ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: January 13, 2000 IFR-00-01
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 21, NO. 1
Highlights
Grain Stocks
Hogs and Pigs
Agricultural Prices
Winter Wheat Seedings


DECEMBER 1 - GRAIN STOCKS

Illinois corn stocks on December 1, 1999 totaled 1.43 billion bushels. This was five percent above a year earlier and the highest level since 1.46 billion bushels were stored December 1, 1994. On-farm stocks, at 790 million bushels, accounted for 55 percent of the total stocks. Off-farm stocks, at 635.8 million bushels, increased nearly ten percent from a year earlier. Soybean stocks were at a record high with 435.2 million bushels stored in all positions on December 1, 1999. This was slightly larger than the previous record high of 431.8 million bushels stored December 1, 1998. Of the total stocks, 225 million bushels were stored on farms, four percent less than a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 210.2 million bushels, were up six percent from a year earlier. Wheat stocks totaled 39.4 million bushels on December 1, 1999. This was an increase of 11 percent from 1998 and the highest December level since 42.2 million bushels were stored in 1983. Off-farm stocks at 33.8 million bushels, accounted for 86 percent of the state total.

U.S. corn stocks in all positions on December 1, 1999 totaled 8.02 billion bushels, down slightly from December 1, 1998. Of the total stocks, 5.18 billion bushels were stored on farms, down three percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 2.84 billion bushels, were up four percent from a year ago. The September-November 1999 indicated disappearance was 3.20 billion bushels, six percent above the disappearance of 3.01 billion bushels during the same period a year earlier. Soybeans stored in all positions on December 1, 1999 totaled 2.18 billion bushels, down fractionally from December 1, 1998. On-farm stocks estimated at 1.15 billion bushels were down three percent from the same period a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 1.03 billion bushels, were three percent higher than December 1, 1998. Indicated disappearance for the September-November 1999 quarter totaled 809 million bushels, up seven percent from the same quarter in 1998. All wheat in all storage positions December 1, 1999 totaled 1.88 billion bushels, down one percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks were 649 million bushels and off-farm stocks equaled 1.23 billion bushels. The on-farm number was down five percent while the off-farm was up one percent. The indicated September-November 1999 disappearance of 566 million bushels was up 16 percent from the same period in 1998.

GRAIN AND HAY STOCKS - DECEMBER 1
Crop and position 1/ Illinois United States
1998 1999 1998 1999
 

Thousand bushels

Corn   
   On farms 780,000 790,000 5,320,000 5,180,000
   Off farms 580,648 635,781 2,731,846 2,839,860
   Total 1,360,648 1,425,781 8,051,846 8,019,860
Soybeans
   On farms 234,000 225,000 1,187,000 1,150,000
   Off farms 197,832 210,239 999,440 1,032,192
   Total 431,832 435,239 2,186,440 2,182,192
All Wheat
   On farms 2,900 5,600 680,200 648,800
   Off farms 32,578 33,799 1,215,481 1,230,184
   Total 35,478 39,399 1,895,681 1,878,984
Oats
   On farms * * 81,500 82,100
   Off farms 882 569 61,835 53,973
   Total * * 143,335 136,073
Sorghum
   On farms * * 95,900 89,300
   Off farms 2,064 2,126 239,416 259,264
   Total * * 335,316 348,564
Barley
   On farms 2/ 2/ 149,000 108,600
   Off farms * * 121,535 119,996
   Total * * 270,535 228,596
Hay 3/
   On farms 2,100 1,600 111,839 108,668
1/ Off farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals and processors.
2/ Estimate discontinued.
3/ 1,000 tons
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.


HOGS AND PIGS

The number of hogs and pigs in Illinois on December 1, 1999 was 4.1 million, 15 percent less than were on hand on December 1, 1998 and 13 percent below December 1, 1997. This was down two percent from the number on hand on September 1, 1999 and the lowest inventory on record since December 1937. Breeding hogs on hand December 1, 1999 were estimated at 420 thousand head, down 21 percent from a year earlier. Market hogs, at 3.68 million head, were down 15 percent from a year earlier.

The pig crop during September, October and November of 1999 was 1.763 million, down 13 percent from the same period in 1998 and down 13 percent from the same period in 1997. There were 205 thousand sows that farrowed, 30 thousand fewer than a year earlier. The litter rate for the quarter averaged 8.6 pigs saved per litter, equal to the level attained last quarter and last year for this time period.

