ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: APRIL 1, 1999 IFR-99-05
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 20, NO. 05

Highlights
Prospective Plantings
Grain Stocks
Hogs and Pigs
Wool Production
Milk Production

Prospective Plantings for 1999

Farmers in Illinois expect to plant 10.8 million acres of corn for all purposes this year. This is two percent more than the 10.6 million acres planted in 1998 but two percent less than 1997 plantings. The increase is due to some prevented planting in the southeast during the spring of 1998 because of excess rain as well as a decrease in the acreage of several other crops planted and to be planted for 1999. Acreage planted to corn in the past ten years ranged from a low of 10.2 million in 1995 to a high of 11.6 million in 1994.

Intentions are for 10.8 million acres to be planted to soybeans in 1999. This would be the most soybeans ever planted in Illinois, one percent more than the previous record of 10.7 million acres planted in 1998. Acreage planted to soybeans has gradually increased over the past ten years and ranged from 9.2 million in 1990 to a high of 10.7 million last year.

Farmers seeded an estimated 1.05 million acres to winter wheat last fall, 16 percent less than the 1.25 million acres seeded in 1997. Acreage planted to wheat this decade has ranged from a low of 1.15 million acres for the 1994 crop, to a high of 2.05 million acres for the 1990 crop. As of March 26, the crop was rated eight percent excellent, 56 percent good, 29 percent fair, six percent poor, and one percent very poor.

PLANTED ACREAGE - PRINCIPAL CROPS
Crop Illinois United States
1998 Indicated
1999
1998 Indicated
1999
  Thousand Acres
Corn - all purposes 10,600 10,800 80,187 78,219
 
Soybeans 10,700 10,800 72,375 73,105
 
Winter Wheat 1/ 1,250 1,050 46,449 43,399
 
Sorghum - all purposes 110 70 9,626 8,804
 
Oats 1/ 85 65 4,902 4,732
 
All Hay 2/ 950 850 60,016 60,093
1/ Includes acareage sown preceding fall.
2/ Hay acres for harvest.

ACREAGE BY DISTRICTS - ILLINOIS 1998 PLANTED & 1999 INTENTIONS
District and
State
Corn Soybeans Wheat
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousand Acres
Northwest 1,670 1,690 1,080 1,110 29 24
Northeast 1,080 1,120 970 960 37 36
West 1,060 1,090 1,000 1,060 69 44
Central 1,520 1,480 1,430 1,510 42 26
East 1,520 1,520 1,510 1,570 31 30
W. Southwest 1,400 1,390 1,450 1,520 214 190
E. Southeast 1,370 1,440 1,670 1,620 277 200
Southwest 470 490 780 740 353 320
Southeast 510 580 810 710 198 180
ILLINOIS 10,600 10,800 10,700 10,800 1,250 1,050

United States Propsective Plantings for 1999

Corn growers intend to plant 78.2 million acres of corn for all purposes in 1999, down two percent from both last year and 1997. If these intentions materialize, this would be the lowest planted acreage since 1995. Expected acreages are down in the upper Midwest, Southwest, Texas and Southeast due to a shift to other crops. Intended acreage is up slightly in the central Corn Belt due in part to land coming back into production after flooding in 1998. After a relatively mild and dry winter in the major corn-producing States, early-March snows provided beneficial moisture. Mid-month warm, dry weather aided tillage and fertilizing activities in the western and central Corn Belt. Fieldwork was less active in the eastern Corn Belt as fields slowly dried from earlier precipitation.

Soybean producers intend to plant 73.1 million acres in 1999, up one percent from last year. If realized, this will be the largest planted area for soybeans on record. Of the 30 soybean producing states, producers in ten states intend to plant more acres this year, while producers in 14 states are indicating fewer acres to be planted in 1999. Of the major producing states, the largest increases are in Nebraska and South Dakota, up 500,000 and 450,000 acres, respectively. The two largest soybean states, Iowa at 10.9 million and Illinois at 10.8 million, are increasing area planted by 400,000 and 100,000 acres, respectively. Acreage reductions are most evident in eight of the Southern region states with Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas showing large reductions.

Winter wheat planted area for harvest in 1999 remains at 43.4 million acres. This is down seven percent from 1998. Class acreages are also unchanged from the Seedings report. Some minor, offsetting Soft Red area changes, did occur after mid-December.

