VOL. 22, NO. 1
DECEMBER
1 - GRAIN
STOCKS
Illinois
corn stocks on December 1, 2000 totaled 1.53 billion bushels. This was eight
percent above a year earlier and the highest level since 1.73 billion bushels
were stored December 1, 1987. On-farm stocks, at 850 million bushels, accounted
for 55 percent of the total stocks. Off-farm stocks, at 683.7 million bushels,
increased nearly eight percent over 1999. Soybean stocks totaled 429.7 million
bushels stored in all positions on December 1, 2000. This was down less
than one percent from last year's total of 430.2 million bushels. Of the
total stocks, 225 million bushels were stored on farms, up two percent from
a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 204.7 million bushels, were down three
percent from 1999's 210.2 million bushels. Wheat stocks in all positions
totaled 38.5 million bushels on December 1, 2000. This was a decrease of
two percent from the record high stored in 1999. Off-farm stocks at 34.2
million bushels, accounted for 89 percent of the state total. On-farm stocks
totaled 4.3 million bushels.
U.S. corn
stocks in all positions on December 1, 2000 totaled
8.52 billion bushels, up six percent from December 1, 1999 and the highest
level since 1987. Of the total stocks, 5.55 billion bushels were stored
on farms, up seven percent from a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 2.97
billion bushels, were up four percent from the previous year. The September-November
2000 indicated disappearance based on September 1, 2000 stocks, 2000 production
and December 1 stocks is 3.17 billion bushels, compared with 3.18 billion
bushels during the same period last year. Soybeans stored in all positions
on December 1, 2000, totaled 2.24 billion bushels, up three percent from
December 1, 1999. On-farm stocks, estimated at 1.22 billion bushels, were
up six percent from the same period a year ago. Off-farm stocks at 1.02
billion bushels were one percent lower than December 1, 1999. Indicated
disappearance for the September-November 2000 quarter totaled 821 million
bushels, up slightly from the same quarter in 1999. All wheat stored
in all positions on December 1, 2000 totaled 1.80 billion bushels, down
four percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks are estimated at 623 million
bushels, down four percent from last year. Off-farm stocks, at 1.18 billion
bushels, are down five percent from a year ago. The indicated September-November
2000 quarter disappearance is 551 million bushels, down two percent from
the same period in 1999.
| GRAIN
AND HAY STOCKS - DECEMBER 1 |
| Crop
and position 1/ |
Illinois |
United
States |
| 1999 |
2000 |
1999 |
2000 |
| |
Thousand
bushels
|
| Corn |
| On
farms |
780,000 |
850,000 |
5,195,000 |
5,550,000 |
| Off
farms |
635,781 |
683,682 |
2,844,443 |
2,967,589 |
| Total |
1,415,781 |
1,533,682 |
8,039,443 |
8,517,589 |
| Soybeans |
| On
farms |
220,000 |
225,000 |
1,150,000 |
1,217,000 |
| Off
farms |
210,239 |
204,673 |
1,032,666 |
1,022,092 |
| Total |
430,239 |
429,673 |
2,182,666 |
2,239,092 |
| All Wheat |
| On
farms |
5,600 |
4,300 |
647,400 |
623,420 |
| Off
farms |
33,799 |
34,221 |
1,236,344 |
1,178,363 |
| Total |
39,399 |
38,521 |
1,883,744 |
1,801,783 |
| Oats |
| On
farms |
* |
* |
79,800 |
86,900 |
| Off
farms |
569 |
700 |
53,872 |
57,369 |
| Total |
* |
* |
133,672 |
144,269 |
| Sorghum |
| On
farms |
* |
* |
90,300 |
74,300 |
| Off
farms |
2,126 |
2,204 |
259,136 |
187,287 |
| Total |
* |
* |
349,436 |
261,587 |
| Barley |
| On
farms |
2/ |
2/ |
108,000 |
111,500 |
| Off
farms |
* |
* |
119,721 |
117,380 |
| Total |
* |
* |
227,721 |
228,880 |
| Hay 3/ |
| On
farms |
1,600 |
1,700 |
108,922 |
103,730 |
1/
Off farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals
and processors.
2/ Estimate
discontinued.
3/ 1,000 tons
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations. |
HOGS
AND PIGS
The number of hogs
and pigs in Illinois on December 1, 2000 was 4.2 million,
four percent more than were on hand on December 1, 1999 but 13 percent
below December 1, 1998. This was up two percent from the number on hand
on September 1, 2000. Breeding hogs on hand December 1, 2000 were
estimated at 450 thousand head, up seven percent from a year earlier.
