ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: July 13, 2000 IFR-00-10
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 21, NO. 10

Highlights
July Crop Report
Layers & Egg Production
Agricultural Prices
Agricultural Export Shares


JULY CROP REPORT

The Illinois wheat yield for the 2000 crop is now estimated to average 56 bushels per acre based on July surveys, up one bushel from the June forecast. This is four bushels below the yield attained in 1999 and five bushels below the record yield in 1997. With a yield of 56 bushels per acre, production would be 50.96 million bushels, 16 percent below the 1999 production. Acreage expected to be harvested for grain at 910 thousand acres is down ten percent from the acreage harvested for grain in 1999. By July 2, 71 percent of the crop was harvested which compares to 66 percent last year and the five-year average of 46 percent.

Production of oats in Illinois for 2000 is estimated at 4.38 million bushels, three percent above 1999. Acreage to be harvested for grain, at 60 thousand acres, is unchanged from last year. The yield is estimated at 73 bushels per acre, two bushels above last year's average yield. As of July 2, 14 percent of the crop was ripe compared to ten percent last year and the five-year average of four percent.

The Illinois peach crop for 2000 is estimated at 19 million pounds. This year's forecast is unchanged from last year.

ACREAGE & PRODUCTION

Crop
Illinois United States
1999 2000 1999 2000
 

Acreage and production in thousands

Winter Wheat
Acres 1/ 1,010 910 35,572 35,401
Yield, bu. 60.0 56.0 47.8 44.9
Production 60,600 50,960 1,699,989 1,588,376
 
Oats, Grain
Acres 1/ 60 60 2,453 2,472
Yield, bu. 71.0 73.0 59.6 61.2
Production 4,260 4,380 146,218 151,380
Potatoes (Summer)
Acres 1/ 4.7 5.3 63.9 62.7
Yield, cwt. 350 300 295 289
Production 1,645 1,590 18,865 18,102
 
Peaches
Production 19.0 19.0 2,513.4 2,668.1
1/ Harvested acres.

WINTER WHEAT, 1999-2000

District
Acres planted Acres for harvest Yield Production
1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000
 

1,000 acres

1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels
Northwest 20 21 18 20 67 61 1,206 1,215
Northeast 33 36 32 35 71 53 2,272 1,855
West 52 48 50 44 61 57 3,050 2,508
Central 29 36 28 35 65 56 1,820 1,960
East 29 49 28 47 78 65 2,184 3,055
West Southwest 179 165 174 160 62 59 10,788 9,440
East Southeast 205 200 198 194 57 63 11,286 12,222
Southwest 349 280 334 265 59 49 19,706 12,985
Southeast 154 115 148 110 56 52 8,288 5,720
ILLINOIS 1,050 950 1,010 910 60 56 60,600 50,960

U.S. CROP PRODUCTION

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.59 billion bushels. This is down two percent from last month and down seven percent from 1999. The U.S. yield is forecast at 44.9 bushels per acre, down 1.8 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 887 million bushels, is down six percent from a month ago. White Winter is up for the second consecutive month and now totals 235 million bushels. Soft Red Winter is up four percent from the last forecast, at 467 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 128 million bushels, up 29 percent from 1999. The U.S. yield is forecast at 32.2 bushels per acre, 4.4 bushels more than last year. Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 526 million bushels, up five percent from 1999. The U.S. yield is forecast at 34.9 bushels per acre, 0.8 bushels higher than last year. Of this total, 470 million is Hard Red Spring wheat, up five percent from last season.

Winter Wheat acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 35.4 million, down slightly from 1999. Harvest progress in the 18 major producing states had reached 65 percent completion by July 2. This was more than 20 points ahead of both last year and the normal pace.

Yield declines are forecast in all of the major Hard Red Wheat (HRW) States. Forecasted head counts from the Objective Yield surveys in the six HRW States (Colorado, Kansas, Montana, Nebraska, Oklahoma and Texas) are down slightly from last month, while weight per head is down a collective four percent. Above average rainfall during June caused some harvest delay in Oklahoma. Harvest has progressed rapidly in Kansas and Nebraska.

