ILLINOIS
FARM REPORT


RELEASED: SEPTEMBER 13, 1999 IFR-99-12
NASS Logo   Illinois
  Agricultural
  Statistics Service
P.O. Box 19283, Springfield, IL 62794
Phone: (217) 492-4295
U.S. Department of Agriculture
Illinois Department of Agriculture

http://www.agr.state.il.us/agstats.htm

VOL. 20, NO. 12
Highlights
September Crop Report
Milk Production
Agricultural Prices
Farm Labor

September Crop Report

The Illinois corn for grain yield is unchanged from the August 1 estimate at 140 bushels per acre. Total production would be 1.491 billion bushels, one percent above the production of 1998. On August 12, a severe thunderstorm with very high winds moved across much of the central half of the state, breaking the drought in that area. Unfortunately, the high winds flattened some fields between the Illinois River and Springfield covering about a six county area. The damage was not very widespread, though, and will not likely have any impact on the state yield. The crop continued to progress toward maturity ahead of normal and last year. By September 5, the crop was 81 percent dented and 29 percent mature. These compare to 71 percent dented and 19 percent mature last year and the five-year averages of 66 and 11. Limited harvesting began toward the end of August and mostly in fields damaged by the high winds.

The September 1 forecast yield for soybeans is 43 bushels per acre, unchanged from the August 1 forecast, but one bushel below last year. The expected production is 462.3 million bushels, one percent below last year's record 468.6 million bushels. August weather provided a cooler than normal weather pattern which helped lower crop stress with beneficial rains falling in some areas of the state. The southern region of the state has been the most deficient in rainfall during August. Development of the crop continues ahead of normal after being pushed ahead by the above normal temperatures during July. As of September 5, 30 percent of the crop was turning yellow with six percent shedding leaves. These compare to 27 and five percent last year and the five-year averages of 22 and four, respectively.

PRINCIPAL CROPS ACREAGE & PRODUCTION
Crop (Acres for harvest) ILLINOIS U.S.
1998 1999 1998 1999
Corn, Grain
    Acres 10,450 10,650 72,604 70,955
    Yield, bu. 141.00 140.00 134.40 132.00
    Production 1,473,450 1,491,000 9,761,085 9,380,947
Soybeans
    Acres 10,650 10,750 70,811 73,261
    Yield, bu. 44.00 43.00 38.90 37.90
    Production 468,600 462,250 2,756,794 2,778,392
All Wheat, Grain
    Acres 1,200 1,020 59,002 54,467
    Yield, bu. 48.00 61.00 43.20 42.30
    Production 57,600 62,220 2,550,383 2,306,671
Oats, Grain
    Acres 70 65 2,765 2,631
    Yield, bu. 56.00 73.00 60.40 61.60
    Production 3,920 4,745 167,122 162,096
Sorghum, Grain
    Acres 107 97 7,723 8,499
    Yield, bu. 74.00 77.00 67.30 68.20
    Production 7,918 7,469 519,933 580,031
Alfalfa Hay
    Acres 600 500 23,642 23,968
    Yield, tons 4.20 3.60 3.47 3.47
    Production 2,520 1,800 82,010 83,160
All Other Hay
    Acres 350 350 36,374 38,083
    Yield, tons 2.50 2.60 1.91 2.04
    Production 875 910 69,328 77,609
Potatoes, Summer
    Acres 4.90 4.70 68.10 64.40
    Yield, cwt. 290 300 278 289
    Production 1,421 1,410 18,933 18,606
Apples
    Mil. lbs. 45.00 75.00 11,387.40 10,562.80
Peaches
    Mil. lbs. 15.00 17.50 2,429.30 2,502.10
Snap Beans 1/
    Acres 10,800 13,500 187,800 190,730
    Yield, tons 3.13 3.35 3.71 3.83
    Production 34,730 45,225 698,460 730,950
Sweet Corn 1/
    Acres 14,500 16,100 459,000 442,200
    Yield, tons 6.20 5.90 6.96 7.17
    Production 89,900 94,990 3,201,460 3,169,840

U.S. CROP PRODUCTION

Corn production is forecast at 9.38 billion bushels, down two percent from the last forecast and down four percent from 1998. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 132.2 bushels per acre, down 2.5 bushels per acre from August and 2.2 bushels from a year ago. The September 1 Corn Objective Yield data indicate a record level stalk count for the seven objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ohio and Wisconsin). The September forecast ears per acre are the highest on record and, if realized, would exceed the previous record final ears per acre set in 1998. Ear measurements from the sample plots indicate a length equal to last year and the five-year average. As of August 29, 62 percent of the acreage was reported dented in the 17 major States. This compares with 62 percent last year and 44 percent for the five-year average. Corn rated in good to excellent condition totaled 57 percent compared to 69 percent for a year ago.