Market hogs, at 3.75 million head, were up three percent from a
year earlier.
The pig crop
during September, October and November of 2000 was 1.827 million,
up six percent from the same period in 1999 but down 10 percent from the
same period in 1998. There were 210 thousand sows that farrowed, 10 thousand
more than a year earlier. The litter rate for the quarter averaged 8.7
pigs saved per litter, equal to the level attained last quarter.
Farrowing intentions
for the December 1, 2000 through February 1, 2001 quarter is 220
thousand, 15 thousand sows greater than actual farrowings during the same
period a year earlier. The first estimate of intentions for the March
through May quarter of 2001 is for 220 thousand sows to farrow, 10 thousand
more than in the same quarter in 2000.
The number of hog operations with hogs totaled 5,100 during 2000,
down 22 percent from last year and 27 percent below 1998.
U.S. inventory of all
hogs and pigs on December 1, 2000, was 59.8 million head.
This was one percent above December 1999, but slightly below September
1, 2000. Breeding inventory, at 6.28 million head, was up one percent
from December 1,1999, and up slightly from September 1, 2000. Market
hog inventory, at 53.6million head, was one percent above last year,
but slightly below last quarter.
The September-November
2000 U.S. pig crop, at 25.5 million head, was two percent
more than 1999, but one percent less than 1998. Sows farrowing during
this period totaled 2.88 million head, one percent above last year. The
sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding
herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.88 pigs saved per litter for the
September-November period, compared to 8.78 pigs last year. Pigs saved
per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99
hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.
U.S. hog producers
intend to have 2.91 million sows farrow during the December
2000-February 2001 quarter, four percent above the actual farrowings during
the same period in 2000, and one percent above 1999. Intended farrowings
for March-May 2001, at 2.92 million sows, are one percent above the same
period in 2000 but down two percent from 1999.
The number of hog operations
with hogs totaled 85,760 during 2000, down 13 percent from last year and
25 percent below 1998. Places with 2,000 or more hogs on hand accounted
for 8 percent of the operations and 72 percent of the inventory. This
is the fifth time operations with inventories over 2,000 head have controlled
over 50 percent of the total inventory. The number of operations with
over 5,000 head of inventory at, 2,095, accounted for 50.5 percent of
the total inventory, up from 46.5 percent a year ago. The total number
of hogs under contract, owned by these over 5,000 head operations, but
raised by contractees, accounted for 30 percent of the total U.S. hog
inventory, down from 32 percent last year.
|
HOGS
& PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, DECEMBER 1, 1999-2000
|
| |
Illinois |
Iowa |
United
States |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as % of 1999 |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as % of 1999 |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as
% of
1999 |
| |
1,000
head |
Percent |
1,000
head |
Percent |
1,000
head |
Percent |
| Breeding |
420 |
450 |
107 |
1,160 |
1,120 |
97 |
6,234 |
6,275 |
101 |
| |
| Market |
3,630 |
3,750 |
103 |
14,240 |
14,280 |
100 |
53,109 |
53,573 |
101 |
| Under 60
lbs. |
1,270 |
1,360 |
107 |
4,360 |
4,410 |
101 |
19,241 |
19,566 |
102 |
| 60-119 lbs. |
900 |
930 |
103 |
3,770 |
3,950 |
105 |
13,107 |
13,333 |
102 |
| 120-179
lbs. |
800 |
810 |
101 |
3,210 |
3,170 |
99 |
11,073 |
11,051 |
100 |
| 180 lbs.
& over |
660 |
650 |
98 |
2,900 |
2,750 |
95 |
9,687 |
9,624 |
99 |
| |
| Total |
4,050 |
4,200 |
104 |
15,400 |
15,400 |
100 |
59,342 |
59,848 |
101 |
| HOGS
& PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1999-2000 |
| |
Illinois |
Iowa |
United
States |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as % of 1999 |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as % of 1999 |
1999 |
2000 |
2000
as
% of
1999 |
| |
1,000
head |
Percent |
1,000
head |
Percent |
1,000
head |
Percent |
| Sows Farrowing |
| Dec.-Feb.
