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NEW YORK CROP
AND LIVESTOCK REPORT

In this issue:
Released: November 2001
Monthly
No. 973-11-01

NEW YORK GRAIN CORN AND SOYBEANS UP

New York grain corn production is forecast at 55.6 million bushels, up 18 percent from last year's output. Production rose due to increases in both the number of acres harvested and yield per acre. Acreage for harvest is expected to total 540 thousand acres, up 13 percent from a year earlier. Yields are expected to average 103 bushels per acre, 5 bushels more than in 2000. U.S. corn production is forecast at 9.55 billion bushels, up 1 percent from October but down 4 percent from 2000. Based on conditions as of November 1, yields are expected to average 138.0 bushels per acre, up 1.7 bushels from October. If realized, this would be the fourth largest production and second highest yield on record. Yield prospects in Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Wisconsin remained high despite heavy October precipitation that slowed harvest.

Soybean production in New York is forecast at 4.69 million bushels, up 8 percent from last year. Acreage harvested for beans is expected to total 138 thousand acres, up 5 percent from a year earlier. Yields are expected to average 34.0 bushels per acre, up 1 bushel from 2000. U.S. soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.92 billion bushels, up 1 percent from October 1, and 6 percent above 2000. Based on November 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 39.4 bushels per acre, up 0.2 bushel from last month and 1.3 bushels above 2000. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 74.1 million acres, unchanged from last month but up 2 percent from 2000. Yield increases in the Great Plains and Mississippi Valley more than offset yield decreases in the northern mid-Atlantic States and Ohio.

Acreage, Yield and Production of Crops, New York and United States

Crop Unit Acres for harvest Yield per acre Production
1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001
1,000 acres Units 1,000 units
New York
Corn for grain bu. 590 480 540 101.0 98.0 103.0 59,590 47,040 55,620
Wheat, winter bu. 125 140 120 65.0 53.0 53.0 8,125 7,420 6,360
Oats bu. 70 60 80 68.0 65.0 69.0 4,760 3,900 5,520
Barley bu. 17 10 12 57.0 58.0 51.0 969 580 612
Rye bu. 15 7 7 38.0 40.0 27.0 570 280 189
Soybeans bu. 128 132 138 37.0 33.0 34.0 4,736 4,356 4,692
Beans, dry 1/ lbs. 30.2 24.5 22.5 1,370 1,460 1,100 414 358 248
Potatoes, fall cwt. 22.5 21.3 23.3 265 280 255 6,758 5,964 5,942
Hay, alfalfa ton 550 420 460 2.30 2.40 3.10 1,265 1,008 1,426
Hay, all ton 1,500 1,520 1,660 1.98 2.04 2.25 2,975 3,098 4,066
Apples mil. lbs. - - - - - - 1,260.0 995.0 1,000.0
Grapes ton - - - - - - 205,000 154,000 141,000
Peaches mil. lb. - - - - - - 14.0 12.0 13.0
Pears ton - - - - - - 12,500 14,500 10,000
United States
Corn for grain bu. 70,487 72,732 69,191 133.8 137.1 138.0 9,430,612 9,968,358 9,545,513
Wheat, winter bu. 35,486 35,072 31,295 47.8 44.7 43.5 1,696,580 1,566,023 1,361,479
Oats bu. 2,453 2,329 1,905 59.6 64.2 61.3 146,193 149,545 116,856
Barley bu. 4,734 5,213 4,289 59.2 61.1 58.2 280,292 318,728 249,590
Rye bu. 383 296 255 28.8 28.3 27.3 11,038 8,386 6,971
Soybeans bu. 72,446 72,408 74,137 36.6 38.1 39.4 2,653,758 2,757,810 2,922,914
Beans, dry 1/ lbs. 1,877.0 1,606.4 1,317.3 1,763 1,646 1,472 33,085 26,440 19,396
Potatoes, fall cwt. 1,166.1 1,197.2 1,089.2 369 392 367 429,847 467,504 400,730
Hay, alfalfa ton 24,055 23,077 23,750 3.51 3.48 3.44 84,385 80,347 81,628
Hay, all ton 63,220 59,854 63,833 2.53 2.54 2.54 159,707 152,183 162,303
Apples mil. lbs. - - - - - - 10,630.7 10,648.7 9,560.4
Grapes ton - - - - - - 6,236,260 7,657,970 6,471,900
Peaches mil. lb. - - - - - - 2,525.6 2,599.8 2,537.3
Pears ton - - - - - - 1,015,450 967,150 915,500
1/  Production in 100 lb. bags (cleaned basis).

NEW YORK POTATO PRODUCTION DOWN

Production of fall potatoes in New York for 2001 is estimated at 5.94 million hundredweight (cwt.), down fractionally from a year ago. Yields are expected to average 255 cwt. per acre, compared with 280 cwt. per acre last year. This would be the lowest yield since 1991. Acreage for harvest is estimated at 23.3 thousand acres, up 9 percent from a year earlier.