Soybean production is forecast at a record high 2.78 billion bushels, down three percent from August 1, but up one percent from last year's record of 2.76 billion bushels. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 37.9 bushels per acre, down 1.3 bushels from last month and down 1.0 bushel from 1998. If realized, pod counts from the September Objective Yield survey will be the highest on record in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska. In Missouri, pod counts for September were the lowest since 1988. In Ohio, pod counts were the second highest on record following the 1998 season. As of August 29, 94 percent of the soybean crop had already set pods, one percentage point ahead of 1998 and two percentage points ahead of the five-year average. The percent of soybeans dropping leaves, at six percent, was one percentage point ahead of the previous year and three percentage points ahead of the average.

CORN, 1998-99
District and
State
Acres Planted Acres for Grain Probable Yield Production
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels
Northwest 1,670 1,690 1,632 1,655 157 157 256,225.00 259,835
Northeast 1,080 1,110 1,065 1,090 155 138 165,076.90 150,420
West 1,060 1,070 1,048 1,055 143 143 149,871.60 150,865
Central 1,520 1,480 1,511 1,465 149 153 225,130.40 224,145
East 1,520 1,520 1,511 1,505 136 138 205,468.00 207,690
W. Southwest 1,400 1,400 1,383 1,385 141 150 195,030.00 207,750
E. Southeast 1,370 1,460 1,350 1,445 128 127 172,798.80 183,515
Southwest 470 510 450 500 113 112 50,848.30 56,000
Southeast 510 560 500 550 106 92 53,001.00 50,780
ILLINOIS 10,600 10,800 10,450 10,650 141 140 1,473,450.00 1,491,000

SOYBEANS, 1998-99
District and
State
Acres Planted Acres for Grain Probable Yield Production
1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999 1998 1999
  1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels 1,000 Bushels
Northwest 1,080 1,110 1,077 1,105 53 52 57,090.10 57,460
Northeast 970 950 968 945 49 44 47,449.85 41,580
West 1,000 990 997 985 48 47 47,846.25 46,295
Central 1,430 1,500 1,427 1,495 49 49 69,921.95 73,255
East 1,510 1,480 1,505 1,475 42.5 45 63,966.55 66,375
W. Southwest 1,450 1,530 1,441 1,525 44.5 46 64,124.45 70,150
E. Southeast 1,670 1,630 1,659 1,620 39 38 64,700.65 61,560
Southwest 780 820 771 815 35 31 26,975.70 25,265
Southeast 810 790 805 785 33 26 26,524.50 20,310
ILLINOIS 10,700 10,800 10,650 10,750 44 43 468,600.00 462,250


Milk Production

Milk production in Illinois totaled 160 million pounds in July 1999, down five percent from last year. The number of milk cows on farms totaled 122,000 head, down 5,000 head from July of last year. Milk per cow averaged 1,310 pounds, down 10 pounds from a year ago.

Milk production during July in the 20 States totaled 11.6 billion pounds, up 2.3 percent from production in these same states for July 1998. Production per cow in the 20 States averaged 1,496 pounds during July, 28 pounds above July 1998. The number of milk cows on farms in the 20 States was 7.74 million head in July, 27,000 head more than July 1998.

MILK PRODUCTION: ILLINOIS & 20 STATES, JULY 1998-99
  Illinois 20 States
  1998 1999 99 as %
of 98
1998 1999 99 as %
of 98
Milk Production:              
  Number of milk cows Head (000) 127 122 96 7,709 7,736 100
  Milk production per cow Lbs. 1,320 1,310 99 1,496 1,496 102
  Total milk production Mil. lbs. 168 160 95 11,571 11,571 102


Agricultural Prices

August prices received by Illinois farmers for all commodities increased from last month and is at 70 percent of the base. This is four points more than the revised July figure but ten points less than August 1998. The current year's base is computed by multiplying the average production for the five-year period by the average price for each year. These five years are summed and then divided by five to arrive at an average (base) for the period. The current five-year average production is then multiplied by the current price and divided by the average for the five years to arrive at the current index. The August all crops index, at 65 percent of the base, is three points more than the revised July figure but 14 points less than August 1998. Prices increased for corn, soybeans, sorghum, wheat and oats. The all livestock index increased five points from the previous month and is at 84 percent of the base. This is two points more than August 1998. The price of hogs, cattle and milk all increased. The hog-corn ratio increased to 18.4.

The U.S. All Farm Products Index of Prices Received in mid- August was 98 based on 1990-92=100, up three points from the revised July index. Price increases from July for milk, hogs, wheat and corn more than offset price decreases for broilers, potatoes, oranges and tomatoes. The seasonal changes in the mix of commodities farmers sell also affect the overall index. Higher seasonal marketings of tobacco, cattle, grapes and sweet corn more than offset the relatively lower marketings of wheat, hay, milk and broilers. These marketing changes contributed less than one point to the overall increase in the index. Compared with August 1998, the All Farm Products Index was three points lower. Price decreases from August 1998 for broilers, soybeans, milk and lettuce more than offset price increases for cattle, peaches, calves and turkeys.