1/ |
205 |
220
2/ |
107 |
455 |
450
2/ |
99 |
2,798 |
2,906
2/ |
104 |
| Mar.-May
1/ |
210 |
220
2/ |
105 |
495 |
460
2/ |
93 |
2,890 |
2,918
2/ |
101 |
| Jun.-Aug. |
200 |
200 |
100 |
490 |
480 |
98 |
2,920 |
2,899 |
99 |
| Sep.-Nov. |
200 |
210 |
105 |
490 |
460 |
94 |
2,844 |
2,875 |
101 |
| |
| Pig Crop |
| Jun.-Aug. |
1,720 |
1,740 |
101 |
4,410 |
4,224 |
96 |
25,862 |
25,686 |
99 |
| Sep.-Nov. |
1,720 |
1,827 |
106 |
4,361 |
4,094 |
94 |
24,973 |
25,536 |
102 |
| |
| Pigs Per
Litter |
| Jun.-Aug. |
8.60 |
8.70 |
-- |
9.00 |
8.80 |
-- |
8.86 |
8.86 |
-- |
| Sep.-Nov. |
8.60 |
8.70 |
-- |
8.90 |
8.90 |
-- |
8.78 |
8.88 |
-- |
1/ February
and March through May of following year.
2/ Intentions. |
AGRICULTURAL
PRICES
December prices
received by Illinois farmers for all commodities increased
to 83 percent of the base. This is three points more than the revised November
figure and seven points above December 1999. The current year's base is
computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period
by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then
divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current
five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and
divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index.
The December All Crops index, at 76 percent of the base, is the same as
the revised November number, and is five points higher than December 1999.
Prices increased for corn, soybeans, sorghum and wheat. The All Livestock
index is at 106 percent of the base, 12 points higher than the revised December
figure. The price of hogs, beef cattle and milk increased, while the price
of calves decreased slightly. The hog-corn ratio is at 20.5.
The U.S. preliminary
All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in December was
98 based on 1990-92=100, unchanged from the November index. Higher prices
for soybeans, cattle, hogs and eggs were offset by lower prices for broilers,
lettuce, turkeys and cauliflower. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities
farmers sell often affects the overall index. Higher seasonal marketings
of tobacco, wheat, milk and broilers were offset by lower marketings of
cattle, soybeans, grapes and corn.
| INDEX
OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS |
Commodity |
Nov.
1999 |
Dec.
1999 |
Nov.
2000 |
Dec.
15,
2000 |
| ILLINOIS |
1993-97=100 |
1994-98=100 |
| All Farm
Products |
76 |
76 |
80* |
83 |
| All Crops |
71 |
71 |
76* |
76 |
| Food grains |
59 |
60 |
63* |
65 |
| Feed grains/hay |
71 |
73 |
78* |
76 |
| Soybeans |
71 |
69 |
74* |
77 |
| All Livestock |
89 |
90 |
94* |
106 |
| Meat animals |
86 |
90 |
98* |
112 |
| Dairy products |
104 |
86 |
74* |
78 |
| |
| UNITED STATES |
1990-92=100
|
| Prices Received |
93 |
91 |
98* |
98 |
| All Crops |
89 |
89 |
97* |
96 |
| Food grains |
89 |
85 |
92* |
91 |
| Feed grains/hay |
77 |
82 |
85* |
88 |
| Oilseeds |
82 |
82 |
84* |
88 |
| All Livestock |
98 |
95 |
100* |
101 |
| Meat animals |
87 |
88 |
92* |
95 |
| Dairy products |
110 |
93 |
96* |
99 |
| Prices Paid |
116 |
117 |
121* |
121 |
| Parity Ratio
1/ |
80 |
78 |
81* |
81 |
1/
Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised. |
|
PRICES
RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/
|
Commodity |
Unit |
Illinois |
United
States |
Nov.
1999 |
Dec.
1999 |
Nov.
2000 |
Dec.
15,
2000 |
Nov.
1999 |
Dec.
1999 |
Nov.
2000 |
Dec.