March 1 Grain Stocks

Corn stocks in Illinois on March 1, 1999 are estimated at 938.9 million bushels, ten percent above a year earlier. The December- February disappearance totaled 421.7 million bushels, 13 percent more than last year. On-farm stocks, at 490 million bushels, were up 11 percent from a year earlier and accounted for 52 percent of the state total. Off-farm stocks were up eight percent from March 1, 1998. Soybean stocks are estimated at a record high for March 1, with 278.1 million bushels stored in all positions. The December- February disappearance totaled 153.7 million bushels, three percent less than last year. On-farm stocks, at 155 million bushels, were up 35 percent from a year earlier and accounted for 56 percent of the total stocks. Off-farm stocks were 20 percent above last year and totaled 123.1 million bushels. Wheat stocks are estimated at 29.8 million bushels, 74 percent above last March. This is the highest March 1 level since the reference date was changed in the 1986-1987 marketing year. Off-farm stocks, at 27.8 million bushels, accounted for 93 percent of the total stocks in Illinois.

U.S. corn stocks in all positions on March 1, 1999 totaled 5.70 billion bushels, up 15 percent from March 1, 1998. Of the total stocks, 3.57 billion bushels were stored on farms, up 20 percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 2.13 billion bushels, were up eight percent from a year ago. The December 1998-February 1999 indicated disappearance is 2.36 billion bushels, two percent above the disappearance of 2.31 billion bushels during the same period a year earlier. Soybeans stored in all positions on March 1, 1999 totaled 1.46 billion bushels, up 21 percent from March 1, 1998. On-farm stocks, estimated at 815 million bushels, were up 28 percent from last March and accounted for 56 percent of the March 1, 1999 stocks. Off-farm stocks, at 643 million bushels, were 14 percent higher than the previous year. Indicated disappearance for the December 1998-February 1999 quarter totaled 728 million bushels, nine percent below the same period one year ago. All wheat stored in all positions on March 1, 1999 totaled 1.44 billion bushels, up 24 percent from a year ago to the biggest March number since 1988. Farm stocks are 470 million bushels, up 18 percent from last year. Off-farm stocks, at 975 million bushels, are up 27 percent. Disappearance for the quarter ending March 1 is 451 million bushels, down slightly from the same period in 1998.

GRAIN STOCKS - MARCH 1
Crop and Position 1/ Illinois United States
1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousand Bushels
Corn
  On farms 440,000 490,000 2,975,000 3,570,000
  Off farms 415,618 448,931 1,964,898 2,125,546
     Total 855,618 938,931 4,939,898 5,695,546
 
Soybeans
  On farms 115,000 155,000 637,000 815,000
  Off farms 102,961 123,094 565,922 643,280
     Total 217,961 278,094 1,202,922 1,458,280
 
All Wheat
   On farms 1,600 2,000 399,920 470,220
  Off farms 15,544 27,819 766,644 974,594
    Total 17,144 29,819 1,166,564 1,444,814
 
Oats
  On farms 2/ 2/ 58,800 61,700
  Off farms 1,388 516 52,418 47,588
    Total 2/ 2/ 111,218 109,288
 
Sorghum
  On farms 2/ 2/ 56,760 60,900
  Off farms 1,487 1,426 177,916 165,522
    Total 2/ 2/ 234,676 226,422
1/ Off-farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors.
2/ Not published.

Hogs and Pigs

The number of hogs and pigs in Illinois on March 1, 1999 was 4.35 million, seven percent less than were on hand on March 1, 1998 and one percent less than were on hand March 1, 1997. This was 500 thousand less than were on hand on December 1, 1998 and is the lowest inventory on record since during the "Great Depression" era in December 1937. Breeding hogs on hand March 1, 1999 were estimated at 470 thousand head, 15 percent less than a year earlier, while market hogs, at 3.88 million head, were down seven percent.

The pig crop during December 1998 and January and February of 1999 was 1.83 million, six percent below the same period in 1998. There were 210 thousand sows that farrowed, 15 thousand less than a year earlier. The litter rate for the quarter averaged a record 8.7 pigs saved per litter, up from the previous record of 8.6 recorded during each of the previous four quarters.

Farrowing intentions for the March through May quarter of 1999 is 210 thousand, 45 thousand less than farrowed during this period a year earlier. The first estimate of intentions for the June through August quarter of 1999 is for 200 thousand sows to farrow, 30 thousand less than farrowed during this period in 1998.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on March 1, 1999 was 59.9 million head. This was one percent below March 1998, and four percent below December 1, 1998. Breeding inventory, at 6.53 million head, was down six percent from March 1, 1998 and down two percent from December 1, 1998. Market hog inventory, at 53.3 million head, was slightly above last year, but four percent below last quarter.

