ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: January 12, 2001 IFR-01-01
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 22, NO. 1
Highlights
Grain Stocks
Hogs and Pigs
Agricultural Prices
Winter Wheat Seedings


DECEMBER 1 - GRAIN STOCKS

Illinois corn stocks on December 1, 2000 totaled 1.53 billion bushels. This was eight percent above a year earlier and the highest level since 1.73 billion bushels were stored December 1, 1987. On-farm stocks, at 850 million bushels, accounted for 55 percent of the total stocks. Off-farm stocks, at 683.7 million bushels, increased nearly eight percent over 1999. Soybean stocks totaled 429.7 million bushels stored in all positions on December 1, 2000. This was down less than one percent from last year's total of 430.2 million bushels. Of the total stocks, 225 million bushels were stored on farms, up two percent from a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 204.7 million bushels, were down three percent from 1999's 210.2 million bushels. Wheat stocks in all positions totaled 38.5 million bushels on December 1, 2000. This was a decrease of two percent from the record high stored in 1999. Off-farm stocks at 34.2 million bushels, accounted for 89 percent of the state total. On-farm stocks totaled 4.3 million bushels.

U.S. corn stocks in all positions on December 1, 2000 totaled 8.52 billion bushels, up six percent from December 1, 1999 and the highest level since 1987. Of the total stocks, 5.55 billion bushels were stored on farms, up seven percent from a year earlier. Off-farm stocks, at 2.97 billion bushels, were up four percent from the previous year. The September-November 2000 indicated disappearance based on September 1, 2000 stocks, 2000 production and December 1 stocks is 3.17 billion bushels, compared with 3.18 billion bushels during the same period last year. Soybeans stored in all positions on December 1, 2000, totaled 2.24 billion bushels, up three percent from December 1, 1999. On-farm stocks, estimated at 1.22 billion bushels, were up six percent from the same period a year ago. Off-farm stocks at 1.02 billion bushels were one percent lower than December 1, 1999. Indicated disappearance for the September-November 2000 quarter totaled 821 million bushels, up slightly from the same quarter in 1999. All wheat stored in all positions on December 1, 2000 totaled 1.80 billion bushels, down four percent from a year ago. On-farm stocks are estimated at 623 million bushels, down four percent from last year. Off-farm stocks, at 1.18 billion bushels, are down five percent from a year ago. The indicated September-November 2000 quarter disappearance is 551 million bushels, down two percent from the same period in 1999.

GRAIN AND HAY STOCKS - DECEMBER 1
Crop and position 1/ Illinois United States
1999 2000 1999 2000
 

Thousand bushels

Corn   
   On farms 780,000 850,000 5,195,000 5,550,000
   Off farms 635,781 683,682 2,844,443 2,967,589
   Total 1,415,781 1,533,682 8,039,443 8,517,589
Soybeans
   On farms 220,000 225,000 1,150,000 1,217,000
   Off farms 210,239 204,673 1,032,666 1,022,092
   Total 430,239 429,673 2,182,666 2,239,092
All Wheat
   On farms 5,600 4,300 647,400 623,420
   Off farms 33,799 34,221 1,236,344 1,178,363
   Total 39,399 38,521 1,883,744 1,801,783
Oats
   On farms * * 79,800 86,900
   Off farms 569 700 53,872 57,369
   Total * * 133,672 144,269
Sorghum
   On farms * * 90,300 74,300
   Off farms 2,126 2,204 259,136 187,287
   Total * * 349,436 261,587
Barley
   On farms 2/ 2/ 108,000 111,500
   Off farms * * 119,721 117,380
   Total * * 227,721 228,880
Hay 3/
   On farms 1,600 1,700 108,922 103,730
1/ Off farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals and processors.
2/ Estimate discontinued.
3/ 1,000 tons
* Not published to avoid disclosing individual operations.



HOGS AND PIGS

The number of hogs and pigs in Illinois on December 1, 2000 was 4.2 million, four percent more than were on hand on December 1, 1999 but 13 percent below December 1, 1998. This was up two percent from the number on hand on September 1, 2000. Breeding hogs on hand December 1, 2000 were estimated at 450 thousand head, up seven percent from a year earlier. Market hogs, at 3.75 million head, were up three percent from a year earlier.

The pig crop during September, October and November of 2000 was 1.827 million, up six percent from the same period in 1999 but down 10 percent from the same period in 1998. There were 210 thousand sows that farrowed, 10 thousand more than a year earlier. The litter rate for the quarter averaged 8.7 pigs saved per litter, equal to the level attained last quarter.

Farrowing intentions for the December 1, 2000 through February 1, 2001 quarter is 220 thousand, 15 thousand sows greater than actual farrowings during the same period a year earlier. The first estimate of intentions for the March through May quarter of 2001 is for 220 thousand sows to farrow, 10 thousand more than in the same quarter in 2000.