15,
2000 |
| |
|
Dollars
|
| Corn |
Bushels |
1.81 |
1.95 |
1.92* |
1.95 |
1.70 |
1.82 |
1.86* |
1.91 |
| Soybeans |
Bushels |
4.55 |
4.58 |
4.62* |
4.90 |
4.45 |
4.43 |
4.55* |
4.84 |
| Sorghum |
Cwt. |
2.97 |
3.14 |
3.51* |
3.65 |
2.57 |
2.62 |
3.27* |
3.35 |
| Wheat, all |
Bushels |
2.12 |
2.22 |
2.15* |
2.30 |
2.66 |
2.52 |
2.83* |
2.75 |
| Oats |
Bushels |
3/ |
1.30 |
1.50* |
1.50 |
1.12 |
1.18 |
1.18* |
1.16 |
| Hay, all
baled |
Tons |
83.00 |
82.00 |
80.00 |
87.00 |
74.70 |
72.00 |
85.00* |
85.10 |
| Alfalfa hay,
bld |
Tons |
88.00 |
87.00 |
85.00 |
92.00 |
77.00 |
74.10 |
90.40* |
91.00 |
| Other hay,
bld |
Tons |
65.00 |
64.00 |
61.00 |
66.00 |
67.50 |
66.30 |
69.60*
|
70.40 |
| Hogs, all |
Cwt. |
31.60 |
33.70 |
33.50* |
40.00 |
33.40 |
35.60 |
36.40* |
40.60 |
| Barrows,
Gilts |
Cwt. |
32.40 |
34.30 |
34.00* |
41.00 |
33.80 |
36.00 |
36.80* |
41.10 |
| Sows |
Cwt. |
22.90 |
26.30 |
27.80* |
28.80 |
24.10 |
26.70 |
28.20* |
29.90 |
| Beef cattle |
Cwt. |
66.50 |
67.50 |
68.00* |
70.30 |
66.20 |
66.60 |
69.10* |
71.20 |
| Cows |
Cwt. |
32.80 |
33.80 |
36.40 |
36.00 |
33.60 |
35.10 |
36.60* |
36.10 |
| Steers, Heifers |
Cwt. |
67.20 |
68.20 |
68.60* |
71.00 |
70.90 |
70.80 |
73.80* |
76.20 |
| Calves |
Cwt. |
111.00 |
112.00 |
109.00* |
108.00 |
93.00 |
98.60 |
106.00* |
106.00 |
| Milk cows |
Head |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
2/ |
| Milk, all |
Cwt. |
15.10 |
13.10 |
10.90* |
11.30 |
14.40 |
12.20 |
12.60* |
12.90 |
| Milk, fluid |
Cwt. |
15.20 |
13.10 |
10.90 |
3/ |
14.50 |
12.30 |
12.60* |
13.00 |
| Milk, mfg. |
Cwt. |
12.00 |
11.20 |
10.80 |
3/ |
11.10 |
10.80 |
10.40* |
10.80 |
| Hog-corn
ratio |
|
17.5 |
17.3 |
17.4* |
20.5 |
19.6 |
19.6 |
19.6* |
21.3 |
1/ Prices
received represents the average of all grades or classes at point
of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated
in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices
not published.
* Revised. |
WINTER WHEAT - FALL SEEDINGS
In Illinois,
an estimated 850 thousand acres of winter wheat were seeded
in the fall of 2000, 11 percent less than in 1999. This ties the smallest
acreage seeded since 850 thousand acres were seeded in the fall of 1984.
The condition of the crop as of December 29, 2000 was 13 percent excellent,
63 percent good, 22 percent fair and two percent poor.
U.S. winter wheat planted
for harvest in 2001 is
estimated at 41.3 million acres. This is down five percent from 2000 and
is the lowest level since 1971. Seeding started last August in the Pacific
Northwest, some Mountain States, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Texas. Progress
was slow across most of the U.S. due primarily to dry soil conditions.
Seeding should finish sometime during February in California. About 98
percent of the U.S. acreage was seeded by December 1. Most remaining intended
area is in the Southeast, California, Oklahoma and Texas.
MONTHLY
HOG REPORTS
Now available on the Internet
at http://www.usda.gov/nass/ are new U.S. monthly estimates of sow and
gilt inventory, and the number of sows and gilts bred. These data, along
with monthly farrowing and pig crop estimates, will be available on the
Internet with the Quarterly Hogs and Pigs release and, beginning January
26, 2001, in the new Monthly Hogs and Pigs release. For those without
Internet access, just call 800/622-9865 and request a copy be mailed or
faxed.
Internet
E-Mail
All of the reports issued by the Washington D.C. headquarters office of
the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) are available at no
charge via an e-mail subscription. Send an e-mail message to:
usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu
Be sure to include the word "list" in the body of the message.
You will receive a reply containing further instructions for subscribing
and a list of the available reports.
World Wide Web
The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:
http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm
The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:
http://www.usda.gov/nass/
There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical
offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.
Farm Report
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