Harvested yields were better than previously expected in the Soft Red Wheat (SRW) States. Arkansas, Georgia, Indiana, Mississippi and Pennsylvania now expect record highs. These states joined Ohio where a record had been forecast a month ago. Collective head count forecasts are virtually unchanged in the SRW Objective Yield States (Illinois, Missouri and Ohio), but average weight per head is up eight percent from a month ago.

SOYBEANS: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED FOLLOWING ANOTHER CROP 1/

State 1997 1998 1999 2000
Alabama 21 26 36 26
Arkansas 23 25 23 28
Delaware 60 43 31 49
Florida 27 15 0 39
Georgia 44 42 44 32
ILLINOIS 5 5 5 4
Indiana 5 4 2 2
Kansas 1 2 2 3
Kentucky 34 51 36 37
Louisiana 7 6 6 13
Maryland 48 33 33 36
Mississippi 8 5 9 9
Missouri 9 13 7 9
New Jersey 33 21 33 25
N. Carolina 43 44 50 39
Ohio 1 1 1 1
Oklahoma 26 11 16 19
Pennsylvania 26 18 16 6
S. Carolina 66 48 45 38
Tennessee 31 35 28 32
Texas 9 3 4 13
Virginia 60 45 43 29
U.S. 8 7 6 6
1/ Data as obtained from area frame samples. These data do not represent official estimates but provide raw data as obtained from survey respondents. The purpose of these data is to portray trends in production practices.


LAYERS & EGG PRODUCTION

In Illinois, the average number of layers on hand was up 18 percent in March, up nine percent in April and up eight percent in May compared to those same months last year. The number of eggs produced increased 21 percent in March, 11 percent in April and increased seven percent in May compared to the same time last year.

In the United States, the average number of layers on hand and the number of eggs produced increased in March, April and May compared to a year ago. The average number of layers on hand was up three percent in March and up two percent in April and May. The number of eggs produced was up three percent for March and April and up two percent in May.

LAYERS & EGG PRODUCTION, ILLINOIS & UNITED STATES, MARCH-MAY 2000

 

Illinois

March

April

May 1/

1999

2000

1999

2000

1999

2000

Average Number of Layers on hand (thousand) 3,081 3,622 3,337 3,654 3,258 3,532
 
Eggs produced (million) 70 85 72 80 74 79
 

United States

Average Number of Layers on hand (thousand) 322,758 330,927 321,515 329,243 320,498 326,554
   
Eggs produced (million) 7,052 7,235 6,784 7,013 6,941 7,107
1/ Preliminary.

AGRICULTURAL PRICES

June prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities decreased five points from the revised May number, and is at 76 percent of the base. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The June all crops index, at 68 percent of the base, is six points below last month and one point below June 1999. Prices decreased for corn, soybeans, sorghum and oats. The all livestock index is at 101 percent of the base, two points lower than the revised May figure. The price of hogs, beef cattle and calves decreased. The hog-corn ratio is at 24.6.

The preliminary U.S. All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in June was 99 based on 1990-92=100, down two points from the May index. Lower prices for lettuce, corn, cattle, soybeans and broccoli more than offset the relatively lower marketings of oranges, tomatoes, strawberries and cattle. Compared with June 1999, the All Farm Products Index was two points higher. Price increases from June 1999 for hogs, cattle, lettuce and soybeans more than offset price decreases for milk, oranges, corn and broilers.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
Commodity May
1999
June
1999
May
2000
June 15,
2000
ILLINOIS 1993-97=100 1994-98=100
All Farm Products 73 73 81* 76
All Crops 68 69 74* 68
Food grains 55 64 62* 70
Feed grains/hay 72 72 75* 65
Soybeans 65 66 75* 72
All Livestock 85 83 103* 101
Meat animals 82 80 106* 104
Dairy products 95 98 85* 86
UNITED STATES

