New York Crop and Livestock Report October 2004

Production of winter wheat, oats and barley decreased from a year ago. Lower production was primarily due to decreased acres for harvest. Winter wheat production totaled 5.30 million bushels, down 17 percent from the 6.36 million bushels produced in 2003. Yields averaged 53 bushels per acre, the same as the 2003 crop. Oat production, at 3.25 million bushels, decreased 26 percent from the 4.41 million bushels produced last year. Production of barley in New York totaled 530,000 bushels, down 12 percent from a year ago. Acreage for harvest at 10,000 acres, was down 23 percent.

United States production of winter wheat totaled 2.16 billion bushels in 2004, up 2 percent from the last forecast but 8 percent below 2003. U.S. oat production is estimated at 117 million bushels, 9 percent below the August 1 forecast and 19 percent below last year's 144 million bushels. Barley production is estimated at 280 million bushels, up 3 percent from the August 1 forecast and up 1 percent from last year.

New York soybean production is expected to total 6.23 million bushels, up 29 percent from 2003. Yields are forecast at 36 bushels per acre, 3 bushels above last year. U.S. soybean output is forecast at 3.11 billion bushels, up 10 percent from the September forecast and 27 percent above 2003. If realized, this would be the largest crop on record. Yields are expected to average a record high 42.0 bushels per acre, up 3.5 bushels from September.

Crop	Unit	Acres for harvest		Yield per acre		Production
Crop	Unit	2003	2004	2003	2004	2003	2004
		1,000 acres		Units		1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain	bu.	440	450	121.0	121.0	53,240	54,450
Wheat, winter	bu.	120	100	53.0	53.0	6,360	5,300
Oats	bu.	70	50	63.0	65.0	4,410	3,250
Barley	bu.	13	10	50.0	53.0	650	530
Rye	bu.	8	9	33.0	43.0	264	387
Soybeans	bu.	138	173	35.0	36.0	4,830	6,228
Beans, dry 1/	lbs.	24.0	23.5	1,860.0	1,500.0	446	353
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	21.7	19.7	300	2/	6,510	2/
Hay, alfalfa	ton	600	500	2.80	3.00	1,680	1,500
Hay, other	ton	1,250	1,150	1.60	2.00		2,300
Apples	mil. lbs.	-	-	-	-		1,070
Grapes	ton	-	-	-	-		145.0
Peaches	mil. lb.	-	-	-	-		11.0
Pears	ton	-	-	-	-		15.5

United States
Corn for grain	bu.	71,139	73,311	142.2	158.4	10,113,887	11,613,226
Wheat, winter	bu.	36,753	34,462	46.7	43.5	1,716,748	1,499,434
Oats	bu.	2,220	1,807	65.0	64.5	144,383	116,505
Barley	bu.	4,727	4,031	58.9	69.5	278,283	280,103
Rye	bu.	319	320	27.1	26.9	8,634	8,615
Soybeans	bu.	72,476	73,990	33.9	38.5	2,453,655	3,106,861
Beans, dry 1/	lbs.	1,346.9	1,250.1	1,672.0	1,495.0	22,515	18,693
Potatoes, fall	cwt.	1,248.6	1,163.6	367.0	2/	457,814	2/
Hay, alfalfa	ton	23,578	22,226	3.2	3.5	76,307	77,371
Hay, other	ton	39,764	39,363	2.03	2.25	80,816	88,549
Apples	mil. lbs.	-	-	-	-	8,613.3	9,458.9
Grapes	ton	-	-	-	-	6,572.7	6,073.0
Peaches	mil. lb.	-	-	-	-	2,519.0	2,598.0
Pears	ton	-	-	-	-	928,050.0	908,040.0

1/Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis). 2/First forecast released November 12.

New York net farm income increased 54 percent in 2003 to $597 million. The value of livestock production decreased 3 percent to $1.89 billion and the value of crop output increased 8 percent to $1.31 billion. The value of purchased inputs decreased 5 percent to $1.82 billion while the value of direct government payments increased 2 percent to $161 million.

Item		1999	2000	2001	2002	2003
		1,000 dollars
	Value of crop production	1,124,227	1,155,984	1,226,139	1,218,091	1,313,728

	Value of livestock production	2,052,721	1,862,414	2,236,519	1,945,233	1,890,768

	Revenues from services and forestry	303,677	367,516	296,734	346,508	376,853

	Value of agricultural sector production	3,480,625	3,385,914	3,759,392	3,509,832	3,581,349

less:	Purchased inputs	1,789,107	1,742,269	1,854,174	1,927,328	1,824,250

	Farm origin	620,793	604,396	639,801	685,452	629,109

	Manufactured inputs	368,868	402,902	415,021	393,851	376,328

	Other purchased inputs	799,446	734,971	799,352	848,025	818,813

plus:	Net government transactions	(70,093)	(22,339)	(68,439)	19	(9,621)

+	Direct Government payments	120,397	159,876	114,039	158,174	160,965
-	Motor vehicle registration and licensing fees	5,648	7,481	5,966	5,853	6,946
-	Property taxes	184,842	174,734	176,512	152,302	163,640

	Gross value added	1,621,425	1,621,306	1,836,779	1,582,523	1,747,478

less:	Capital consumption	382,765	390,172	398,223	401,726	400,471

	Net value added	1,238,660	1,231,134	1,438,556	1,180,797	1,347,007

less:	Payments to stakeholders	588,387	661,764	651,568	794,020	749,805

	Net farm income	650,273	569,370	786,988	386,777	597,202

More information on farm income is available at www.ers.usda.gov/data/farmincome

	On Farms			Total in All Positions
	Sep 1, 2003	Jun 1, 2004	Sep 1, 2004	Sep 1, 2003	Jun 1, 2004	Sep 1, 2004
	1,000 bushels			1,000 bushels

Corn (old crop)	484,900	1,540,000	438,000	1,086,673	2,970,140	957,672
Sorghum (old crop)	4,500	7,650	3,700	43,030	80,594	33,555
All Wheat	687,320	131,880	795,600	2,038,972	546,819	1,941,715
Oats	82,100	27,500	74,800	131,737	64,848	116,254
Soybeans	58,000	110,000	29,400	178,329	410,604	112,489
Barley	141,900	28,320	176,500	241,630	<

	The USDA NASS New York Field Office "Fact Finders for Agriculture"
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