The December 1998-February 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 25.3 million head, was one percent less than 1998, but nine percent more than 1997. Sows farrowed during this period totaled 2.89 million head, one percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 43 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average 8.73 pigs saved per litter for the December-February period, compared to 8.70 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.60 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 8.90 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.88 million sows farrow during the March-May 1999 quarter, seven percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1998 and one percent below 1997. Intended farrowings for June-August 1999, at 2.84 million sows, are seven percent below the same period last year and four percent below 1997.

HOGS & PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, MARCH 1, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
  1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
Breeding 550 470 85 1,300 1,220 94 6,942 6,527 94
 
Market 4,150 3,880 93 12,800 13,380 105 53,220 53,323 100
  Under 60 lbs. 1,510 1,380 91 4,200 4,300 102 20,192 19,804 98
  60-119 lbs. 980 890 91 3,400 3,380 99 12,791 12,764 100
  120-179 lbs. 930 870 94 2,750 2,950 107 10,774 10,970 102
  180 lbs. & over 730 740 101 2,450 2,750 112 9,464 9,786 103
 
Total 4,700 4,350 93 14,100 14,600 104 60,163 59,851 99

HOGS & PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1997-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
1998 1999 99 as
% of 98
  1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent 1,000 Head Percent
Sows Farrowing:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 225 210     93 520 480     92 2,929 2,892     99
Mar.-May 255 210 2/ 82 550 480 2/ 87 3,086 2,879 2/ 93
Jun.-Aug. 230 200 2/ 87 530 470 2/ 89 3,054 2,841 2/ 93
Sep.-Nov. 1/ 240 235     98 520 510     98 2,939 2,993     102
 
Pig Crop:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 1,935 1,827     94 4,524 4,176     92 25,480 25,250     99
Sep.-Nov. 1/ 2,016 2,021     100 4,472 4,437     99 25,494 25,902     102
 
Pigs Per Litter
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 8.6 8.7     -- 8.7 8.7     -- 8.7 8.73     --
Sep.-Nov. 1/ 8.4 8.6     -- 8.6 8.7     -- 8.67 8.65     --
1/ December and September through November of prior year.
2/ Intentions.

Wool Production

Illinois wool production in 1998 totaled 495,000 pounds, nine percent below 1997 production. The number of sheep and lambs shorn in 1998 was 73,000, down 11 percent from the previous year. The average price per pound for wool, at 25 cents, decreased 18 cents from 1997. The decrease in production and average price paid for wool resulted in a 47 percent decrease for the total value of wool production, to $124,000 in 1998.

Shorn wool production in the United States during 1998 was 49.2 million pounds, down eight percent from 1997. Sheep and lambs shorn totaled 6.43 million head, a decrease of eight percent from 1997. The average price paid for wool sold in 1998 was $0.60 per pound for a total value of $29.4 million, down 35 percent from $44.9 million in 1997.

WOOL PRODUCTION AND VALUE, 1997-98
  Illinois United States
  1997 1998 1996 1997
Sheep shorn (000 head) 82.0 73 6,959.9 6,426.1
 
Weight/fleece (pounds) 6.7 6.8 7.7 7.7
 
Production (000 lbs.) 546 495 53,578 49,239
 
Price/pound (dollars) 0.43 0.25 0.84 0.6
 
Value (000 dollars) 235 124 44,909 29,406

Milk Production

Milk production in Illinois totaled 164 million pounds during February 1999, down three percent from last year. The number of milk cows on farms averaged 125,000 head, down 4,000 from this same time in 1998. Milk per cow averaged 1,310 pounds, unchanged from a year earlier.

Milk production during February in the 20 States totaled 10.8 billion pounds, up four percent from February 1998. Production per cow averaged 1,407 pounds during February 1999, up 60 pounds per cow from a year earlier. There was an average of 7.7 million head in the 20 States during February 1999, down slightly from 1998.

MILK PRODUCTION, ILLINOIS & 20 STATES, FEBRUARY 1998-99
    February
Illinois 20 States
1998 1999 99 as %
of 98
1998 1999 99 as %
of 98
Milk Production:
  Number of milk cows Head (000) 129 125 97 7,716 7,700 100
  Milk production per cow Lbs. 1,310 1,310 100 1,347 1,407 104
  Total milk production Mil. lbs. 169 164 97 10,394 10,836 104

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THE WORLD WIDE WEB
The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

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There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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