U.S. FALL POTATO DOWN

U.S. production of fall potatoes for 2001 is forecast at 401 million cwt., down 14 percent from last year and the smallest crop since 1993. Area harvested, at 1.09 million acres, is down 8 percent from last year. The average yield is forecast at 367 cwt. per acre, a drop of 25 cwt. from a year earlier. After a record high production last year, the fall potato crop is smaller in 20 of the 22 fall producing States. Only Indiana and Massachusetts have larger crops this year.


Farm Real Estate Average Value per Acre,
Selected States and United States,
January 1, 1997-2001
State
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Dollars
New York 1,250 1,280 1,340 1,410 1,500
Massachusetts 5,150 5,210 5,500 5,900 6,000
New Hampshire 2,250 2,250 2,250 2,300 2,400
New Jersey 7,100 7,000 7,000 7,100 7,400
Pennsylvania 2,300 2,390 2,500 2,720 2,840
48 States 926 974 1,020 1,080 1,130

Cash Rent Per Acre: Selected States,
1999-2001
State
Cropland Rented
for Cash
Pasture Rented
for Cash
1999 2000 2001 1999 2000 2001
Dollars
New York 31.00 32.00 33.00 1/ 1/ 1/
Pennsylvania 41.00 40.00 42.00 36.00 32.00 32.00
New Jersey 53.10 51.00 47.00 - - -
48 States 67.50 70.00 71.00 8.90 8.50 9.20
1/ Insufficient data.


OCTOBER PRICES RECEIVED MOSTLY HIGHER

Prices received by New York farmers during October for selected agricultural commodities were mostly higher compared with a month earlier. Prices for corn, oats, wheat, hay, apples, and eggs increased while prices for soybeans, potatoes, and milk declined.

Grain corn prices averaged $2.44 per bushel, up 22 cents from September and 24 cents above October 2000. Oats, at $1.40 per bushel, were up 7 cents from a month earlier and 6 cents above a year ago. Wheat averaged $2.61 per bushel, up 12 cents from September and 81 cents above last October. Soybeans returned $4.38 per bushel, down 43 cents from a month earlier. Hay prices averaged $100.00 per ton baled, up $6.00 from September but $20.00 less than October 2000. Potato prices declined 30 cents from a month earlier, averaging $10.40 per hundredweight (cwt.). Prices for fresh market apples at the packinghouse door averaged $19.70 per cwt., up $6.10 from September but 60 cents less than a year ago.

Empire State dairy farmers received an average of $17.40 per cwt. of milk sold during October, down 40 cents from the previous month but $3.90 above last October. Dairy herd replacements returned an average of $1,600.00 per head compared with $1,250.00 in October 2000. Poultry producers received an average of 48.8 cents per dozen eggs sold during the month, up 3.6 cents from September but 13.0 cents less than a year earlier.

At the National level, the preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received by Farmers in October was 95 based on 1990-92=100, down a record 10 points (9.5 percent) from the September Index. When compared to the historical base of 1910-1914, the index shows a 66 point decline, becoming the largest month-to-month decrease in recorded history. The previous record one-month decline was 57 points, and occurred between the months of August and September, 1973. A significant downturn in prices for lettuce, milk, soybeans, hogs, corn, broilers, and cattle combined with seasonal shifts in marketing set the stage for the monthly downturn in the index. When compared with October 2000, however, the Index was still 2 points higher. Price increases from October 2000 for milk, broilers, feed grains, fruits, and potatoes more than offset decreases in oilseeds, cotton, vegetables, and eggs.

Prices Received by Farmers 1/

Commodity
Unit New York United States
Oct
2000
Sep
2001
Oct
2001
Oct
2000
Sep
2001
Oct 
2001
Dollars Dollars
Corn bu. 2.20 2.22 2.44 1.74 1.91 1.79
Oats bu. 1.34 1.33 1.40 1.08 1.39 1.55
Wheat bu. 1.80 2.49 2.61 2.68 2.85 2.86
Soybeans 2/ -- 4.81 4.38 4.45 4.53 4.10
Hay, baled ton 120.00 94.00 100.00 84.90 98.60 99.40
Potatoes cwt. 8.70 10.70 10.40 4.32 6.05 5.50
Apples, fresh market 3/ cwt. 20.30 13.60 19.70 21.80 18.70 24.20
Milk, wholesale cwt. 13.50 17.80 17.40 12.50 17.00 16.20
Milk cows 4/ head 1,250.00 - 1,600.00 1,350.00 - 1,700.00
Eggs, table market doz. 0.618 0.452 0.488 0.510 0.376 0.446
Slaughter cows cwt. 34.30 36.80 5/ 36.20 40.90 38.50
Steers and heifers cwt. 57.30 69.90 5/ 70.50 72.10 70.80
All slaughter cattle cwt. 36.60 39.40 5/ 66.70 69.00 67.50
Calves cwt. 102.00 109.00 5/ 102.00 106.00 101.00
Hogs cwt. - - - 41.40 45.10 41.00
Lambs cwt. - - - 76.80 53.40 --
Index (1990-92=100)
    Prices received 93 105 95
    Prices paid 121 123 123
    Ratio prices received to prices paid 77 85 77
1/  Mid-month price for current month. Average price for entire month shown for previous periods.
2/  Estimates for New York began November 2000.
3/  New York price is equivalent packinghouse door.
4/  Milk cow prices published quarterly.
5/  Price available next month.


