ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: JULY 13, 1999 IFR-99-10
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 20, NO. 10
Highlights
July Crop Report
Layers & Egg Production
Agricultural Prices
Agricultural Export Shares

July Crop Report

The Illinois wheat yield for the 1999 crop is now estimated to average 61 bushels per acre based on July surveys, up six bushels from the June forecast. The result of ideal growing conditions, this year's yield is 13 bushels above last year's level, and ties the record yield set in 1997. With a yield of 61 bushels per acre, production would be 62.22 million bushels, eight percent above the 1998 production in spite of a 15 percent reduction in acreage. By July 4, 74 percent of the crop was harvested which compares to 84 percent last year and the five-year average of 54 percent.

Production of oats in Illinois for 1999 is estimated at 4.49 million bushels, 14 percent above 1998. Acreage to be harvested for grain, at 65 thousand acres, is down seven percent from last year. The yield is estimated at 69 bushels per acre, 13 bushels above last year's average yield. As of July 4, ten percent of the crop was ripe compared to nine percent last year and the five-year average of five percent.

The Illinois peach crop for 1999 is estimated at 17.5 million pounds. This year's forecast is up 2.5 million pounds from last year.

ACREAGE & PRODUCTION
Crop Illinois United States
1998 1999 1998 1999
  Acreage and production in thousands
Winter Wheat:
Acres 1/ 1,200 1,020 40,126 35,609
Yield, bu. 48 61 46.9 47
Production 57,600 62,220 1,880,605 1,673,222
Oats, Grain:
Acres 1/ 70 65 2,765 2,641
Yield, bu. 56 69 60.4 61.1
Production 3,920 4,485 167,122 161,251
Potatoes (Sumer):
Acres 1/ 4.9 4.7 68.1 66.8
Yield, cwt. 290 300 277 285
Production 1,421 1,410 18,896 19,071
  Million Pounds:
Peaches:
Production 15.0 17.5 2,429.3 2,498.1
1/ Harvested acres.

WINTER WHEAT, 1998-99
District Acres planted Acres for harvest Yield Production
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  1,000 acres 1,000 acres Bushels 1,000 bushels
Northwest 29 24 28 23 58 54 1,624 1,242
Northeast 37 36 35 35 62 62 2,170 2,170
West 69 44 67 43 48 55 3,216 2,365
Central 42 26 40 25 57 61 2,280 1,525
East 31 30 30 29 68 60 2,040 1,740
West Southwest 214 190 206 189 51 64 10,506 12,096
East Southeast 277 200 267 193 46 60 12,282 11,580
Southwest 353 320 337 309 46 60 15,502 18,540
Southeast 198 180 190 174 42 63 7,980 10,962
ILLINOIS 1,250 1,050 1,200 1,020 48 61 57,600 62,220

U.S. CROP PRODUCTION

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.67 billion bushels. This is up four percent from last month but down 11 percent from 1998. The U.S. yield is forecast at 47.0 bushels per acre, up 2.3 bushels from last month and a new record high. Hard Red Winter (HRW), at 1.03 billion bushels, is up from a month ago by five percent. White Winter is down for the second consecutive month and now totals 199 million bushels. Soft Red Winter (SRW) is up six percent from the last forecast, at 443 million bushels. Durum wheat production is forecast at 132 million bushels, down six percent from 1998. The U.S. yield is forecast at 32.7 bushels per acre, 5.1 bushels less than last year. Acres for harvest as grain are forecast at 35.6 million, down 11 percent from 1998. Harvest progress in the 19 major producing states had reached 45 percent completion by July 4. This trailed well behind last year's rapid harvest and lagged normal by eight points. In general, Soft Red Winter (SRW) states are ahead of average harvesting progress while Hard Red Winter (HRW) trailed. Harvested yields were better than previously expected in the SRW states, some spectacularly so. Arkansas, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana and Tennessee now expect new record highs. These states joined Alabama and Mississippi where records had been forecast a month ago. Collective head count forecasts dipped in the SRW Objective Yield states (Illinois, Missouri, Ohio), but average weight per head is up nine percent.