INDEX OF PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS
Commodity July 1998 August 1998 July 1999 August 15,
1999
  1992-96=100 1993-97=100
ILLINOIS        
All Farm Products: 87 80 66* 70
All Crops 88 79 62* 65
Food grains 71 65 58* 60
Feed grains/hay 81 73 62* 65
Soybeans 98 87 62* 65
All Livestock 84 82 79* 84
Meat animals 81 77 74* 80
Dairy products 102 108 102* 104
  1990-92=100
UNITED STATES
Prices Received 102 101 95* 98
All Crops 107 103 95* 99
Food grains 89 85 77* 85
Feed grains/hay 101 91 84* 85
Oilseeds 111 98 75* 76
All Livestock 96 99 94* 97
Meat animals 80 78 81* 85
Dairy products 109 119 105* 114
Prices Paid 116 116 116* 116
Parity Ratio 1/ 88 87 82* 84
1/ Prices received index divided by prices paid index.
*  Revised

PRICES RECEIVED BY FARMERS 1/
Commodity Unit Illinois United States
July,
1998
August,
1998
July,
1999
August,
1999
July,
1998
August,
1998
July,
1999
August
15,
1999
  Dollars
Corn Bushels 2.30 2.01 1.79* 1.85 2.19 1.89 1.74* 1.78
Soybeans Bushels 6.32 5.54 4.25* 4.40 6.14 5.43 4.20* 4.25
Sorghum Cwt. 3/ 3/ 2.87* 3.05 3.81 3.32 2.83* 2.94
Wheat, all Bushels 2.36 2.19 1.91* 2.05 2.56 2.38 2.23* 2.43
Oats Bushels 1.64 1.01 1.29* 1.30 1.19 1.02 1.08* 1.07
Hay, all, baled Tons 88.00 84.00 78.00   77.00 88.50 88.00 78.40* 77.40
Alfalfa hay, bld Tons 93.00 89.00 83.00   82.00 92.10 90.20 82.00* 81.50
Other hay, bld Tons 66.00 66.00 60.00   58.00 75.40 76.40 65.30* 62.80
Hogs, all Cwt. 35.00 33.60 29.70* 34.00 36.90 35.20 31.20* 36.40
Barrows, Gilts Cwt. 35.90 34.60 30.60* 34.90 37.60 35.90 31.90* 37.20
Sows Cwt. 25.20 21.50 19.40* 23.60 26.00 21.80 20.50* 23.40
Beef cattle Cwt. 58.80 57.40 61.90* 62.40 58.40 57.40 62.60* 62.90
Cows Cwt. 35.50 34.70 38.20* 38.60 34.70 34.20 37.70* 37.00
Steers, Heifers Cwt. 59.30 57.80 62.40* 62.90 61.00 59.70 65.20* 65.60
Calves Cwt. 97.00 97.00 106.00   107.00 76.60 76.90 89.20* 89.00
Milk cows Head 1,150.00 2/ 1,250.00   2/ 1,120.00 2/ 1,280.00* 2/
Milk, all Cwt. 13.70 14.90 13.00* 13.60 14.20 15.50 13.70* 14.90
Milk, fluid Cwt. 13.70 14.90 12.90   3/ 14.20 15.50 13.80* 14.90
Milk, mfg. Cwt. 14.80 15.30 14.10   3/ 14.10 14.60 13.20* 14.80
Hog-corn ratio   15.2 16.7 16.6   18.4 16.8 18.6 17.9* 20.4

1/ Prices received represent the average of all grades or classes at point of first sale and should not be
    confused with market quotations.
2/ Estimated in January, April, July, and October.
3/ State prices not published.
*  Revised.
N/A Not available.

Farm Labor

HIRED WORKERS: NUMBER & HOURS WORKED,
BY REGIONS, JULY 11-17, 1999 1/
REGION 2/ Hired
Number of
Workers
 
Expected to be employed Number of
Hours Worked
 
150 days or more 149 days or less
LAKE 88 46 42 36.7
CORNBELT I 68 34 34 34.4
CORNBELT II 30 21 9 34.4
U.S. 1,143 748 395 39.8

HIRED WORKERS: WAGE RATES FOR TYPE OF WORKERS &
ALL HIRED WORKERS, BY REGIONS, JULY 11-17, 1999 1/
REGION 2/ Type of Worker Wage Rates For All Hired Workers
Field Livestock Field & Livestock Combined
LAKE 7.35 7.15 7.29 7.73
CORNBELT I 7.54 7.39 7.52 8.03
CORNBELT II 7.22 8.07 7.58 7.90
U.S. 7.05 7.15 7.07 7.58
1/ Excludes agricultural service workers.
2/ Regions consist of the following:
    LAKE: MI, MN, WI
    CORNBELT I: IL, IN, OH
    CORNBELT II: IA, MO
    UNITED STATES: Excludes Alaska.


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There you can find reports issued by NASS as well as links to state statistical offices. You will also find many charts showing long term trends in agriculture.


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