ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: August 14, 2000 IFR-00-11
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 21, NO. 11

Highlights
August Crop Report
Agricultural Prices
Milk Production
Vegetables


AUGUST CROP REPORT

The Illinois corn yield in 2000 is expected to be a record 158 bushels per acre, two bushels above the previous record yield in 1994. Production of corn for grain with this yield would reach 1.75 billion bushels, 17 percent above the 1999 production but two percent short of the record production in 1994. Good rains during the middle of June across most of the state broke the drought that was just beginning to put stress on the crop in some areas. Moderate rains continued to fall across much of the state throughout July and temperatures remained below normal providing excellent pollination and growing conditions. Development of the crop continued ahead of most years as the result of the record early planting, although development had slowed because of the cooler weather. As of August 6, 65 percent of the crop was in the dough stage with 20 percent dented. These compare to 58 percent and 16 percent last year and the five-year averages of 32 percent and six percent. The condition was 45 percent excellent, 43 percent good, nine percent fair, two percent poor and one percent very poor.

Soybean production in 2000 is expected to reach a record 492 million bushels, 11 percent above last year and six percent more than the previous record production of 1998. Yield is forecast at 48 bushel per acre, also a new record. If realized, that would be six bushels better than last year and 2.5 bushel more than the previous record high yield from 1994. April and early May were generally dry and mild across Illinois, allowing the earliest planting season on record. Nearly all of the single crop soybeans were in the ground by May 28, well ahead of the five-year average of 51 percent. Many areas received timely moisture from mid-May into the first week of June, but the major rains came in mid-June, ranging from 4-12 inches in the two weeks from June 12 to 25. Areas that were dry quickly caught up and some replanting was necessary in areas with excess moisture, but the crop continued to progress nearly two weeks ahead of normal. With July came normal precipitation and below normal temperatures. Historically the hottest, driest month of the year, July 2000 proved to be cool and mild, great for crop development. By August 6, 82 percent of the soybeans were setting pods compared to 68 percent last year and the five-year average of 44 percent. On August 4, the soybean crop was rated 37 percent excellent, 43 percent good, 15 percent fair, four percent poor and one percent very poor.

CORN, 1999-2000

District
Acres planted Acres for grain Yield Production
1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000
 

1,000 acres

1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels
Northwest 1,720 1,700 1,679 1,663 149 158 250,170.5 262,754
Northeast 1,060 1,150 1.043 1,123 142 157 148,105.8 176,311
West 1,040 1,130 1,028 1,114 146 165 150,090.0 183,810
Central 1,500 1,520 1,491 1,509 158 170 235,575.6 256,530
East 1,530 1,560 1,522 1,547 153 157 232,865.0 242,879
West Southwest 1,440 1,510 1,424 1,499 132 172 187,968.0 257,828
East Southeast 1,450 1,490 1,429 1,478 122 154 174,338.0 227,612
Southwest 490 530 470 513 106 121 49,819.2 62,072
Southeast 570 610 564 604 110 126 62,067.9 76,104
ILLINOIS 10,800 11,200 10,650 11,050 140 158 1,491,000.0 1,745,900

SOYBEANS, 1999-2000

District
Acres planted Acres for harvest Yield Production
1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000
 

1,000 acres

1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels
Northwest 1,150 1,160 1,144 1,155 48 53 54,910.2 61,215
Northeast 940 880 935 875 45 52 42,074.9 45,500
West 980 940 975 936 44 52 42,900.2 48,672
Central 1,400 1,380 1,394 1,375 49 51 68,309.3 70,125
East 1,490 1,440 1,484 1,434 47 48 69,747.1 68,832
West Southwest 1,420 1,430 1,413 1,423 40 49 56,521.7 69,727
East Southeast 1,650 1,580 1,643 1,571 38 45 62,433.7 70,695
Southwest 820 770 816 765 31 41 25,296.6 31,365
Southeast 750 720 746 716 28 36 20,906.3 25,869
ILLINOIS 10,600 10,300 10,550 10,250 42 48 443,100.0 492,000

The 2000 winter wheat yield is estimated at 57 bushels per acre, one bushel above the July 1 forecast but three bushels below last year's yield of 60. With 910 thousand acres harvested for grain, production would equal 51.9 million bushels, 14 percent below last year. Mild late winter/early spring weather allowed the wheat crop to green up early and then to mature quickly. Harvest was delayed during late June and early July by frequent rains. As of July 16, 95 percent of harvest was complete, compared to 97 percent last year and 92 percent for the five-year average.

U.S. CROP PRODUCTION

Corn production is forecast at 10.4 billion bushels, up ten percent from last year and up six percent from 1998. Based on conditions as of August 1, yields are expected to average 141.9 bushels per acre, up 8.1 bushels from last year. If realized this would be the largest production and highest yield on record since 1866 when corn estimates began. Grain harvested is estimated at 73.1 million acres, down 29,000 acres from June, but up four percent from 1999.

Soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.99 billion bushels, up 13 percent from 1999 and nine percent above the previous record of 2.74 billion bushels set in 1998. Based on August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 40.7 bushels per acre, up 4.2 bushels from 1999. This is the second highest yield since the 1994 record of 41.4 bushels per acre. Acreage for harvest is estimated at a record 73.5 million acres, up one percent from 1999 and unchanged from the June acreage estimate.

The final winter wheat production forecast is 1.59 billion bushels. This is up slightly from last month, but down six percent from 1999. The U.S. yield is forecast at 45.0 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushels from last month. Hard Red Winter, at 883 million bushels, is down slightly from a month ago. White Winter is up for the third consecutive month and now totals 240 million bushels. Soft Red Winter is up one percent from the last forecast, at 471 million bushels.

CROPS ACREAGE & PRODUCTION, 1999-2000

Crop (Acres for harvest) Illinois United States
1999 2000 1999 2000
 

Acreage and production in thousands

Corn, Grain
Acres 10,650 11,050 70,537 73,059
Yield, bu. 140.0 158.0 133.8 141.9
Production 1,491,000 1,745,900 9,437,337 10,369,369
Soybeans
Acres 10,550 10,250 72,476 73,474
Yield, bu. 42.0 48.0 36.5 40.7
Production 443,100 492,000 2,642,908 2,988,669
Winter Wheat, Grain
Acres 1,010 910 35,572 35,401
Yield, bu. 60.0 57.0 47.8 45.0
Production 60,600 51,870 1,699,989 1,594,321
Oats, Grain
Acres 1/ 60 60 2,453 2,452
Yield, bu. 71.0 70.0 59.6 62.3
Production 4,260 4,200 146,218 152,745
Sorghum, Grain
Acres 97 85 8,544 8,315
Yield, cwt. 95.0 93.0 69.7 69.5
Production 9,215 7,905 595,166 577,831
Alfalfa Hay
Acres 500 530 23,985 23,767
Yield, tons 4.00 4.20 3.50 3.32
Production 2,000 2,226 83,924 78,796
All Other Hay
Acres 350 350 39,175 38,424
Yield, tons 2.10 2.40 1.92 1.94
Production 735 840 75,153 74,459
Apples
Mil. lbs. 58.5 72.0 10,579.6 10,677.1
Peaches
Mil. lbs. 19.0 19.0 2,525.4 2,677.1

WINTER WHEAT, 1999-2000

District
Acres planted Acres for harvest Yield Production
1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000 1999 2000
 

1,000 acres

1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels
Northwest 20 21 18 20 67 67 1,206 1,340
Northeast 33 36 32 35 71 69 2,272 2,415
West 52 48 50 44 61 63 3,050 2,772
Central 29 36 28 35 65 60 1,820 2,100
East 29 49 28 47 78 73 2,184 3,429
West Southwest 179 165 174 160 62 61 10,788 9,760
East Southeast 205 200 198 194 57 61 11,286 11,834
Southwest 349 280 334 265 59 48 19,706 12,720
Southeast 154 115 148 110 56 50 8,288 5,500
ILLINOIS 1,050 950 1,010 910 60 57 60,600 51,870

AGRICULTURAL PRICES

July prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities decreased to 71 percent of the base. This is five points less than the revised June figure but four points more than July 1999. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The July all crops index, at 61 percent of the base, is six points below the revised number for last month, and is one point less than July 1999. Prices decreased for corn, soybeans, sorghum and wheat. The all livestock index is at 101 percent of the base, one point lower than the revised June figure. The price of hogs and beef cattle decreased. The hog-corn ratio is at 29.2.

The preliminary U.S. All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in July was 98 based on 1990-92=100, down one point from the June index. Lower prices for corn, wheat, soybeans and eggs more than offset price increases for milk, cucumbers, onions and potatoes. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell often affects the overall index; however, these changes were essentially offsetting in July. Compared with July 1999, the All Farm Products Index was three points higher. Price increases from July 1999 for hogs, cattle, wheat and soybeans more than offset price decreases for milk, corn, grapes and oranges.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
Commodity June
1999
July
1999
June
2000
July 15,
2000
ILLINOIS 1993-97=100 1994-98=100
All Farm Products 73 67 76* 71
All Crops 69 62 67* 61
Food grains 64 58 65* 62
Feed grains/hay 72 63 65* 56
Soybeans 66 62 71* 68
All Livestock 83 79 102* 101
Meat animals 80 75 104* 103
Dairy products 98 102 87* 91
UNITED STATES