Farrowing intentions for the December 1, 1999 through February 1, 2000 quarter is 190 thousand, 20 thousand sows fewer than actual farrowings during the same period a year earlier. The first estimate of intentions for the March through May quarter of 2000 is for 180 thousand sows to farrow, 30 thousand fewer than in the same quarter in 1999.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 1999, was 59.4 million head. This was four percent below December 1998, and two percent below September 1, 1999. Breeding inventory, at 6.24 million head, was down seven percent from December 1, 1998, and down one percent from September 1, 1999. Market hog inventory, at 53.2 million head, was four percent below last year, and two percent below last quarter.

The September-November 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 25.2 million head, was three percent less than 1998, and one percent less than 1997. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.87 million head, four percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average of 8.78 pigs saved per litter for the September-November period, compared to 8.66 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.40 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 8.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.81 million sows farrow during the December 1999-February 2000 quarter, three percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1999, and four percent below 1998. Intended farrowings for March-May 2000, at 2.83 million sows, are five percent below the same period last year and eight percent below 1998.

The number of hog operations with hogs totaled 98,460 during 1999, down 14 percent from last year and 19 percent below 1997. Places with 2,000 or more hogs on hand accounted for seven percent of the operations and 69 percent of the inventory. This is the fourth time operations with inventories over 2,000 head have controlled over 50 percent of the total inventory. The number of operations with over 5,000 head of inventory at 2,005 accounted for 46.5 percent of the total inventory, up from 42 percent a year ago. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by these over 5,000 head operations, but raised by contractees, accounted for 32 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory up from 23 percent last year.

HOGS & PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, DECEMBER 1, 1998-99

  Illinois Iowa United States



1998


1999
1999 as % of 1998



1998


1999
1999 as % of 1998



1998


1999
1999 as
%
of
1998
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
Breeding 530 420 79 1,260 1,160 92 6,682 6,244 93
 
Market 4,320 3,680 85 14,040 14,240 101 55,523 53,164 96
Under 60 lbs. 1,550 1,280 83 4,400 4,410 100 20,140 19,298 96
60-119 lbs. 1,050 940 90 3,700 3,720 101 13,631 13,106 96
120-179 lbs. 920 800 87 3,120 3,210 103 11,585 11,073 96
180 lbs. & over 800 660 83 2,820 2,900 103 10,168 9,687 95
 
Total 4,850 4,100 85 15,300 15,400 101 62,206 59,407 96

HOGS & PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States


1998


1999
1999 as % of 1998

1998


1999
1999 as % of 1998

1998


1999
1999 as % of 1998
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
Sows Farrowing
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 210 190   2/ 90 480 490  2/ 102 2,891 2,810   2/ 97
Mar.-May 1/ 210 180   2/ 86 520 490   2/ 94 2,986 2,832   2/ 95
Jun.-Aug. 230 200       87 530 490      92 3,054 2,920       96
Sep.-Nov. 235 205       87 510 500      98 2,993 2,869       96
 
Pig Crop
Jun.-Aug. 1,978 1,720       87 4,638 4,410      95 26,634 25,860      97
Sep.-Nov. 2,021 1,763       87 4,437 4,450      100 25,902 25,192      97
 
Pigs Per Litter
Jun.-Aug. 8.60 8.60      -- 8.75 9.00      -- 8.72 8.86      --
Sep.-Nov. 8.60 8.60      -- 8.70 8.90      -- 8.66 8.78      --
1/ February and March through May of following year.
2/ Intentions.

AGRICULTURAL PRICES

December prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities decreased two points from last month and was at 73 percent of the base. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The December all crops index, at 67 percent of the base, was four points less than the revised November figure and 18 points less than December 1998. Prices decreased for corn, soybeans and hay, while the price of wheat and sorghum increased. The all livestock index increased one point from the previous month and was at 90 percent of the base. This was 25 points more than December 1998. The price of hogs, calves and beef cattle increased while the price of milk decreased. The hog-corn ratio increased to 18.4.