1990-92=100

Prices Received 98 97 101* 99
All Crops 103 100 104* 99
Food grains 90 87 86* 85
Feed grains/hay 93 91 97* 87
Oilseeds 81 80 92* 87
All Livestock 93 95 99* 99
Meat animals 83 84 98* 96
Dairy products 97 100 92* 93
Prices Paid 115 115 120* 120
Parity Ratio 1/ 85 84 84* 83
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/

Commodity Unit Illinois United States
May
1999
June
1999
May
2000
June 15,
2000
May
1999
June
1999
May
2000
June 15,
2000
      

Dollars

Corn Bushels 2.08 2.08 2.20* 1.90 1.99 1.97 2.10* 1.81
Soybeans Bushels 4.57 4.54 5.28* 5.00 4.50 4.44 5.19* 4.91
Sorghum Cwt. 3.50 3.57 3.94* 3.40 2.90 2.85 3.38* 3.12
Wheat, all Bushels 2.04 2.12 2.27* 2.30 2.49 2.50 2.59* 2.52
Oats Bushels 1.70 1.12 1.59* 1.50 1.31 1.22 1.32* 1.24
Hay, all baled Tons 78.00 75.00 81.00 82.00 92.60 81.70 89.40* 82.50
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 83.00 78.00 86.00 87.00 96.60 85.00 93.90* 85.70
Other hay, bld Tons 59.00 63.00 62.00 62.00 70.10 68.50 71.30* 70.90
Hogs, all Cwt. 35.10 32.60 47.10* 46.80 36.60 34.10 48.50* 47.90
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 35.60 33.00 47.70* 47.90 37.00 34.50 49.00* 48.60
Sows Cwt. 29.50 27.70 40.20* 34.10 28.00 28.00 39.30* 35.00
Beef cattle Cwt. 62.20 63.20 70.90* 68.60 62.10 63.70 69.40* 67.90
Cows Cwt. 35.60 36.50 40.20* 39.20 36.40 36.70 38.90* 39.20
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 62.70 63.70 71.50* 69.20 65.20 66.70 73.20* 71.30
Calves Cwt. 107.00 106.00 116.00* 114.00 87.60 89.00 107.00* 103.00
Milk cows Head 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 12.90 13.10 11.10 11.20 12.70 13.10 12.00* 12.20
Milk, fluid Cwt. 12.90 13.10 11.10 3/ 12.80 13.20 12.10* 12.20
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 12.30 12.10 10.50 3/ 11.60 12.00 10.10* 10.40
Hog-corn ratio   16.9 15.7 21.4* 24.6 18.4 17.3 23.1* 26.5
1/ Prices received represents the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.

AGRICULTURAL EXPORT SHARES

AGRICULTURAL EXPORT SHARES, ILLINOIS AND UNITED STATES, 1997-99 1/

Illinois United States
1997 1998 1999 1997 1998 1999
 

Million dollars

Feed grains and products 1,287.9 916.2 978.0 8,447.6 6,342.9 6,805.6
   
Soybeans and products 1,550.9 1,435.4 1,107.5 9,253.6 9,020.3 6,530.3
   
Live animals and meat 234.1 240.7 229.9 5,319.3 5,421.7 5,334.5
    
Wheat and products 140.2 146.2 144.6 4,331.1 3,964.3 3,930.7
    
Feeds and fodders 89.5 89.7 85.5 1,811.2 1,721.3 1,673.4
    
Hides and skins 50.1 40.4 32.9 1,693.2 1,358.3 1,108.5
     
Seeds 57.6 42.4 37.4 912.9 827.3 799.7
    
Fats, oil and greases 19.3 21.9 19.6 542.9 655.2 561.1
    
Vegetables 31.5 24.5 21.5 4,081.0 4,167.9 4,245.2
     
Total 3,565.2 3,060.4 2,750.6 57,365.1 53,730.2 49,102.1
1/ Fiscal year ending September 30.

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World Wide Web

The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

http://www.usda.gov/nass/

There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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