1990-92=100

Prices Received 98 95 99* 98
All Crops 100 95 99* 95
Food grains 87 78 84* 79
Feed grains/hay 91 84 90* 79
Oilseeds 80 75 88* 80
All Livestock 95 95 100* 101
Meat animals 84 81 97* 97
Dairy products 100 106 93* 97
Prices Paid 115 115 120* 120
Parity Ratio 1/ 85 83 83* 82
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/

Commodity Unit Illinois United States
June
1999
July
1999
June
2000
July 15,
2000
June
1999
July
1999
June
2000
July 15,
2000
   

Dollars

Corn Bushels 2.08 1.79 1.89* 1.60 1.97 1.74 1.91 1.55
Soybeans Bushels 4.54 4.25 4.98* 4.60 4.44 4.19 4.92* 4.48
Sorghum Cwt. 3.57 2.87 3.58* 2.65 2.85 2.83 3.32* 2.61
Wheat, all Bushels 2.12 1.91 2.14* 2.00 2.50 2.23 2.50* 2.34
Oats Bushels 1.12 1.29 1.59* 1.50 1.22 1.08 1.24* 1.22
Hay, all baled Tons 75.00 78.00 82.00   80.00 81.70 78.40 82.50* 80.20
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 78.00 83.00 87.00   85.00 85.00 82.00 85.70* 84.50
Other hay, bld Tons 63.00 60.00 62.00   59.00 68.50 65.30 70.90* 66.60
Hogs, all Cwt. 32.60 29.70 47.30* 46.70 34.10 31.60 48.60* 49.20
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 33.00 30.60 48.40* 47.70 34.50 32.20 49.40* 50.00
Sows Cwt. 27.70 19.40 34.70* 34.60 28.00 20.50 35.10* 35.00
Beef cattle Cwt. 63.20 61.90 68.40* 66.70 63.70 62.60 68.50* 68.00
Cows Cwt. 36.50 38.20 39.20   39.70 36.70 37.70 40.00* 39.80
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 63.70 62.40 69.00* 67.30 66.70 65.20 71.50* 71.00
Calves Cwt. 106.00 106.00 112.00* 115.00 89.00 89.20 104.00* 106.00
Milk cows Head 2/ 1,250.00 2/   1,290.00 2/ 1,280.00 2/   1,350.00
Milk, all Cwt. 13.10 13.60 11.30* 11.70 13.10 13.80 12.20* 12.70
Milk, fluid Cwt. 13.10 13.60 11.30   3/ 13.20 13.90 12.30* 12.80
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 12.10 14.10 10.70   3/ 12.00 13.40 10.30* 10.90
Hog-corn ratio   15.7 16.6 25.0* 29.2 17.3 18.2 25.4* 31.7
1/ Prices received represents the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.

MILK PRODUCTION

Production of milk in Illinois totaled 173 million pounds during June 2000, equaling June's production in 1999. Milk cows on farms averaged 120,000 head, down two percent from last year. The average milk per cow was 1,440 pounds in June, up one percent from a year earlier.

Milk production during June in the 20 States totaled 12.1 billion pounds, up three percent from June 1999. Production per cow averaged 1,546 pounds, up two percent from last year. The number of milk cows on farms was 7.8 million head in June, up 65,000 head from June 1999.

MILK PRODUCTION: ILLINOIS & 20 STATES, JUNE 1999-2000

June
Illinois United States
1999 2000 2000 as %
of 1999

1999
2000 2000 as %
of 1999
Milk Production:
Number of milk cows Head (000) 122 120 98 7,740 7,805 101
Milk production per cow Lbs. 1,420 1,440 101 1,516 1,546 102
Total milk production Mil. lbs. 173 173 100 11,737 12,070 103

VEGETABLES

Fresh market sweet corn acreage to be harvested in Illinois is estimated at 5,500 acres in 2000, down 20 percent from 6,900 in 1999. For the 11 major producing states, acreage for harvest is estimated at 112,800 acres, down 12 percent from 1999.

Illinois snap beans for processing acreage planted under contract is estimated at 15,000 acres, up six percent from 14,200 in 1999. Acreage in the major producing states is estimated at 207,480 acres, down one percent from 1999.

Illinois sweet corn for processing is estimated at 18,600 contract acres planted in 2000, up 13 percent from 16,400 in 1999. Acreage in the major producing states is estimated at 470,000 acres, down one percent from 1999.

VEGETABLES: SWEET CORN & SNAP BEANS, ILLINOIS & U.S., 1999-2000

  Illinois United States 1/

1999
2000 2000 as
% of 1999

1999
2000 2000 as
% of 1999
    

Acres

       

Acres

     
Sweet Corn for Fresh Market
     To be harvested 6,900 5,500 80 128,600 112,800 88
Snap Beans for Processing
     Contract planted 14,200 15,000 106 209,210 207,480 99
Sweet Corn for Processing
     Contract planted 16,400 18,600 113 473,100 470,000 99
1/ Fresh market sweet corn 11 major producing states only.

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