The U.S. preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in December was 91 based on 1990-92=100, down two points from the November index. Lower prices for milk, soybeans, wheat and oranges more than offset price increases for lettuce, hogs, calves and corn. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell also affects the overall index. Lower seasonal marketings of cattle, grapes, soybeans and corn more than offset the relatively higher marketings of tobacco, wheat, milk and broilers. These marketing changes account for about one-half point of the December index decrease. Compared with December 1998, the All Farm Products Index was seven points lower. Price decreases from December 1998 for milk, cotton, soybeans and corn more than offset price increases for hogs, cattle, lettuce and apples.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS


Commodity
Nov.
1998
Dec.
1998
Nov.
1999
Dec. 15,
1999
ILLINOIS 1992-96=100 1993-97=100
All Farm Products 81 79 75* 73
All Crops 86 85 71* 67
Food grains 64 61 59* 58
Feed grains/hay 84 84 71* 68
Soybeans 90 88 71* 67
All Livestock 69 65 89* 90
Meat animals 58 52 86* 89
Dairy products 126 132 104* 94
 
UNITED STATES

1990-92=100

Prices Received 99 98 93* 91
All Crops 101 100 89* 88
Food grains 105 101 89* 83
Feed grains/hay 86 89 77* 78
Oilseeds 101 102 82* 79
All Livestock 97 97 98* 95
Meat animals 72 66 87* 87
Dairy products 136 139 109* 95
Prices Paid 114 114 117* 117
Parity Ratio 1/ 87 86 79* 78
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/



Commodity


Unit
Illinois United States
Nov.
1998
Dec.
1998
Nov.
1999
Dec. 15,
1999
Nov.
1998
Dec.
1998
Nov.
1999
Dec. 15,
1999
   

Dollars

Corn Bushels 2.03 2.13 1.81* 1.80 1.93 2.00 1.70* 1.72
Soybeans Bushels 5.46 5.57 4.55* 4.45 5.39 5.37 4.45* 4.29
Sorghum Cwt. 3.41 3.49 2.97* 3.10 3.05 2.94 2.58* 2.60
Wheat, all Bushels 2.33 2.31 2.12* 2.15 2.95 2.86 2.66* 2.43
Oats Bushels 1.52 1.55 3/   3/ 1.10 1.19 1.11* 1.13
Hay, all baled Tons 87.00 87.00 83.00   82.00 81.40 77.50 74.00* 71.10
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 92.00 91.00 88.00   87.00 84.40 79.70 77.30* 73.20
Other hay, bld Tons 68.00 69.00 65.00   64.00 72.00 71.10

64.80*

65.90
Hogs, all Cwt. 16.20 12.40 31.60* 33.10 18.80 14.70 33.40* 35.40
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 16.40 12.60 32.40* 33.80 19.00 14.80 33.80* 35.80
Sows Cwt. 13.70 9.70 22.90* 24.80 15.50 12.10 24.80* 25.60
Beef cattle Cwt. 58.20 57.40 66.50* 68.00 58.10 56.80 66.20* 66.40
Cows Cwt. 28.70 28.70 32.80   33.30 29.70 30.80 33.60* 34.70
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 58.80 58.00 67.20* 68.70 62.30 60.30 70.90* 70.80
Calves Cwt. 95.00 95.00 111.00* 112.00 77.50 80.20 93.00* 97.80
Milk cows Head 2/ 2/ 2/   2/ 2/ 2/ 2/* 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 17.10 18.10 14.40* 12.90 17.80 18.00 14.30* 12.40
Milk, fluid Cwt. 17.10 18.10 14.50   3/ 17.80 18.10 14.40* 12.40
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 18.00 18.30 12.00   3/ 17.30 17.40 11.00* 10.70
Hog-corn ratio   8.0 5.8 17.5* 18.4 9.7 7.4 19.6* 20.6
1/ Prices received represents the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.

WINTER WHEAT - FALL SEEDINGS

In Illinois, an estimated 950 thousand acres of winter wheat was seeded in the fall of 1999. This was ten percent less than in 1998 and the lowest acreage since 850 thousand acres were seeded in the fall of 1984. The condition of the crop as of December 29, 1999 was rated two percent very poor, 14 percent poor, 48 percent fair, 32 percent good and four percent excellent.

U.S. winter wheat planted for harvest in 2000 was estimated at 42.9 million acres. This was down one percent from 1999 and the lowest level since 1972. Seeding started last August in the Pacific Northwest, some Mountain states and Minnesota. Progress moved steadily forward through the fall, only slowing in some locations as farmers waited for rain. About 98 percent of the U.S. acreage was seeded by December 1. Most remaining intended area is in the Southeast, California and Texas.

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World Wide Web

The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

http://www.usda.gov/nass/

There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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