ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: JULY 1, 1999 IFR-99-09
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 20, NO. 09
Highlights
Acreage
Grain Stocks
Hogs and Pigs
Milk Production

Acreage

Corn planted in Illinois in 1999 is estimated at 10.8 million acres, unchanged from the March intentions and up 200 thousand acres from 1998. Planting began in mid April but was delayed by rainfall in early May. After the second week of May, conditions improved and planting advanced ahead of the five-year average and continued ahead through the remainder of the planting season. Planting was near completion towards the end of May. The average height of corn on June 27 was 41 inches, compared to 33 inches last year. This is the tallest the corn has been on this date since the crop of 1991. The crop was rated 29 percent excellent, 56 percent good, 13 percent fair and two percent poor on June 25.

Acreage planted and to be planted to soybeans in Illinois in 1999 is estimated at a record 10.8 million acres, one percent more than the previous record of 10.7 million acres in 1998 and equal to the acreage expected to be planted in March. Planting progressed behind the five- year average in early May but advanced to well ahead of the average for the remainder of the planting season. By the end of the first week in June, 90 percent of the crop was planted and by the end of the second week planting was nearly complete. The crop was rated 19 percent excellent, 58 percent good, 20 percent fair and three percent very poor on June 25.

An estimated 1.05 million acres of winter wheat were seeded in Illinois last fall, 16 percent less than the previous year. Farmers expect to harvest 1.02 million acres, 15 percent less than during 1998. With the mild winter and wet spring, the crop developed very quickly this year and as of June 27, 46 percent of the crop had been harvested. This compares to 51 percent last year and 24 percent for the five-year average.

ACREAGE SUMMARY, 1998-99
Crop Illinois United States
Planted Acres Acres for Harvest Planted Acres Acres For Harvest
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousands
Corn 10,600 10,800 10,450 10,650 80,187 77,611 72,604 71,039
Soybeans 10,700 10,800 10,650 10,750 72,375 74,205 70,811 73,316
Winter Wheat 1,250 1,050 1,200 1,020 46,449 43,419 40,126 35,649
Oats 85 75 70 65 4,902 4,658 2,765 2,641
Rye 50 40 9 7 1,571 1,573 418 396
Sorghum 110 100 107 97 9,626 9,049 7,723 8,299
Summer Potatoes 5.8 4.9 4.9 4.7 73 69.2 68.1 66.8
Alfalfa Hay -- -- 600 500 -- -- 23,642 23,968
All Other Hay -- -- 350 350 -- -- 36,374 37,983

CORN & SOYBEANS BY DISTRICTS, 1998-99
District Corn Soybeans
Planted Acres Acres for Grain Planted Acres Acres For Beans
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousands
Northwest 1,670 1,690 1,632 1,655 1,080 1,110 1,077 1,105
Northeast 1,080 1,110 1,065 1,090 970 950 968 945
West 1,060 1,070 1,048 1,055 1,000 990 997 985
Central 1,520 1,480 1,511 1,465 1,430 1,500 1,427 1,495
East 1,520 1,520 1,511 1,505 1,510 1,480 1,505 1,475
West Southwest 1,400 1,400 1,383 1,385 1,450 1,530 1,441 1,525
East Southeast 1,370 1,460 1,350 1,445 1,670 1,630 1,659 1,620
Southwest 470 510 450 500 780 820 771 815
Southeast 510 560 500 550 810 790 805 785
ILLINOIS 10,600 10,800 10,450 10,650 10,700 10,800 10,650 10,750

UNITED STATES

U.S. corn planted for all purposes is estimated at 77.6 million acres, down three percent from last year. Growers expect to harvest 71.0 million acres for grain, down two percent from 1998. Ideal weather in the eastern Corn Belt helped planting finish ahead of the normal pace. The corn acreage estimate was based on survey information collected between May 28 and June 17. Farmers responding to the survey indicated that 99 percent of the intended corn acreage had been planted at the time of the interview compared to an average of 96 percent for the past ten years. Growers in the seven major states (IL, IN, IA, MN, NE, OH and WI) planted 51.4 million acres, a decrease of two percent from 1998. Ohio showed the largest percentage decrease in plantings for the major States, with a six percent decline. Growers shifted from corn to other commodities such as soybeans. Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska and Wisconsin also showed decreased plantings from 1998. Illinois and Indiana were the only two major states to show an increase in planted acreage from last year.

The soybean planted area is estimated at 74.2 million acres, three percent above last year's record acreage. Area for harvest is estimated at 73.3 million acres, up four percent from the 1998 record harvest. Planted acreage has steadily increased every year since 1990 when the soybean planted area totaled 57.8 million acres. The largest acreage increases are in Nebraska and South Dakota, up 550,000 and 450,000 acres, respectively. The two largest soybean states, Iowa, at 10.9 million and Illinois, at 10.8 million, are increasing area planted by 400,000 and 100,000 acres, respectively. Growers in both Missouri and Ohio increased acreage by 300,000 acres as well. Minnesota farmers planted an additional 100,000 acres of soybeans. Planted area in Indiana is unchanged from 1998 and acreage decreased 50,000 in Arkansas.