The number of hog operations with hogs totaled 5,100 during 2000, down 22 percent from last year and 27 percent below 1998.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on December 1, 2000, was 59.8 million head. This was one percent above December 1999, but slightly below September 1, 2000. Breeding inventory, at 6.28 million head, was up one percent from December 1,1999, and up slightly from September 1, 2000. Market hog inventory, at 53.6million head, was one percent above last year, but slightly below last quarter.

The September-November 2000 U.S. pig crop, at 25.5 million head, was two percent more than 1999, but one percent less than 1998. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.88 million head, one percent above last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter was 8.88 pigs saved per litter for the September-November period, compared to 8.78 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.91 million sows farrow during the December 2000-February 2001 quarter, four percent above the actual farrowings during the same period in 2000, and one percent above 1999. Intended farrowings for March-May 2001, at 2.92 million sows, are one percent above the same period in 2000 but down two percent from 1999.

The number of hog operations with hogs totaled 85,760 during 2000, down 13 percent from last year and 25 percent below 1998. Places with 2,000 or more hogs on hand accounted for 8 percent of the operations and 72 percent of the inventory. This is the fifth time operations with inventories over 2,000 head have controlled over 50 percent of the total inventory. The number of operations with over 5,000 head of inventory at, 2,095, accounted for 50.5 percent of the total inventory, up from 46.5 percent a year ago. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by these over 5,000 head operations, but raised by contractees, accounted for 30 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory, down from 32 percent last year.

HOGS & PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, DECEMBER 1, 1999-2000

  Illinois Iowa United States



1999


2000
2000 as % of 1999



1999


2000
2000 as % of 1999



1999


2000
2000 as
%
of
1999
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
Breeding 420 450 107 1,160 1,120 97 6,234 6,275 101
 
Market 3,630 3,750 103 14,240 14,280 100 53,109 53,573 101
Under 60 lbs. 1,270 1,360 107 4,360 4,410 101 19,241 19,566 102
60-119 lbs. 900 930 103 3,770 3,950 105 13,107 13,333 102
120-179 lbs. 800 810 101 3,210 3,170 99 11,073 11,051 100
180 lbs. & over 660 650 98 2,900 2,750 95 9,687 9,624 99
 
Total 4,050 4,200 104 15,400 15,400 100 59,342 59,848 101

HOGS & PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1999-2000
  Illinois Iowa United States


1999


2000
2000 as % of 1999

1999


2000
2000 as % of 1999

1999


2000
2000 as
%
of
1999
  1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent 1,000 head Percent
Sows Farrowing
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 205 220   2/ 107 455 450  2/ 99 2,798 2,906   2/ 104
Mar.-May 1/ 210 220   2/ 105 495 460   2/ 93 2,890 2,918   2/ 101
Jun.-Aug. 200 200       100 490 480      98 2,920 2,899       99
Sep.-Nov. 200 210       105 490 460      94 2,844 2,875       101
 
Pig Crop
Jun.-Aug. 1,720 1,740       101 4,410 4,224      96 25,862 25,686      99
Sep.-Nov. 1,720 1,827       106 4,361 4,094      94 24,973 25,536      102
 
Pigs Per Litter
Jun.-Aug. 8.60 8.70      -- 9.00 8.80      -- 8.86 8.86      --
Sep.-Nov. 8.60 8.70      -- 8.90 8.90      -- 8.78 8.88      --
1/ February and March through May of following year.
2/ Intentions.

AGRICULTURAL PRICES

December prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities increased to 83 percent of the base. This is three points more than the revised November figure and seven points above December 1999. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The December All Crops index, at 76 percent of the base, is the same as the revised November number, and is five points higher than December 1999. Prices increased for corn, soybeans, sorghum and wheat. The All Livestock index is at 106 percent of the base, 12 points higher than the revised December figure. The price of hogs, beef cattle and milk increased, while the price of calves decreased slightly. The hog-corn ratio is at 20.5.