Commercial Livestock Slaughter, September 1/
Species Number Slaughtered Total Live Weight
New York United States New York United States
2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001 2000 2001
1,000 head 1,000 head Million pounds Million pounds
Cattle 5.4 3.7 3,034.5 2,807.3 5.7 4.3 3,734.2 3,481.3
Calves 14.1 10.8 93.5 78.6 1.1 .9 27.4 24.6
Hogs 3.9 3.3 8,118.4 7,810.5 1.0 .6 2,104.1 2,045.4
Sheep and lambs 1.5 1.3 269.5 243.3 .2 .1 35.1 32.9
1/  Slaughter in federal and non-federal inspected plans. Excludes farm slaughter.


OCTOBER MILK PRODUCTION UP

New York dairy herds produced 978 million pounds of milk during October, up 1.5 percent from the October 2000 level. The increase was the result of a larger rate per cow. The number of milk cows totaled 670,000, down 4,000 head from October of the previous year. Milk per cow averaged 1,460 pounds, up 2 percent from October 2000.

Milk production in the 20 major states during October totaled 11.8 billion pounds, down 0.2 percent from production in these same states during October 2000. Production per cow averaged 1,526 pounds for October, 15 pounds above October 2000. The number of cows on farms in the 20 major states was 7.72 million head, 95,000 head less than October 2000, and 1,000 head less than September 2001.

Dairy Briefs

Item Unit New York 20 Major States
Oct
2000
Sep
2001
Oct
2001
Oct
2000
Sep
2001
Oct
2001
Milk Production Mil. lb. 964 958 978 11,813 11,387 11,785
Milk per cow Lb. 1,430 1,430 1,460 1,511 1,474 1,526
No. of milk cows 1,000 hd. 674 670 670 7,817 7,723 7,722

Dairy Products Manufactured

Item Unit New York United States
Sep
2000
Aug
2001
Sep
2001
Sep
2000
Aug
2001
Sep
2001
Butter 1,000 lb. 1,223 1,154 2,218 89,881 76,813 88,760
American cheese 1,000 lb. 5,867 7,639 7,727 275,847 285,861 283,304
Mozzarella cheese 1,000 lb. 20,015 20,065 18,876 214,408 211,037 210,878
Yogurt, plain & flavored 1,000 lb. 20,553 20,703 19,959 172,085 165,457 180,462
Ice cream, hard 1,000 gal. 2,168 2,700 2,000 68,350 79,866 70,530


NEW YORK EGG PRODUCTION FOR SEPTEMBER
UNCHANGED FROM LAST YEAR

Egg production on farms across New York State in September totaled 93 million eggs, unchanged from a year earlier. An increase in the egg laying rate was offset by a lower number of layers.

Laying flocks in the United States produced 7.04 billion eggs during September 2001, up 3 percent from the 6.85 billion produced a year ago. An indication of future egg supply, egg type chicks hatched in the U.S. during September totaled 36.6 million, up 1 percent from a year earlier. The 32.3 million eggs in incubators on October 1, 2001, were up 5 percent from a year ago.

Poultry Briefs

Item Unit Sep
2000
Aug
2001
Sep
2001
Sep
2000
Aug
2001
Sep
2001
New York United States
Number of layers 1,000 4,086 3,985 4,078 326,237 332,204 334,526
Eggs per layer No. 22.76 24.09 22.81 21.01 21.69 21.04
Eggs produced Mil. 93 96 93 6,854 7,207 7,037
North and South Atlantic States United States
Chicks hatched, egg-type 1,000 2/ 2/ 2/ 36,316 35,162 36,594
Chicks hatched, broiler type 1,000 2/ 2/ 2/ 702,625 761,233 729,962
Chicken eggs in incubators1/
    Egg-type 1,000 8,864 10,815 9,333 30,797 33,421 32,330
    Broiler-type 1,000 232,158 236,710 237,563 585,831 629,935 608,018
1/  First day of following month.
2/  Data not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.

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