Winter wheat acres harvested are now expected to total 35.6 million, down one percent from the June 1 forecast and 11 percent less than the 1998 acreage for grain. This will be the smallest area for grain since 1972. Planted area is still 43.4 million acres, down seven percent from last year. Most of the harvested area decrease is due to a one percent drop in Hard Red Winter grain acres. This is mainly in Oklahoma where cool, wet weather has slowed harvest in the eastern two-thirds of the state. Soft Red Winter area is down slightly. Most of the White Winter acreage drop is in Washington as more acreage was replanted to spring wheat than originally thought.

WINTER WHEAT BY DISTRICTS, 1998-99
District Planted Acres Acres for Grain
1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousands
Northwest 29 24 28 23
Northeast 37 36 35 35
West 69 44 67 43
Central 42 26 40 25
East 31 30 30 29
W Southwest 214 190 206 189
E Southeast 277 200 267 193
Southwest 353 320 337 309
Southeast 198 180 190 174
ILLINOIS 1,250 1,050 1,200 1,020


June 1 Grain Stocks

Stocks of corn in Illinois on June 1, 1999 are estimated at 574.2 million bushels. This is the largest June 1 level since 1993 when corn stocks totaled 648.8 million bushels. On-farm stocks were 270 million bushels, up 17 percent from June 1, 1998. Off-farm stocks, at 304.2 million bushels, were up 11 percent from a year earlier and accounted for 53 percent of the total stocks. The March-May indicated disappearance is 364.8 million bushels, compared to the disappearance of 350.5 million bushels last year. Soybean stocks are estimated at 149.4 million bushels on June 1, 1999, 37 percent above a year earlier. On-farm stocks totaled 70 million bushels, resulting in a March-May on-farm disappearance of 85 million bushels. This represents the largest on-farm disappearance for this time period since records began in 1938. Off-farm stocks totaled 79.4 million bushels, 58 percent more than the previous year. The March-May indicated disappearance for stocks in all positions is 128.7 million bushels, 18 percent above the disappearance of 108.7 million bushels a year ago. Wheat stocks on June 1, 1999 are estimated at 21.4 million bushels, 69 percent above a year ago and is the highest level since 1978. On-farm stocks, at 1.5 million bushels, accounted for seven percent of the total stocks. Off-farm stocks were 19.9 million bushels, up 74 percent from a year earlier and easily the highest level this decade.

U.S. corn stocks in all positions on June 1, 1999, totaled 3.62 billion bushels, up 19 percent from June 1, 1998. Of the total stocks, 2.26 billion bushels were stored on farms, up 23 percent from a year ago. Off-farm stocks, at 1.36 billion bushels, were up 12 percent from a year ago. The March-May 1999 indicated disappearance is 2.08 billion bushels, ten percent above the disappearance of 1.90 billion bushels during the same period a year earlier. Soybeans stored in all positions on June 1, 1999, totaled 850 million bushels, up 43 percent from stocks held on June 1, 1998. On-farm stocks totaled 460 million bushels, up 45 percent from last June, and accounted for 54 percent of the June 1, 1999 stocks. Off-farm stocks, at 390 million bushels, were up 43 percent from the previous year. Indicated disappearance for the March-May 1999 quarter totaled 607 million bushels, fractionally less than the same period one year ago. All wheat stored in all positions on June 1, 1999 totaled 945 million bushels, up 31 percent from a year ago to the biggest June number since the 1987-88 market year. Farm stocks are 278 million bushels and are up 24 percent from last year. Off-farm stocks, at 667 million bushels, are up 34 percent. Disappearance for March-May 1999 is 505 million bushels, up 14 percent from the ending quarter in 1998.

GRAIN STOCKS - JUNE 1, 1998-99
Crop and position 1/ Illinois United States
1998 1999 1998 1999
  Thousand Bushels
Corn:
   On farms 230,000 270,000 1,830,000 2,257,000
   Off farms 275,154 304,178 1,209,757 1,358,960
     Total 505,154 574,178 3,039,757 3,615,960
Soybeans:
   On farms 59,000 70,000 318,000 460,000
  Off farms 50,222 79,387 275,654 390,274
     Total 109,222 149,387 593,654 850,274
All Wheat:
   On farms 1,200 1,500 224,210 277,710
  Off farms 11,400 19,853 498,268 667,233
     Total 12,600 21,353 722,478 944,943
Oats:
  On farms 2/ 2/ 34,500 40,700
   Off farms 1,024 527 39,498 40,686
    Total 2/ 2/ 73,998 81,386
Sorghum:
   On farms 2/ 2/ 27,200 27,400
   Off farms 880 874 68,944 88,691
    Total 2/ 2/ 96,144 116,091
1/ Off-farm stocks include stocks at mills, elevators, warehouses, terminals, and processors.
2/ Data not published.


Hogs and Pigs

The number of hogs and pigs on Illinois farms on June 1, 1999 was 4.3 million head, 14 percent less than a year earlier and three percent less than June 1997. This was 50 thousand less than were on hand on March 1, 1999 and is the lowest inventory on record since December 1937. Breeding hogs, at 460 thousand head, were down 21 percent from a year earlier and down two percent from last quarter. Market hogs, at 3.84 million head, were down 13 percent from June 1998 and down one percent from March 1999.