The U.S. preliminary All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in December was 98 based on 1990-92=100, unchanged from the November index. Higher prices for soybeans, cattle, hogs and eggs were offset by lower prices for broilers, lettuce, turkeys and cauliflower. The seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell often affects the overall index. Higher seasonal marketings of tobacco, wheat, milk and broilers were offset by lower marketings of cattle, soybeans, grapes and corn.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS


Commodity
Nov.
1999
Dec.
1999
Nov.
2000
Dec. 15,
2000
ILLINOIS 1993-97=100 1994-98=100
All Farm Products 76 76 80* 83
All Crops 71 71 76* 76
Food grains 59 60 63* 65
Feed grains/hay 71 73 78* 76
Soybeans 71 69 74* 77
All Livestock 89 90 94* 106
Meat animals 86 90 98* 112
Dairy products 104 86 74* 78
 
UNITED STATES

1990-92=100

Prices Received 93 91 98* 98
All Crops 89 89 97* 96
Food grains 89 85 92* 91
Feed grains/hay 77 82 85* 88
Oilseeds 82 82 84* 88
All Livestock 98 95 100* 101
Meat animals 87 88 92* 95
Dairy products 110 93 96* 99
Prices Paid 116 117 121* 121
Parity Ratio 1/ 80 78 81* 81
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/



Commodity


Unit
Illinois United States
Nov.
1999
Dec.
1999
Nov.
2000
Dec. 15,
2000
Nov.
1999
Dec.
1999
Nov.
2000
Dec. 15,
2000
   

Dollars

Corn Bushels 1.81 1.95 1.92* 1.95 1.70 1.82 1.86* 1.91
Soybeans Bushels 4.55 4.58 4.62* 4.90 4.45 4.43 4.55* 4.84
Sorghum Cwt. 2.97 3.14 3.51* 3.65 2.57 2.62 3.27* 3.35
Wheat, all Bushels 2.12 2.22 2.15* 2.30 2.66 2.52 2.83* 2.75
Oats Bushels 3/ 1.30 1.50* 1.50 1.12 1.18 1.18* 1.16
Hay, all baled Tons 83.00 82.00 80.00   87.00 74.70 72.00 85.00* 85.10
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 88.00 87.00 85.00   92.00 77.00 74.10 90.40* 91.00
Other hay, bld Tons 65.00 64.00 61.00   66.00 67.50 66.30

69.60*

70.40
Hogs, all Cwt. 31.60 33.70 33.50* 40.00 33.40 35.60 36.40* 40.60
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 32.40 34.30 34.00* 41.00 33.80 36.00 36.80* 41.10
Sows Cwt. 22.90 26.30 27.80* 28.80 24.10 26.70 28.20* 29.90
Beef cattle Cwt. 66.50 67.50 68.00* 70.30 66.20 66.60 69.10* 71.20
Cows Cwt. 32.80 33.80 36.40   36.00 33.60 35.10 36.60* 36.10
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 67.20 68.20 68.60* 71.00 70.90 70.80 73.80* 76.20
Calves Cwt. 111.00 112.00 109.00* 108.00 93.00 98.60 106.00* 106.00
Milk cows Head 2/ 2/ 2/   2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 15.10 13.10 10.90* 11.30 14.40 12.20 12.60* 12.90
Milk, fluid Cwt. 15.20 13.10 10.90   3/ 14.50 12.30 12.60* 13.00
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 12.00 11.20 10.80   3/ 11.10 10.80 10.40* 10.80
Hog-corn ratio   17.5 17.3 17.4* 20.5 19.6 19.6 19.6* 21.3
1/ Prices received represents the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.


WINTER WHEAT - FALL SEEDINGS

In Illinois, an estimated 850 thousand acres of winter wheat were seeded in the fall of 2000, 11 percent less than in 1999. This ties the smallest acreage seeded since 850 thousand acres were seeded in the fall of 1984. The condition of the crop as of December 29, 2000 was 13 percent excellent, 63 percent good, 22 percent fair and two percent poor.

U.S. winter wheat planted for harvest in 2001 is estimated at 41.3 million acres. This is down five percent from 2000 and is the lowest level since 1971. Seeding started last August in the Pacific Northwest, some Mountain States, Minnesota, Oklahoma and Texas. Progress was slow across most of the U.S. due primarily to dry soil conditions. Seeding should finish sometime during February in California. About 98 percent of the U.S. acreage was seeded by December 1. Most remaining intended area is in the Southeast, California, Oklahoma and Texas.

MONTHLY HOG REPORTS

Now available on the Internet at http://www.usda.gov/nass/ are new U.S. monthly estimates of sow and gilt inventory, and the number of sows and gilts bred. These data, along with monthly farrowing and pig crop estimates, will be available on the Internet with the Quarterly Hogs and Pigs release and, beginning January 26, 2001, in the new Monthly Hogs and Pigs release. For those without Internet access, just call 800/622-9865 and request a copy be mailed or faxed.

Internet E-Mail

All of the reports issued by the Washington D.C. headquarters office of the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) are available at no charge via an e-mail subscription. Send an e-mail message to:

usda-reports@usda.mannlib.cornell.edu

Be sure to include the word "list" in the body of the message. You will receive a reply containing further instructions for subscribing and a list of the available reports.


World Wide Web

The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

http://www.usda.gov/nass/

There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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