SOYBEANS: PERCENT OF ACREAGE PLANTED FOLLOWING ANOTHER CROP 1/
State 1996 1997 1998 1999
Alabama 14 21 26 36
Arkansas 32 23 25 23
Delaware 51 60 43 31
Florida 15 27 15 0
Georgia 50 44 42 44
ILLINOIS 5 5 5 5
Indiana 6 5 4 2
Kansas 5 1 2 2
Kentucky 45 34 51 36
Louisiana 8 7 6 6
Maryland 47 48 33 33
Mississippi 13 8 5 9
Missouri 13 9 13 7
New Jersey 19 33 21 33
N. Carolina 40 43 44 50
Ohio 1 1 1 1
Oklahoma 26 26 11 16
Pennsylvania 18 26 18 16
S. Carolina 55 66 48 45
Tennessee 39 31 35 28
Texas 1 9 3 4
Virginia 66 60 45 43
U.S. 9 8 7 6
1/ Data as obtained from area frame samples. These data do not represent official estimates but provide raw data as obtained from survey respondents. The purpose of these data is to portray trends in production practices.


Layers & Egg Production

In Illinois, the average number of layers on hand was down six percent in March, two percent in April and up minimally in May compared to those same months last year. The number of eggs produced decreased nine percent in March and one percent in April, and increased seven percent in May compared to the same time last year.

In the United States, the average number of layers on hand and the number of eggs produced increased in March, April and May compared to a year ago. The average number of layers on hand was up three percent in March, April and May. The number of eggs produced was up three percent for March and April and up four percent in May.

LAYERS & EGG PRODUCTION, ILLINOIS AND UNITED STATES, MARCH-MAY, 1998-99
  Illinois
March April May 1/
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
Average Number of Layers on hand (thousand) 3,292 3,081 3,404 3,337 3,252 3,258
Eggs produced (million) 77 70 73 72 69 74
  United States
Average Number of Layers on hand (thousand) 314,101 322,516 311,917 320,917 309,615 319,872
Eggs produced (million) 6,869 7,043 6,603 6,769 6,665 6,922
1/ Preliminary.


Agricultural Prices

June prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities were at 72 percent of the base. This is unchanged from the revised May figure and 18 points less than June 1998. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The June all crops index, at 68 percent of the base, is the same as the revised May figure and 21 points less than June 1998. Prices decreased from May for corn, soybeans, sorghum, wheat, oats and hay. The all livestock index decreased two points from the previous month and was at 82 percent of the base. This is 11 points less than June 1998. Cattle and milk prices increased while the price of hogs decreased. The hog- corn ratio decreased to 15.9.

The U.S. All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in June was 98 based on 1990-92=100, down one point from May. The decrease was mostly due to the seasonal change in the mix of commodities farmers sell. The normal decrease in marketings of oranges, tomatoes, strawberries and cattle more than offset the relatively higher marketings of wheat, grapes, hay and cantaloupes. The change in marketings was accompanied by a slight decrease in overall prices. Price decreases from May for cantaloupes, hogs, peaches and hay more than offset price increases for oranges, milk, cattle and celery. Compared with June 1998, the All Farm Products Index was four points lower. Price decreases from June 1998 for soybeans, hogs, corn and milk more than offset price increases for cattle, carrots, tomatoes and turkeys.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
Commodity May 1998 June 1998 May 1999 June 15,
1999
  1992-96=100 1993-97=100
ILLINOIS:
All Farm Products 91 90 72* 72
All Crops 90 89 68* 68
Food grains 79 75 55* 61
Feed grains/hay 84 84 71* 71
Soybeans 99 98 65* 66
All Livestock 95 93 84* 82
Meat animals 94 91 82* 79
Dairy products 100 101 95* 98
  1990-92=100
UNITED STATES:
Prices Received 103 102 99* 98
All Crops 112 107 105* 101
Food grains 109 96 91* 86
Feed grains/hay 108 105 93* 90
Oilseeds 112 111 81* 80
All Livestock 96 98 93* 95
Meat animals 87 86 83* 83
Dairy products 102 108 98* 101
Prices Paid 117 117 116* 116
Parity Ratio 1/ 88 87 85* 84
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
* Revised.