The Illinois March-May pig crop, at 1.82 million, was down 17 percent from a year earlier. There were 210 thousand sows that farrowed, 45 thousand fewer than the same time last year. Pigs per litter, at 8.65, was down from the record average 8.7 pigs saved per litter set last quarter.

Illinois hog producers intend to farrow 400 thousand sows between June 1 and November 30, 1999. This would be 14 percent below the actual farrowings during this period a year ago. Producers expect to farrow 200 thousand sows during the June-August quarter, down 13 percent from a year earlier. The first intentions estimate for farrowings during the September-November quarter is 200 thousand sows, 15 percent less than farrowed during that period in 1998.

U.S. inventory of all hogs and pigs on June 1, 1999, was 60.5 million head. This was three percent below June 1998, but one percent above March 1, 1999. Breeding inventory, at 6.52 million head, was down six percent from June 1, 1998, but virtually unchanged from March 1, 1999. Market hog inventory, at 54.0 million head, was two percent below last year, but one percent above last quarter. The total number of hogs under contract, owned by operations with over 5,000 head, but raised by contractees, accounted for 30 percent of the total U.S. hog inventory.

The March-May 1999 U.S. pig crop, at 26.3 million head, was three percent less than 1998, but four percent more than 1997. Sows farrowing during this period totaled 2.99 million head, three percent below last year. The sows farrowed during this quarter represented 46 percent of the breeding herd. The average pigs per litter rose to an average of 8.80 pigs saved per litter for the March-May period, compared to 8.75 pigs last year. Pigs saved per litter by size of operation ranged from 7.80 for operations with 1-99 hogs to 9.00 for operations with more than 5,000 hogs and pigs.

U.S. hog producers intend to have 2.94 million sows farrow during the June-August 1999 quarter, four percent below the actual farrowings during the same period in 1998, but virtually unchanged from 1997. Intended farrowings for September-November 1999, at 2.87 million sows, are four percent below the same period last year and two percent below 1997.

HOGS & PIGS: INVENTORY NUMBERS, JUNE 1, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 '99 as % of '98 1998 1999 '99 as % of '98 1998 1999 '99 as % of '98
  1,000 head % 1,000 head % 1,000 head %
Breeding 580 460 79 1,300 1,200 92 6,958 6,515 94
 
Market 4,420 3,840 87 13,500 14,000 104 55,254 54,020 98
  Under 60 lbs. 1,750 1,430 82 4,630 4,550 98 21,482 20,502 95
  60-119 lbs. 1,080 930 86 3,710 3,800 102 13,711 13,331 97
  120-179 lbs. 900 840 93 2,860 3,000 105 11,084 11,021 99
  180 lbs & over 690 640 93 2,300 2,650 115 8,978 9,167 102
 
Total 5,000 4,300 86 14,800 15,200 103 62,213 60,536 97

HOGS & PIGS: FARROWINGS & PIG CROP, 1998-99
  Illinois Iowa United States
1998 1999 '99 as % of '98 1998 1999 '99 as % of '98 1998 1999 '99 as % of '98
  1,000 head % 1,000 head % 1,000 head %
Sows Farrowing:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 225 210     93 520 480     92 2,929 2,897     99
Mar.-May 255 210     82 550 520     95 3,086 2,990     97
Jun.-Aug. 230 200 2/ 87 530 500 2/ 94 3,054 2,936 2/ 96
Sep.-Nov. 235 200 2/ 85 510 460 2/ 90 2,993 2,870 2/ 96
Pig Crop:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 1,935 1,827     94 4,524 4,176     92 25,480 25,293     99
Mar.-May 2,193 1,817     83 4,785 4,524     95 26,989 26,301     97
Pigs Per Litter:
Dec.-Feb. 1/ 8.6 8.7     -- 8.7 8.7     -- 8.7 8.73     --
Mar.-May 8.6 8.65     -- 8.7 8.7     -- 8.75 8.8     --
1/ December of prior year.
2/ Intentions.


Milk Production

Milk production in Illinois totaled 183 million pounds in May 1999, down five percent from May of last year. The number of milk cows on farms averaged 123,000 head, down four percent from May last year. Milk per cow averaged 1,490 pounds, down 20 pounds from a year ago. Milk production for the 20 States totaled 12.4 billion pounds, up three percent from the 20 States production total in May 1998. Production per cow in the 20 States was 1,610 pounds, up 54 pounds per cow from May 1998. The number of milk cows on farms in the 20 States was 7.7 million head in May, up slightly from May 1998.

MILK PRODUCTION: ILLINOIS & 20 STATES, MAY 1998-99
  Illinois 20 States
1998 1999 '99 as % of '98 1998 1999 '99 as % of '98
Milk Production:
Number of milk cows Head (000) 128 123 96 7,719 7,722 100
Milk production per cow Lbs. 1,510 1,490 99 1,556 1,610 103
Total milk production Mil. lbs. 193 183 95 12,011 12,430 103


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World Wide Web

The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

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There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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