,661 |
| Wheat, winter 1/ |
bu. |
34,462 |
34,271 |
43.5 |
44.4 |
1,499,434 |
1,520,848 |
| Oats 1/ |
bu. |
1,792 |
1,976 |
64.7 |
64.7 |
115,935 |
127,819 |
| Barley |
bu. |
4,021 |
3,471 |
69.4 |
68.2 |
279,253 |
236,729 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
73,958 |
72,184 |
42.5 |
39.6 |
3,140,996 |
2,856,449 |
| Beans, dry 1/ 2/ |
lbs. |
1,219.3 |
1,530.8 |
1,460 |
1,687 |
17,799 |
25,829 |
| Potatoes, summer |
cwt. |
53.9 |
48.3 |
340.0 |
334.0 |
18,307 |
16,123 |
| Potatoes, fall |
cwt. |
1,022.3 |
955.7 |
401.0 |
3/ |
410,253 |
3/ |
| Apples 1/ |
mil. lbs. |
- |
- |
- |
- |
10,419.9 |
9,837.1 |
| Grapes 1/ |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
6,231.7 |
6,800.9 |
| Pears 1/ |
ton |
- |
- |
- |
- |
890.2 |
852.9 |
| 1/ Production
forecast as of August 1. |
|||||||
2005 TURKEY OUTPUT IN NEW YORK EXPECTED TO INCREASE
New York turkey producers expect to raise an estimated 630,000 turkeys during 2005, according to USDA’S National Agricultural Statistics Service, New York office. This total will be 9 percent above the 580,000 birds raised in 2004.
The preliminary estimate of turkeys raised in the United States during 2005 is 256 million, down 3 percent from the number raised in 2004.
Minnesota expects to be the number one producing state with 44.5 million turkeys, down 2 percent from last year. North Carolina ranks second with 36.0 million, down 8 percent from 2004. Arkansas is in third place by producing 29.0 million birds, 2 percent more than a year ago. Virginia growers expect to produce 21.0 million birds in 2005, up 7 percent from 2004. Missouri at 20.5 million birds is down 5 percent from 2004. California expects to raise 15.1 million turkeys, 4 percent less than a year earlier.
CATTLE AND CALVES:
Number of cattle operations, by herd size,
New York, 2002-2004
| Year |
Herd Size |
||||
| 1-49 |
50-99 |
100-499 |
500 plus |
Total |
|
| Number of operations |
|||||
| 2002 |
8,500 |
2,800 |
3,820 |
380 |
15,500 |
| 2003 |
8,200 |
3,000 |
3,900 |
400 |
15,500 |
| 2004 |
8,100 |
2,900 |
3,900 |
400 |
15,300 |
CATTLE AND CALVES:
Percent of inventory, by herd size,
New York, 2002-2004
| Year |
Herd size |
|||
| 1-49 |
50-99 |
100-499 |
500 plus |
|
| Percent |
||||
| 2002 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
48.0 |
27.0 |
| 2003 |
11.0 |
15.0 |
46.0 |
28.0 |
| 2004 |
10.0 |
15.0 |
45.0 |
30.0 |
MILK COWS: Number of milk cow operations,
by herd size,
New York, 2002-2004
| Year |
Number of milk cows in herd |
|||||
| 1-29 |
30-49 |
50-99 |
100-199 |
200 plus |
Total |
|
| Number of operations |
||||||
| 2002 |
1,300 |
1,300 |
2,800 |
1,200 |
600 |
7,200 |
| 2003 |
1,400 |
1,300 |
2,700 |
1,100 |
600 |
7,100 |
| 2004 |
1,400 |
1,300 |
2,600 |
1,000 |
600 |
6,900 |
MILK COWS: Percent of inventory,
by herd size,
New York, 2002-2004
| Year |
1-29 |
30-49 |
50-99 |
100-199 |
200 plus |
| Percent |
|||||
| 2002 |
2.0 |
7.5 |
28.0 |
24.0 |
38.5 |
| 2003 |
2.0 |
7.5 |
27.5 |
22.0 |
41.0 |
| 2004 |
2.0 |
7.5 |
27.0 |
20.5 |
43.0 |
AUGUST PRICES DECREASE
Prices received by New York producers during August for selected commodities decreased from a month earlier. The price of wheat, hay, soybeans, milk and eggs decreased. The price of corn increased while the price of barley remained unchanged. Many previous month prices were revised due to more complete sales information.
Wheat averaged $3.32 per bushel, 1 cent less than July but 92 cents more than August 2004. Hay averaged $104.00 per ton, $8.00 less than July but $6.00 more than August a year ago. Soybeans, at $6.75 per bushel, decreased 1 cent from July and $1.11 from last year. Grain corn, at $2.50 per bushel, increased 27 cents from July but decreased 54 cents from a year ago.
Dairy farmers in the Empire State received an average of $14.90 per hundredweight of milk sold during August, down 10 cents from July and $1.00 from August a year ago. Poultry producers received an average of 29 cents per dozen eggs sold, up 6 cents from July but down 11 cents from August 2004.
The preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in August, at 117, based on 1990-92=100, decreased 1 point (0.8 percent) from July. The Crop Index is down 2 points (1.7 percent) while the Livestock Index decreased 1 point (0.8 percent). Producers received lower commodity prices for corn, soybeans, eggs, and sweet corn. Higher prices were received for lettuce, peaches, strawberries, and turkeys. The overall index is also affected by the seasonal change based on a 3-year average mix of commodities a producer sells. Increased average marketings of cattle, grapes, sweet corn, and calves offset decreased marketings of wheat, hay, milk, and broilers.
Prices Received by Farmers 1/
| Commodity |
Unit |
New York |
United States |
||||
| Aug |
Jul |
Aug |
Aug |
Jul |
Aug |
||
| Dollars |
Dollars |
||||||
| Corn |
bu. |
3.04 |
2.23 |
2.50 |
2.34 |
2.11 |
1.89 |
| Oats |
bu. |
1.67 |
- |
1.67 |
1.32 |
1.59 |
1.53 |
| Wheat |
bu. |
2.40 |
3.33 |
3.32 |
3.27 |
3.20 |
3.21 |
| Barley |
bu. |
1.90 |
1.92 |
1.92 |
2.77 |
2.38 |
2.75 |
| Soybeans |
bu. |
7.86 |
6.76 |
6.75 |
6.83 |
6.65 |
6.09 |
| Hay, baled |
ton |
98.00 |
112.00 |
104.00 |
92.20 |
99.70 |
99.70 |
| Potatoes |
cwt. |
N/A |
N/A |
11.30 |
5.77 |
8.69 |
7.51 |
| Apples, fresh market 2/ |
cwt. |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
26.80 |
15.30 |
20.20 |
| Milk, wholesale |
cwt. |
15.90 |
15.00 |
14.90 |
14.90 |
14.80 |
14.70 |
| Milk cows 3/ |
head |
4/ |
1,700.00.00 |
4/ |
4/ |
1,830.00 |
4/ |
| Eggs, table market |
doz. |
0.400 |
0.350 |
0.293 |
0.337 |
0.326 |
0.257 |
| Slaughter cows |
cwt. |
51.00 |
48.10 |
4/ |
54.70 |
53.80 |
51.90 |
| Steers and heifers |
cwt. |
73.40 |
70.80 |
4/ |
91.00 |
88.40 |
88.00 |
| All slaughter cattle |
cwt. |
52.10 |
49.40 |
4/ |
87.70 |
85.30 |
84.70 |
| Calves |
cwt. |
102.00 |
140.20 |
4/ |
131.00 |
132.00 |
131.00 |
| Hogs |
cwt. |
51.90 |
43.70 |
4/ |
55.30 |
49.80 |
50.00 |
| Lambs |
cwt. |
95.80 |
124.90 |
4/ |
97.90 |
109.00 |
4/ |
| Index (1990-92=100) |
|||||||
| Prices received |
120 |
118 |
117 |
||||
| Prices paid |
135 |
141 |
141 |
||||
| Ratio prices received to prices paid |
89 |
84 |
83 |
||||
1/ Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods.
2/ New York price is equivalent packinghouse door.
3/ Milk cow prices published quarterly.
4/ Price available next month.
Commercial Livestock Slaughter, July 1/
| Species |
Number Slaughtered |
Total Live Weight |
||||||
| New York |
United States |
New York |
United States |
|||||
| 2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
2004 |
2005 |
|
| 1,000 head |
1,000 head |
Million pounds |
Million pounds |
|||||
| Cattle |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2,787.2 |
2,718.4 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3,454.1 |
3,410.1 |
| Calves |
10.4 |
10.6 |
68.8 |
58.6 |
.9 |
2.1 |
22.3 |
20.5 |
| Hogs |
3.2 |
2.6 |
8,095.8 |
7,662.0 |
.7 |
.6 |
2,123.5 |
2,026.0 |
| Sheep and lambs |
2.2 |
2.1 |
220.9 |
200.8 |
.2 |
.2 |
28.4 |
27.0 |
| 1/ Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plants. Excludes farm slaughter. |
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AUGUST MILK PRODUCTION UP 5.5 PERCENT
New York dairy herds produced 1.035 billion pounds of milk during August. The number of milk cows averaged 647,000 head, down 7,000 head from August of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,600 pounds, up 100 pounds from the August 2004 rate.
Milk production in the 23 major States during August totaled 13.6 billion pounds, up 4.6 percent from August 2004. Production per cow in the 23 major States averaged 1,665 pounds for August, 64 pounds above August 2004. The number of milk cows on farms in the 23 major States was 8.15 million head, 52,000 head more than August 2004, and 9,000 head more than July 2005.
Dairy Briefs
| Item |
Unit |
New York |
23 Major States |
||||
| Aug |
Jul |
Aug |
Aug |
Jul |
Aug |
||
| Milk Production |
Mil. lb. |
981 |
1,035 |
1,035 |
12,970 |
13,692 |
13,573 |
| Milk per cow |
Lb. |
1,500 |
1,600 |
1,600 |
1,601 |
1,681 |
1,665 |
| No. of milk cows |
Thou. hd. |
654 |
647 |
647 |
8,102 |
8,145 |
8,154 |
Dairy Products Manufactured
| Item |
Unit |
New York |
United States |
||||
| Jul |
Jun |
Jul |
Jul |
Jun |
Jul |
||
| Butter |
Thou. lb. |
1,224 |
1,845 |
1,410 |
92,615 |
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