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/
Commodity Unit Illinois United States
May,
1998
June,
1998
May,
1999
June 15,
1999
May,
1998
June,
1998
May,
1999
June 15,
1999
    Dollars
Corn Bushels 2.40 2.39 2.08* 2.05 2.34 2.28 2.00* 1.93
Soybeans Bushels 6.37 6.31 4.57* 4.55 6.26 6.16 4.51* 4.43
Sorghum Cwt. 4.01 3.88 3.50* 3.45 3.69 3.96 2.93* 3.06
Wheat, all Bushels 2.88 2.54 2.04* 2.00 3.06 2.77 2.53* 2.48
Oats Bushels 3/ 1.65 1.70* 1.65 1.53 1.39 1.31* 1.30
Hay, all, baled Tons 95.00 90.00 78.00   75.00 102.00 91.80 91.60* 81.70
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 100.00 95.00 83.00   78.00 107.00 96.50 95.70* 85.00
Other hay, bld Tons 76.00 71.00 59.00   63.00 78.60 74.10 69.40* 68.50
Hogs, all Cwt. 41.30 41.10 35.10* 32.60 42.30 42.40 36.40* 33.80
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 42.40 42.20 35.60   32.90 43.10 43.20 36.80* 34.10
Sows Cwt. 28.40 28.00 29.50* 29.60 28.60 28.80 28.10* 27.30
Beef cattle Cwt. 64.40 62.80 62.20* 63.20 63.00 61.80 62.10* 63.60
Cows Cwt. 37.50 36.20 35.60   36.50 36.40 36.10 36.40* 36.10
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 64.90 63.30 62.70* 63.70 66.30 64.50 65.20* 66.80
Calves Cwt. 104.00 100.00 107.00  107.00 88.90 81.70 87.60* 88.00
Milk cows Head 2/ 2/ 2/   2/ 2/ 2/ 2/ 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 13.10 13.90 12.40* 12.60 13.30 14.10 12.80* 13.20
Milk, fluid Cwt. 13.10 14.00 12.40   3/ 13.30 14.10 12.80* 13.20
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 11.80 13.50 12.30   3/ 11.30 13.10 11.50* 12.00
Hog-corn ratio   17.20 17.20 16.9* 15.90 18.10 18.60 18.2* 17.50
1/ Prices received represent the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July and October.
3/ State prices not published.
* Revised.


Agricultural Export Shares

AGRICULTURAL EXPORT SHARES, ILLINOIS AND UNITED STATES, 1996-98 1/
  Illinois United States
1996 1997 1998 1996 1997 1998
  Million dollars
Feed grains and products 841.7 583.0 446.0 10,892.9 8,447.6 6,342.9
Soybeans and products 715.2 791.8 773.5 7,914.5 9,253.6 9,020.3
Live animals and meat 251.6 234.1 240.7 5,588.2 5,319.3 5,421.7
Wheat and products 104.1 79.6 105.7 6,013.3 3,558.4 3,958.7
Feeds and fodders 80.3 89.5 89.7 1,674.2 1,811.2 1,721.3
Hides and skins 54.2 50.2 40.5 1,677.2 1,693.2 1,358.3
Seeds 47.7 57.6 26.7 713.9 912.9 827.3
Fats, oils and greases 28.6 22.1 24.5 674.3 542.9 655.2
Vegetables 29.4 25.1 31.5 3,875.8 3,733.3 4,081.0
Total 3,754.8 3,542.6 3,099.1 61,483.6 58,467.9 55,093.8
1/ Fiscal year ending September 30.

Source: Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States, ERS, USDA
http://www.econ.ag.gov/epubs/pdf/AgTrade/States.pdf


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World Wide Web

The Illinois Agricultural Statistics Service has a home page at:

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

The NASS headquarters office home page can be found at:

http://www.usda.gov/nass/

There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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